Portland Timbers vs Seattle Sounders Prediction

Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 18

Post on X

Seattle Sounders

Away

AI call Portland Timbers or draw

47%

26%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Portland Timbers vs Seattle Sounders prediction: Sportiko gives Portland Timbers a 47% chance of winning, Seattle Sounders 26% and the draw 26%. Last updated 2 Aug 2026, 04:58.

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Timeline

⇄ 7'

Paul Arriola ⇄ Kalani Kossa-Rienzi

▮ 25'

Peter Kingston Yellow Card

⚽ 0–1 27'

Kalani Kossa-Rienzi

Kamal Miller Yellow Card

30' ▮

Kevin Kelsy assist: Kristoffer Velde

41' ⚽ 1–1

Kevin Kelsy Yellow Card

45+5' ▮

HT 1–1

⇄ 46'

Peter Kingston ⇄ Sebastian Gomez

Ariel Lassiter ⇄ Antony Alves

65' ⇄

▮ 71'

Sebastian Gomez Yellow Card

⇄ 73'

Osaze De Rosario ⇄ Daniel Musovski

⇄ 73'

Kim Kee-hee ⇄ Alex Roldán

Brandon Bye assist: David Pereira Da Costa

82' ⚽ 2–1

⇄ 84'

Kalani Kossa-Rienzi ⇄ Antino Lopez

Kevin Kelsy ⇄ Ian Smith

88' ⇄

Cole Bassett ⇄ José Caicedo

88' ⇄

Kristoffer Velde ⇄ Omir Fernandez

90+4' ⇄

FT 2–1

Portland Timbers

Match Stats

Seattle Sounders

53% Ball Possession 47%

1.69 Expected Goals (xG) 1.22

14 Total Shots 16

5 Shots on Goal 4

6 Shots off Goal 7

3 Blocked Shots 5

8 Shots insidebox 11

6 Shots outsidebox 5

4 Corner Kicks 5

0 Offsides 2

7 Fouls 12

2 Yellow Cards 2

Red Cards

2 Goalkeeper Saves 3

488 Total passes 426

422 Passes accurate 350

86% Passes % 82%

-0.58 goals_prevented -0.58

Portland Timbers

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
5 Brandon Bye D	8.3	95'	1	–	1	52 (44%)	1
21 Diego Chará M	7.9	95'	–	–	–	55 (51%)	2
4 Kamal Miller D	7.6	95'	–	–	–	69 (60%)	1
10 David Pereira Da Costa M	7.5	95'	–	1	1	54 (49%)	1
99 Kristoffer Velde M	7.3	94'	–	1	2	42 (35%)	–
20 Finn Surman D	7.2	95'	–	–	1	51 (43%)	1
27 Jímer Fory D	7.0	95'	–	–	–	49 (43%)	–
7 Ariel Lassiter M	7.0	65'	–	–	1	21 (18%)	–
41 James Pantemis G	6.9	95'	–	–	–	18 (14%)	–
17 Cole Bassett M	6.9	88'	–	–	1	46 (39%)	1
19 Kevin Kelsy F	6.9	88'	1	–	4	15 (13%)	–
11 Antony Alves F	6.5	30'	–	–	–	13 (11%)	–
23 Ian Smith D	—	7'	–	–	–	–	–
30 José Caicedo M	—	7'	–	–	–	3 (2%)	–
22 Omir Fernandez F	—	1'	–	–	–	–	–

Seattle Sounders

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
85 Kalani Kossa-Rienzi M	7.9	77'	1	–	1	39 (33%)	3
5 Nouhou Tolo D	7.0	95'	–	–	3	35 (32%)	3
11 Albert Rusnák M	6.9	95'	–	–	2	51 (46%)	–
35 Antino Lopez D	6.7	11'	–	–	–	7 (7%)	–
39 Stuart Hawkins D	6.7	95'	–	–	1	40 (35%)	1
19 Daniel Musovski F	6.7	22'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	–
9 Jesús Ferreira M	6.6	95'	–	–	2	48 (38%)	1
20 Kim Kee-hee D	6.6	73'	–	–	–	34 (28%)	2
90 Sebastian Gomez M	6.5	50'	–	–	–	22 (18%)	–
16 Alex Roldán D	6.5	22'	–	–	–	11 (7%)	1
37 Snyder Brunell M	6.3	95'	–	–	1	46 (37%)	1
26 Andrew Thomas G	6.2	95'	–	–	–	28 (13%)	–
45 Peter Kingston M	6.2	45'	–	–	–	27 (22%)	2
95 Osaze De Rosario F	6.2	73'	–	–	1	13 (10%)	–
14 Paul Rothrock M	5.9	95'	–	–	–	22 (22%)	–
17 Paul Arriola D	—	7'	–	–	–	1	–

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Confidence Low (47%)

At a glance

Our lean

Portland Timbers or draw

Most likely score

1:0 · 13.9%

Both teams to score

43%

Over 2.5 goals

39%

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Portland Timbers

LLDWL

Seattle Sounders

WDDDD

Last 3 meetings Portland Timbers · 3W 0D 0L

Match summary

The upcoming match between the Portland Timbers and Seattle Sounders is a crucial fixture in Major League Soccer, featuring two fierce rivals. The Timbers have shown strong offensive capabilities, averaging 1.8 goals per game this season, while the Sounders maintain a solid defensive record, conceding only 1 goal per game on average. Both teams will be eager to claim local bragging rights, making tactical discipline and effective transitions key to success. The outcome may hinge on set pieces and individual player performances, particularly in midfield. Expect a tightly contested match with playoff implications for both sides.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

