Los Angeles FC vs New York Red Bulls Prediction

Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 24

Post on X

Los Angeles FC

Home

2 : 0

HT 1 - 0

New York Red Bulls

Away

AI call Los Angeles FC to win or draw

66%

20%

15%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Los Angeles FC vs New York Red Bulls prediction: Sportiko gives Los Angeles FC a 66% chance of winning, New York Red Bulls 15% and the draw 20%. Last updated 10 Sep 2026, 04:39.

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Home to Score 2+ 72%
Under 4.5 72%

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Timeline

▮ 18'

Dylan Nealis Yellow Card

Jude Terry

21' ⚽ 1–0

⇄ 33'

Adri Mehmeti ⇄ S. Kone

Kenny Nielsen Yellow Card

42' ▮

HT 1–0

▮ 52'

Julián Bazán Yellow Card

⇄ 56'

Cade Cowell ⇄ Jorge Ruvalcaba

⇄ 56'

Mohammed Sofo ⇄ Julian Hall

⇄ 56'

Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting ⇄ Mijahir Jiménez

Jude Terry ⇄ Igor Jesus

61' ⇄

Jacob Shaffelburg ⇄ Armindo Sieb

61' ⇄

⇄ 66'

Devin Padelford ⇄ Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty

Kenny Nielsen ⇄ Ryan Raposo

75' ⇄

Ryan Raposo Yellow Card

87' ▮

Denis Bouanga ⇄ Tyler Boyd

90' ⇄

Armindo Sieb assist: Ryan Hollingshead

90+6' ⚽ 2–0

FT 2–0

Los Angeles FC

Match Stats

New York Red Bulls

43% Ball Possession 57%

15 Total Shots 8

8 Shots on Goal 1

1 Shots off Goal 5

6 Blocked Shots 2

11 Shots insidebox 6

4 Shots outsidebox 2

9 Corner Kicks 3

2 Offsides 1

11 Fouls 13

2 Yellow Cards 2

0 Red Cards 0

1 Goalkeeper Saves 6

478 Total passes 639

412 Passes accurate 580

13 Free Kicks 11

Los Angeles FC

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
22 Jude Terry M	8.2	61'	1	–	1	32 (27%)	1
91 Nkosi Tafari D	7.6	90'	–	–	–	58 (51%)	–
33 Aaron Long D	7.5	90'	–	–	1	50 (45%)	2
24 Ryan Hollingshead D	7.3	90'	–	–	–	46 (40%)	2
66 Mathieu Choinière M	7.2	90'	–	–	–	72 (64%)	1
23 Yevhen Cheberko M	7.2	90'	–	–	–	51 (46%)	4
45 Kenny Nielsen D	7.1	75'	–	–	–	36 (33%)	2
18 Jacob Shaffelburg F	7.0	61'	–	–	1	11 (8%)	1
6 Igor Jesus M	6.9	29'	–	–	–	23 (19%)	–
7 Son Heung-min F	6.8	90'	–	–	8	20 (15%)	1
9 Armindo Sieb F	6.8	29'	–	–	1	6 (5%)	1
1 Hugo Lloris G	6.7	90'	–	–	–	27 (22%)	–
21 Ryan Raposo M	6.7	15'	–	–	–	7 (7%)	–
99 Denis Bouanga F	6.3	90'	–	–	2	34 (25%)	2

New York Red Bulls

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
34 Ethan Horvath G	8.1	90'	–	–	–	23 (19%)	–
60 S. Kone M	7.2	57'	–	–	–	80 (75%)	–
2 Justin Che D	7.0	90'	–	–	1	84 (82%)	4
15 Adri Mehmeti M	6.8	33'	–	–	–	44 (41%)	–
14 Julián Bazán D	6.8	90'	–	–	1	84 (78%)	1
91 Mijahir Jiménez F	6.7	34'	–	–	–	9 (8%)	–
59 Devin Padelford D	6.6	66'	–	–	–	31 (27%)	2
13 Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting F	6.6	56'	–	–	3	22 (21%)	–
16 Julian Hall F	6.5	34'	–	–	–	25 (20%)	–
11 Jorge Ruvalcaba F	6.5	34'	–	–	–	19 (19%)	–
7 Cade Cowell F	6.4	56'	–	–	1	22 (18%)	1
92 Dennis Nelich F	6.4	90'	–	–	1	28 (27%)	–
37 Mohammed Sofo M	6.3	56'	–	–	–	38 (32%)	3
10 Emil Forsberg M	6.2	90'	–	–	1	46 (37%)	–
12 Dylan Nealis D	6.1	90'	–	–	–	75 (69%)	–
3 Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty D	5.9	24'	–	–	–	8 (7%)	–

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Confidence Medium (66%)

At a glance

Our lean

Los Angeles FC to win or draw

Most likely score

2:1 · 9.7%

Both teams to score

64%

Over 2.5 goals

71%

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Los Angeles FC

LDLWD

New York Red Bulls

WWLDL

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

66%

45%

Draw

20%

45%

Away

15%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

New York Red Bulls goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3	2	2	1
1	6	8	4	2
2	8	10	6	2	1
3	7	8	5	2	1
4	5	5	3	1
5	2	3	2	1

↑ Los Angeles FC goals · most likely 2–1 (9.7%)

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Players in form

Los Angeles FC

D. Bouanga 14 gls

New York Red Bulls

No scorer data.

