St. Louis City vs Real Salt Lake Prediction
FT
AI call
St. Louis City or draw
49%
26%
25%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
St. Louis City vs Real Salt Lake prediction: Sportiko gives St. Louis City a 49% chance of winning, Real Salt Lake 25% and the draw 26%. Last updated 2 Aug 2026, 02:34.
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Timeline
▮
6'
Zach Booth
Yellow Card
Eduard Löwen
Yellow Card
28'
▮
▮
29'
Philip Quinton
Yellow Card
▮
40'
DeAndre Yedlin
Yellow Card
Christopher Durkin
Yellow Card
43'
▮
⇄
45+1'
Griffin Dillon
⇄ Stijn Spierings
HT 0–0
⇄
46'
Lineker Rodrigues
⇄ Saba Lobzhanidze
⚽
0–1
60'
Sergi Solans
assist: Saba Lobzhanidze
Eduard Löwen
⇄ Marcel Hartel
65'
⇄
Christopher Durkin
⇄ Alexandru Mățan
65'
⇄
Marcel Hartel
73'
⚽
1–1
⇄
79'
Diego Luna
⇄ Victor Olatunji
Jeong Sang-bin
Yellow Card
80'
▮
Jeong Sang-bin
⇄ Tomáš Ostrák
84'
⇄
⇄
90+1'
Sergi Solans
⇄ Aiden Hezarkhani
⇄
90+1'
Zach Booth
⇄ Dominik Marczuk
FT 1–1
St. Louis City
Match Stats
Real Salt Lake
67%
Ball Possession
33%
1.71
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
20
Total Shots
8
4
Shots on Goal
3
6
Shots off Goal
2
10
Blocked Shots
3
11
Shots insidebox
5
9
Shots outsidebox
3
9
Corner Kicks
4
2
Offsides
1
12
Fouls
10
3
Yellow Cards
3
Red Cards
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3
651
Total passes
317
576
Passes accurate
250
88%
Passes %
79%
-0.46
goals_prevented
-0.46
St. Louis City
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Eduard Löwen F | 7.7 | 65' | – | – | 1 | 67 (58%) | 1 |
| 32 Timo Baumgartl D | 7.5 | 94' | – | – | – | 80 (78%) | 2 |
| 17 Marcel Hartel M | 7.5 | 29' | 1 | – | 4 | 11 (6%) | – |
| 23 Alexandru Mățan M | 7.5 | 29' | – | – | 1 | 20 (18%) | – |
| 6 Conrad Wallem M | 7.3 | 94' | – | – | 2 | 54 (49%) | 1 |
| 1 Roman Bürki G | 7.3 | 94' | – | – | – | 16 (14%) | – |
| 5 Lukas MacNaughton D | 7.2 | 94' | – | – | – | 87 (78%) | 1 |
| 24 Daniel Edelman M | 7.2 | 94' | – | – | – | 67 (53%) | 1 |
| 21 Dante Polvara D | 7.0 | 94' | – | – | – | 86 (80%) | 2 |
| 8 Christopher Durkin M | 6.9 | 65' | – | – | 1 | 50 (45%) | 2 |
| 14 Tomas Totland M | 6.6 | 94' | – | – | – | 43 (40%) | – |
| 77 Jeong Sang-bin F | 6.5 | 84' | – | – | – | 42 (38%) | 1 |
| 11 Simon Becher F | 6.3 | 94' | – | – | 1 | 23 (16%) | – |
| 7 Tomáš Ostrák M | 6.3 | 10' | – | – | – | 5 (3%) | – |
Real Salt Lake
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sam Junqua D | 7.9 | 94' | – | – | 1 | 36 (32%) | 3 |
| 22 Sergi Solans F | 7.3 | 91' | 1 | – | 1 | 10 (7%) | 1 |
| 2 DeAndre Yedlin D | 7.2 | 94' | – | – | 1 | 29 (26%) | 3 |
| 26 Philip Quinton D | 7.2 | 94' | – | – | – | 37 (29%) | – |
| 6 Stijn Spierings M | 6.9 | 48' | – | – | 1 | 20 (20%) | 1 |
| 17 Victor Olatunji F | 6.7 | 16' | – | – | – | 5 (5%) | – |
| 70 Lineker Rodrigues F | 6.7 | 45' | – | – | – | 11 (10%) | 1 |
| 92 Noel Caliskan M | 6.6 | 94' | – | – | – | 47 (39%) | 1 |
| 12 Saba Lobzhanidze M | 6.6 | 49' | – | 1 | 1 | 10 (6%) | – |
| 10 Diego Luna F | 6.3 | 78' | – | – | – | 20 (12%) | – |
| 27 Griffin Dillon M | 6.3 | 46' | – | – | – | 21 (18%) | 1 |
| 8 Juan Sanabria M | 6.2 | 94' | – | – | – | 29 (20%) | 1 |
| 23 Zach Booth M | 6.2 | 91' | – | – | – | 19 (13%) | 1 |
| 1 Rafael Cabral G | 5.9 | 94' | – | – | – | 23 (13%) | – |
