Los Angeles FC vs Sporting Kansas City Prediction

Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 17

Post on X

Sporting Kansas City

Away

AI call Los Angeles FC to win or draw

78%

15%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Los Angeles FC vs Sporting Kansas City prediction: Sportiko gives Los Angeles FC a 78% chance of winning, Sporting Kansas City 7% and the draw 15%. Last updated 26 Jul 2026, 04:37.

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Timeline

▮ 2'

Manu García Yellow Card

Son Heung-min

5' ⚽ 1–0

Denis Bouanga assist: Mathieu Choinière

37' ⚽ 2–0

David Martínez Morales assist: Denis Bouanga

45+4' ⚽ 3–0

HT 3–0

Timothy Tillman ⇄ Eddie Segura

46' ⇄

⇄ 62'

Manu García ⇄ Kwaku Agyabeng

⇄ 62'

Stephen Afrifa ⇄ Shapi Suleymanov

Mark Delgado ⇄ Jude Terry

62' ⇄

⇄ 69'

Or Blorian ⇄ Moises Mosquera

▮ 75'

Calvin Harris Yellow Card

Ryan Hollingshead ⇄ Ryan Raposo

78' ⇄

David Martínez Morales ⇄ Tyler Boyd

78' ⇄

Denis Bouanga assist: Tyler Boyd

85' ⚽ 4–0

Son Heung-min ⇄ Jeremy Ebobisse

85' ⇄

FT 4–0

Los Angeles FC

Match Stats

Sporting Kansas City

47% Ball Possession 53%

1.38 Expected Goals (xG) 0.24

8 Total Shots 6

5 Shots on Goal 1

1 Shots off Goal 2

2 Blocked Shots 3

5 Shots insidebox 3

3 Shots outsidebox 3

5 Corner Kicks 1

0 Offsides 2

7 Fouls 11

0 Yellow Cards 2

Red Cards

1 Goalkeeper Saves 1

593 Total passes 680

544 Passes accurate 630

92% Passes % 93%

-1.89 goals_prevented -1.89

Los Angeles FC

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
99 Denis Bouanga F	9.5	93'	2	1	2	33 (30%)	–
30 David Martínez Morales F	8.2	78'	1	–	1	33 (28%)	1
5 Ryan Porteous D	7.9	93'	–	–	–	80 (76%)	3
7 Son Heung-min F	7.6	85'	1	–	2	28 (26%)	–
66 Mathieu Choinière M	7.2	93'	–	1	–	81 (72%)	2
33 Aaron Long D	7.2	93'	–	–	–	80 (75%)	2
19 Tyler Boyd F	7.2	15'	–	1	–	4 (4%)	–
1 Hugo Lloris G	6.9	93'	–	–	–	23 (18%)	–
21 Ryan Raposo M	6.9	15'	–	–	–	12 (11%)	–
23 Yevhen Cheberko D	6.7	93'	–	–	–	67 (61%)	1
8 Mark Delgado M	6.7	62'	–	–	–	45 (44%)	1
22 Jude Terry M	6.7	31'	–	–	–	12 (12%)	1
11 Timothy Tillman M	6.7	45'	–	–	–	32 (29%)	–
24 Ryan Hollingshead D	6.6	78'	–	–	–	40 (35%)	–
4 Eddie Segura D	6.5	48'	–	–	1	23 (23%)	–
17 Jeremy Ebobisse F	6.3	8'	–	–	–	–	–

