Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo Prediction

Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 18

Post on X

Houston Dynamo

Away

AI call Houston Dynamo or draw

23%

27%

50%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo prediction: Sportiko gives Sporting Kansas City a 23% chance of winning, Houston Dynamo 50% and the draw 27%. Last updated 2 Aug 2026, 02:32.

Premium picks

Premium

Home or Away 73%

Premium members had these picks before kick-off. See Premium picks

Timeline

Lasse Berg Johnsen Yellow Card

11' ▮

Lasse Berg Johnsen Yellow Card

45+1' ▮

Lasse Berg Johnsen Red Card

45+1' ▮

HT 0–0

⚽ 0–1 55'

Guilherme assist: Jack McGlynn

Kwaku Agyabeng ⇄ Manu García

65' ⇄

⇄ 65'

Ezequiel Ponce ⇄ Duncan McGuire

Moises Mosquera ⇄ Wyatt Meyer

65' ⇄

Jacob Davis ⇄ Jayden Reid

65' ⇄

⚽ 0–2 71'

Agustín Bouzat

Capita ⇄ Shapi Suleymanov

82' ⇄

⇄ 82'

Felipe Andrade ⇄ Duane Holmes

⇄ 82'

Agustín Bouzat ⇄ Franco Negri

▮ 86'

Lucas Halter Yellow Card

Zorhan Bassong ⇄ Jacob Bartlett

86' ⇄

⇄ 90'

Guilherme ⇄ Ondrej Lingr

⇄ 90'

Héctor Herrera ⇄ Diadié Samassékou

FT 0–2

Sporting Kansas City

Match Stats

Houston Dynamo

36% Ball Possession 64%

0.21 Expected Goals (xG) 1.86

6 Total Shots 14

4 Shots on Goal 4

2 Shots off Goal 9

0 Blocked Shots 1

4 Shots insidebox 8

2 Shots outsidebox 6

2 Corner Kicks 6

0 Offsides 1

10 Fouls 12

2 Yellow Cards 1

1 Red Cards 0

1 Goalkeeper Saves 4

384 Total passes 694

321 Passes accurate 636

84% Passes % 92%

0.44 goals_prevented 0.44

Sporting Kansas City

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
8 Jacob Davis D	7.0	65'	–	–	–	40 (32%)	–
28 Wyatt Meyer D	6.9	27'	–	–	–	12 (12%)	1
20 Kwaku Agyabeng M	6.7	65'	–	–	–	21 (17%)	1
22 Zorhan Bassong M	6.6	85'	–	–	–	29 (25%)	1
99 Jayden Reid D	6.5	27'	–	–	1	11 (11%)	–
7 Capita M	6.5	82'	–	–	1	15 (11%)	–
6 Manu García M	6.5	27'	–	–	–	14 (8%)	–
11 Calvin Harris M	6.3	92'	–	–	1	24 (19%)	2
9 Dejan Joveljić F	6.3	92'	–	–	1	18 (13%)	–
18 Emir Karić D	6.3	92'	–	–	1	49 (42%)	1
93 Shapi Suleymanov F	6.3	10'	–	–	1	6 (5%)	–
3 Moises Mosquera D	6.3	65'	–	–	–	33 (30%)	2
5 Or Blorian D	6.2	92'	–	–	–	50 (45%)	–
4 Lasse Berg Johnsen M	5.3	45'	–	–	–	28 (26%)	–
30 Stefan Cleveland G	5.2	92'	–	–	–	31 (22%)	–
16 Jacob Bartlett D	—	7'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	–

Houston Dynamo

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
20 Guilherme M	8.3	90'	1	–	1	55 (48%)	2
16 Héctor Herrera M	7.9	90'	–	–	2	106 (100%)	3
8 Jack McGlynn M	7.7	92'	–	1	1	85 (79%)	–
31 Jonathan Bond G	7.5	92'	–	–	–	18 (18%)	–
5 Lucas Halter D	7.5	92'	–	–	1	97 (88%)	–
6 Artur M	7.3	92'	–	–	1	103 (99%)	1
34 Agustin Resch D	7.3	92'	–	–	2	72 (64%)	1
30 Agustín Bouzat M	7.0	82'	1	–	1	47 (37%)	–
36 Felipe Andrade D	6.9	82'	–	–	2	28 (28%)	4
21 Franco Negri D	6.7	10'	–	–	–	8 (7%)	–
14 Duane Holmes M	6.7	10'	–	–	–	7 (7%)	–
23 Duncan McGuire F	6.5	27'	–	–	–	2 (1%)	–
11 Lawrence Ennali D	6.2	92'	–	–	–	49 (46%)	1
10 Ezequiel Ponce F	6.2	65'	–	–	2	11 (8%)	–
18 Diadié Samassékou M	—	2'	–	–	–	4 (4%)	–
9 Ondrej Lingr M	—	2'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	–