| 11 Dominik Marczuk F | — | 3' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 39 Aiden Hezarkhani F | — | 3' | – | – | – | – | – |
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Confidence
Low (49%)
At a glance
Our lean
St. Louis City or draw
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St. Louis City
WLLLD
Real Salt Lake
WLWWW
Last 1 meetings
St. Louis City · 0W 0D 1L
Match summary
In this MLS match, St. Louis City will face Real Salt Lake. St. Louis has shown a strong offensive presence this season, averaging 1.8 goals per match, while their defense has conceded an average of 1.2 goals. Real Salt Lake, on the other hand, has struggled with consistency, recording an average of 1.3 goals scored per match and 1.5 goals conceded. The tactical matchup will likely hinge on St. Louis's ability to exploit defensive lapses from Real Salt Lake, particularly in transition. With both teams aiming for playoff positioning, the stakes are high.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
49%
45%
Draw
26%
45%
Away
25%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
St. Louis City
Rafael Navarro
19 gls
Real Salt Lake
S. Solans
14 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: St. Louis City vs Real Salt Lake
0
St. Louis City Wins
0
Draws
1
Real Salt Lake Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct 2026 | Real Salt Lake | 3 - 0 | St. Louis City |
St. Louis City — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov | A Houston Dynamo | W | 0 - 1 |
| 31 Oct | H San Diego | L | 0 - 1 |
| 29 Oct | H Portland Timbers | L | 2 - 3 |
| 25 Oct | A Real Salt Lake | L | 3 - 0 |
| 22 Oct | A Columbus Crew | D | 0 - 0 |
Real Salt Lake — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov | H Los Angeles Galaxy | W | 2 - 1 |
| 31 Oct | A San Jose Earthquakes | L | 2 - 1 |
| 29 Oct | A Austin | W | 1 - 2 |
| 25 Oct | H St. Louis City | W | 3 - 0 |
| 18 Oct | A Sporting Kansas City | W | 1 - 3 |
Major League Soccer Standings
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nashville SC
|
34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 71 | 25 | +46 | 77 |
| 2 |
Inter Miami
|
34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 80 | 59 | +21 | 60 |
| 3 |
New England Revolution
|
34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 55 | 47 | +8 | 58 |
| 4 |
Chicago Fire
|
34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 64 | 54 | +10 | 55 |
| 5 |
Charlotte
|
34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 66 | 51 | +15 | 54 |
| 6 |
Philadelphia Union
|
34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 66 | 52 | +14 | 50 |
| 7 |
Columbus Crew
|
34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 59 | 52 | +7 | 47 |
| 8 |
Orlando City SC
|
34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 63 | 78 | -15 | 46 |
| 9 |
FC Cincinnati
|
34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 67 | 75 | -8 | 46 |
| 10 |
New York Red Bulls
|
34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 48 | 62 | -14 | 42 |
| 11 |
New York City FC
|
34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 45 | +4 | 42 |
| 12 |
Toronto FC
|
34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 52 | 67 | -15 | 39 |
| 13 |
Atlanta United FC
|
