DC United vs Nashville SC Prediction

Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 18

Post on X

Nashville SC

Away

AI call Nashville SC or draw

26%

27%

47%

Home Win Draw Away Win

DC United vs Nashville SC prediction: Sportiko gives DC United a 26% chance of winning, Nashville SC 47% and the draw 27%. Last updated 2 Aug 2026, 01:43.

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 32'

Sam Surridge Penalty

⚽ 0–2 40'

Shakur Mohammed

▮ 45+3'

Hany Mukhtar Yellow Card

Tai Baribo Yellow Card

45+3' ▮

HT 0–2

Silvan Hefti

56' ⚽ 1–2

⇄ 62'

Shakur Mohammed ⇄ Warren Madrigal

⇄ 62'

Ahmed Qasem ⇄ Elias Saad

Jackson Hopkins ⇄ Nathan Ordaz

64' ⇄

Brandon Servania ⇄ Matti Peltola

64' ⇄

Lucas Bartlett Yellow Card

72' ▮

⇄ 73'

Hany Mukhtar ⇄ Bryan Acosta

Tai Baribo assist: Louis Munteanu

77' ⚽ 2–2

▮ 84'

Elias Saad Yellow Card

⇄ 84'

Edvard Tagseth ⇄ Josh Bauer

⇄ 84'

Andy Najar ⇄ Reed Baker-Whiting

Louis Munteanu ⇄ Jared Stroud

90+1' ⇄

▮ 90+10'

Matthew Corcoran Yellow Card

FT 2–2

DC United

Match Stats

Nashville SC

38% Ball Possession 62%

2.03 Expected Goals (xG) 1.52

17 Total Shots 10

7 Shots on Goal 2

6 Shots off Goal 5

4 Blocked Shots 3

9 Shots insidebox 8

8 Shots outsidebox 2

8 Corner Kicks 3

Offsides

14 Fouls 9

2 Yellow Cards 2

Red Cards

0 Goalkeeper Saves 5

295 Total passes 499

225 Passes accurate 433

76% Passes % 87%

0.10 goals_prevented 0.10

DC United

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
5 Silvan Hefti D	7.7	97'	1	–	1	24 (20%)	3
9 Tai Baribo F	7.3	97'	1	–	5	22 (16%)	–
7 João Peglow M	7.2	97'	–	–	1	29 (24%)	3
11 Louis Munteanu F	7.0	91'	–	1	5	22 (14%)	–
21 Andre Dozzell M	6.9	97'	–	–	–	31 (24%)	2
15 Kye Rowles D	6.9	97'	–	–	–	25 (22%)	1
6 Keisuke Kurokawa D	6.7	97'	–	–	–	22 (21%)	2
22 Nathan Ordaz F	6.7	33'	–	–	–	4 (3%)	–
4 Matti Peltola D	6.6	33'	–	–	–	18 (13%)	1
23 Brandon Servania M	6.5	64'	–	–	1	22 (19%)	2
1 Sean Johnson G	6.2	97'	–	–	–	21 (12%)	–
3 Lucas Bartlett D	6.2	97'	–	–	–	39 (27%)	–
25 Jackson Hopkins M	6.2	64'	–	–	–	7 (6%)	–
8 Jared Stroud M	—	6'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	–

Nashville SC

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
14 Shakur Mohammed M	8.0	62'	1	–	1	21 (17%)	3
99 Brian Schwake G	7.3	97'	–	–	–	30 (22%)	–
3 Maxwell Woledzi D	7.2	97'	–	–	–	71 (70%)	–
20 Edvard Tagseth M	7.2	84'	–	–	–	64 (60%)	1
16 Matthew Corcoran M	7.2	97'	–	–	–	65 (54%)	1
4 Jeisson Palacios D	7.0	97'	–	–	–	57 (52%)	2
10 Hany Mukhtar M	6.9	73'	–	–	–	24 (24%)	–
31 Andy Najar D	6.9	84'	–	–	–	56 (50%)	1
11 Elias Saad F	6.7	35'	–	–	1	11 (8%)	2
22 Josh Bauer D	6.7	13'	–	–	1	8 (7%)	–
2 Daniel Lovitz D	6.7	97'	–	–	1	43 (30%)	3
41 Warren Madrigal F	6.7	35'	–	–	–	8 (8%)	1
9 Sam Surridge F	6.6	97'	1	–	3	14 (7%)	–
37 Ahmed Qasem M	6.3	62'	–	–	–	15 (15%)	1
6 Bryan Acosta M	6.3	24'	–	–	–	8 (7%)	1
27 Reed Baker-Whiting D	6.3	13'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	–

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Confidence Low (47%)

At a glance

Our lean

Nashville SC or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.7%

Both teams to score

51%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

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DC United

LDWDL

Nashville SC

WDLDW

Last 1 meetings DC United · 0W 1D 0L

Match summary

DC United faces Nashville SC in a pivotal MLS matchup. DC United has shown resilience at home, with a record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses in their last 10 matches. Nashville SC, known for their solid defensive structure, has recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses away from home. Key players to watch include DC’s leading goal scorer, who has netted 12 goals this season, and Nashville's goalkeeper, boasting a save percentage above 75%. The match promises to be competitive, with both teams vying for crucial points in the playoff race.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

26%

10%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

47%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Nashville SC goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	8	11	11	6	3	1
1	5	13	10	6	3	1
2	3	5	5	3	1
3	1	2	1	1
4
5

↑ DC United goals · most likely 1–1 (12.7%)