47%

45%

Draw

26%

45%

Away

26%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Seattle Sounders goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	12	7	3	1
1	14	14	5	1
2	11	9	3	1
3	6	4	2
4	2	2	1
5	1

↑ Portland Timbers goals · most likely 1–0 (13.9%)

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Match Result

Home Win

47%

Draw

26%

Away Win

26%

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS No 43% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

33%

1.5

67%

61%

2.5

39%

81%

3.5

19%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

47%

Draw

26%

Away Win

26%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

74% Home (No Draw) 26% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

27% Home Win by 2+ 6% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

52% Home Scores More 30% Equal Goals 18% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

33%

1.5

67%

61%

2.5

39%

81%

3.5

19%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS No 43% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

21%

28%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.1%	6.6%	3.2%	0.8%	0.2%
1	13.9%	13.7%	4.7%	1.2%	0.2%
2	11.5%	9.0%	3.5%	0.9%	0.2%
3	5.7%	4.4%	1.7%	0.5%	0.1%
4	2.1%	1.6%	0.6%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

37%

34%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

64%

1.5

36%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

31%

34%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Portland Timbers	Draw	Seattle Sounders
Portland Timbers	30.5%	3.1%	0.7%
Draw	20.5%	20.0%	6.9%
Seattle Sounders	2.4%	4.5%	11.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

57%

1.5

43%

82%

2.5

18%

94%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

23%

34%

25%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

46%

36%

14%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

67%

0.5

33%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Portland Timbers vs Seattle Sounders

3 Portland Timbers Wins

0 Draws

0 Seattle Sounders Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
17 Jul 2026	Seattle Sounders	1 - 5	Portland Timbers
08 Nov 2013	Portland Timbers	3 - 2	Seattle Sounders
03 Nov 2013	Seattle Sounders	1 - 2	Portland Timbers

See all 9 meetings — Premium

Portland Timbers — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Atlanta United FC	L	0 - 1
13 Sep	A FC Dallas	L	2 - 1
10 Sep	H St. Louis City	D	2 - 2
06 Sep	H Minnesota United FC	W	5 - 4
30 Aug	H Austin	L	1 - 2

Seattle Sounders — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
24 Sep	H Real Salt Lake	W	2 - 0
20 Sep	A Colorado Rapids	D	3 - 3
13 Sep	A Los Angeles Galaxy	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	H New York Red Bulls	D	0 - 0
29 Aug	H Chicago Fire	D	2 - 2

Major League Soccer Standings

Eastern Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	26	17	6	3	53	21	+32	57
2	New England Revolution	26	14	4	8	45	33	+12	46
3	Inter Miami	26	12	10	4	63	48	+15	46
4	Charlotte	26	12	7	7	47	37	+10	43
5	Chicago Fire	25	11	6	8	45	38	+7	39
6	Philadelphia Union	26	10	6	10	50	42	+8	36
7	Orlando City SC	26	10	4	12	46	60	-14	34
8	New York Red Bulls	26	9	6	11	34	48	-14	33
9	FC Cincinnati	25	8	9	8	54	61	-7	33
10	New York City FC	26	8	8	10	39	34	+5	32
11	DC United	25	6	11	8	31	39	-8	29
12	Toronto FC	26	6	11	9	39	49	-10	29
13	Columbus Crew	26	7	5	14	37	42	-5	26
14	Atlanta United FC	26	7	5	14	30	43	-13	26
15	CF Montreal	26	5	6	15	31	53	-22	21

Western Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	25	15	4	6	56	23	+33	49
2	Houston Dynamo	26	13	5	8	34	30	+4	44
3	St. Louis City	26	12	8	6	45	36	+9	44
4	FC Dallas	26	12	8	6	49	42	+7	44
5	San Jose Earthquakes	26	12	6	8	46	38	+8	42
6	Los Angeles FC	27	11	8	8	43	29	+14	41
7	Colorado Rapids	26	11	3	12	36	35	+1	36
8	Los Angeles Galaxy	27	8	9	10	34	42	-8	33
9	Portland Timbers	26	9	5	12	47	48	-1	32
10	San Diego	26	8	7	11	44	44	0	31
11	Austin	26	7	9	10	32	44	-12	30
12	Real Salt Lake	25	8	5	12	37	42	-5	29
13	Seattle Sounders	24	7	8	9	28	33	-5	29
14	Minnesota United FC	26	7	8	11	39	46	-7	29
15	Sporting Kansas City	25	5	3	17	29	63	-34	18

Seattle Sounders

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Brian Schmetzer

26 Thomas

5 Tolo

39 Hawkins

20 Kee-hee

17 Arriola

45 Kingston

37 Brunell

14 Rothrock

11 Rusnák

9 Ferreira

95 Rosario

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
26	Andrew Thomas	G
17	Paul Arriola	D
20	Kim Kee-hee	D
39	Stuart Hawkins	D
5	Nouhou Tolo	D
37	Snyder Brunell	M
45	Peter Kingston	M
9	Jesús Ferreira	M
11	Albert Rusnák	M
14	Paul Rothrock	M
95	Osaze De Rosario	F

Substitutes

85	Kalani Kossa-Rienzi	M
90	Sebastian Gomez	M
24	Stefan Frei	G
35	Antino Lopez	D
40	Shane O'Neill	M
4	Ryan Sailor	D
16	Alex Roldán	D
19	Daniel Musovski	F