Inter Miami vs CF Montreal Prediction

Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 22

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Inter Miami

Home

7 : 1

HT 2 - 1

CF Montreal

Away

AI call Inter Miami to win or draw

67%

19%

14%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Inter Miami vs CF Montreal prediction: Sportiko gives Inter Miami a 67% chance of winning, CF Montreal 14% and the draw 19%. Last updated 30 Aug 2026, 01:39.

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Timeline

Ian Fray Yellow Card

11' ▮

Casemiro assist: Telasco Segovia

20' ⚽ 1–0

▮ 35'

Fabian Herbers Yellow Card

⚽ 1–1 37'

Fabian Herbers

▮ 39'

Yellow Card

Luca Petrasso Own Goal

40' ⚽ 2–1

HT 2–1

Lionel Messi

52' ⚽ 3–1

⇄ 59'

Samuel Piette ⇄ Daniel Pereira

⇄ 60'

Hennadii Synchuk ⇄ Dante Sealy

⇄ 60'

Fabian Herbers ⇄ Alexis Sánchez

Telasco Segovia ⇄ Alexander Shaw

76' ⇄

Luis Suárez assist: Lionel Messi

80' ⚽ 4–1

Lionel Messi assist: Rodrigo De Paul

83' ⚽ 5–1

⇄ 84'

Jalen Neal ⇄ Brandan Craig

⇄ 84'

⇄ Wikelman Carmona

Ian Fray ⇄ Facundo Mura

86' ⇄

Noah Allen ⇄ Ezequiel Abadia-Reda

86' ⇄

Alexander Shaw

89' ⚽ 6–1

Lionel Messi

90+6' ⚽ 7–1

FT 7–1

Inter Miami

Match Stats

CF Montreal

57% Ball Possession 43%

2.87 Expected Goals (xG) 0.86

20 Total Shots 10

11 Shots on Goal 5

4 Shots off Goal 3

5 Blocked Shots 2

13 Shots insidebox 8

7 Shots outsidebox 2

6 Corner Kicks 6

Offsides

10 Fouls 11

1 Yellow Cards 2

Red Cards

3 Goalkeeper Saves 5

573 Total passes 428

519 Passes accurate 379

91% Passes % 89%

-1.39 goals_prevented -1.39

Inter Miami

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
10 Lionel Messi F	10.0	96'	3	1	6	40 (36%)	–
5 Casemiro D	8.9	96'	1	–	2	81 (77%)	2
9 Luis Suárez F	7.9	96'	1	–	3	58 (47%)	1
97 Dayne St. Clair G	7.7	96'	–	–	–	29 (25%)	2
88 Alexander Shaw M	7.7	20'	1	–	1	7 (7%)	–
17 Ian Fray D	7.6	86'	–	–	–	38 (36%)	5
19 Germán Berterame F	7.6	96'	–	–	2	13 (10%)	2
42 Yannick Bright M	7.5	96'	–	–	–	83 (78%)	2
37 Maximiliano Falcón D	7.5	96'	–	–	–	67 (65%)	3
7 Rodrigo De Paul M	7.2	96'	–	1	–	68 (57%)	–
32 Noah Allen D	6.9	86'	–	–	1	35 (32%)	2
4 Facundo Mura D	6.7	10'	–	–	–	4 (3%)	–
76 Ezequiel Abadia-Reda D	6.7	10'	–	–	–	4 (4%)	2
8 Telasco Segovia M	6.6	76'	–	1	–	46 (42%)	–

CF Montreal

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
21 Fabian Herbers M	7.9	60'	1	–	2	31 (27%)	2
31 Thomas Gillier G	7.2	96'	–	–	–	17 (16%)	–
18 Hennadii Synchuk F	6.9	59'	–	–	1	15 (14%)	1
8 Matthew Longstaff M	6.7	96'	–	–	–	63 (59%)	1
6 Samuel Piette M	6.6	59'	–	–	–	38 (36%)	2
7 Daniel Pereira M	6.5	37'	–	–	1	18 (15%)	1
10 Alexis Sánchez F	6.3	36'	–	–	–	14 (12%)	–
23 Noah Streit F	6.2	84'	–	1	2	21 (17%)	–
5 Brandan Craig D	6.2	12'	–	–	–	6 (6%)	–
17 Dante Sealy M	6.2	37'	–	–	–	12 (10%)	–
16 Wikelman Carmona M	6.2	12'	–	–	–	2 (1%)	–
9 Prince Owusu F	6.0	96'	–	–	2	22 (14%)	–
2 Jalen Neal D	5.9	84'	–	–	–	47 (45%)	1
27 Dawid Bugaj D	5.0	96'	–	–	–	35 (27%)	1
4 Brayan Vera D	4.6	96'	–	–	–	38 (35%)	–
13 Luca Petrasso D	4.6	96'	–	–	–	49 (45%)	–

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Confidence Medium (67%)

At a glance

Our lean

Inter Miami to win or draw

Most likely score

1:0 · 14.5%

Both teams to score

41%

Over 2.5 goals

43%

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Inter Miami

DWDDD

CF Montreal

LWLLL

Last 1 meetings Inter Miami · 1W 0D 0L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

67%

45%

Draw

19%

45%

Away

14%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

CF Montreal goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	10	5	2
1	15	12	3	1
2	14	9	3	1
3	8	5	2
4	4	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Inter Miami goals · most likely 1–0 (14.5%)

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Players in form

Inter Miami

L. Messi 20 gls

L. Suárez 12 gls

CF Montreal

P. Owusu 13 gls

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Match Result

Home Win

67%

Draw

19%

Away Win

14%

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS No 41% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

