Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas Prediction

Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 20

Post on X

Real Salt Lake

Home

3 : 4

HT 1 - 3

FC Dallas

Away

AI call Real Salt Lake or draw

44%

26%

29%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas prediction: Sportiko gives Real Salt Lake a 44% chance of winning, FC Dallas 29% and the draw 26%. Last updated 20 Aug 2026, 03:37.

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Home to Score 76%
Away to Score 75%
1st Half Over 0.5 74%
2nd Half Over 0.5 73%

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 16'

Joaquín Valiente assist: Ramiro

⚽ 0–2 20'

Petar Musa assist: Joaquín Valiente

▮ 37'

Nolan Norris Yellow Card

Sergi Solans assist: Diego Luna

38' ⚽ 1–2

▮ 43'

Shaq Moore Yellow Card

⚽ 1–3 45'

Petar Musa assist: Joaquín Valiente

HT 1–3

⇄ 46'

Petar Musa ⇄ Logan Farrington

⇄ 46'

Santiago Moreno ⇄ Ran Binyamin

Juan Jose Arias ⇄ Saba Lobzhanidze

46' ⇄

Morgan Guilavogui assist: Noel Caliskan

50' ⚽ 2–3

⇄ 56'

Kaick ⇄ Christian Cappis

Diego Luna Yellow Card

61' ▮

Stijn Spierings ⇄ Pablo Ruíz

63' ⇄

Diego Luna assist: Saba Lobzhanidze

64' ⚽ 3–3

⇄ 69'

Herman Johansson ⇄ Sebastien Ibeagha

DeAndre Yedlin Yellow Card

75' ▮

Morgan Guilavogui ⇄ Lineker Rodrigues

79' ⇄

Sergi Solans ⇄ Victor Olatunji

79' ⇄

⇄ 84'

Bernard Kamungo ⇄ Sam Sarver

Pablo Ruíz Yellow Card

90' ▮

⚽ 3–4 90'

Ran Binyamin assist: Ramiro

▮ 90+3'

Ran Binyamin Yellow Card

FT 3–4

Real Salt Lake

Match Stats

FC Dallas

58% Ball Possession 42%

1.67 Expected Goals (xG) 1.72

14 Total Shots 12

7 Shots on Goal 5

5 Shots off Goal 6

2 Blocked Shots 1

9 Shots insidebox 6

5 Shots outsidebox 6

6 Corner Kicks 3

0 Offsides 1

10 Fouls 13

3 Yellow Cards 2

Red Cards

1 Goalkeeper Saves 4

547 Total passes 397

465 Passes accurate 314

85% Passes % 79%

0.12 goals_prevented 0.12

Real Salt Lake

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
10 Diego Luna F	8.6	93'	1	1	3	52 (45%)	–
9 Morgan Guilavogui F	8.2	79'	1	–	1	49 (34%)	–
22 Sergi Solans F	7.6	79'	1	–	4	11 (9%)	1
92 Noel Caliskan M	7.5	93'	–	1	2	76 (69%)	–
6 Stijn Spierings M	7.2	63'	–	–	–	62 (55%)	2
8 Juan Sanabria M	7.0	93'	–	–	–	35 (31%)	2
12 Saba Lobzhanidze M	6.7	48'	–	1	–	11 (7%)	–
7 Pablo Ruíz M	6.6	30'	–	–	1	19 (16%)	2
70 Lineker Rodrigues F	6.5	14'	–	–	–	4 (3%)	–
2 DeAndre Yedlin M	6.2	93'	–	–	1	33 (31%)	–
17 Victor Olatunji F	6.2	14'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	–
26 Philip Quinton D	6.0	93'	–	–	–	56 (51%)	–
21 Juan Jose Arias D	6.0	45'	–	–	–	34 (29%)	–
4 Lukas Engel D	5.9	93'	–	–	–	69 (55%)	1
1 Rafael Cabral G	5.6	93'	–	–	–	33 (27%)	–

