Austin vs Philadelphia Union Prediction

Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 21

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Austin

Home

1 : 1

HT 1 - 1

Philadelphia Union

Away

AI call Philadelphia Union or draw

32%

27%

41%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Austin vs Philadelphia Union prediction: Sportiko gives Austin a 32% chance of winning, Philadelphia Union 41% and the draw 27%. Last updated 23 Aug 2026, 03:09.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 76%
Under 3.5 Goals 74%
Away to Score 73%
Home to Score 72%

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 18'

Cavan Sullivan assist: Nathan Harriel

Brendan Hines-Ike assist: Joseph Rosales

21' ⚽ 1–1

▮ 38'

Jesus Bueno Yellow Card

▮ 41'

Neil Pierre Yellow Card

HT 1–1

⇄ 57'

Indiana Vassilev ⇄ Quinn Sullivan

⇄ 57'

Jesus Bueno ⇄ Jovan Lukić

Jorge Alastuey ⇄ Facundo Torres

63' ⇄

Christian Ramirez ⇄ Brandon Vázquez

63' ⇄

Joseph Rosales ⇄ Przemysław Płacheta

72' ⇄

Brendan Hines-Ike ⇄ Mikkel Desler

72' ⇄

⇄ 74'

Cavan Sullivan ⇄ Agustin Anello

⇄ 74'

Bruno Damiani ⇄ Ezekiel Alladoh

Jon Gallagher ⇄ Žan Kolmanič

84' ⇄

⇄ 90+3'

Milan Iloski ⇄ Alejandro Bedoya

Ervin Torres Yellow Card

90+6' ▮

FT 1–1

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Confidence Low (41%)

At a glance

Our lean

Philadelphia Union or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.3%

Both teams to score

54%

Over 2.5 goals

48%

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Austin

DWDDW

Philadelphia Union

WWWWW

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

32%

10%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

41%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Philadelphia Union goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9	8	6	3	1
1	8	14	8	4	1
2	6	8	5	2	1
3	3	4	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Austin goals · most likely 1–1 (14.3%)

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Players in form

Austin

No scorer data.

Philadelphia Union

M. Iloski 13 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

41%

Home Win

32%

Draw

27%

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

41%

Home Win

32%

Draw

27%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

50% Away (No Draw) 50% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

16% Away Win by 2+ 16% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

35% Away Scores More 35% Home Scores More 30% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Exact Goals

16%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.2%	8.2%	6.4%	2.8%	0.9%
1	8.1%	14.3%	8.2%	3.6%	1.2%
2	6.3%	8.2%	5.3%	2.3%	0.8%
3	2.7%	3.5%	2.3%	1.0%	0.3%
4	0.9%	1.1%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

68%

1.5

32%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

31%

27%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Austin	Draw	Philadelphia Union
Austin	23.6%	6.2%	3.3%
Draw	11.1%	18.4%	16.6%
Philadelphia Union	1.2%	3.0%	16.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

63%

1.5

37%

86%

2.5

14%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

28%

36%

23%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

63%

1.5

37%

86%

2.5

14%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

27%

36%

23%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

37%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Austin vs Philadelphia Union

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Austin — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A FC Dallas	D	0 - 0
13 Sep	A Vancouver Whitecaps	W	1 - 2
10 Sep	H Colorado Rapids	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	H San Jose Earthquakes	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	A Portland Timbers	W	1 - 2

Philadelphia Union — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Sporting Kansas City	W	3 - 4
14 Sep	A San Diego	W	0 - 5
09 Sep	H FC Cincinnati	W	5 - 0
05 Sep	H CF Montreal	W	2 - 0
29 Aug	A New York Red Bulls	W	1 - 3

Major League Soccer Standings

Eastern Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	26	17	6	3	53	21	+32	57
2	New England Revolution	26	14	4	8	45	33	+12	46
3	Inter Miami	26	12	10	4	63	48	+15	46
4	Charlotte	26	12	7	7	47	37	+10	43
5	Chicago Fire	25	11	6	8	45	38	+7	39
6	Philadelphia Union	26	10	6	10	50	42	+8	36
7	Orlando City SC	26	10	4	12	46	60	-14	34
8	New York Red Bulls	26	9	6	11	34	48	-14	33
9	FC Cincinnati	25	8	9	8	54	61	-7	33
10	New York City FC	26	8	8	10	39	34	+5	32
11	DC United	25	6	11	8	31	39	-8	29
12	Toronto FC	26	6	11	9	39	49	-10	29
13	Columbus Crew	26	7	5	14	37	42	-5	26
14	Atlanta United FC	26	7	5	14	30	43	-13	26
15	CF Montreal	26	5	6	15	31	53	-22	21

Western Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	25	15	4	6	56	23	+33	49
2	Houston Dynamo	26	13	5	8	34	30	+4	44
3	St. Louis City	26	12	8	6	45	36	+9	44
4	FC Dallas	26	12	8	6	49	42	+7	44
5	San Jose Earthquakes	26	12	6	8	46	38	+8	42
6	Los Angeles FC	27	11	8	8	43	29	+14	41
7	Colorado Rapids	26	11	3	12	36	35	+1	36
8	Los Angeles Galaxy	27	8	9	10	34	42	-8	33
9	Portland Timbers	26	9	5	12	47	48	-1	32
10	San Diego	26	8	7	11	44	44	0	31
11	Austin	26	7	9	10	32	44	-12	30
12	Real Salt Lake	25	8	5	12	37	42	-5	29
13	Seattle Sounders	24	7	8	9	28	33	-5	29
14	Minnesota United FC	26	7	8	11	39	46	-7	29
15	Sporting Kansas City	25	5	3	17	29	63	-34	18

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.