Portland Timbers vs Seattle Sounders Prediction
FT
AI call
Portland Timbers or draw
47%
26%
26%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Portland Timbers vs Seattle Sounders prediction: Sportiko gives Portland Timbers a 47% chance of winning, Seattle Sounders 26% and the draw 26%. Last updated 2 Aug 2026, 04:58.
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Timeline
⇄
7'
Paul Arriola
⇄ Kalani Kossa-Rienzi
▮
25'
Peter Kingston
Yellow Card
⚽
0–1
27'
Kalani Kossa-Rienzi
Kamal Miller
Yellow Card
30'
▮
Kevin Kelsy
assist: Kristoffer Velde
41'
⚽
1–1
Kevin Kelsy
Yellow Card
45+5'
▮
HT 1–1
⇄
46'
Peter Kingston
⇄ Sebastian Gomez
Ariel Lassiter
⇄ Antony Alves
65'
⇄
▮
71'
Sebastian Gomez
Yellow Card
⇄
73'
Osaze De Rosario
⇄ Daniel Musovski
⇄
73'
Kim Kee-hee
⇄ Alex Roldán
Brandon Bye
assist: David Pereira Da Costa
82'
⚽
2–1
⇄
84'
Kalani Kossa-Rienzi
⇄ Antino Lopez
Kevin Kelsy
⇄ Ian Smith
88'
⇄
Cole Bassett
⇄ José Caicedo
88'
⇄
Kristoffer Velde
⇄ Omir Fernandez
90+4'
⇄
FT 2–1
Portland Timbers
Match Stats
Seattle Sounders
53%
Ball Possession
47%
1.69
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
14
Total Shots
16
5
Shots on Goal
4
6
Shots off Goal
7
3
Blocked Shots
5
8
Shots insidebox
11
6
Shots outsidebox
5
4
Corner Kicks
5
0
Offsides
2
7
Fouls
12
2
Yellow Cards
2
Red Cards
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3
488
Total passes
426
422
Passes accurate
350
86%
Passes %
82%
-0.58
goals_prevented
-0.58
Portland Timbers
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Brandon Bye D | 8.3 | 95' | 1 | – | 1 | 52 (44%) | 1 |
| 21 Diego Chará M | 7.9 | 95' | – | – | – | 55 (51%) | 2 |
| 4 Kamal Miller D | 7.6 | 95' | – | – | – | 69 (60%) | 1 |
| 10 David Pereira Da Costa M | 7.5 | 95' | – | 1 | 1 | 54 (49%) | 1 |
| 99 Kristoffer Velde M | 7.3 | 94' | – | 1 | 2 | 42 (35%) | – |
| 20 Finn Surman D | 7.2 | 95' | – | – | 1 | 51 (43%) | 1 |
| 27 Jímer Fory D | 7.0 | 95' | – | – | – | 49 (43%) | – |
| 7 Ariel Lassiter M | 7.0 | 65' | – | – | 1 | 21 (18%) | – |
| 41 James Pantemis G | 6.9 | 95' | – | – | – | 18 (14%) | – |
| 17 Cole Bassett M | 6.9 | 88' | – | – | 1 | 46 (39%) | 1 |
| 19 Kevin Kelsy F | 6.9 | 88' | 1 | – | 4 | 15 (13%) | – |
| 11 Antony Alves F | 6.5 | 30' | – | – | – | 13 (11%) | – |
| 23 Ian Smith D | — | 7' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 30 José Caicedo M | — | 7' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
| 22 Omir Fernandez F | — | 1' | – | – | – | – | – |
Seattle Sounders
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85 Kalani Kossa-Rienzi M | 7.9 | 77' | 1 | – | 1 | 39 (33%) | 3 |
| 5 Nouhou Tolo D | 7.0 | 95' | – | – | 3 | 35 (32%) | 3 |
| 11 Albert Rusnák M | 6.9 | 95' | – | – | 2 | 51 (46%) | – |
| 35 Antino Lopez D | 6.7 | 11' | – | – | – | 7 (7%) | – |
| 39 Stuart Hawkins D | 6.7 | 95' | – | – | 1 | 40 (35%) | 1 |
| 19 Daniel Musovski F | 6.7 | 22' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 9 Jesús Ferreira M | 6.6 | 95' | – | – | 2 | 48 (38%) | 1 |
| 20 Kim Kee-hee D | 6.6 | 73' | – | – | – | 34 (28%) | 2 |
| 90 Sebastian Gomez M | 6.5 | 50' | – | – | – | 22 (18%) | – |
| 16 Alex Roldán D | 6.5 | 22' | – | – | – | 11 (7%) | 1 |
| 37 Snyder Brunell M | 6.3 | 95' | – | – | 1 | 46 (37%) | 1 |
| 26 Andrew Thomas G | 6.2 | 95' | – | – | – | 28 (13%) | – |
