Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction

Major League Soccer Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 22
FT
Post on X
AI call Difficult Houston Dynamo win or draw
61%
23%
16%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes prediction: Sportiko gives Houston Dynamo a 61% chance of winning, San Jose Earthquakes 16% and the draw 23%. Last updated 30 Aug 2026, 02:41.

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Timeline

HT 0–0
▮ 58'
Reid Roberts Yellow Card
Franco Negri ⇄ Ibrahim Aliyu
61' ⇄
⇄ 69'
Dave Romney ⇄ Max Floriani
⇄ 73'
Paul Marie ⇄ Preston Judd
⇄ 73'
Beau Leroux ⇄ Nick Fernandez
Héctor Herrera ⇄ Duncan McGuire
75' ⇄
⇄ 82'
Jamar Ricketts ⇄ Jack Jasinski
Felipe Andrade ⇄ Duane Holmes
83' ⇄
⇄ 90+1'
Eduard Löwen ⇄ Vitor Costa
Jack McGlynn ⇄ Agustín Bouzat
90+1' ⇄
⇄ 90+1'
Niko Tsakiris ⇄ Ian Harkes
FT 0–0
Houston Dynamo

Match Stats

San Jose Earthquakes
43% Ball Possession 57%
0.65 Expected Goals (xG) 1.12
8 Total Shots 10
0 Shots on Goal 4
5 Shots off Goal 1
3 Blocked Shots 5
4 Shots insidebox 5
4 Shots outsidebox 5
6 Corner Kicks 4
1 Offsides 0
8 Fouls 9
0 Yellow Cards 1
Red Cards
4 Goalkeeper Saves 0
374 Total passes 507
313 Passes accurate 452
84% Passes % 89%
0.00 goals_prevented 0.00
Houston Dynamo
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
31 Jonathan Bond G 8.3 97' – – – 28 (23%) –
3 Antônio Carlos D 7.2 97' – – 1 38 (35%) 1
11 Lawrence Ennali M 6.9 97' – – 1 19 (14%) 1
16 Héctor Herrera M 6.9 75' – – – 32 (28%) 1
19 Mateusz Bogusz F 6.7 97' – – – 16 (14%) –
8 Jack McGlynn M 6.7 91' – – 1 55 (45%) –
6 Artur M 6.6 97' – – – 46 (42%) 1
21 Franco Negri D 6.6 61' – – – 13 (12%) –
14 Duane Holmes M 6.6 14' – – – 6 (4%) 1
36 Felipe Andrade D 6.5 83' – – 1 27 (19%) 1
34 Agustin Resch D 6.5 97' – – – 44 (36%) 2
23 Duncan McGuire F 6.5 22' – – – 2 (2%) –
24 Ibrahim Aliyu F 6.5 36' – – – 5 (4%) –
20 Guilherme M 6.3 97' – – 1 41 (35%) –
30 Agustín Bouzat M — 6' – – – 2 –
San Jose Earthquakes
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
5 Daniel Munie D 7.3 97' – – – 62 (60%) 2
34 Beau Leroux M 7.3 73' – – – 40 (37%) –
14 Ronaldo Vieira M 7.3 97' – – – 62 (60%) 4
4 Dave Romney D 7.3 69' – – – 60 (55%) –
2 Jamar Ricketts M 7.0 82' – – – 17 (15%) 2
18 Reid Roberts D 6.9 97' – – 1 55 (51%) 4
7 Ousseni Bouda F 6.9 97' – – 1 26 (19%) 1
20 Nick Fernandez M 6.9 24' – – 1 8 (7%) –
19 Preston Judd F 6.9 24' – – – 6 (6%) –
10 Niko Tsakiris F 6.9 91' – – 1 54 (46%) 2
17 Jack Jasinski D 6.7 15' – – – 10 (9%) 1
1 Angus Gunn G 6.6 97' – – – 24 (19%) –
23 Eduard Löwen F 6.6 91' – – 1 35 (31%) –
25 Max Floriani D 6.6 28' – – – 13 (13%) 1
3 Paul Marie M 6.3 73' – – – 27 (19%) 2
6 Ian Harkes M — 6' – – – 6 (3%) –
87 Vitor Costa D — 6' – – – 2 (2%) –
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Confidence Medium (61%)

At a glance

Our lean
Difficult Houston Dynamo win or draw
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Houston Dynamo
LLWDD
San Jose Earthquakes
LWDLD
Last 3 meetings Houston Dynamo · 2W 0D 1L
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
61%
45%
Draw
23%
45%
Away
16%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Houston Dynamo
Guilherme 16 gls
San Jose Earthquakes
P. Judd 17 gls

