FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte Prediction

Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 25

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FC Cincinnati

Home

3 : 3

HT 1 - 2

Charlotte

Away

AI call FC Cincinnati or draw

45%

24%

31%

Home Win Draw Away Win

FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte prediction: Sportiko gives FC Cincinnati a 45% chance of winning, Charlotte 31% and the draw 24%. Last updated 13 Sep 2026, 01:45.

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1st Half Home or Draw 74%
Under 4.5 72%

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Timeline

Pavel Bucha assist: Tom Barlow

2' ⚽ 1–0

⚽ 1–1 7'

Liel Abada

⚽ 1–2 17'

Pep Biel Penalty

⇄ 44'

Liel Abada ⇄ Rodolfo Aloko

HT 1–2

Kévin Denkey assist: Andrei Chirila

51' ⚽ 2–2

⚽ 2–3 55'

Idan Toklomati assist: Rodolfo Aloko

Tom Barlow ⇄ Bryan Ramirez

56' ⇄

⇄ 70'

Luca De La Torre ⇄ Brandt Bronico

Andrei Chirila ⇄ Kristian Fletcher

74' ⇄

Nick Hagglund ⇄ Teenage Hadebe

74' ⇄

Samuel Gidi Yellow Card

76' ▮

⇄ 77'

Will Cleary ⇄ Morrison Agyemang

⇄ 78'

Idan Toklomati ⇄ Tyger Smalls

Kenji Mboma Dem Yellow Card

81' ▮

▮ 83'

Rodolfo Aloko Yellow Card

Samuel Gidi ⇄ Kyle Smith

85' ⇄

Kenji Mboma Dem ⇄ Ayoub Jabbari

85' ⇄

Kévin Denkey assist: Bryan Ramirez

90+1' ⚽ 3–3

FT 3–3

FC Cincinnati

Match Stats

Charlotte

69% Ball Possession 31%

29 Total Shots 8

10 Shots on Goal 4

11 Shots off Goal 3

8 Blocked Shots 1

18 Shots insidebox 5

11 Shots outsidebox 3

12 Corner Kicks 3

6 Fouls 10

2 Yellow Cards 1

0 Red Cards 0

1 Goalkeeper Saves 7

648 Total passes 290

585 Passes accurate 239

10 Free Kicks 6

FC Cincinnati

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
9 Kévin Denkey F	9.0	90'	2	–	5	16 (13%)	1
20 Pavel Bucha M	8.2	90'	1	–	4	85 (74%)	1
16 Tom Barlow F	7.7	56'	–	1	1	30 (26%)	2
88 Andrei Chirila D	7.2	74'	–	1	3	59 (55%)	1
12 Miles Robinson D	7.0	90'	–	–	3	77 (71%)	2
17 Kenji Mboma Dem M	6.9	85'	–	–	4	48 (44%)	1
22 Gerardo Valenzuela M	6.8	90'	–	–	2	61 (54%)	1
29 Bryan Ramirez D	6.7	34'	–	1	2	27 (23%)	1
14 Kristian Fletcher F	6.7	16'	–	–	2	4 (4%)	–
11 Samuel Gidi M	6.6	85'	–	–	1	81 (78%)	1
99 Ayoub Jabbari F	6.5	5'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	–
4 Nick Hagglund D	6.4	74'	–	–	1	52 (50%)	1
66 Ender Echenique M	6.3	90'	–	–	1	63 (51%)	1
18 Roman Celentano G	6.0	90'	–	–	–	15 (14%)	1
24 Kyle Smith D	6.0	5'	–	–	–	12 (12%)	–
15 Teenage Hadebe D	5.9	16'	–	–	–	16 (14%)	–

Charlotte

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
9 Idan Toklomati F	7.9	78'	1	–	2	8 (8%)	1
11 Liel Abada F	7.8	44'	1	–	2	10 (10%)	–
37 Rodolfo Aloko F	7.0	46'	–	1	1	12 (9%)	5
16 Pep Biel M	6.9	90'	1	–	1	21 (16%)	3
14 Nathan Byrne D	6.6	90'	–	–	–	26 (20%)	3
3 Tim Ream D	6.5	90'	–	–	–	37 (33%)	2
25 Tyger Smalls F	6.5	12'	–	–	–	5 (3%)	–
28 Djibril Diani M	6.4	90'	–	–	–	27 (27%)	2
10 Allan Saint-Maximin F	6.4	90'	–	–	2	23 (18%)	1
1 Kristijan Kahlina G	6.3	90'	–	–	–	28 (12%)	–
35 Will Cleary D	6.2	77'	–	–	–	32 (26%)	1
22 Henry Kessler D	6.2	90'	–	–	–	30 (30%)	–
17 Luca De La Torre M	6.0	70'	–	–	–	27 (24%)	–
44 Morrison Agyemang D	5.9	13'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	–
13 Brandt Bronico M	5.8	20'	–	–	–	1	–

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Confidence Low (45%)

At a glance

Our lean

FC Cincinnati or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 10%

Both teams to score

70%

Over 2.5 goals

69%

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FC Cincinnati

DDLLD

Charlotte

WDWDW

Last 1 meetings FC Cincinnati · 0W 1D 0L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

45%

10%

Draw

24%

45%

Away

31%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Charlotte goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	4	3	4	2	1
1	4	10	7	4	2	1
2	5	9	7	4	2	1
3	4	6	5	3	1
4	2	3	2	1	1
5	1	1	1	1

↑ FC Cincinnati goals · most likely 1–1 (10.0%)

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Players in form

FC Cincinnati

K. Denkey 14 gls

Evander 12 gls

Charlotte

No scorer data.

