Minnesota United FC vs Atlanta United FC Prediction

Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 20

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Minnesota United FC

Home

1 : 2

HT 0 - 1

Atlanta United FC

Away

AI call Difficult Minnesota United FC win or draw

54%

27%

19%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Minnesota United FC vs Atlanta United FC prediction: Sportiko gives Minnesota United FC a 54% chance of winning, Atlanta United FC 19% and the draw 27%. Last updated 20 Aug 2026, 02:34.

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Timeline

▮ 18'

Junior Alonso Yellow Card

Michael Boxall Yellow Card

29' ▮

Joaquín Pereyra Yellow Card

32' ▮

⚽ 0–1 37'

Tomás Jacob

HT 0–1

▮ 46'

Adrian Gill Yellow Card

▮ 56'

Cooper Sanchez Yellow Card

Anthony Markanich

58' ⚽ 1–1

⇄ 64'

Fafà Picault ⇄ Luke Brennan

⇄ 64'

Cooper Sanchez ⇄ Steven Alzate

Bongokuhle Hlongwane ⇄ Mamadou Dieng

68' ⇄

Marcus Caldeira ⇄ Aziel Jackson

68' ⇄

Tomás Chancalay Yellow Card

75' ▮

⚽ 1–2 78'

Tristan Muyumba assist: Aleksey Miranchuk

⇄ 79'

Aleksey Miranchuk ⇄ Matthew Edwards

Tomás Chancalay ⇄ Kelvin Yeboah

80' ⇄

Wil Trapp ⇄ Mauricio González

80' ⇄

⇄ 85'

Adrian Gill ⇄ Enea Mihaj

⇄ 85'

Tristan Muyumba ⇄ Paulo Díaz

Owen Gene Yellow Card

87' ▮

FT 1–2

Minnesota United FC

Match Stats

Atlanta United FC

50% Ball Possession 50%

1.75 Expected Goals (xG) 0.93

11 Total Shots 10

4 Shots on Goal 3

7 Shots off Goal 4

0 Blocked Shots 3

10 Shots insidebox 6

1 Shots outsidebox 4

4 Corner Kicks 2

3 Offsides 2

12 Fouls 10

3 Yellow Cards 3

Red Cards

1 Goalkeeper Saves 3

396 Total passes 400

309 Passes accurate 312

78% Passes % 78%

0.25 goals_prevented 0.25

Minnesota United FC

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
13 Anthony Markanich M	7.2	83'	1	–	5	42 (33%)	–
26 Joaquín Pereyra F	7.2	83'	–	–	–	43 (33%)	2
20 Wil Trapp M	6.9	80'	–	–	–	38 (31%)	2
12 Drake Callender G	6.7	83'	–	–	–	24 (14%)	–
30 Owen Gene M	6.6	83'	–	–	–	46 (39%)	1
29 Mamadou Dieng F	6.6	15'	–	–	–	6 (5%)	–
22 Marcus Caldeira F	6.6	68'	–	–	2	11 (9%)	1
16 Aziel Jackson M	6.5	15'	–	–	–	6 (5%)	1
15 Michael Boxall D	6.3	83'	–	–	–	37 (31%)	–
28 Jefferson Díaz D	6.3	83'	–	–	–	45 (35%)	1
23 Morris Duggan D	6.2	83'	–	–	1	49 (38%)	1
8 Tomás Chancalay F	6.2	80'	–	–	2	28 (20%)	1
21 Bongokuhle Hlongwane M	6.2	68'	–	–	–	19 (14%)	–
9 Kelvin Yeboah F	—	3'	–	–	1	–	–
18 Mauricio González F	—	3'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	–

Atlanta United FC

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
55 Tomás Jacob D	7.7	83'	1	–	1	37 (30%)	–
8 Tristan Muyumba M	7.6	83'	1	–	1	30 (27%)	2
1 Lucas Hoyos G	7.3	83'	–	–	–	31 (17%)	1
5 Stian Gregersen D	7.0	83'	–	–	1	43 (39%)	2
6 Junior Alonso D	6.9	83'	–	–	1	60 (51%)	1
10 Miguel Almirón F	6.9	83'	–	–	1	29 (23%)	–
16 Adrian Gill M	6.7	83'	–	–	–	44 (33%)	–
7 Steven Alzate M	6.7	19'	–	–	–	10 (7%)	1
20 Luke Brennan M	6.5	19'	–	–	–	4 (3%)	–
3 Elías Báez D	6.3	83'	–	–	1	31 (22%)	1
48 Cooper Sanchez M	6.3	64'	–	–	–	30 (24%)	1
22 Fafà Picault F	6.3	64'	–	–	–	23 (15%)	1
59 Aleksey Miranchuk F	6.2	79'	–	1	1	28 (21%)	–
47 Matthew Edwards D	—	4'	–	–	–	–	–

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Confidence Medium (54%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult Minnesota United FC win or draw

Most likely score

1:0 · 17%

Both teams to score

37%

Over 2.5 goals

33%

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Minnesota United FC

LLLLL

Atlanta United FC

DWDLD

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

54%

10%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

19%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Atlanta United FC goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	14	7	2	1
1	17	13	4	1
2	13	8	3	1
3	6	4	1
4	2	1
5	1

↑ Minnesota United FC goals · most likely 1–0 (17.0%)

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Players in form

Minnesota United FC

K. Yeboah 14 gls

Atlanta United FC

No scorer data.

