Inter Miami vs Atlanta United FC Prediction

Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 23

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Inter Miami

Home

2 : 2

HT 2 - 1

Atlanta United FC

Away

AI call Inter Miami to win or draw

70%

17%

13%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Inter Miami vs Atlanta United FC prediction: Sportiko gives Inter Miami a 70% chance of winning, Atlanta United FC 13% and the draw 17%. Last updated 6 Sep 2026, 03:08.

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5 73%
1st Half Over 0.5 72%
Home 2H Over 0.5 71%

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Timeline

Maximiliano Falcón Yellow Card

28' ▮

Casemiro assist: Lionel Messi

32' ⚽ 1–0

⚽ 1–1 35'

Miguel Almirón

▮ 39'

Cooper Sanchez Yellow Card

Germán Berterame Yellow Card

42' ▮

Maximiliano Falcón ⇄ Facundo Mura

45' ⇄

Luis Suárez assist: Telasco Segovia

45+1' ⚽ 2–1

HT 2–1

▮ 47'

Paulo Díaz Yellow Card

⇄ 56'

William Reilly ⇄ Steven Alzate

⇄ 57'

Cooper Sanchez

Fricio Caicedo Yellow Card

58' ▮

Dayne St. Clair Yellow Card

62' ▮

⇄ 66'

Tomás Jacob ⇄ Matthew Edwards

Telasco Segovia ⇄ Alexander Shaw

69' ⇄

🖵 71'

Miguel Almirón Penalty confirmed

Casemiro Yellow Card

72' ▮

✗ 73'

Miguel Almirón Missed Penalty

Rodrigo De Paul Yellow Card

75' ▮

Luis Suárez ⇄ Mateo Silvetti

84' ⇄

⇄ 85'

Tristan Muyumba ⇄ Fafà Picault

⚽ 2–2 87'

Breel Embolo Penalty

▮ 90+5'

Matthew Edwards Yellow Card

Mateo Silvetti ⇄ Daniel Pinter

90+6' ⇄

FT 2–2

Inter Miami

Match Stats

Atlanta United FC

44% Ball Possession 56%

9 Total Shots 15

3 Shots on Goal 5

2 Shots off Goal 9

4 Blocked Shots 1

6 Shots insidebox 11

3 Shots outsidebox 4

6 Corner Kicks 6

2 Offsides 2

15 Fouls 16

6 Yellow Cards 3

0 Red Cards 0

4 Goalkeeper Saves 1

502 Total passes 509

446 Passes accurate 437

16 Free Kicks 13

Inter Miami

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
9 Luis Suárez F	8.0	84'	1	–	1	26 (21%)	–
5 Casemiro D	7.3	90'	1	–	1	72 (66%)	–
8 Telasco Segovia M	7.2	69'	–	1	–	37 (33%)	4
10 Lionel Messi F	6.8	90'	–	1	4	38 (33%)	–
97 Dayne St. Clair G	6.7	90'	–	–	–	32 (25%)	–
4 Facundo Mura D	6.7	44'	–	–	–	20 (19%)	4
42 Yannick Bright M	6.6	90'	–	–	–	72 (66%)	3
17 Ian Fray D	6.5	90'	–	–	–	24 (21%)	4
24 Mateo Silvetti F	6.5	12'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	–
7 Rodrigo De Paul M	6.3	90'	–	–	–	55 (48%)	1
19 Germán Berterame F	6.2	90'	–	–	–	15 (9%)	–
88 Alexander Shaw M	6.1	21'	–	–	–	15 (12%)	–
37 Maximiliano Falcón D	6.0	46'	–	–	–	37 (37%)	1
15 Fricio Caicedo D	5.9	90'	–	–	–	52 (49%)	1

Atlanta United FC

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
10 Miguel Almirón M	7.7	90'	1	–	3	38 (29%)	1
36 Breel Embolo F	7.4	90'	1	–	3	19 (16%)	–
6 Junior Alonso D	7.0	90'	–	–	–	53 (46%)	6
Seamus Maughan	6.9	33'	–	–	3	27 (26%)	1
7 Steven Alzate M	6.7	34'	–	–	–	34 (31%)	1
22 Fafà Picault F	6.6	5'	–	–	–	7 (5%)	1
1 Lucas Hoyos G	6.5	90'	–	–	–	23 (20%)	–
8 Tristan Muyumba M	6.3	85'	–	–	2	46 (42%)	2
3 Elías Báez D	6.2	90'	–	–	–	54 (45%)	1
59 Aleksey Miranchuk M	6.1	90'	–	–	3	56 (47%)	–
27 Paulo Díaz D	6.1	90'	–	–	1	56 (48%)	1
55 Tomás Jacob D	6.0	66'	–	–	–	23 (19%)	1
28 William Reilly M	5.9	56'	–	–	–	30 (24%)	3
48 Cooper Sanchez M	5.8	57'	–	–	–	24 (20%)	–
47 Matthew Edwards D	5.7	24'	–	–	–	19 (19%)	–