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Players in form

DC United

T. Baribo 14 gls

Nashville SC

S. Surridge 16 gls

H. Mukhtar 11 gls

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Match Result

Away Win

47%

Draw

27%

Home Win

26%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

24%

1.5

76%

50%

2.5

50%

73%

3.5

27%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

47%

Draw

27%

Home Win

26%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

75% Away (No Draw) 25% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

32% Away Win by 2+ 7% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

55% Away Scores More 26% Equal Goals 18% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

24%

1.5

76%

50%

2.5

50%

73%

3.5

27%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Exact Goals

16%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.4%	10.7%	10.7%	6.3%	2.8%
1	4.9%	12.7%	9.9%	5.8%	2.6%
2	2.9%	5.2%	4.5%	2.7%	1.2%
3	0.9%	1.6%	1.4%	0.8%	0.4%
4	0.2%	0.4%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

53%

1.5

47%

80%

2.5

20%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	DC United	Draw	Nashville SC
DC United	11.1%	4.7%	3.3%
Draw	6.9%	16.6%	21.8%
Nashville SC	0.9%	3.2%	31.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

93%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

40%

37%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

93%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

48%

1.5

52%

75%

2.5

25%

91%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

17%

31%

27%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

84%

1.5

16%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

71%

1.5

29%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: DC United vs Nashville SC

0 DC United Wins

1 Draws

0 Nashville SC Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
10 May 2026	Nashville SC	2 - 2	DC United

DC United — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Charlotte	L	1 - 2
12 Sep	H Atlanta United FC	D	0 - 0
09 Sep	H Columbus Crew	W	2 - 1
29 Aug	H Los Angeles FC	D	0 - 0
22 Aug	A Charlotte	L	3 - 1

Nashville SC — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Chicago Fire	W	3 - 0
12 Sep	A Inter Miami	D	2 - 2
09 Sep	A Toronto FC	L	2 - 1
04 Sep	A New York City FC	D	0 - 0
30 Aug	H FC Cincinnati	W	4 - 0

Major League Soccer Standings

Eastern Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	26	17	6	3	53	21	+32	57
2	New England Revolution	26	14	4	8	45	33	+12	46
3	Inter Miami	26	12	10	4	63	48	+15	46
4	Charlotte	26	12	7	7	47	37	+10	43
5	Chicago Fire	25	11	6	8	45	38	+7	39
6	Philadelphia Union	26	10	6	10	50	42	+8	36
7	Orlando City SC	26	10	4	12	46	60	-14	34
8	New York Red Bulls	26	9	6	11	34	48	-14	33
9	FC Cincinnati	25	8	9	8	54	61	-7	33
10	New York City FC	26	8	8	10	39	34	+5	32
11	DC United	25	6	11	8	31	39	-8	29
12	Toronto FC	26	6	11	9	39	49	-10	29
13	Columbus Crew	26	7	5	14	37	42	-5	26
14	Atlanta United FC	26	7	5	14	30	43	-13	26
15	CF Montreal	26	5	6	15	31	53	-22	21

Western Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	25	15	4	6	56	23	+33	49
2	Houston Dynamo	26	13	5	8	34	30	+4	44
3	St. Louis City	26	12	8	6	45	36	+9	44
4	FC Dallas	26	12	8	6	49	42	+7	44
5	San Jose Earthquakes	26	12	6	8	46	38	+8	42
6	Los Angeles FC	27	11	8	8	43	29	+14	41
7	Colorado Rapids	26	11	3	12	36	35	+1	36
8	Los Angeles Galaxy	27	8	9	10	34	42	-8	33
9	Portland Timbers	26	9	5	12	47	48	-1	32
10	San Diego	26	8	7	11	44	44	0	31
11	Austin	26	7	9	10	32	44	-12	30
12	Real Salt Lake	25	8	5	12	37	42	-5	29
13	Seattle Sounders	24	7	8	9	28	33	-5	29
14	Minnesota United FC	26	7	8	11	39	46	-7	29
15	Sporting Kansas City	25	5	3	17	29	63	-34	18

DC United

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Rene Weiler

1 Johnson

6 Kurokawa

15 Rowles

3 Bartlett

5 Hefti

7 Peglow

23 Servania

21 Dozzell

25 Hopkins

11 Munteanu

9 Baribo

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Sean Johnson	G
5	Silvan Hefti	D
3	Lucas Bartlett	D
15	Kye Rowles	D
6	Keisuke Kurokawa	D
25	Jackson Hopkins	M
21	Andre Dozzell	M
23	Brandon Servania	M
7	João Peglow	M
9	Tai Baribo	F
11	Louis Munteanu	F

Substitutes

4	Matti Peltola	D
22	Nathan Ordaz	F
26	Alex Bono	G
27	Nikola Markovic	D
13	Sean Nealis	D
77	Hosei Kijima	M
32	Oscar Avilez	F
8	Jared Stroud	M
40	Kamil Castillo	M

Nashville SC

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Brian Callaghan

99 Schwake

2 Lovitz

3 Woledzi

4 Palacios

31 Najar

16 Corcoran

20 Tagseth

37 Qasem

10 Mukhtar

14 Mohammed

9 Surridge

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
99	Brian Schwake	G
31	Andy Najar	D
4	Jeisson Palacios	D
3	Maxwell Woledzi	D
2	Daniel Lovitz	D
20	Edvard Tagseth	M
16	Matthew Corcoran	M
14	Shakur Mohammed	M
10	Hany Mukhtar	M
37	Ahmed Qasem	M
9	Sam Surridge	F

Substitutes

41	Warren Madrigal	F
11	Elias Saad	F
6	Bryan Acosta	M
22	Josh Bauer	D
27	Reed Baker-Whiting	D
13	Xavier Valdez	G
5	Jack Maher	D
23	Jordan Knight	D
12	Charles-Emile Brunet	M