Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati Prediction
FT
AI call
Difficult Philadelphia Union win or draw
55%
23%
23%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati prediction: Sportiko gives Philadelphia Union a 55% chance of winning, FC Cincinnati 23% and the draw 23%. Last updated 10 Sep 2026, 01:59.
Premium picks
Premium- Home 2H Over 0.5 74%
- 1st Half Home or Draw 75%
- Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off.
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Timeline
🖵
14'
Obinna Nwobodo
Card upgrade confirmed
▮
16'
Obinna Nwobodo
Red Card
▮
40'
Evander
Yellow Card
Quinn Sullivan
Penalty
43'
⚽
1–0
⇄
45'
Evander
⇄ Alvas Powell
⇄
45'
Kévin Denkey
⇄ Tom Barlow
⇄
45'
Ender Echenique
⇄ Nick Hagglund
Bruno Damiani
assist: Cavan Sullivan
45+1'
⚽
2–0
HT 2–0
Bruno Damiani
assist: Quinn Sullivan
49'
⚽
3–0
Bruno Damiani
assist: Cavan Sullivan
61'
⚽
4–0
⇄
62'
Gerardo Valenzuela
⇄ Tah Anunga
Jovan Lukić
⇄ Jesus Bueno
65'
⇄
Ezekiel Alladoh
⇄ Milan Iloski
66'
⇄
Quinn Sullivan
⇄ Indiana Vassilev
66'
⇄
Bruno Damiani
Goal cancelled
72'
🖵
Bruno Damiani
⇄ Malik Jakupovic
75'
⇄
⇄
75'
Ayoub Jabbari
⇄ Samuel Gidi
Cavan Sullivan
⇄ Alejandro Bedoya
75'
⇄
🖵
82'
Pavel Bucha
Goal cancelled
▮
87'
Tah Anunga
Yellow Card
Milan Iloski
Penalty
89'
⚽
5–0
FT 5–0
Philadelphia Union
Match Stats
FC Cincinnati
66%
Ball Possession
34%
20
Total Shots
1
6
Shots on Goal
0
8
Shots off Goal
1
6
Blocked Shots
0
17
Shots insidebox
1
3
Shots outsidebox
0
7
Corner Kicks
1
2
Offsides
1
16
Fouls
6
0
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
1
0
Goalkeeper Saves
1
601
Total passes
302
527
Passes accurate
215
5
Free Kicks
15
Philadelphia Union
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Bruno Damiani F | 9.5 | 75' | 3 | – | 5 | 17 (15%) | 1 |
| 6 Cavan Sullivan M | 8.6 | 75' | – | 2 | 3 | 55 (42%) | – |
| 10 Milan Iloski F | 7.8 | 24' | 1 | – | 3 | 17 (15%) | – |
| 33 Quinn Sullivan M | 7.7 | 66' | 1 | 1 | 4 | 39 (34%) | 1 |
| 39 Frankie Westfield D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 80 (72%) | 1 |
| 26 Nathan Harriel D | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 54 (51%) | 1 |
| 44 Neil Pierre D | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 65 (58%) | 1 |
| 8 Jesus Bueno M | 7.0 | 25' | – | – | – | 34 (33%) | 1 |
| 21 Danley Jean Jacques M | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 63 (61%) | – |
| 4 Jovan Lukić M | 6.8 | 65' | – | – | – | 47 (43%) | 1 |
| 18 Andre Blake G | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 23 (18%) | – |
| 27 Kai Wagner D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 56 (44%) | 2 |
| 51 Malik Jakupovic F | 6.6 | 15' | – | – | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 11 Alejandro Bedoya M | 6.5 | 15' | – | – | – | 17 (15%) | 1 |
| 19 Indiana Vassilev M | 6.4 | 24' | – | – | – | 19 (15%) | – |
| 23 Ezekiel Alladoh F | 6.4 | 66' | – | – | 2 | 13 (11%) | – |
FC Cincinnati
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Tom Barlow F | 6.4 | 45' | – | – | – | 15 (11%) | – |
| 99 Ayoub Jabbari F | 6.3 | 75' | – | – | – | 16 (7%) | – |
| 9 Kévin Denkey F | 6.2 | 45' | – | – | 1 | 3 (2%) | – |
| 12 Miles Robinson D | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 41 (35%) | – |
| 10 Evander M | 6.0 | 45' | – | – | – | 12 (9%) | 2 |
| 24 Kyle Smith D | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 38 (29%) | 2 |
| 11 Samuel Gidi M | 5.8 | 15' | – | – | – | 7 (4%) | 1 |
| 66 Ender Echenique M | 5.8 | 45' | – | – | – | 9 (6%) | 1 |
| 22 Gerardo Valenzuela M | 5.7 | 62' | – | – | – | 25 (18%) | 1 |
| 18 Roman Celentano G | 5.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 38 (22%) | – |
| 2 Alvas Powell D | 5.6 | 45' | – | – | – | 7 (5%) | 1 |
| 27 Tah Anunga M | 5.6 | 28' | – | – | – | 7 (6%) | – |
| 4 Nick Hagglund D | 5.5 | 45' | – | – | – | 16 (11%) | – |
| 20 Pavel Bucha M | 5.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 27 (20%) | – |
| 88 Andrei Chirila D | 5.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 38 (28%) | – |
| 5 Obinna Nwobodo M | 5.0 | 16' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | 1 |
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Confidence
Medium (55%)
At a glance
Our lean
Difficult Philadelphia Union win or draw
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Philadelphia Union
WWWWW
FC Cincinnati
DDLLD
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
55%
45%
Draw
23%
45%
Away
23%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Philadelphia Union
M. Iloski
13 gls
FC Cincinnati
K. Denkey
14 gls
Evander
12 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
Philadelphia Union — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Sporting Kansas City | W | 3 - 4 |
| 14 Sep | A San Diego | W | 0 - 5 |