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Match Result

Home Win

45%

Away Win

31%

Draw

24%

Both Teams To Score

70% BTTS Yes 30% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

96%

12%

1.5

88%

31%

2.5

69%

52%

3.5

48%

72%

4.5

28%

86%

5.5

14%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

45%

Away Win

31%

Draw

24%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

60% Home (No Draw) 40% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

26% Home Win by 2+ 15% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

45% Home Scores More 31% Away Scores More 24% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

96%

12%

1.5

88%

31%

2.5

69%

52%

3.5

48%

72%

4.5

28%

86%

5.5

14%

Both Teams To Score

70% BTTS Yes 30% BTTS No

Exact Goals

19%

22%

20%

14%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.9%	3.3%	3.6%	1.9%	0.8%
1	4.3%	10.0%	7.2%	3.9%	1.6%
2	5.5%	8.9%	7.2%	3.9%	1.6%
3	3.7%	5.9%	4.8%	2.6%	1.1%
4	1.8%	3.0%	2.4%	1.3%	0.5%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

50%

1.5

50%

78%

2.5

22%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

21%

29%

28%

14%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

39%

1.5

61%

68%

2.5

32%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

15%

24%

29%

18%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	FC Cincinnati	Draw	Charlotte
FC Cincinnati	28.9%	4.8%	2.6%
Draw	14.4%	13.0%	10.6%
Charlotte	3.1%	4.6%	17.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

41%

1.5

59%

69%

2.5

31%

87%

3.5

13%

Home Exact Goals

14%

28%

18%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

70%

1.5

30%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

52%

1.5

48%

78%

2.5

22%

92%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

20%

32%

26%

14%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

77%

1.5

23%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte

0 FC Cincinnati Wins

1 Draws

0 Charlotte Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
09 May 2026	Charlotte	2 - 2	FC Cincinnati

FC Cincinnati — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Houston Dynamo	D	2 - 2
12 Sep	H Charlotte	D	3 - 3
09 Sep	A Philadelphia Union	L	5 - 0
30 Aug	A Nashville SC	L	4 - 0
22 Aug	H Seattle Sounders	D	1 - 1

Charlotte — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A DC United	W	1 - 2
12 Sep	A FC Cincinnati	D	3 - 3
09 Sep	A CF Montreal	W	1 - 2
05 Sep	H Houston Dynamo	D	0 - 0
29 Aug	A Atlanta United FC	W	0 - 2

Major League Soccer Standings

Eastern Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	26	17	6	3	53	21	+32	57
2	New England Revolution	26	14	4	8	45	33	+12	46
3	Inter Miami	26	12	10	4	63	48	+15	46
4	Charlotte	26	12	7	7	47	37	+10	43
5	Chicago Fire	25	11	6	8	45	38	+7	39
6	Philadelphia Union	26	10	6	10	50	42	+8	36
7	Orlando City SC	26	10	4	12	46	60	-14	34
8	New York Red Bulls	26	9	6	11	34	48	-14	33
9	FC Cincinnati	25	8	9	8	54	61	-7	33
10	New York City FC	26	8	8	10	39	34	+5	32
11	DC United	25	6	11	8	31	39	-8	29
12	Toronto FC	26	6	11	9	39	49	-10	29
13	Columbus Crew	26	7	5	14	37	42	-5	26
14	Atlanta United FC	26	7	5	14	30	43	-13	26
15	CF Montreal	26	5	6	15	31	53	-22	21

Western Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	25	15	4	6	56	23	+33	49
2	Houston Dynamo	26	13	5	8	34	30	+4	44
3	St. Louis City	26	12	8	6	45	36	+9	44
4	FC Dallas	26	12	8	6	49	42	+7	44
5	San Jose Earthquakes	26	12	6	8	46	38	+8	42
6	Los Angeles FC	27	11	8	8	43	29	+14	41
7	Colorado Rapids	26	11	3	12	36	35	+1	36
8	Los Angeles Galaxy	27	8	9	10	34	42	-8	33
9	Portland Timbers	26	9	5	12	47	48	-1	32
10	Seattle Sounders	25	8	8	9	30	33	-3	32
11	San Diego	26	8	7	11	44	44	0	31
12	Austin	26	7	9	10	32	44	-12	30
13	Real Salt Lake	26	8	5	13	37	44	-7	29
14	Minnesota United FC	26	7	8	11	39	46	-7	29
15	Sporting Kansas City	25	5	3	17	29	63	-34	18