FC Dallas

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
21 Joaquín Valiente F	8.9	93'	1	2	1	32 (27%)	2
9 Petar Musa F	8.0	45'	2	–	4	16 (8%)	–
40 Jonathan Sirois G	7.5	93'	–	–	–	32 (19%)	–
6 Ran Binyamin M	7.3	48'	1	–	2	11 (9%)	–
55 Kaick M	6.9	56'	–	–	1	30 (22%)	2
17 Ramiro M	6.9	93'	–	2	–	62 (54%)	–
12 Christian Cappis M	6.7	37'	–	–	–	15 (10%)	1
25 Sebastien Ibeagha D	6.6	24'	–	–	–	4 (3%)	–
28 Sam Sarver F	6.6	9'	–	–	–	1	–
14 Herman Johansson M	6.5	69'	–	–	1	20 (12%)	1
10 Santiago Moreno F	6.5	45'	–	–	1	32 (25%)	–
77 Bernard Kamungo M	6.5	84'	–	–	–	23 (20%)	1
18 Shaq Moore D	6.2	93'	–	–	–	37 (33%)	2
3 Osaze Urhoghide D	6.2	93'	–	–	–	32 (29%)	–
32 Nolan Norris D	6.2	93'	–	–	–	36 (31%)	3
23 Logan Farrington F	6.2	48'	–	–	1	14 (12%)	–

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Confidence Low (44%)

At a glance

Our lean

Real Salt Lake or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.6%

Both teams to score

58%

Over 2.5 goals

53%

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Real Salt Lake

LLLLD

FC Dallas

DWWWD

Last 3 meetings Real Salt Lake · 1W 1D 1L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

44%

10%

Draw

26%

45%

Away

29%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

FC Dallas goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8	7	6	3	1
1	7	14	8	4	1
2	6	9	6	3	1
3	3	4	3	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Real Salt Lake goals · most likely 1–1 (13.6%)

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Players in form

Real Salt Lake

No scorer data.

FC Dallas

P. Musa 18 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

44%

Away Win

29%

Draw

26%

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS Yes 42% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

47%

2.5

53%

70%

3.5

30%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

44%

Away Win

29%

Draw

26%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

51% Home (No Draw) 49% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

18% Home Win by 2+ 16% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

37% Home Scores More 35% Away Scores More 29% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

47%

2.5

53%

70%

3.5

30%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS Yes 42% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

26%

22%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.7%	6.9%	5.8%	2.7%	0.9%
1	7.1%	13.6%	8.3%	3.8%	1.3%
2	6.2%	8.5%	5.9%	2.7%	0.9%
3	2.9%	4.0%	2.8%	1.3%	0.4%
4	1.0%	1.4%	1.0%	0.5%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

26%

31%

26%

12%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

58%

1.5

42%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

32%

26%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Real Salt Lake	Draw	FC Dallas
Real Salt Lake	24.5%	5.1%	2.2%
Draw	11.5%	17.2%	12.5%
FC Dallas	1.7%	4.2%	21.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

59%

1.5

41%

83%

2.5

17%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

24%

34%

24%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

83%

1.5

17%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

60%

1.5

40%

84%

2.5

16%

95%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas

1 Real Salt Lake Wins

1 Draws

1 FC Dallas Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
10 May 2026	FC Dallas	3 - 1	Real Salt Lake
05 Oct 2013	Real Salt Lake	1 - 1	FC Dallas
13 Jul 2013	FC Dallas	0 - 3	Real Salt Lake

See all 7 meetings — Premium

Real Salt Lake — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
24 Sep	A Seattle Sounders	L	2 - 0
20 Sep	H Vancouver Whitecaps	L	0 - 3
13 Sep	H New York City FC	L	0 - 2
10 Sep	A Houston Dynamo	L	2 - 1
06 Sep	H Los Angeles FC	D	2 - 2

FC Dallas — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Austin	D	0 - 0
13 Sep	H Portland Timbers	W	2 - 1
10 Sep	A Minnesota United FC	W	1 - 2
06 Sep	H Sporting Kansas City	W	4 - 3
30 Aug	A St. Louis City	D	3 - 3