| 45 Peter Kingston M | 6.2 | 45' | – | – | – | 27 (22%) | 2 |
| 95 Osaze De Rosario F | 6.2 | 73' | – | – | 1 | 13 (10%) | – |
| 14 Paul Rothrock M | 5.9 | 95' | – | – | – | 22 (22%) | – |
| 17 Paul Arriola D | — | 7' | – | – | – | 1 | – |
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Confidence
Low (47%)
At a glance
Our lean
Portland Timbers or draw
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Portland Timbers
WWWWD
Seattle Sounders
WLLDD
Last 3 meetings
Portland Timbers · 3W 0D 0L
Match summary
The upcoming match between the Portland Timbers and Seattle Sounders is a crucial fixture in Major League Soccer, featuring two fierce rivals. The Timbers have shown strong offensive capabilities, averaging 1.8 goals per game this season, while the Sounders maintain a solid defensive record, conceding only 1 goal per game on average. Both teams will be eager to claim local bragging rights, making tactical discipline and effective transitions key to success. The outcome may hinge on set pieces and individual player performances, particularly in midfield. Expect a tightly contested match with playoff implications for both sides.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
47%
45%
Draw
26%
45%
Away
26%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Portland Timbers vs Seattle Sounders
3
Portland Timbers Wins
0
Draws
0
Seattle Sounders Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul 2026 | Seattle Sounders | 1 - 5 | Portland Timbers |
| 08 Nov 2013 | Portland Timbers | 3 - 2 | Seattle Sounders |
| 03 Nov 2013 | Seattle Sounders | 1 - 2 | Portland Timbers |
Portland Timbers — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov | A Austin | W | 0 - 2 |
| 02 Nov | H Houston Dynamo | W | 3 - 1 |
| 29 Oct | A St. Louis City | W | 2 - 3 |
| 25 Oct | H Charlotte | W | 3 - 2 |
| 18 Oct | H Colorado Rapids | D | 0 - 0 |
Seattle Sounders — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov | H Los Angeles FC | W | 2 - 1 |
| 01 Nov | A Vancouver Whitecaps | L | 5 - 1 |
| 29 Oct | H Houston Dynamo | L | 0 - 1 |
| 25 Oct | A San Diego | D | 2 - 2 |
| 18 Oct | H CF Montreal | D | 1 - 1 |
Major League Soccer Standings
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nashville SC
|
34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 71 | 25 | +46 | 77 |
| 2 |
Inter Miami
|
34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 80 | 59 | +21 | 60 |
| 3 |
New England Revolution
|
34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 55 | 47 | +8 | 58 |
| 4 |
Chicago Fire
|
34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 64 | 54 | +10 | 55 |
| 5 |
Charlotte
|
34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 66 | 51 | +15 | 54 |
| 6 |
Philadelphia Union
|
34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 66 | 52 | +14 | 50 |
| 7 |
Columbus Crew
|
34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 59 | 52 | +7 | 47 |
| 8 |
Orlando City SC
|
34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 63 | 78 | -15 | 46 |
| 9 |
FC Cincinnati
|
34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 67 | 75 | -8 | 46 |
| 10 |
New York Red Bulls
|
34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 48 | 62 | -14 | 42 |
| 11 |
New York City FC
|
34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 45 | +4 | 42 |
| 12 |
Toronto FC
|
