Atlanta United FC vs Charlotte Prediction

Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 22

Post on X

Atlanta United FC

Home

0 : 2

HT 0 - 1

Charlotte

Away

AI call Charlotte or draw

34%

27%

39%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Atlanta United FC vs Charlotte prediction: Sportiko gives Atlanta United FC a 34% chance of winning, Charlotte 39% and the draw 27%. Last updated 30 Aug 2026, 01:39.

Premium picks

Premium

Under 3.5 Goals 73%

Premium members had these picks before kick-off. See Premium picks

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 22'

Idan Toklomati

▮ 45+3'

Djibril Diani Yellow Card

HT 0–1

⚽ 0–2 48'

Liel Abada

William Reilly ⇄ Adrian Gill

64' ⇄

Matthew Edwards ⇄ Ronald Hernández

64' ⇄

Fafà Picault ⇄ Sergio Santos

64' ⇄

Tristan Muyumba ⇄ Steven Alzate

64' ⇄

Miguel Almirón ⇄ Enzo Dovlo

70' ⇄

⇄ 77'

Ashley Westwood ⇄ Brandt Bronico

⇄ 77'

Allan Saint-Maximin ⇄ Rodolfo Aloko

⇄ 77'

Idan Toklomati ⇄ Archie Goodwin

Adrian Gill Yellow Card

85' ▮

⇄ 85'

David Schnegg ⇄ Nathan Byrne

⇄ 89'

Pep Biel ⇄ Luca De La Torre

FT 0–2

Atlanta United FC

Match Stats

Charlotte

58% Ball Possession 42%

0.77 Expected Goals (xG) 1.67

16 Total Shots 13

2 Shots on Goal 5

3 Shots off Goal 3

11 Blocked Shots 5

5 Shots insidebox 10

11 Shots outsidebox 3

8 Corner Kicks 7

1 Offsides 3

8 Fouls 4

1 Yellow Cards 1

Red Cards

3 Goalkeeper Saves 2

581 Total passes 412

538 Passes accurate 362

93% Passes % 88%

0.09 goals_prevented 0.09

Atlanta United FC

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
59 Aleksey Miranchuk F	7.3	93'	–	–	–	52 (49%)	–
16 Adrian Gill M	7.2	29'	–	–	1	19 (19%)	–
1 Lucas Hoyos G	7.0	93'	–	–	–	33 (32%)	–
47 Matthew Edwards D	6.9	64'	–	–	–	34 (31%)	3
28 William Reilly M	6.9	64'	–	–	–	54 (52%)	1
67 Enzo Dovlo F	6.9	23'	–	–	1	7 (5%)	2
48 Cooper Sanchez M	6.7	93'	–	–	–	49 (47%)	1
8 Tristan Muyumba M	6.7	64'	–	–	2	49 (45%)	–
27 Paulo Díaz D	6.6	93'	–	–	–	83 (77%)	2
2 Ronald Hernández D	6.5	29'	–	–	–	12 (10%)	–
19 Sergio Santos F	6.5	29'	–	–	–	5 (4%)	–
10 Miguel Almirón F	6.3	70'	–	–	–	21 (19%)	–
55 Tomás Jacob D	6.3	93'	–	–	–	40 (37%)	1
22 Fafà Picault F	6.3	64'	–	–	–	25 (21%)	1
7 Steven Alzate M	6.3	29'	–	–	1	18 (16%)	1
6 Junior Alonso D	6.2	93'	–	–	–	80 (74%)	1

Charlotte

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
22 Henry Kessler D	7.7	93'	–	–	–	69 (63%)	1
9 Idan Toklomati F	7.5	77'	1	–	4	13 (11%)	2
10 Allan Saint-Maximin F	7.5	77'	–	1	–	27 (22%)	–
3 Tim Ream D	7.3	93'	–	–	–	50 (49%)	–
1 Kristijan Kahlina G	7.3	93'	–	–	–	23 (21%)	–
16 Pep Biel M	7.3	90'	–	1	–	27 (25%)	–
23 David Schnegg D	7.3	85'	–	–	1	45 (33%)	1
11 Liel Abada F	7.0	93'	1	–	2	26 (19%)	1
7 Archie Goodwin F	7.0	16'	–	–	–	2 (1%)	–
35 Will Cleary D	6.9	93'	–	–	–	39 (32%)	–
8 Ashley Westwood M	6.9	77'	–	–	–	47 (45%)	1
14 Nathan Byrne D	6.7	8'	–	–	–	–	–
13 Brandt Bronico M	6.6	16'	–	–	–	10 (9%)	1
37 Rodolfo Aloko F	6.6	16'	–	–	–	–	3
28 Djibril Diani M	6.3	93'	–	–	1	34 (32%)	–
17 Luca De La Torre M	—	3'	–	–	–	–	–