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Confidence Medium (70%)

At a glance

Our lean

Inter Miami to win or draw

Most likely score

2:0 · 11.6%

Both teams to score

52%

Over 2.5 goals

59%

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Inter Miami

DWDDD

Atlanta United FC

WDLDL

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

70%

45%

Draw

17%

45%

Away

13%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Atlanta United FC goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	6	3	2
1	9	10	4	1
2	12	10	4	1
3	9	7	3	1
4	5	4	2	1
5	2	2	1

↑ Inter Miami goals · most likely 2–0 (11.6%)

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Players in form

Inter Miami

L. Messi 20 gls

L. Suárez 12 gls

Atlanta United FC

No scorer data.

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Match Result

Home Win

70%

Draw

17%

Away Win

13%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

18%

1.5

82%

41%

2.5

59%

64%

3.5

36%

82%

4.5

18%

93%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

70%

Draw

17%

Away Win

13%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

84% Home (No Draw) 16% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

43% Home Win by 2+ 4% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

66% Home Scores More 21% Equal Goals 12% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

18%

1.5

82%

41%

2.5

59%

64%

3.5

36%

82%

4.5

18%

93%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Exact Goals

12%

23%

18%

11%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.8%	2.9%	1.7%	0.5%	0.1%
1	9.3%	10.1%	3.9%	1.1%	0.2%
2	11.6%	10.0%	4.3%	1.2%	0.3%
3	8.6%	7.4%	3.2%	0.9%	0.2%
4	4.8%	4.1%	1.8%	0.5%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

28%

33%

24%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

46%

1.5

54%

74%

2.5

26%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

19%

27%

28%

16%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Inter Miami	Draw	Atlanta United FC
Inter Miami	45.2%	3.6%	1.1%
Draw	20.5%	12.8%	5.4%
Atlanta United FC	2.6%	2.9%	6.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

36%

1.5

64%

63%

2.5

37%

84%

3.5

16%

Home Exact Goals

11%

25%

27%

20%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

74%

1.5

26%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

79%

1.5

21%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

42%

36%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

71%

0.5

29%

95%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Inter Miami vs Atlanta United FC

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Inter Miami — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H San Diego	D	2 - 2
17 Sep	H Cruz Azul	W	2 - 0
12 Sep	H Nashville SC	D	2 - 2
10 Sep	A Chicago Fire	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	H Atlanta United FC	D	2 - 2

Atlanta United FC — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Portland Timbers	W	0 - 1
12 Sep	A DC United	D	0 - 0
09 Sep	H Orlando City SC	L	2 - 3
05 Sep	A Inter Miami	D	2 - 2
29 Aug	H Charlotte	L	0 - 2

Major League Soccer Standings

Eastern Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	26	17	6	3	53	21	+32	57
2	New England Revolution	26	14	4	8	45	33	+12	46
3	Inter Miami	26	12	10	4	63	48	+15	46
4	Charlotte	26	12	7	7	47	37	+10	43
5	Chicago Fire	25	11	6	8	45	38	+7	39
6	Philadelphia Union	26	10	6	10	50	42	+8	36
7	Orlando City SC	26	10	4	12	46	60	-14	34
8	New York Red Bulls	26	9	6	11	34	48	-14	33
9	FC Cincinnati	25	8	9	8	54	61	-7	33
10	New York City FC	26	8	8	10	39	34	+5	32
11	DC United	25	6	11	8	31	39	-8	29
12	Toronto FC	26	6	11	9	39	49	-10	29
13	Columbus Crew	26	7	5	14	37	42	-5	26
14	Atlanta United FC	26	7	5	14	30	43	-13	26
15	CF Montreal	26	5	6	15	31	53	-22	21

Western Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	25	15	4	6	56	23	+33	49
2	Houston Dynamo	26	13	5	8	34	30	+4	44
3	St. Louis City	26	12	8	6	45	36	+9	44
4	FC Dallas	26	12	8	6	49	42	+7	44
5	San Jose Earthquakes	26	12	6	8	46	38	+8	42
6	Los Angeles FC	27	11	8	8	43	29	+14	41
7	Colorado Rapids	26	11	3	12	36	35	+1	36
8	Los Angeles Galaxy	27	8	9	10	34	42	-8	33
9	Portland Timbers	26	9	5	12	47	48	-1	32
10	Seattle Sounders	25	8	8	9	30	33	-3	32
11	San Diego	26	8	7	11	44	44	0	31
12	Austin	26	7	9	10	32	44	-12	30
13	Real Salt Lake	26	8	5	13	37	44	-7	29
14	Minnesota United FC	26	7	8	11	39	46	-7	29
15	Sporting Kansas City	25	5	3	17	29	63	-34	18