34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 52 | 67 | -15 | 39 |
| 13 |
Atlanta United FC
|
34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 43 | 60 | -17 | 33 |
| 14 |
DC United
|
34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 33 |
| 15 |
CF Montreal
|
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 26 |
Western Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Vancouver Whitecaps
|
34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 74 | 34 | +40 | 64 |
| 2 |
FC Dallas
|
34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 62 | 51 | +11 | 58 |
| 3 |
St. Louis City
|
34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 59 | 48 | +11 | 54 |
| 4 |
San Jose Earthquakes
|
34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 57 | 51 | +6 | 52 |
| 5 |
Houston Dynamo
|
34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 51 |
| 6 |
Los Angeles FC
|
34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 52 | 40 | +12 | 47 |
| 7 |
Portland Timbers
|
34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 61 | +1 | 46 |
| 8 |
Seattle Sounders
|
34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 46 |
| 9 |
Real Salt Lake
|
34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 53 | 52 | +1 | 45 |
| 10 |
Minnesota United FC
|
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 44 |
| 11 |
Los Angeles Galaxy
|
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 44 |
| 12 |
Colorado Rapids
|
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 43 |
| 13 |
San Diego
|
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 57 | 63 | -6 | 38 |
| 14 |
Austin
|
34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 42 | 65 | -23 | 34 |
| 15 |
Sporting Kansas City
|
34 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 40 | 81 | -41 | 26 |
Seattle Sounders
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: B. Schmetzer
26
Thomas
5
Tolo
39
Hawkins
20
Kee-hee
17
Arriola
45
Kingston
37
Brunell
14
Rothrock
11
Rusnák
9
Ferreira
95
Rosario
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 26 | Andrew Thomas | G |
| 17 | Paul Arriola | D |
| 20 | Kim Kee-hee | D |
| 39 | Stuart Hawkins | D |
| 5 | Nouhou Tolo | D |
| 37 | Snyder Brunell | M |
| 45 | Peter Kingston | M |
| 9 | Jesús Ferreira | M |
| 11 | Albert Rusnák | M |
| 14 | Paul Rothrock | M |
| 95 | Osaze De Rosario | F |
Substitutes
| 85 | Kalani Kossa-Rienzi | M |
| 90 | Sebastian Gomez | M |
| 24 | Stefan Frei | G |
| 35 | Antino Lopez | D |
| 40 | Shane O'Neill | M |
| 4 | Ryan Sailor | D |
| 16 | Alex Roldán | D |
| 19 | Daniel Musovski | F |
Portland Timbers
Formation: 4-1-4-1
Coach: Martí Cifuentes
41
Pantemis
27
Fory
4
Miller
20
Surman
5
Bye
21
Chará
99
Velde
10
Costa
17
Bassett
7
Lassiter
19
Kelsy
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 41 | James Pantemis | G |
| 5 | Brandon Bye | D |
| 20 | Finn Surman | D |
| 4 | Kamal Miller | D |
| 27 | Jímer Fory | D |
| 21 | Diego Chará | M |
| 7 | Ariel Lassiter | M |
| 17 | Cole Bassett | M |
| 10 | David Pereira Da Costa | M |
| 99 | Kristoffer Velde | M |
| 19 | Kevin Kelsy | F |
Substitutes
| 11 | Antony Alves | F |
| 25 | Trey Muse | G |
| 16 | Sawyer Jura | D |
| 6 | Alex Bonetig | D |
| 15 | Eric Miller | D |
| 23 | Ian Smith | D |
| 30 | José Caicedo | M |
| 80 | Joao Ortíz | M |
| 22 | Omir Fernandez | F |