Portland Timbers vs Minnesota United FC Prediction

Major League Soccer Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 23
FT
Post on X
AI call Portland Timbers or draw
42%
26%
32%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Portland Timbers vs Minnesota United FC prediction: Sportiko gives Portland Timbers a 42% chance of winning, Minnesota United FC 32% and the draw 26%. Last updated 6 Sep 2026, 04:43.

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  • 1st Half Home or Draw 74%
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Timeline

Vincent Janssen Penalty
11' ⚽ 1–0
Drake Callender Own Goal
20' ⚽ 2–0
▮ 24'
Michael Boxall Yellow Card
Vincent Janssen assist: David Pereira Da Costa
26' ⚽ 3–0
⚽ 3–1 32'
Marcus Caldeira assist: Joaquín Pereyra
⚽ 3–2 37'
Anthony Markanich assist: Kelvin Yeboah
José Caicedo ⇄ Joao Ortíz
37' ⇄
Finn Surman Yellow Card
45+7' ▮
HT 3–2
⚽ 3–3 50'
Marcus Caldeira
Vincent Janssen assist: Ariel Lassiter
55' ⚽ 4–3
Vincent Janssen ⇄ Diego Chará
68' ⇄
Ariel Lassiter ⇄ Antony Alves
69' ⇄
Kristoffer Velde assist: Antony Alves
71' ⚽ 5–3
⇄ 72'
Wil Trapp ⇄ Nectarios Triantis
⇄ 72'
Marcus Caldeira ⇄ Tomás Chancalay
▮ 74'
Jefferson Díaz Yellow Card
⇄ 78'
Kelvin Yeboah ⇄ M. Malone
Eric Miller ⇄ Joel Waterman
81' ⇄
David Pereira Da Costa ⇄ Ian Smith
82' ⇄
⇄ 88'
Anthony Markanich ⇄ Mauricio González
⇄ 88'
Owen Gene ⇄ Carlos Harvey
⚽ 5–4 90+2'
Tomás Chancalay assist: Carlos Harvey
▮ 90+6'
Morris Duggan Yellow Card
FT 5–4
Portland Timbers

Match Stats

Minnesota United FC
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Goal 8
4 Shots off Goal 7
2 Blocked Shots 2
8 Shots insidebox 15
3 Shots outsidebox 2
4 Corner Kicks 3
2 Offsides 0
12 Fouls 18
1 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 0
4 Goalkeeper Saves 1
544 Total passes 536
463 Passes accurate 469
18 Free Kicks 12
Portland Timbers
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
14 Vincent Janssen F 9.7 68' 3 – 4 34 (30%) 3
99 Kristoffer Velde F 8.0 90' 1 – 3 42 (38%) 1
11 Antony Alves F 7.0 21' – 1 – 13 (10%) 2
10 David Pereira Da Costa M 6.9 82' – 1 1 47 (42%) –
7 Ariel Lassiter F 6.8 69' – 1 1 30 (22%) –
30 José Caicedo M 6.5 37' – – – 26 (25%) 3
80 Joao Ortíz M 6.5 53' – – – 31 (30%) 2
17 Cole Bassett M 6.3 90' – – 1 47 (41%) 1
20 Finn Surman D 6.2 90' – – – 62 (57%) 2
41 James Pantemis G 6.2 90' – – – 21 (11%) –
4 Kamal Miller D 6.1 90' – – – 64 (56%) 2
27 Jímer Fory D 6.1 90' – – 1 50 (41%) 3
15 Eric Miller D 6.0 81' – – – 45 (37%) 1
21 Diego Chará M 5.9 22' – – – 12 (12%) –
2 Joel Waterman D 5.7 9' – – – 7 (3%) –
23 Ian Smith D 5.6 8' – – – 8 (6%) 1
Minnesota United FC
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
22 Marcus Caldeira F 8.6 72' 2 – 2 9 (8%) 1
13 Anthony Markanich M 7.6 88' 1 – 1 34 (27%) 1
26 Joaquín Pereyra M 7.4 90' – 1 4 50 (41%) –
8 Tomás Chancalay F 7.2 18' 1 – 2 8 (7%) 1
9 Kelvin Yeboah F 7.1 78' – 1 3 25 (18%) 1
30 Owen Gene M 6.6 88' – – 1 63 (59%) 2
3 Kyle Duncan M 6.5 90' – – 2 42 (38%) 2
11 M. Malone F 6.4 12' – – – 5 (4%) 1
18 Mauricio González F 6.3 2' – – – 2 (2%) –
67 Carlos Harvey M 6.2 2' – 1 – 8 (7%) 1
20 Wil Trapp M 6.0 72' – – – 41 (38%) –
23 Morris Duggan D 5.8 90' – – – 64 (56%) 2
28 Jefferson Díaz D 5.8 90' – – 1 68 (64%) 3
15 Michael Boxall D 5.6 90' – – – 59 (56%) 1
25 Nectarios Triantis D 5.5 18' – – – 16 (14%) –
12 Drake Callender G 5.3 90' – – – 29 (19%) –
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Confidence Low (42%)

At a glance

Our lean
Portland Timbers or draw
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Portland Timbers
LLDWL
Minnesota United FC
LLLLD
Last 1 meetings Portland Timbers · 0W 0D 1L
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
42%
10%
Draw
26%
45%
Away
32%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Portland Timbers

No scorer data.