AI match tools

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Match Result

Home Win

54%

Draw

27%

Away Win

19%

Both Teams To Score

63% BTTS No 37% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

38%

1.5

62%

67%

2.5

33%

85%

3.5

15%

95%

4.5

99%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

54%

Draw

27%

Away Win

19%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

79% Home (No Draw) 21% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

29% Home Win by 2+ 4% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

55% Home Scores More 30% Equal Goals 15% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

38%

1.5

62%

67%

2.5

33%

85%

3.5

15%

95%

4.5

99%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

63% BTTS No 37% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

14%

24%

29%

19%

10%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	14.4%	6.5%	2.5%	0.5%	0.1%
1	17.0%	12.9%	3.6%	0.7%	0.1%
2	13.2%	8.2%	2.5%	0.5%	0.1%
3	6.3%	3.9%	1.2%	0.3%	0.0%
4	2.3%	1.4%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

77%

1.5

23%

94%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

42%

35%

17%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

66%

1.5

34%

89%

2.5

11%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

32%

34%

22%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Minnesota United FC	Draw	Atlanta United FC
Minnesota United FC	31.7%	2.9%	0.6%
Draw	22.7%	21.6%	6.4%
Atlanta United FC	2.0%	3.7%	8.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

24%

34%

25%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

97%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

54%

33%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

75%

0.5

25%

97%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

72%

0.5

28%

96%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Minnesota United FC vs Atlanta United FC

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Minnesota United FC — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
27 Sep	A Seattle Sounders	L	3 - 1
20 Sep	H Los Angeles Galaxy	L	2 - 3
13 Sep	A St. Louis City	L	4 - 2
10 Sep	H FC Dallas	L	1 - 2
06 Sep	A Portland Timbers	L	5 - 4

Atlanta United FC — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
26 Sep	H New York City FC	D	2 - 2
20 Sep	A Portland Timbers	W	0 - 1
12 Sep	A DC United	D	0 - 0
09 Sep	H Orlando City SC	L	2 - 3
05 Sep	A Inter Miami	D	2 - 2

Major League Soccer Standings

Eastern Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	18	6	3	55	21	+34	60
2	New England Revolution	27	14	4	9	45	36	+9	46
3	Inter Miami	27	12	10	5	64	50	+14	46
4	Charlotte	27	12	7	8	47	38	+9	43
5	Chicago Fire	26	12	6	8	46	38	+8	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	11	6	10	54	44	+10	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	10	4	13	48	64	-16	34
8	New York Red Bulls	27	9	6	12	34	51	-17	33
9	New York City FC	27	8	9	10	41	36	+5	33
10	FC Cincinnati	26	8	9	9	55	64	-9	33
11	DC United	26	6	12	8	34	42	-8	30
12	Columbus Crew	27	8	5	14	39	43	-4	29
13	Toronto FC	27	6	11	10	39	51	-12	29
14	Atlanta United FC	27	7	6	14	32	45	-13	27
15	CF Montreal	27	6	6	15	34	54	-20	24

Western Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	26	15	5	6	59	26	+33	50
2	St. Louis City	27	13	8	6	48	36	+12	47
3	FC Dallas	27	13	8	6	50	42	+8	47
4	San Jose Earthquakes	27	13	6	8	49	39	+10	45
5	Houston Dynamo	27	13	5	9	34	32	+2	44
6	Los Angeles FC	28	11	8	9	43	30	+13	41
7	Seattle Sounders	27	10	8	9	35	35	0	38
8	Colorado Rapids	27	11	3	13	38	38	0	36
9	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	9	9	10	37	44	-7	36
10	Portland Timbers	27	9	5	13	48	51	-3	32
11	Real Salt Lake	27	9	5	13	40	44	-4	32
12	San Diego	27	8	8	11	47	47	0	32
13	Austin	27	7	10	10	35	47	-12	31
14	Minnesota United FC	27	7	8	12	40	49	-9	29
15	Sporting Kansas City	27	6	3	18	32	65	-33	21

Atlanta United FC

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: G. Martino

1 Hoyos

3 Báez

6 Alonso

5 Gregersen

55 Jacob

10 Almirón

8 Muyumba

16 Gill

48 Sanchez

22 Picault

59 Miranchuk

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Lucas Hoyos	G
55	Tomás Jacob	D
5	Stian Gregersen	D
6	Junior Alonso	D
3	Elías Báez	D
48	Cooper Sanchez	M
16	Adrian Gill	M
8	Tristan Muyumba	M
10	Miguel Almirón	M
59	Aleksey Miranchuk	F
22	Fafà Picault	F

Substitutes

42	Jayden Hibbert	G
47	Matthew Edwards	D
4	Enea Mihaj	D
2	Ronald Hernández	D
27	Paulo Díaz	D
20	Luke Brennan	M
7	Steven Alzate	M
30	Cayman Togashi	F
19	Sergio Santos	F

Minnesota United FC

Formation: 3-4-3 Coach: Cameron Knowles

12 Callender

23 Duggan

15 Boxall

28 Díaz

13 Markanich

20 Trapp

30 Gene

21 Hlongwane

8 Chancalay

22 Caldeira

26 Pereyra

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
12	Drake Callender	G
28	Jefferson Díaz	D
15	Michael Boxall	D
23	Morris Duggan	D
21	Bongokuhle Hlongwane	M
30	Owen Gene	M
20	Wil Trapp	M
13	Anthony Markanich	M
26	Joaquín Pereyra	F
22	Marcus Caldeira	F
8	Tomás Chancalay	F

Substitutes

1	Alec Smir	G
3	Kyle Duncan	D
2	Devin Padelford	D
24	Julian Gressel	M
18	Mauricio González	F
67	Carlos Harvey	M
16	Aziel Jackson	M
29	Mamadou Dieng	F
9	Kelvin Yeboah	F