Sporting Kansas City

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
4 Lasse Berg Johnsen M	7.2	93'	–	–	–	140 (133%)	3
3 Moises Mosquera D	6.7	24'	–	–	–	14 (13%)	1
93 Shapi Suleymanov F	6.6	31'	–	–	–	22 (21%)	–
20 Kwaku Agyabeng M	6.5	31'	–	–	–	17 (17%)	1
5 Or Blorian D	6.3	69'	–	–	–	46 (45%)	–
9 Dejan Joveljić F	6.3	93'	–	–	1	17 (13%)	–
22 Zorhan Bassong M	6.2	93'	–	–	1	55 (46%)	3
11 Calvin Harris M	6.2	93'	–	–	1	35 (32%)	–
8 Jacob Davis D	6.2	93'	–	–	–	87 (80%)	2
18 Emir Karić D	6.0	93'	–	–	–	95 (91%)	1
17 Stephen Afrifa M	6.0	62'	–	–	–	25 (22%)	–
6 Manu García M	5.9	62'	–	–	–	41 (36%)	–
28 Wyatt Meyer D	5.6	93'	–	–	–	65 (62%)	–
30 Stefan Cleveland G	5.3	93'	–	–	–	21 (19%)	–

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Confidence High (78%)

At a glance

Our lean

Los Angeles FC to win or draw

Most likely score

2:0 · 19.6%

Both teams to score

26%

Over 2.5 goals

43%

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Los Angeles FC

DLWDD

Sporting Kansas City

LWLLL

Last 1 meetings Los Angeles FC · 0W 0D 1L

Match summary

Los Angeles FC faces Sporting Kansas City in a Major League Soccer matchup on July 26, 2026. LAFC has shown a strong attacking presence, averaging 2.1 goals per game this season, driven by key players like Carlos Vela. In contrast, Sporting Kansas City has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game. Both teams will aim to capitalize on set pieces, as LAFC has been effective in this area, while SKC has shown vulnerabilities. The match promises to be competitive, with LAFC looking to leverage their offensive strength against Kansas City's defensive frailties.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

78%

45%

Draw

15%

45%

Away

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Sporting Kansas City goals →

	0	1	2
0	10	2	1
1	18	7	1
2	20	7	1
3	14	5	1
4	7	2
5	3	1

↑ Los Angeles FC goals · most likely 2–0 (19.6%)

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Players in form

Los Angeles FC

D. Bouanga 14 gls

Sporting Kansas City

No scorer data.

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Match Result

Home Win

78%

Draw

15%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

74% BTTS No 26% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

30%

1.5

70%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

78%

Draw

15%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

95% Home (No Draw) 5% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

53% Home Win by 2+ 1% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

78% Home Scores More 18% Equal Goals 4% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

30%

1.5

70%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

74% BTTS No 26% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

20%

27%

22%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.6%	2.2%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
1	17.8%	7.1%	1.1%	0.1%	0.0%
2	19.6%	6.7%	1.1%	0.1%	0.0%
3	13.8%	4.7%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%
4	7.3%	2.5%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

68%

1.5

32%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

35%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

34%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Los Angeles FC	Draw	Sporting Kansas City
Los Angeles FC	55.0%	1.8%	0.2%
Draw	22.9%	13.2%	2.1%
Sporting Kansas City	1.3%	1.6%	2.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

39%

1.5

61%

66%

2.5

34%

85%

3.5

15%

Home Exact Goals

12%

26%

28%

19%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

69%

1.5

31%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

71%

0.5

29%

95%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

71%

24%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

86%

0.5

14%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

83%

0.5

17%

98%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Los Angeles FC vs Sporting Kansas City

0 Los Angeles FC Wins

0 Draws

1 Sporting Kansas City Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
13 Sep 2026	Sporting Kansas City	3 - 1	Los Angeles FC

Los Angeles FC — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A San Jose Earthquakes	D	2 - 2
13 Sep	A Sporting Kansas City	L	3 - 1
10 Sep	H New York Red Bulls	W	2 - 0
06 Sep	A Real Salt Lake	D	2 - 2
29 Aug	A DC United	D	0 - 0

Sporting Kansas City — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Philadelphia Union	L	3 - 4
13 Sep	H Los Angeles FC	W	3 - 1
06 Sep	A FC Dallas	L	4 - 3
30 Aug	H Vancouver Whitecaps	L	0 - 3
23 Aug	A Atlanta United FC	L	2 - 1

