DC United vs Columbus Crew Prediction

Major League Soccer Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 24
FT
Post on X
AI call Too close to call
36%
28%
36%
Home Win Draw Away Win

DC United vs Columbus Crew prediction: Sportiko gives DC United a 36% chance of winning, Columbus Crew 36% and the draw 28%. Last updated 10 Sep 2026, 01:37.

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  • 1st Half Draw or Away 74%
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Timeline

▮ 12'
Tarun Karumanchi Yellow Card
▮ 19'
Cesar Ruvalcaba Yellow Card
João Peglow Yellow Card
19' ▮
Tai Baribo assist: Louis Munteanu
24' ⚽ 1–0
Tai Baribo assist: Kimito Nono
37' ⚽ 2–0
⇄ 45'
Cesar Ruvalcaba ⇄ Steven Moreira
⇄ 45'
Taha Habroune ⇄ Brais Méndez
Jackson Hopkins ⇄ Matti Peltola
45' ⇄
HT 2–0
⚽ 2–1 49'
Santiago Rodríguez assist: Josef Martínez
Keisuke Kurokawa Penalty cancelled
52' 🖵
Kye Rowles Yellow Card
57' ▮
⇄ 60'
Josef Martínez ⇄ Gonzalo Tapia
⇄ 70'
Dylan Chambost ⇄ André Gomes
Louis Munteanu ⇄ Nathan Ordaz
70' ⇄
Tai Baribo ⇄ Brandon Servania
77' ⇄
⇄ 81'
Santiago Rodríguez ⇄ Jamal Thiaré
João Peglow ⇄ Sean Nealis
90+2' ⇄
Sean Johnson Yellow Card
90+5' ▮
FT 2–1
DC United

Match Stats

Columbus Crew
28% Ball Possession 72%
10 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Goal 4
4 Shots off Goal 8
1 Blocked Shots 4
9 Shots insidebox 7
1 Shots outsidebox 9
3 Corner Kicks 5
2 Offsides 1
8 Fouls 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
3 Goalkeeper Saves 3
278 Total passes 723
209 Passes accurate 657
11 Free Kicks 8
DC United
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
9 Tai Baribo F 9.0 77' 2 – 2 17 (10%) 1
2 Kimito Nono M 7.7 90' – 1 2 20 (15%) –
11 Louis Munteanu F 7.5 70' – 1 1 17 (15%) –
21 Andre Dozzell M 7.0 90' – – – 25 (23%) 2
3 Lucas Bartlett D 6.9 90' – – – 32 (28%) –
4 Matti Peltola D 6.8 44' – – 1 11 (8%) 5
5 Silvan Hefti D 6.7 90' – – – 32 (25%) 1
22 Nathan Ordaz F 6.7 20' – – 1 2 (2%) –
25 Jackson Hopkins F 6.6 46' – – – 10 (9%) 1
23 Brandon Servania M 6.6 13' – – 1 – 1
7 João Peglow M 6.4 92' – – – 25 (17%) 1
6 Keisuke Kurokawa D 6.2 90' – – – 25 (16%) 1
15 Kye Rowles D 6.2 90' – – 2 32 (25%) 3
1 Sean Johnson G 6.1 90' – – – 30 (16%) –
Columbus Crew
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
8 Santiago Rodríguez M 7.7 81' 1 – 4 41 (30%) 3
7 Dylan Chambost M 7.2 70' – – 2 93 (85%) 3
28 Patrick Schulte G 6.9 90' – – – 21 (18%) –
25 Sean Zawadzki D 6.9 90' – – 1 96 (94%) –
18 Malte Amundsen D 6.8 90' – – 2 74 (70%) 2
10 Brais Méndez M 6.8 44' – – 3 39 (34%) 1
23 Mohamed Farsi M 6.7 90' – – – 71 (64%) –
20 André Gomes M 6.7 20' – – – 23 (21%) 1
16 Taha Habroune M 6.6 46' – – 1 30 (28%) –
77 Josef Martínez F 6.5 60' – 1 – 11 (9%) –
19 Jamal Thiaré F 6.4 9' – – 1 2 (2%) –
11 Brooks Lennon D 6.4 90' – – 1 44 (41%) –
50 Tarun Karumanchi M 6.3 90' – – – 75 (67%) –
33 Gonzalo Tapia F 6.3 30' – – 1 8 (6%) –
31 Steven Moreira D 6.2 44' – – – 49 (46%) 1
12 Cesar Ruvalcaba D 6.1 46' – – – 46 (42%) 1
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Confidence Low (36%)