| 09 Sep | H FC Cincinnati | W | 5 - 0 |
| 05 Sep | H CF Montreal | W | 2 - 0 |
| 29 Aug | A New York Red Bulls | W | 1 - 3 |
FC Cincinnati — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Houston Dynamo | D | 2 - 2 |
| 12 Sep | H Charlotte | D | 3 - 3 |
| 09 Sep | A Philadelphia Union | L | 5 - 0 |
| 30 Aug | A Nashville SC | L | 4 - 0 |
| 22 Aug | H Seattle Sounders | D | 1 - 1 |
Major League Soccer Standings
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nashville SC
|
26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 53 | 21 | +32 | 57 |
| 2 |
New England Revolution
|
26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 45 | 33 | +12 | 46 |
| 3 |
Inter Miami
|
26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 63 | 48 | +15 | 46 |
| 4 |
Charlotte
|
26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 47 | 37 | +10 | 43 |
| 5 |
Chicago Fire
|
25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 45 | 38 | +7 | 39 |
| 6 |
Philadelphia Union
|
26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 42 | +8 | 36 |
| 7 |
Orlando City SC
|
26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 46 | 60 | -14 | 34 |
| 8 |
New York Red Bulls
|
26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 33 |
| 9 |
FC Cincinnati
|
25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 33 |
| 10 |
New York City FC
|
26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 39 | 34 | +5 | 32 |
| 11 |
DC United
|
25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 29 |
| 12 |
Toronto FC
|
26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 29 |
| 13 |
Columbus Crew
|
26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 26 |
| 14 |
Atlanta United FC
|
26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 26 |
| 15 |
CF Montreal
|
26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 31 | 53 | -22 | 21 |
Western Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Vancouver Whitecaps
|
25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 56 | 23 | +33 | 49 |
| 2 |
Houston Dynamo
|
26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 34 | 30 | +4 | 44 |
| 3 |
St. Louis City
|
26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 45 | 36 | +9 | 44 |
| 4 |
FC Dallas
|
26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 49 | 42 | +7 | 44 |
| 5 |
San Jose Earthquakes
|
26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 46 | 38 | +8 | 42 |
| 6 |
Los Angeles FC
|
27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 43 | 29 | +14 | 41 |
| 7 |
Colorado Rapids
|
26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 36 | 35 | +1 | 36 |
| 8 |
Los Angeles Galaxy
|
27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 33 |
| 9 |
Portland Timbers
|
26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 32 |
| 10 |
Seattle Sounders
|
25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 32 |
| 11 |
San Diego
|
26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 44 | 44 | 0 | 31 |
| 12 |
Austin
|
26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 32 | 44 | -12 | 30 |
| 13 |
Real Salt Lake
|
26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 29 |
| 14 |
Minnesota United FC
|
26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 29 |
| 15 |
Sporting Kansas City
|
25 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 29 | 63 | -34 | 18 |
Philadelphia Union
Formation: 4-4-2
Coach: David Pagou
18
Blake
27
Wagner
26
Harriel
44
Pierre
39
Westfield
33
Sullivan
4
Lukić
21
Jean-Jacques
6
Sullivan
9
Damiani
23
Alladoh
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 18 | A. Blake | G |
| 39 | F. Westfield | D |
| 44 | Neil Pierre | D |
| 26 | N. Harriel | D |
| 27 | K. Wagner | D |
| 6 | Cavan Sullivan | M |
| 21 | D. Jean-Jacques | M |
| 4 | J. Lukić | M |
| 33 | Q. Sullivan | M |
| 23 | E. Alladoh | F |
| 9 | B. Damiani | F |
Substitutes
| 28 | A. Anello | F |
| 8 | J. Bueno | M |
| 19 | I. Vassilev | M |
| 10 | M. Iloski | F |
| 51 | M. Jakupovic | F |
| 76 | A. Rick | G |
| 5 | J. Sery Larsen | D |
| 16 | B. Bender | M |
| 11 | A. Bedoya | M |
FC Cincinnati
Formation: 3-4-1-2
Coach: David Pagou
18
Celentano
88
Chirila
12
Robinson
24
Smith
66
Echenique
5
Nwobodo
22
Valenzuela
20
Bucha
10
Evander
9
Denkey
99
Jabbari
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 18 | R. Celentano | G |
| 24 | K. Smith | D |
| 12 | M. Robinson | D |
| 88 | A. Chirila | D |
| 20 | P. Bucha | M |
| 22 | G. Valenzuela | M |
| 5 | O. Nwobodo | M |
| 66 | E. Echenique | M |
| 10 | Evander | M |
| 99 | A. Jabbari | F |
| 9 | K. Denkey | F |
Substitutes
| 16 | T. Barlow | F |
| 11 | S. Gidi | M |
| 4 | N. Hagglund | D |
| 15 | T. Hadebe | D |
| 13 | E. Louro | G |
| 17 | K. Mboma Dem | F |
| 2 | A. Powell | D |
| 27 | B. Anunga | M |
| 29 | Bryan Josías Ramírez León | D |