AI match tools

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Head to Head: Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes

2 Houston Dynamo Wins
0 Draws
1 San Jose Earthquakes Wins
Date Home Score Away
13 Sep 2026 San Jose Earthquakes 1 - 0 Houston Dynamo
30 Mar 2013 Houston Dynamo 2 - 0 San Jose Earthquakes
17 Mar 2012 San Jose Earthquakes 0 - 1 Houston Dynamo

Houston Dynamo — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
08 Nov H St. Louis City L 0 - 1
02 Nov A Portland Timbers L 3 - 1
29 Oct A Seattle Sounders W 0 - 1
25 Oct H Minnesota United FC D 0 - 0
18 Oct H FC Dallas D 2 - 2

San Jose Earthquakes — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
08 Nov A Minnesota United FC L 3 - 1
31 Oct H Real Salt Lake W 2 - 1
29 Oct H Colorado Rapids D 2 - 2
25 Oct A FC Dallas L 3 - 0
18 Oct H Nashville SC D 1 - 1

Major League Soccer Standings

Eastern Conference

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Nashville SC
34 23 8 3 +46 77
2
Inter Miami
34 16 12 6 +21 60
3
New England Revolution
34 18 4 12 +8 58
4
Chicago Fire
34 16 7 11 +10 55
5
Charlotte
34 15 9 10 +15 54
6
Philadelphia Union
34 14 8 12 +14 50
7
Columbus Crew
34 14 5 15 +7 47
8
Orlando City SC
34 13 7 14 -15 46
9
FC Cincinnati
34 12 10 12 -8 46
10
New York Red Bulls
34 12 6 16 -14 42
11
New York City FC
34 10 12 12 +4 42
12
Toronto FC
34 9 12 13 -15 39
13
Atlanta United FC
34 9 6 19 -17 33
14
DC United
34 7 12 15 -22 33
15
CF Montreal
34 6 8 20 -32 26

Western Conference

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Vancouver Whitecaps
34 19 7 8 +40 64
2
FC Dallas
34 16 10 8 +11 58
3
St. Louis City
34 15 9 10 +11 54
4
San Jose Earthquakes
34 14 10 10 +6 52
5
Houston Dynamo
34 14 9 11 0 51
6
Los Angeles FC
34 12 11 11 +12 47
7
Portland Timbers
34 13 7 14 +1 46
8
Seattle Sounders
34 12 10 12 -2 46
9
Real Salt Lake
34 13 6 15 +1 45
10
Minnesota United FC
34 11 11 12 -2 44
11
Los Angeles Galaxy
34 11 11 12 -7 44
12
Colorado Rapids
34 12 7 15 -3 43
13
San Diego
34 9 11 14 -6 38
14
Austin
34 8 10 16 -23 34
15
Sporting Kansas City
34 7 5 22 -41 26

San Jose Earthquakes

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: B. Arena
1 Gunn
18 Roberts
4 Romney
5 Munie
2 Ricketts
34 Leroux
14 Vieira
3 Marie
23 Löwen
10 Tsakiris
7 Bouda

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Angus Gunn G
5 Daniel Munie D
4 Dave Romney D
18 Reid Roberts D
3 Paul Marie M
14 Ronaldo Vieira M
34 Beau Leroux M
2 Jamar Ricketts M
10 Niko Tsakiris F
23 Eduard Löwen F
7 Ousseni Bouda F

Substitutes

25 Max Floriani D
20 Nick Fernandez M
19 Preston Judd F
17 Jack Jasinski D
31 Francesco Montali G
87 Vitor Costa D
6 Ian Harkes M
16 Jack Skahan M
9 Luka Jovanovic F

Houston Dynamo

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Ben Olsen
31 Bond
21 Negri
34 Resch
3 Carlos
36 Andrade
16 Herrera
6 Artur
20 Guilherme
8 McGlynn
11 Ennali
19 Bogusz

Starting XI

# Player Pos
31 Jonathan Bond G
36 Felipe Andrade D
3 Antônio Carlos D
34 Agustin Resch D
21 Franco Negri D
6 Artur M
16 Héctor Herrera M
11 Lawrence Ennali M
8 Jack McGlynn M
20 Guilherme M
19 Mateusz Bogusz F

Substitutes

24 Ibrahim Aliyu F
23 Duncan McGuire F
14 Duane Holmes M
26 Blake Gillingham G
13 Sam Vines D
28 Erik Sviatchenko D
18 Diadié Samassékou M
30 Agustín Bouzat M
17 Nick Markanich F

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