At a glance

Our lean
Too close to call
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DC United
LDWDL
Columbus Crew
WWLLW
Last 3 meetings DC United · 0W 0D 3L
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
36%
10%
Draw
28%
45%
Away
36%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

DC United
T. Baribo 14 gls
Columbus Crew

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: DC United vs Columbus Crew

0 DC United Wins
0 Draws
3 Columbus Crew Wins
Date Home Score Away
08 Mar 2014 DC United 0 - 3 Columbus Crew
27 Apr 2013 Columbus Crew 3 - 0 DC United
23 Mar 2013 DC United 1 - 2 Columbus Crew
See all 6 meetings — Premium

DC United — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Charlotte L 1 - 2
12 Sep H Atlanta United FC D 0 - 0
09 Sep H Columbus Crew W 2 - 1
29 Aug H Los Angeles FC D 0 - 0
22 Aug A Charlotte L 3 - 1

Columbus Crew — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A CF Montreal W 0 - 2
16 Sep H Orlando City SC W 2 - 1
12 Sep H New York Red Bulls L 0 - 1
09 Sep A DC United L 2 - 1
05 Sep H Colorado Rapids W 3 - 0

Major League Soccer Standings

Eastern Conference

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Nashville SC
26 17 6 3 +32 57
2
New England Revolution
26 14 4 8 +12 46
3
Inter Miami
26 12 10 4 +15 46
4
Charlotte
26 12 7 7 +10 43
5
Chicago Fire
25 11 6 8 +7 39
6
Philadelphia Union
26 10 6 10 +8 36
7
Orlando City SC
26 10 4 12 -14 34
8
New York Red Bulls
26 9 6 11 -14 33
9
FC Cincinnati
25 8 9 8 -7 33
10
New York City FC
26 8 8 10 +5 32
11
DC United
25 6 11 8 -8 29
12
Toronto FC
26 6 11 9 -10 29
13
Columbus Crew
26 7 5 14 -5 26
14
Atlanta United FC
26 7 5 14 -13 26
15
CF Montreal
26 5 6 15 -22 21

Western Conference

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Vancouver Whitecaps
25 15 4 6 +33 49
2
Houston Dynamo
26 13 5 8 +4 44
3
St. Louis City
26 12 8 6 +9 44
4
FC Dallas
26 12 8 6 +7 44
5
San Jose Earthquakes
26 12 6 8 +8 42
6
Los Angeles FC
27 11 8 8 +14 41
7
Colorado Rapids
26 11 3 12 +1 36
8
Los Angeles Galaxy
27 8 9 10 -8 33
9
Portland Timbers
26 9 5 12 -1 32
10
San Diego
26 8 7 11 0 31
11
Austin
26 7 9 10 -12 30
12
Real Salt Lake
25 8 5 12 -5 29
13
Seattle Sounders
24 7 8 9 -5 29
14
Minnesota United FC
26 7 8 11 -7 29
15
Sporting Kansas City
25 5 3 17 -34 18

Columbus Crew

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: L. Courtois
28 Schulte
11 Lennon
18 Amundsen
25 Zawadzki
12 Ruvalcaba
50 Karumanchi
7 Chambost
8 Rodríguez
16 Habroune
23 Farsi
77 Martínez

Starting XI

# Player Pos
28 P. Schulte G
12 Cesar Ruvalcaba D
25 S. Zawadzki D
18 M. Amundsen D
11 B. Lennon D
7 D. Chambost M
50 T. Karumanchi M
23 M. Farsi M
16 T. Habroune M
8 S. Rodríguez M
77 Josef Martínez F

Substitutes

1 N. Hagen G
26 L. Giaccone M
3 E. Bailly D
31 S. Moreira D
10 Brais Méndez M
54 Luke Pruter G
33 G. Tapia F
20 André Gomes M
19 J. Thiaré F

DC United

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: R. Weiler
1 Johnson
6 Kurokawa
15 Rowles
3 Bartlett
5 Hefti
7 Peglow
21 Dozzell
2 Nono
11 Munteanu
9 Baribo
25 Hopkins

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 S. Johnson G
5 S. Hefti D
3 L. Bartlett D
15 K. Rowles D
6 K. Kurokawa D
2 K. Nono M
21 A. Dozzell M
7 Peglow M
25 J. Hopkins F
9 T. Baribo F
11 L. Munteanu F

Substitutes

32 O. Avilez F
26 A. Bono G
77 Hosei Kijima M
27 Nikola Markovic D
13 S. Nealis D
22 N. Ordaz F
4 M. Peltola D
8 J. Stroud M
23 B. Servania M

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