Premium

Unlock the AI's full read on Atlanta United FC vs Charlotte

All 70+ probability markets
AI Deep-Dive match report
Value Edge — model vs market
Pick types you choose

Go Premium

Confidence Low (39%)

At a glance

Our lean

Charlotte or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.8%

Both teams to score

54%

Over 2.5 goals

49%

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Atlanta United FC

WDLDL

Charlotte

WDWDW

Last 2 meetings Atlanta United FC · 1W 1D 0L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

34%

10%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

39%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Charlotte goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	9	9	8	4	2
1	6	14	9	5	2	1
2	5	7	5	3	1
3	2	3	2	1
4		1	1
5

↑ Atlanta United FC goals · most likely 1–1 (13.8%)

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

Why this pick? · Premium AI Deep-Dive · Premium

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.

Unlock all models

Match Result

Away Win

39%

Home Win

34%

Draw

27%

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

24%

1.5

76%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

88%

4.5

12%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Home or Draw

Premium

Match Result

Away Win

39%

Home Win

34%

Draw

27%

Double Chance

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Home or Draw

Premium

Winner

62% Away (No Draw) 38% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

23% Away Win by 2+ 11% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

44% Away Scores More 29% Equal Goals 27% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

24%

1.5

76%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

88%

4.5

12%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Exact Goals

16%

27%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

Premium

2-4 Goals

Premium

2-3 Goals

Premium

3-5 Goals

Premium

1-2 Goals

Premium

4-6 Goals

Premium

Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

Premium

BTTS & Under 3.5

Premium

BTTS & Over 3.5

Premium

Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Home Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Home Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Draw & Over 2.5

Premium

Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

Premium

Home/Away & Over 2.5

Premium

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

Premium

Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.7%	9.2%	8.2%	4.2%	1.6%
1	6.4%	13.8%	9.3%	4.7%	1.8%
2	4.5%	6.9%	5.2%	2.7%	1.0%
3	1.7%	2.6%	2.0%	1.0%	0.4%
4	0.5%	0.7%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

Premium

1st Half Away Win

Premium

1st Half Home Win

Premium

1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

Premium

1st Half Home or Draw

Premium

1st Half Home or Away

Premium

1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

68%

1.5

32%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

Premium

1h Exact Goals

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

Premium

2nd Half Away Win

Premium

2nd Half Home Win

Premium

2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

Premium

2nd Half Home or Draw

Premium

2nd Half Home or Away

Premium

2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

54%

1.5

46%

80%

2.5

20%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

Premium

2h Exact Goals

23%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Atlanta United FC	Draw	Charlotte
Atlanta United FC	14.6%	4.2%	2.3%
Draw	11.2%	18.0%	16.5%
Charlotte	1.8%	4.5%	26.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

32%

37%

21%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

94%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

22%

33%

25%

13%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

79%

1.5

21%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

Premium

Home +2 Win

Premium

Away +1 Win

Premium

Home +1 Win

Premium

Away -1 Win

Premium

Away -1 Draw

Premium

Home -1 Draw

Premium

Away -2 Draw

Premium

Home -1 Win

Premium

Away -2 Win

Premium

Home -2 Draw

Premium

Home -2 Win

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Head to Head: Atlanta United FC vs Charlotte

1 Atlanta United FC Wins

1 Draws

0 Charlotte Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
23 Jul 2026	Charlotte	2 - 2	Atlanta United FC
28 Apr 2026	Charlotte	0 - 2	Atlanta United FC

Atlanta United FC — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Portland Timbers	W	0 - 1
12 Sep	A DC United	D	0 - 0
09 Sep	H Orlando City SC	L	2 - 3
05 Sep	A Inter Miami	D	2 - 2
29 Aug	H Charlotte	L	0 - 2