Major League Soccer Standings

Eastern Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	26	17	6	3	53	21	+32	57
2	New England Revolution	26	14	4	8	45	33	+12	46
3	Inter Miami	26	12	10	4	63	48	+15	46
4	Charlotte	26	12	7	7	47	37	+10	43
5	Chicago Fire	25	11	6	8	45	38	+7	39
6	Philadelphia Union	26	10	6	10	50	42	+8	36
7	Orlando City SC	26	10	4	12	46	60	-14	34
8	New York Red Bulls	26	9	6	11	34	48	-14	33
9	FC Cincinnati	25	8	9	8	54	61	-7	33
10	New York City FC	26	8	8	10	39	34	+5	32
11	DC United	25	6	11	8	31	39	-8	29
12	Toronto FC	26	6	11	9	39	49	-10	29
13	Columbus Crew	26	7	5	14	37	42	-5	26
14	Atlanta United FC	26	7	5	14	30	43	-13	26
15	CF Montreal	26	5	6	15	31	53	-22	21

Western Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	25	15	4	6	56	23	+33	49
2	Houston Dynamo	26	13	5	8	34	30	+4	44
3	St. Louis City	26	12	8	6	45	36	+9	44
4	FC Dallas	26	12	8	6	49	42	+7	44
5	San Jose Earthquakes	26	12	6	8	46	38	+8	42
6	Los Angeles FC	27	11	8	8	43	29	+14	41
7	Colorado Rapids	26	11	3	12	36	35	+1	36
8	Los Angeles Galaxy	27	8	9	10	34	42	-8	33
9	Portland Timbers	26	9	5	12	47	48	-1	32
10	San Diego	26	8	7	11	44	44	0	31
11	Austin	26	7	9	10	32	44	-12	30
12	Real Salt Lake	25	8	5	12	37	42	-5	29
13	Seattle Sounders	24	7	8	9	28	33	-5	29
14	Minnesota United FC	26	7	8	11	39	46	-7	29
15	Sporting Kansas City	25	5	3	17	29	63	-34	18

FC Dallas

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Eric Quill

40 Sirois

32 Norris

3 Urhoghide

18 Moore

77 Kamungo

17 Ramiro

55 Kaick

14 Johansson

10 Moreno

21 Valiente

9 Musa

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
40	Jonathan Sirois	G
18	Shaq Moore	D
3	Osaze Urhoghide	D
32	Nolan Norris	D
14	Herman Johansson	M
55	Kaick	M
17	Ramiro	M
77	Bernard Kamungo	M
21	Joaquín Valiente	F
10	Santiago Moreno	F
9	Petar Musa	F

Substitutes

6	Ran Binyamin	M
23	Logan Farrington	F
12	Christian Cappis	M
25	Sebastien Ibeagha	D
28	Sam Sarver	F
30	Michael Collodi	G
5	Lalas Abubakar	D
33	Clay Holstad	M
8	Patrickson Delgado	M

Real Salt Lake

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Pablo Mastroeni

1 Cabral

4 Engel

21 Arias

26 Quinton

8 Sanabria

92 Caliskan

6 Spierings

2 Yedlin

10 Luna

9 Guilavogui

22 Solans

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Rafael Cabral	G
26	Philip Quinton	D
21	Juan Jose Arias	D
4	Lukas Engel	D
2	DeAndre Yedlin	M
6	Stijn Spierings	M
92	Noel Caliskan	M
8	Juan Sanabria	M
9	Morgan Guilavogui	F
10	Diego Luna	F
22	Sergi Solans	F

Substitutes

12	Saba Lobzhanidze	M
7	Pablo Ruíz	M
17	Victor Olatunji	F
70	Lineker Rodrigues	F
31	Mason Stajduhar	G
3	Kobi Henry	D
29	Sam Junqua	D
98	Alexandros Katranis	D
39	Aiden Hezarkhani	F