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

66%

Draw

20%

Away Win

15%

Both Teams To Score

64% BTTS Yes 36% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

97%

11%

1.5

89%

29%

2.5

71%

51%

3.5

49%

72%

4.5

28%

87%

5.5

13%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

66%

Draw

20%

Away Win

15%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

82% Home (No Draw) 18% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

44% Home Win by 2+ 6% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

66% Home Scores More 20% Equal Goals 15% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

97%

11%

1.5

89%

29%

2.5

71%

51%

3.5

49%

72%

4.5

28%

87%

5.5

13%

Both Teams To Score

64% BTTS Yes 36% BTTS No

Exact Goals

19%

22%

20%

15%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.5%	1.9%	1.7%	0.6%	0.2%
1	5.5%	8.5%	4.3%	1.7%	0.5%
2	8.4%	9.7%	5.6%	2.1%	0.6%
3	7.2%	8.3%	4.8%	1.8%	0.5%
4	4.7%	5.4%	3.1%	1.2%	0.3%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

51%

1.5

49%

78%

2.5

22%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

21%

29%

27%

14%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

36%

1.5

64%

65%

2.5

35%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

14%

23%

29%

19%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Los Angeles FC	Draw	New York Red Bulls
Los Angeles FC	43.5%	3.3%	1.2%
Draw	20.3%	10.5%	5.1%
New York Red Bulls	4.1%	3.8%	8.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

28%

1.5

72%

55%

2.5

45%

78%

3.5

22%

Home Exact Goals

21%

26%

23%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

70%

1.5

30%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

56%

1.5

44%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

1.5

32%

89%

2.5

11%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

32%

36%

21%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

87%

1.5

13%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Los Angeles FC vs New York Red Bulls

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Los Angeles FC — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
27 Sep	A FC Dallas	L	1 - 0
19 Sep	A San Jose Earthquakes	D	2 - 2
13 Sep	A Sporting Kansas City	L	3 - 1
10 Sep	H New York Red Bulls	W	2 - 0
06 Sep	A Real Salt Lake	D	2 - 2

New York Red Bulls — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A New York City FC	W	0 - 1
12 Sep	A Columbus Crew	W	0 - 1
10 Sep	A Los Angeles FC	L	2 - 0
06 Sep	A Seattle Sounders	D	0 - 0
29 Aug	H Philadelphia Union	L	1 - 3

Major League Soccer Standings

Eastern Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	18	6	3	55	21	+34	60
2	New England Revolution	26	14	4	8	45	33	+12	46
3	Inter Miami	26	12	10	4	63	48	+15	46
4	Charlotte	27	12	7	8	47	38	+9	43
5	Chicago Fire	26	12	6	8	46	38	+8	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	11	6	10	54	44	+10	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	10	4	13	48	64	-16	34
8	New York Red Bulls	26	9	6	11	34	48	-14	33
9	New York City FC	27	8	9	10	41	36	+5	33
10	FC Cincinnati	26	8	9	9	55	64	-9	33
11	DC United	25	6	11	8	31	39	-8	29
12	Toronto FC	27	6	11	10	39	51	-12	29
13	Atlanta United FC	27	7	6	14	32	45	-13	27
14	Columbus Crew	26	7	5	14	37	42	-5	26
15	CF Montreal	27	6	6	15	34	54	-20	24

Western Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	25	15	4	6	56	23	+33	49
2	FC Dallas	27	13	8	6	50	42	+8	47
3	Houston Dynamo	27	13	5	9	34	32	+2	44
4	St. Louis City	26	12	8	6	45	36	+9	44
5	San Jose Earthquakes	26	12	6	8	46	38	+8	42
6	Los Angeles FC	28	11	8	9	43	30	+13	41
7	Colorado Rapids	26	11	3	12	36	35	+1	36
8	Seattle Sounders	26	9	8	9	33	34	-1	35
9	Los Angeles Galaxy	27	8	9	10	34	42	-8	33
10	Portland Timbers	26	9	5	12	47	48	-1	32
11	San Diego	27	8	8	11	47	47	0	32
12	Austin	27	7	10	10	35	47	-12	31
13	Real Salt Lake	26	8	5	13	37	44	-7	29
14	Minnesota United FC	27	7	8	12	40	49	-9	29
15	Sporting Kansas City	26	6	3	17	31	63	-32	21

Los Angeles FC

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: M. Dos Santos

1 Lloris

45 Nielsen

91 Tafari

33 Long

24 Hollingshead

23 Cheberko

66 Choinière

22 Terry

99 Bouanga

7 Heung-Min

18 Shaffelburg

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	H. Lloris	G
24	R. Hollingshead	D
33	A. Long	D
91	N. Tafari	D
45	Kenny Nielsen	D
22	Jude Terry	M
66	M. Choinière	M
23	Y. Cheberko	M
18	J. Shaffelburg	F
7	Son Heung-Min	F
99	D. Bouanga	F

Substitutes

19	T. Boyd	F
31	Cabral Carter	G
44	C. Diaz	D
17	J. Ebobisse	F
6	Igor Jesus	M
90	Tommy Mihalic	F
14	Sergi Palencia	D
21	R. Raposo	M
9	A. Sieb	F

New York Red Bulls

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Gerardo Espinoza

34 Horvath

59 Padelford

14 Bazán

2 Che

12 Nealis

10 Forsberg

15 Mehmeti

37 Sofo

92 Nelich

13 Choupo-Moting

7 Cowell

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
34	E. Horvath	G
12	D. Nealis	D
2	J. Che	D
14	J. Bazán	D
59	D. Padelford	D
37	M. Sofo	M
15	A. Mehmeti	M
10	E. Forsberg	M
7	C. Cowell	F
13	E. Choupo-Moting	F
92	D. Nelich	F

Substitutes

11	J. Ruvalcaba	F
8	D. Ruíz	M
26	T. Parker	D
77	J. McCarthy	G
3	J. Marshall-Rutty	D
91	M. Jimenez	F
17	C. Harper	F
16	J. Hall	F
60	S. Kone	M