Charlotte — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A DC United	W	1 - 2
12 Sep	A FC Cincinnati	D	3 - 3
09 Sep	A CF Montreal	W	1 - 2
05 Sep	H Houston Dynamo	D	0 - 0
29 Aug	A Atlanta United FC	W	0 - 2

Major League Soccer Standings

Eastern Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	26	17	6	3	53	21	+32	57
2	New England Revolution	26	14	4	8	45	33	+12	46
3	Inter Miami	26	12	10	4	63	48	+15	46
4	Charlotte	26	12	7	7	47	37	+10	43
5	Chicago Fire	25	11	6	8	45	38	+7	39
6	Philadelphia Union	26	10	6	10	50	42	+8	36
7	Orlando City SC	26	10	4	12	46	60	-14	34
8	New York Red Bulls	26	9	6	11	34	48	-14	33
9	FC Cincinnati	25	8	9	8	54	61	-7	33
10	New York City FC	26	8	8	10	39	34	+5	32
11	DC United	25	6	11	8	31	39	-8	29
12	Toronto FC	26	6	11	9	39	49	-10	29
13	Columbus Crew	26	7	5	14	37	42	-5	26
14	Atlanta United FC	26	7	5	14	30	43	-13	26
15	CF Montreal	26	5	6	15	31	53	-22	21

Western Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	25	15	4	6	56	23	+33	49
2	Houston Dynamo	26	13	5	8	34	30	+4	44
3	St. Louis City	26	12	8	6	45	36	+9	44
4	FC Dallas	26	12	8	6	49	42	+7	44
5	San Jose Earthquakes	26	12	6	8	46	38	+8	42
6	Los Angeles FC	27	11	8	8	43	29	+14	41
7	Colorado Rapids	26	11	3	12	36	35	+1	36
8	Los Angeles Galaxy	27	8	9	10	34	42	-8	33
9	Portland Timbers	26	9	5	12	47	48	-1	32
10	Seattle Sounders	25	8	8	9	30	33	-3	32
11	San Diego	26	8	7	11	44	44	0	31
12	Austin	26	7	9	10	32	44	-12	30
13	Real Salt Lake	26	8	5	13	37	44	-7	29
14	Minnesota United FC	26	7	8	11	39	46	-7	29
15	Sporting Kansas City	25	5	3	17	29	63	-34	18

Atlanta United FC

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Gerardo Martino

1 Hoyos

47 Edwards

6 Alonso

27 Díaz

55 Jacob

8 Muyumba

28 Reilly

48 Sanchez

10 Almirón

22 Picault

59 Miranchuk

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Lucas Hoyos	G
55	Tomás Jacob	D
27	Paulo Díaz	D
6	Junior Alonso	D
47	Matthew Edwards	D
48	Cooper Sanchez	M
28	William Reilly	M
8	Tristan Muyumba	M
59	Aleksey Miranchuk	F
22	Fafà Picault	F
10	Miguel Almirón	F

Substitutes

42	Jayden Hibbert	G
2	Ronald Hernández	D
4	Enea Mihaj	D
16	Adrian Gill	M
67	Enzo Dovlo	F
7	Steven Alzate	M
30	Cayman Togashi	F
19	Sergio Santos	F
78	Andrew Jardines	M

Charlotte

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Dean Smith

1 Kahlina

23 Schnegg

3 Ream

22 Kessler

35 Cleary

28 Diani

8 Westwood

16 Biel

10 Saint-Maximin

9 Toklomati

11 Abada

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Kristijan Kahlina	G
35	Will Cleary	D
22	Henry Kessler	D
3	Tim Ream	D
23	David Schnegg	D
16	Pep Biel	M
8	Ashley Westwood	M
28	Djibril Diani	M
11	Liel Abada	F
9	Idan Toklomati	F
10	Allan Saint-Maximin	F

Substitutes

21	Tyler Miller	G
44	Morrison Agyemang	D
14	Nathan Byrne	D
4	Andrew Privett	D
17	Luca De La Torre	M
13	Brandt Bronico	M
7	Archie Goodwin	F
25	Tyger Smalls	F
37	Rodolfo Aloko	F