Minnesota United FC
K. Yeboah 14 gls

AI match tools

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Head to Head: Portland Timbers vs Minnesota United FC

0 Portland Timbers Wins
0 Draws
1 Minnesota United FC Wins
Date Home Score Away
19 Apr 2026 Minnesota United FC 2 - 0 Portland Timbers

Portland Timbers — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Atlanta United FC L 0 - 1
13 Sep A FC Dallas L 2 - 1
10 Sep H St. Louis City D 2 - 2
06 Sep H Minnesota United FC W 5 - 4
30 Aug H Austin L 1 - 2

Minnesota United FC — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Los Angeles Galaxy L 2 - 3
13 Sep A St. Louis City L 4 - 2
10 Sep H FC Dallas L 1 - 2
06 Sep A Portland Timbers L 5 - 4
30 Aug H Orlando City SC D 3 - 3

Major League Soccer Standings

Eastern Conference

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Nashville SC
26 17 6 3 +32 57
2
New England Revolution
26 14 4 8 +12 46
3
Inter Miami
26 12 10 4 +15 46
4
Charlotte
26 12 7 7 +10 43
5
Chicago Fire
25 11 6 8 +7 39
6
Philadelphia Union
26 10 6 10 +8 36
7
Orlando City SC
26 10 4 12 -14 34
8
New York Red Bulls
26 9 6 11 -14 33
9
FC Cincinnati
25 8 9 8 -7 33
10
New York City FC
26 8 8 10 +5 32
11
DC United
25 6 11 8 -8 29
12
Toronto FC
26 6 11 9 -10 29
13
Columbus Crew
26 7 5 14 -5 26
14
Atlanta United FC
26 7 5 14 -13 26
15
CF Montreal
26 5 6 15 -22 21

Western Conference

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Vancouver Whitecaps
25 15 4 6 +33 49
2
Houston Dynamo
26 13 5 8 +4 44
3
St. Louis City
26 12 8 6 +9 44
4
FC Dallas
26 12 8 6 +7 44
5
San Jose Earthquakes
26 12 6 8 +8 42
6
Los Angeles FC
27 11 8 8 +14 41
7
Colorado Rapids
26 11 3 12 +1 36
8
Los Angeles Galaxy
27 8 9 10 -8 33
9
Portland Timbers
26 9 5 12 -1 32
10
Seattle Sounders
25 8 8 9 -3 32
11
San Diego
26 8 7 11 0 31
12
Austin
26 7 9 10 -12 30
13
Real Salt Lake
26 8 5 13 -7 29
14
Minnesota United FC
26 7 8 11 -7 29
15
Sporting Kansas City
25 5 3 17 -34 18

Minnesota United FC

Formation: 3-4-1-2 Coach: C. Knowles
12 Callender
23 Duggan
15 Boxall
28 Díaz
13 Markanich
30 Gene
20 Trapp
3 Duncan
26 Pereyra
9 Yeboah
22 Caldeira

Starting XI

# Player Pos
12 D. Callender G
28 J. Díaz D
15 M. Boxall D
23 M. Duggan D
3 K. Duncan M
20 W. Trapp M
30 O. Gene M
13 A. Markanich M
26 J. Pereyra M
22 Marcus Caldeira F
9 K. Yeboah F

Substitutes

1 A. Smir G
11 M. Malone F
16 A. Jackson M
5 N. Romero D
67 C. Harvey M
18 M. Gonzalez F
33 K. Chandler D
8 T. Chancalay F
25 N. Triantis D

Portland Timbers

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Martí Cifuentes
41 Pantemis
27 Fory
4 Miller
20 Surman
15 Miller
10 Costa
30 Caicedo
17 Bassett
99 Velde
14 Janssen
7 Lassiter

Starting XI

# Player Pos
41 J. Pantemis G
15 E. Miller D
20 F. Surman D
4 K. Miller D
27 J. Fory D
17 C. Bassett M
30 J. Caicedo M
10 David Pereira da Costa M
7 A. Lassiter F
14 V. Janssen F
99 K. Velde F

Substitutes

11 Antony F
6 A. Bonetig D
21 D. Chará M
22 O. Fernandez F
88 Andrew Guerra F
80 J. Ortiz M
23 Ian Smith D
26 H. Sulte G
2 J. Waterman D

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