Los Angeles FC vs San Diego Prediction

Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 19

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Los Angeles FC

Home

0 : 1

HT 0 - 0

San Diego

Away

AI call Difficult Los Angeles FC win or draw

64%

21%

15%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Los Angeles FC vs San Diego prediction: Sportiko gives Los Angeles FC a 64% chance of winning, San Diego 15% and the draw 21%. Last updated 16 Aug 2026, 04:38.

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Under 3.5 Goals 75%
2nd Half Over 0.5 72%
1st Half Over 0.5 72%

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Timeline

Denis Bouanga Goal Disallowed - handball

21' 🖵

▮ 29'

Alejandro Alvarado Jr Yellow Card

HT 0–0

⇄ 53'

Lewis Morgan ⇄ Elias Achouri

Eddie Segura Yellow Card

61' ▮

Tyler Boyd ⇄ Jacob Shaffelburg

65' ⇄

Timothy Tillman ⇄ Mathieu Choinière

65' ⇄

⇄ 73'

Alejandro Alvarado Jr ⇄ Jeppe Tverskov

⇄ 73'

Gabriel Pirani ⇄ Onni Valakari

▮ 75'

Onni Valakari Yellow Card

Mark Delgado Yellow Card

80' ▮

Mathieu Choinière Yellow Card

84' ▮

⇄ 85'

Marcus Ingvartsen

⇄ 85'

Ian Murphy ⇄ Christopher McVey

⚽ 0–1 89'

Anders Dreyer Penalty

▮ 90'

Anders Dreyer Yellow Card

Ryan Hollingshead ⇄ Ryan Raposo

90' ⇄

Eddie Segura ⇄ Jeremy Ebobisse

90' ⇄

▮ 90+6'

Anders Dreyer Yellow Card

▮ 90+6'

Anders Dreyer Red Card

Son Heung-min Yellow Card

90+7' ▮

FT 0–1

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Confidence Medium (64%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult Los Angeles FC win or draw

Most likely score

2:0 · 16.2%

Both teams to score

37%

Over 2.5 goals

47%

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Los Angeles FC

DLWDD

San Diego

DLLLW

Last 1 meetings Los Angeles FC · 0W 0D 1L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

64%

45%

Draw

21%

45%

Away

15%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

San Diego goals →

	0	1	2
0	9	3	1
1	15	9	2
2	16	9	2
3	11	6	2
4	6	3	1
5	2	1

↑ Los Angeles FC goals · most likely 2–0 (16.2%)

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Players in form

Los Angeles FC

D. Bouanga 14 gls

San Diego

No scorer data.

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Match Result

Home Win

64%

Draw

21%

Away Win

15%

Both Teams To Score

63% BTTS No 37% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

64%

Draw

21%

Away Win

15%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

91% Home (No Draw) 9% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

47% Home Win by 2+ 2% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

72% Home Scores More 21% Equal Goals 7% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

63% BTTS No 37% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

18%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.7%	2.9%	1.1%	0.2%	0.0%
1	14.6%	9.4%	2.2%	0.4%	0.1%
2	16.2%	8.6%	2.3%	0.4%	0.1%
3	11.2%	5.9%	1.6%	0.3%	0.0%
4	5.8%	3.1%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

28%

34%

24%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

61%

1.5

39%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

33%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Los Angeles FC	Draw	San Diego
Los Angeles FC	53.1%	2.9%	0.5%
Draw	19.0%	13.8%	3.6%
San Diego	1.4%	2.0%	3.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

40%

1.5

61%

67%

2.5

33%

86%

3.5

14%

Home Exact Goals

13%

27%

28%

19%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

71%

1.5

29%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

98%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

59%

31%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

79%

0.5

21%

98%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Los Angeles FC vs San Diego

0 Los Angeles FC Wins

0 Draws

1 San Diego Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
03 May 2026	San Diego	2 - 1	Los Angeles FC

Los Angeles FC — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A San Jose Earthquakes	D	2 - 2
13 Sep	A Sporting Kansas City	L	3 - 1
10 Sep	H New York Red Bulls	W	2 - 0
06 Sep	A Real Salt Lake	D	2 - 2
29 Aug	A DC United	D	0 - 0

San Diego — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Inter Miami	D	2 - 2
14 Sep	H Philadelphia Union	L	0 - 5
10 Sep	H San Jose Earthquakes	L	2 - 3
05 Sep	A Orlando City SC	L	1 - 0
30 Aug	H Los Angeles Galaxy	W	3 - 1

Major League Soccer Standings

Eastern Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	26	17	6	3	53	21	+32	57
2	New England Revolution	26	14	4	8	45	33	+12	46
3	Inter Miami	26	12	10	4	63	48	+15	46
4	Charlotte	26	12	7	7	47	37	+10	43
5	Chicago Fire	25	11	6	8	45	38	+7	39
6	Philadelphia Union	26	10	6	10	50	42	+8	36
7	Orlando City SC	26	10	4	12	46	60	-14	34
8	New York Red Bulls	26	9	6	11	34	48	-14	33
9	FC Cincinnati	25	8	9	8	54	61	-7	33
10	New York City FC	26	8	8	10	39	34	+5	32
11	DC United	25	6	11	8	31	39	-8	29
12	Toronto FC	26	6	11	9	39	49	-10	29
13	Columbus Crew	26	7	5	14	37	42	-5	26
14	Atlanta United FC	26	7	5	14	30	43	-13	26
15	CF Montreal	26	5	6	15	31	53	-22	21

Western Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	25	15	4	6	56	23	+33	49
2	Houston Dynamo	26	13	5	8	34	30	+4	44
3	St. Louis City	26	12	8	6	45	36	+9	44
4	FC Dallas	26	12	8	6	49	42	+7	44
5	San Jose Earthquakes	26	12	6	8	46	38	+8	42
6	Los Angeles FC	27	11	8	8	43	29	+14	41
7	Colorado Rapids	26	11	3	12	36	35	+1	36
8	Los Angeles Galaxy	27	8	9	10	34	42	-8	33
9	Portland Timbers	26	9	5	12	47	48	-1	32
10	Seattle Sounders	25	8	8	9	30	33	-3	32
11	San Diego	26	8	7	11	44	44	0	31
12	Austin	26	7	9	10	32	44	-12	30
13	Real Salt Lake	26	8	5	13	37	44	-7	29
14	Minnesota United FC	26	7	8	11	39	46	-7	29
15	Sporting Kansas City	25	5	3	17	29	63	-34	18

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.