Major League Soccer Standings

Eastern Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	26	17	6	3	53	21	+32	57
2	New England Revolution	26	14	4	8	45	33	+12	46
3	Inter Miami	26	12	10	4	63	48	+15	46
4	Charlotte	26	12	7	7	47	37	+10	43
5	Chicago Fire	25	11	6	8	45	38	+7	39
6	Philadelphia Union	26	10	6	10	50	42	+8	36
7	Orlando City SC	26	10	4	12	46	60	-14	34
8	New York Red Bulls	26	9	6	11	34	48	-14	33
9	FC Cincinnati	25	8	9	8	54	61	-7	33
10	New York City FC	26	8	8	10	39	34	+5	32
11	DC United	25	6	11	8	31	39	-8	29
12	Toronto FC	26	6	11	9	39	49	-10	29
13	Columbus Crew	26	7	5	14	37	42	-5	26
14	Atlanta United FC	26	7	5	14	30	43	-13	26
15	CF Montreal	26	5	6	15	31	53	-22	21

Western Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	25	15	4	6	56	23	+33	49
2	Houston Dynamo	26	13	5	8	34	30	+4	44
3	St. Louis City	26	12	8	6	45	36	+9	44
4	FC Dallas	26	12	8	6	49	42	+7	44
5	San Jose Earthquakes	26	12	6	8	46	38	+8	42
6	Los Angeles FC	27	11	8	8	43	29	+14	41
7	Colorado Rapids	26	11	3	12	36	35	+1	36
8	Los Angeles Galaxy	27	8	9	10	34	42	-8	33
9	Portland Timbers	26	9	5	12	47	48	-1	32
10	Seattle Sounders	25	8	8	9	30	33	-3	32
11	San Diego	26	8	7	11	44	44	0	31
12	Austin	26	7	9	10	32	44	-12	30
13	Real Salt Lake	26	8	5	13	37	44	-7	29
14	Minnesota United FC	26	7	8	11	39	46	-7	29
15	Sporting Kansas City	25	5	3	17	29	63	-34	18

Los Angeles FC

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Marc Dos Santos

1 Lloris

23 Cheberko

33 Long

5 Porteous

24 Hollingshead

8 Delgado

66 Choinière

11 Tillman

99 Bouanga

7 Heung-min

30 Morales

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Hugo Lloris	G
24	Ryan Hollingshead	D
5	Ryan Porteous	D
33	Aaron Long	D
23	Yevhen Cheberko	D
11	Timothy Tillman	M
66	Mathieu Choinière	M
8	Mark Delgado	M
30	David Martínez Morales	F
7	Son Heung-min	F
99	Denis Bouanga	F

Substitutes

12	Thomas Hasal	G
91	Nkosi Tafari	D
4	Eddie Segura	D
45	Kenny Nielsen	D
18	Jacob Shaffelburg	F
22	Jude Terry	M
21	Ryan Raposo	M
19	Tyler Boyd	F
17	Jeremy Ebobisse	F

Sporting Kansas City

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Raphael Wicky

30 Cleveland

18 Karić

28 Meyer

5 Blorian

8 Davis

4 Johnsen

22 Bassong

11 Harris

6 García

17 Afrifa

9 Joveljić

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
30	Stefan Cleveland	G
8	Jacob Davis	D
5	Or Blorian	D
28	Wyatt Meyer	D
18	Emir Karić	D
22	Zorhan Bassong	M
4	Lasse Berg Johnsen	M
17	Stephen Afrifa	M
6	Manu García	M
11	Calvin Harris	M
9	Dejan Joveljić	F

Substitutes

1	John Pulskamp	G
23	Ethan Bartlow	D
15	Jansen Miller	D
2	Ian James	D
99	Jayden Reid	D
3	Moises Mosquera	D
16	Jacob Bartlett	D
20	Kwaku Agyabeng	M
93	Shapi Suleymanov	F