30%

1.5

70%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

67%

Draw

19%

Away Win

14%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

83% Home (No Draw) 17% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

36% Home Win by 2+ 4% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

62% Home Scores More 26% Equal Goals 12% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

30%

1.5

70%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS No 41% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

19%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.4%	4.6%	2.0%	0.4%	0.1%
1	14.5%	11.8%	3.5%	0.8%	0.1%
2	13.9%	9.2%	3.0%	0.7%	0.1%
3	8.1%	5.3%	1.8%	0.4%	0.1%
4	3.5%	2.3%	0.8%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

68%

1.5

32%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

34%

35%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Inter Miami	Draw	CF Montreal
Inter Miami	41.5%	3.5%	0.7%
Draw	20.1%	17.3%	5.7%
CF Montreal	1.8%	3.0%	6.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

48%

1.5

52%

75%

2.5

25%

91%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

18%

31%

27%

16%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

97%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

52%

34%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

75%

0.5

25%

97%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

69%

0.5

31%

95%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Inter Miami vs CF Montreal

1 Inter Miami Wins

0 Draws

0 CF Montreal Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
25 Jul 2026	CF Montreal	0 - 1	Inter Miami

Inter Miami — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H San Diego	D	2 - 2
17 Sep	H Cruz Azul	W	2 - 0
12 Sep	H Nashville SC	D	2 - 2
10 Sep	A Chicago Fire	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	H Atlanta United FC	D	2 - 2

CF Montreal — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Columbus Crew	L	0 - 2
16 Sep	H Vancouver Whitecaps	W	2 - 1
13 Sep	A Colorado Rapids	L	1 - 0
09 Sep	H Charlotte	L	1 - 2
05 Sep	A Philadelphia Union	L	2 - 0

Major League Soccer Standings

Eastern Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	26	17	6	3	53	21	+32	57
2	New England Revolution	26	14	4	8	45	33	+12	46
3	Inter Miami	26	12	10	4	63	48	+15	46
4	Charlotte	26	12	7	7	47	37	+10	43
5	Chicago Fire	25	11	6	8	45	38	+7	39
6	Philadelphia Union	26	10	6	10	50	42	+8	36
7	Orlando City SC	26	10	4	12	46	60	-14	34
8	New York Red Bulls	26	9	6	11	34	48	-14	33
9	FC Cincinnati	25	8	9	8	54	61	-7	33
10	New York City FC	26	8	8	10	39	34	+5	32
11	DC United	25	6	11	8	31	39	-8	29
12	Toronto FC	26	6	11	9	39	49	-10	29
13	Columbus Crew	26	7	5	14	37	42	-5	26
14	Atlanta United FC	26	7	5	14	30	43	-13	26
15	CF Montreal	26	5	6	15	31	53	-22	21

Western Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	25	15	4	6	56	23	+33	49
2	Houston Dynamo	26	13	5	8	34	30	+4	44
3	St. Louis City	26	12	8	6	45	36	+9	44
4	FC Dallas	26	12	8	6	49	42	+7	44
5	San Jose Earthquakes	26	12	6	8	46	38	+8	42
6	Los Angeles FC	27	11	8	8	43	29	+14	41
7	Colorado Rapids	26	11	3	12	36	35	+1	36
8	Los Angeles Galaxy	27	8	9	10	34	42	-8	33
9	Portland Timbers	26	9	5	12	47	48	-1	32
10	San Diego	26	8	7	11	44	44	0	31
11	Austin	26	7	9	10	32	44	-12	30
12	Real Salt Lake	25	8	5	12	37	42	-5	29
13	Seattle Sounders	24	7	8	9	28	33	-5	29
14	Minnesota United FC	26	7	8	11	39	46	-7	29
15	Sporting Kansas City	25	5	3	17	29	63	-34	18

Inter Miami

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Kily Gonzalez

97 Clair

32 Allen

5 Casemiro

37 Falcón

17 Fray

8 Segovia

42 Bright

7 Paul

19 Berterame

9 Suárez

10 Messi

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
97	Dayne St. Clair	G
17	Ian Fray	D
37	Maximiliano Falcón	D
5	Casemiro	D
32	Noah Allen	D
7	Rodrigo De Paul	M
42	Yannick Bright	M
8	Telasco Segovia	M
10	Lionel Messi	F
9	Luis Suárez	F
19	Germán Berterame	F

Substitutes

34	Rocco Ríos Novo	G
4	Facundo Mura	D
15	Fricio Caicedo	D
76	Ezequiel Abadia-Reda	D
88	Alexander Shaw	M
59	Preston Plambeck	M
22	David Ayala	M
54	Lovens Delinois	F
56	Daniel Pinter	F

CF Montreal

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Philippe Eullaffroy

31 Gillier

13 Petrasso

4 Vera

2 Neal

27 Bugaj

21 Herbers

6 Piette

8 Longstaff

23 Streit

9 Owusu

18 Synchuk

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
31	Thomas Gillier	G
27	Dawid Bugaj	D
2	Jalen Neal	D
4	Brayan Vera	D
13	Luca Petrasso	D
8	Matthew Longstaff	M
6	Samuel Piette	M
21	Fabian Herbers	M
18	Hennadii Synchuk	F
9	Prince Owusu	F
23	Noah Streit	F

Substitutes

1	Sebastian Breza	G
5	Brandan Craig	D
7	Daniel Pereira	M
22	Victor Loturi	M
29	Olger Escobar	F
17	Dante Sealy	M
16	Wikelman Carmona	M
10	Alexis Sánchez	F
14	Daniel Rios	F