San Jose Earthquakes vs St. Louis City Prediction

Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 19

Post on X

San Jose Earthquakes

Home

1 : 3

HT 0 - 2

St. Louis City

Away

AI call San Jose Earthquakes or draw

41%

27%

32%

Home Win Draw Away Win

San Jose Earthquakes vs St. Louis City prediction: Sportiko gives San Jose Earthquakes a 41% chance of winning, St. Louis City 32% and the draw 27%. Last updated 16 Aug 2026, 04:34.

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Home to Score 75%
Under 3.5 Goals 73%
1st Half Home or Draw 74%
Away to Score 72%

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 8'

Daniel Edelman assist: Conrad Wallem

⚽ 0–2 27'

Simon Becher assist: Eduard Löwen

HT 0–2

Niko Tsakiris ⇄ Luka Jovanovic

46' ⇄

Benjamin Kikanović ⇄ Jack Jasinski

46' ⇄

Beau Leroux

47' ⚽ 1–2

⚽ 1–3 55'

Simon Becher assist: Tomas Totland

⇄ 69'

Eduard Löwen ⇄ Carlo Holse

⇄ 69'

Jeong Sang-bin ⇄ Alexandru Mățan

Ousseni Bouda ⇄ Jack Skahan

71' ⇄

Ronaldo Vieira ⇄ Ian Harkes

71' ⇄

▮ 77'

Conrad Wallem Yellow Card

Reid Roberts Yellow Card

82' ▮

▮ 84'

Tomas Totland Yellow Card

⇄ 89'

Conrad Wallem ⇄ Jaziel Orozco

⇄ 89'

Simon Becher ⇄ Palmer Ault

FT 1–3

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Confidence Low (41%)

At a glance

Our lean

San Jose Earthquakes or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.1%

Both teams to score

55%

Over 2.5 goals

49%

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San Jose Earthquakes

DWWDD

St. Louis City

WWWDW

Last 1 meetings San Jose Earthquakes · 1W 0D 0L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

41%

10%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

32%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

St. Louis City goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9	7	6	2	1
1	8	14	8	3	1
2	7	9	5	2	1
3	3	4	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ San Jose Earthquakes goals · most likely 1–1 (14.1%)

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Players in form

San Jose Earthquakes

P. Judd 13 gls

St. Louis City

Rafael Navarro 14 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

41%

Away Win

32%

Draw

27%

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS Yes 45% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

24%

1.5

76%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

88%

4.5

12%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

41%

Away Win

32%

Draw

27%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

53% Home (No Draw) 47% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

18% Home Win by 2+ 15% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

38% Home Scores More 33% Away Scores More 29% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

24%

1.5

76%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

88%

4.5

12%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS Yes 45% BTTS No

Exact Goals

16%

27%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.8%	7.5%	5.8%	2.5%	0.8%
1	8.2%	14.1%	7.9%	3.4%	1.1%
2	6.7%	8.6%	5.4%	2.3%	0.7%
3	3.1%	3.9%	2.5%	1.1%	0.3%
4	1.1%	1.3%	0.9%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

70%

1.5

30%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

36%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

52%

1.5

48%

79%

2.5

21%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

22%

29%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	St. Louis City
San Jose Earthquakes	20.5%	4.2%	1.9%
Draw	15.7%	18.5%	13.2%
St. Louis City	2.4%	4.7%	18.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

60%

1.5

40%

84%

2.5

16%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

90%

1.5

10%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

28%

36%

23%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: San Jose Earthquakes vs St. Louis City

1 San Jose Earthquakes Wins

0 Draws

0 St. Louis City Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
26 Apr 2026	St. Louis City	2 - 3	San Jose Earthquakes

San Jose Earthquakes — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Los Angeles FC	D	2 - 2
13 Sep	H Houston Dynamo	W	1 - 0
10 Sep	A San Diego	W	2 - 3
06 Sep	A Austin	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	A Houston Dynamo	D	0 - 0

St. Louis City — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Toronto FC	W	3 - 1
17 Sep	A Colorado Rapids	W	0 - 3
13 Sep	H Minnesota United FC	W	4 - 2
10 Sep	A Portland Timbers	D	2 - 2
06 Sep	A Vancouver Whitecaps	W	1 - 3

Major League Soccer Standings

Eastern Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	26	17	6	3	53	21	+32	57
2	New England Revolution	26	14	4	8	45	33	+12	46
3	Inter Miami	26	12	10	4	63	48	+15	46
4	Charlotte	26	12	7	7	47	37	+10	43
5	Chicago Fire	25	11	6	8	45	38	+7	39
6	Philadelphia Union	26	10	6	10	50	42	+8	36
7	Orlando City SC	26	10	4	12	46	60	-14	34
8	New York Red Bulls	26	9	6	11	34	48	-14	33
9	FC Cincinnati	25	8	9	8	54	61	-7	33
10	New York City FC	26	8	8	10	39	34	+5	32
11	DC United	25	6	11	8	31	39	-8	29
12	Toronto FC	26	6	11	9	39	49	-10	29
13	Columbus Crew	26	7	5	14	37	42	-5	26
14	Atlanta United FC	26	7	5	14	30	43	-13	26
15	CF Montreal	26	5	6	15	31	53	-22	21

Western Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	25	15	4	6	56	23	+33	49
2	Houston Dynamo	26	13	5	8	34	30	+4	44
3	St. Louis City	26	12	8	6	45	36	+9	44
4	FC Dallas	26	12	8	6	49	42	+7	44
5	San Jose Earthquakes	26	12	6	8	46	38	+8	42
6	Los Angeles FC	27	11	8	8	43	29	+14	41
7	Colorado Rapids	26	11	3	12	36	35	+1	36
8	Los Angeles Galaxy	27	8	9	10	34	42	-8	33
9	Portland Timbers	26	9	5	12	47	48	-1	32
10	Seattle Sounders	25	8	8	9	30	33	-3	32
11	San Diego	26	8	7	11	44	44	0	31
12	Austin	26	7	9	10	32	44	-12	30
13	Real Salt Lake	26	8	5	13	37	44	-7	29
14	Minnesota United FC	26	7	8	11	39	46	-7	29
15	Sporting Kansas City	25	5	3	17	29	63	-34	18

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.