Premium

Unlock the AI's full read on Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo

All 70+ probability markets
AI Deep-Dive match report
Value Edge — model vs market
Pick types you choose

Go Premium

Confidence Low (50%)

At a glance

Our lean

Houston Dynamo or draw

Most likely score

0:1 · 17.3%

Both teams to score

35%

Over 2.5 goals

36%

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Sporting Kansas City

LWLLL

Houston Dynamo

DLWDD

Last 3 meetings Sporting Kansas City · 1W 2D 0L

Match summary

Sporting Kansas City faces Houston Dynamo in an MLS clash on August 2, 2026. Kansas City has shown a solid home record with a goal differential of +10 this season, leveraging their attacking prowess led by their top scorer, who has netted 12 goals. Houston Dynamo, while resilient, has struggled away from home, with only 2 wins in their last 10 matches on the road. Both teams will be looking for crucial points, but Kansas City's recent form suggests they might have the edge in this matchup.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

23%

10%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

50%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Houston Dynamo goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	13	17	15	8	3	1
1	5	12	8	4	2	1
2	2	3	2	1
3		1
4
5

↑ Sporting Kansas City goals · most likely 0–1 (17.3%)

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Players in form

Sporting Kansas City

No scorer data.

Houston Dynamo

Guilherme 14 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

Why this pick? · Premium AI Deep-Dive · Premium

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.

Unlock all models

Match Result

Away Win

50%

Draw

27%

Home Win

23%

Both Teams To Score

65% BTTS No 35% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

36%

1.5

64%

2.5

36%

83%

3.5

17%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Home or Draw

Premium

Match Result

Away Win

50%

Draw

27%

Home Win

23%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Home or Draw

Premium

Winner

84% Away (No Draw) 16% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

34% Away Win by 2+ 3% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

61% Away Scores More 27% Equal Goals 12% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

36%

1.5

64%

2.5

36%

83%

3.5

17%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

65% BTTS No 35% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

22%

28%

19%

10%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

Premium

2-4 Goals

Premium

1-2 Goals

Premium

2-3 Goals

Premium

3-5 Goals

Premium

4-6 Goals

Premium

Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

Premium

BTTS & Under 3.5

Premium

BTTS & Over 3.5

Premium

Result + Goals

Away Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Home Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Home Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Draw & Over 2.5

Premium

Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

Premium

Home/Away & Over 2.5

Premium

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

Premium

Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	13.1%	17.3%	14.8%	7.9%	3.1%
1	5.2%	11.8%	8.3%	4.4%	1.8%
2	1.8%	2.9%	2.3%	1.2%	0.5%
3	0.3%	0.6%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%
4	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

Premium

1st Half Away Win

Premium

1st Half Home Win

Premium

1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

Premium

1st Half Home or Draw

Premium

1st Half Home or Away

Premium

1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

Premium

1h Exact Goals

38%

35%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

Premium

2nd Half Draw

Premium

2nd Half Home Win

Premium

2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

Premium

2nd Half Home or Away

Premium

2nd Half Home or Draw

Premium

2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

66%

1.5

34%

89%

2.5

11%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

Premium

2h Exact Goals

32%

34%

22%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Sporting Kansas City	Draw	Houston Dynamo
Sporting Kansas City	5.9%	2.8%	1.5%
Draw	5.6%	19.6%	21.1%
Houston Dynamo	0.6%	3.2%	39.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