34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 43 | 60 | -17 | 33 |
| 14 |
DC United
|
34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 33 |
| 15 |
CF Montreal
|
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 26 |
Western Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Vancouver Whitecaps
|
34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 74 | 34 | +40 | 64 |
| 2 |
FC Dallas
|
34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 62 | 51 | +11 | 58 |
| 3 |
St. Louis City
|
34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 59 | 48 | +11 | 54 |
| 4 |
San Jose Earthquakes
|
34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 57 | 51 | +6 | 52 |
| 5 |
Houston Dynamo
|
34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 51 |
| 6 |
Los Angeles FC
|
34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 52 | 40 | +12 | 47 |
| 7 |
Portland Timbers
|
34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 61 | +1 | 46 |
| 8 |
Seattle Sounders
|
34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 46 |
| 9 |
Real Salt Lake
|
34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 53 | 52 | +1 | 45 |
| 10 |
Minnesota United FC
|
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 44 |
| 11 |
Los Angeles Galaxy
|
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 44 |
| 12 |
Colorado Rapids
|
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 43 |
| 13 |
San Diego
|
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 57 | 63 | -6 | 38 |
| 14 |
Austin
|
34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 42 | 65 | -23 | 34 |
| 15 |
Sporting Kansas City
|
34 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 40 | 81 | -41 | 26 |
Real Salt Lake
Formation: 3-4-1-2
Coach: P. Mastroeni
1
Cabral
29
Junqua
26
Quinton
2
Yedlin
8
Sanabria
92
Caliskan
27
Dillon
23
Booth
10
Luna
22
Solans
70
Rodrigues
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rafael Cabral | G |
| 2 | DeAndre Yedlin | D |
| 26 | Philip Quinton | D |
| 29 | Sam Junqua | D |
| 23 | Zach Booth | M |
| 27 | Griffin Dillon | M |
| 92 | Noel Caliskan | M |
| 8 | Juan Sanabria | M |
| 10 | Diego Luna | F |
| 70 | Lineker Rodrigues | F |
| 22 | Sergi Solans | F |
Substitutes
| 6 | Stijn Spierings | M |
| 31 | Mason Stajduhar | G |
| 4 | Lukas Engel | D |
| 98 | Alexandros Katranis | D |
| 21 | Juan Jose Arias | D |
| 11 | Dominik Marczuk | F |
| 12 | Saba Lobzhanidze | M |
| 17 | Victor Olatunji | F |
| 39 | Aiden Hezarkhani | F |
St. Louis City
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: Yoann Damet
1
Bürki
21
Polvara
32
Baumgartl
5
MacNaughton
14
Totland
8
Durkin
24
Edelman
6
Wallem
10
Löwen
77
Sang-bin
11
Becher
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roman Bürki | G |
| 5 | Lukas MacNaughton | D |
| 32 | Timo Baumgartl | D |
| 21 | Dante Polvara | D |
| 6 | Conrad Wallem | M |
| 24 | Daniel Edelman | M |
| 8 | Christopher Durkin | M |
| 14 | Tomas Totland | M |
| 77 | Jeong Sang-bin | F |
| 10 | Eduard Löwen | F |
| 11 | Simon Becher | F |
Substitutes
| 39 | Benjamin Lundt | G |
| 27 | Fallou Fall | D |
| 23 | Alexandru Mățan | M |
| 28 | Miguel Perez | M |
| 59 | Mykhi Joyner | M |
| 7 | Tomáš Ostrák | M |
| 20 | Rafael Santos | D |
| 17 | Marcel Hartel | M |
| 29 | Palmer Ault | M |