98%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

57%

32%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

79%

0.5

21%

98%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

73%

0.5

27%

96%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

53%

1.5

47%

79%

2.5

21%

93%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

21%

33%

26%

14%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

Premium

Away +1 Win

Premium

Home +2 Win

Premium

Home +1 Win

Premium

Away -1 Win

Premium

Away -1 Draw

Premium

Away -2 Draw

Premium

Away -2 Win

Premium

Home -1 Draw

Premium

Home -1 Win

Premium

Home -2 Draw

Premium

Home -2 Win

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Head to Head: Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo

1 Sporting Kansas City Wins

2 Draws

0 Houston Dynamo Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
23 Nov 2013	Sporting Kansas City	2 - 1	Houston Dynamo
09 Nov 2013	Houston Dynamo	0 - 0	Sporting Kansas City
09 Oct 2013	Houston Dynamo	0 - 0	Sporting Kansas City

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Sporting Kansas City — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Philadelphia Union	L	3 - 4
13 Sep	H Los Angeles FC	W	3 - 1
06 Sep	A FC Dallas	L	4 - 3
30 Aug	H Vancouver Whitecaps	L	0 - 3
23 Aug	A Atlanta United FC	L	2 - 1

Houston Dynamo — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H FC Cincinnati	D	2 - 2
13 Sep	A San Jose Earthquakes	L	1 - 0
10 Sep	H Real Salt Lake	W	2 - 1
05 Sep	A Charlotte	D	0 - 0
30 Aug	H San Jose Earthquakes	D	0 - 0

Major League Soccer Standings

Eastern Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	26	17	6	3	53	21	+32	57
2	New England Revolution	26	14	4	8	45	33	+12	46
3	Inter Miami	26	12	10	4	63	48	+15	46
4	Charlotte	26	12	7	7	47	37	+10	43
5	Chicago Fire	25	11	6	8	45	38	+7	39
6	Philadelphia Union	26	10	6	10	50	42	+8	36
7	Orlando City SC	26	10	4	12	46	60	-14	34
8	New York Red Bulls	26	9	6	11	34	48	-14	33
9	FC Cincinnati	25	8	9	8	54	61	-7	33
10	New York City FC	26	8	8	10	39	34	+5	32
11	DC United	25	6	11	8	31	39	-8	29
12	Toronto FC	26	6	11	9	39	49	-10	29
13	Columbus Crew	26	7	5	14	37	42	-5	26
14	Atlanta United FC	26	7	5	14	30	43	-13	26
15	CF Montreal	26	5	6	15	31	53	-22	21

Western Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	25	15	4	6	56	23	+33	49
2	Houston Dynamo	26	13	5	8	34	30	+4	44
3	St. Louis City	26	12	8	6	45	36	+9	44
4	FC Dallas	26	12	8	6	49	42	+7	44
5	San Jose Earthquakes	26	12	6	8	46	38	+8	42
6	Los Angeles FC	27	11	8	8	43	29	+14	41
7	Colorado Rapids	26	11	3	12	36	35	+1	36
8	Los Angeles Galaxy	27	8	9	10	34	42	-8	33
9	Portland Timbers	26	9	5	12	47	48	-1	32
10	Seattle Sounders	25	8	8	9	30	33	-3	32
11	San Diego	26	8	7	11	44	44	0	31
12	Austin	26	7	9	10	32	44	-12	30
13	Real Salt Lake	26	8	5	13	37	44	-7	29
14	Minnesota United FC	26	7	8	11	39	46	-7	29
15	Sporting Kansas City	25	5	3	17	29	63	-34	18

Houston Dynamo

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Ben Olsen

31 Bond

36 Andrade

34 Resch

5 Halter

11 Ennali

16 Herrera

6 Artur

20 Guilherme

30 Bouzat

8 McGlynn

10 Ponce

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
31	Jonathan Bond	G
11	Lawrence Ennali	D
5	Lucas Halter	D
34	Agustin Resch	D
36	Felipe Andrade	D
6	Artur	M
16	Héctor Herrera	M
8	Jack McGlynn	M
30	Agustín Bouzat	M
20	Guilherme	M
10	Ezequiel Ponce	F

Substitutes

26	Blake Gillingham	G
28	Erik Sviatchenko	D
21	Franco Negri	D
18	Diadié Samassékou	M
14	Duane Holmes	M
22	Matthew Arana	M
9	Ondrej Lingr	M
24	Ibrahim Aliyu	F
23	Duncan McGuire	F