Houston Dynamo vs Austin Prediction

Major League Soccer Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 17
FT
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AI call Difficult Houston Dynamo win or draw
52%
28%
20%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Houston Dynamo vs Austin prediction: Sportiko gives Houston Dynamo a 52% chance of winning, Austin 20% and the draw 28%. Last updated 26 Jul 2026, 02:38.

Premium picks

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  • 1st Half Draw or Away 74%
  • Home to Score 72%
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Timeline

Mateusz Bogusz assist: Ezequiel Ponce
12' ⚽ 1–0
▮ 18'
Ilie Sánchez Yellow Card
Mateusz Bogusz assist: Guilherme
29' ⚽ 2–0
Guilherme assist: Agustín Bouzat
32' ⚽ 3–0
Felipe Andrade Yellow Card
42' ▮
HT 3–0
⇄ 60'
Ilie Sánchez ⇄ Besard Sabović
⇄ 60'
Przemysław Płacheta ⇄ Joseph Rosales
▮ 62'
Besard Sabović Yellow Card
Lucas Halter Yellow Card
62' ▮
Diadié Samassékou ⇄ Artur
63' ⇄
Agustín Bouzat ⇄ Jack McGlynn
70' ⇄
Ezequiel Ponce ⇄ Duncan McGuire
70' ⇄
⇄ 71'
Facundo Torres ⇄ Ervin Torres
⇄ 71'
Oleksandr Svatok ⇄ Mateja Đorđević
⇄ 82'
Jon Gallagher ⇄ Žan Kolmanič
Guilherme ⇄ Ondrej Lingr
84' ⇄
Lucas Halter ⇄ Erik Sviatchenko
85' ⇄
FT 3–0
Houston Dynamo

Match Stats

Austin
46% Ball Possession 54%
1.70 Expected Goals (xG) 0.82
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Goal 5
5 Shots off Goal 5
1 Blocked Shots 5
9 Shots insidebox 13
1 Shots outsidebox 2
1 Corner Kicks 6
3 Offsides 0
12 Fouls 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
Red Cards
5 Goalkeeper Saves 1
423 Total passes 476
381 Passes accurate 428
90% Passes % 90%
-1.20 goals_prevented -1.20
Houston Dynamo
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
20 Guilherme M 8.7 84' 1 1 3 41 (37%) –
19 Mateusz Bogusz M 8.5 91' 2 – 4 14 (12%) 1
31 Jonathan Bond G 7.5 91' – – – 35 (33%) –
16 Héctor Herrera M 7.2 91' – – – 65 (61%) –
30 Agustín Bouzat M 7.2 70' – 1 – 29 (23%) 3
5 Lucas Halter D 7.0 85' – – – 60 (55%) 1
34 Agustin Resch D 6.9 91' – – – 67 (64%) 2
10 Ezequiel Ponce F 6.9 70' – 1 2 13 (10%) –
11 Lawrence Ennali D 6.7 91' – – – 15 (14%) 1
18 Diadié Samassékou M 6.7 63' – – – 25 (22%) 1
8 Jack McGlynn M 6.6 21' – – – 6 (5%) –
23 Duncan McGuire F 6.5 21' – – – 1 (1%) –
36 Felipe Andrade D 6.3 91' – – – 25 (22%) 1
6 Artur M 6.3 28' – – – 19 (16%) –
28 Erik Sviatchenko D — 6' – – – 2 (2%) –
9 Ondrej Lingr M — 7' – – – 2 (2%) 1
Austin
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
77 Przemysław Płacheta M 7.0 60' – – 2 36 (30%) 1
30 Joseph Rosales M 6.9 31' – – – 16 (12%) –
10 Myrto Uzuni F 6.9 91' – – – 25 (22%) 4
4 Brendan Hines-Ike D 6.7 91' – – – 72 (69%) 3
14 Besard Sabović M 6.7 31' – – – 18 (17%) –
6 Ilie Sánchez M 6.7 60' – – – 27 (25%) 1
11 Facundo Torres F 6.7 71' – – 1 30 (27%) –
23 Žan Kolmanič D 6.7 9' – – – 5 (4%) –
35 Mateja Đorđević D 6.7 21' – – – 13 (12%) –
38 Ervin Torres M 6.7 20' – – – 10 (10%) 1
33 Owen Wolff M 6.5 91' – – – 44 (41%) 1
5 Oleksandr Svatok D 6.3 70' – – – 50 (49%) –
17 Jon Gallagher M 6.3 82' – – 1 26 (25%) 2
9 Brandon Vázquez F 6.3 91' – – 4 11 (10%) –
29 Guilherme Biro D 6.2 91' – – – 64 (57%) 2
1 Brad Stuver G 5.6 91' – – – 22 (11%) –
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Confidence Medium (52%)

At a glance

Our lean
Difficult Houston Dynamo win or draw
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Houston Dynamo
LLWDD
Austin
LLLWL
Last 1 meetings Houston Dynamo · 0W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming MLS match, Houston Dynamo will face Austin FC. Houston has shown a strong home record, especially in terms of goals scored, averaging 1.8 goals per game at home this season. Austin, however, has been solid on the road, with a defense that allows fewer than 1.5 goals per game. The matchup will likely hinge on Houston's ability to capitalize on offensive opportunities against Austin's disciplined backline. Both teams will seek crucial points in the playoff race, making this a pivotal encounter.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
52%
45%
Draw
28%
45%
Away
20%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Houston Dynamo
Guilherme 16 gls
Austin

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Houston Dynamo vs Austin

0 Houston Dynamo Wins
0 Draws
1 Austin Wins
Date Home Score Away
26 Apr 2026 Austin 2 - 0 Houston Dynamo

Houston Dynamo — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
08 Nov H St. Louis City L 0 - 1
02 Nov A Portland Timbers L 3 - 1
29 Oct A Seattle Sounders W 0 - 1
25 Oct H Minnesota United FC D 0 - 0
18 Oct H FC Dallas D 2 - 2

Austin — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
08 Nov H Portland Timbers L 0 - 2
31 Oct A Los Angeles Galaxy L 4 - 1
29 Oct H Real Salt Lake L 1 - 2
25 Oct A Sporting Kansas City W 1 - 2
18 Oct H Vancouver Whitecaps L 1 - 2

Major League Soccer Standings

Eastern Conference

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Nashville SC
34 23 8 3 +46 77
2
Inter Miami
34 16 12 6 +21 60
3
New England Revolution
34 18 4 12 +8 58
4
Chicago Fire
34 16 7 11 +10 55
5
Charlotte
34 15 9 10 +15 54
6
Philadelphia Union
34 14 8 12 +14 50
7
Columbus Crew
34 14 5 15 +7 47
8
Orlando City SC
34 13 7 14 -15 46
9
FC Cincinnati
34 12 10 12 -8 46
10
New York Red Bulls
34 12 6 16 -14 42
11
New York City FC
34 10 12 12 +4 42
12
Toronto FC
34 9 12 13 -15 39
13
Atlanta United FC
34 9 6 19 -17 33
14
DC United
34 7 12 15 -22 33
15
CF Montreal
34 6 8 20 -32 26

Western Conference

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Vancouver Whitecaps
34 19 7 8 +40 64
2
FC Dallas
34 16 10 8 +11 58
3
St. Louis City
34 15 9 10 +11 54
4
San Jose Earthquakes
34 14 10 10 +6 52
5
Houston Dynamo
34 14 9 11 0 51
6
Los Angeles FC
34 12 11 11 +12 47
7
Portland Timbers
34 13 7 14 +1 46
8
Seattle Sounders
34 12 10 12 -2 46
9
Real Salt Lake
34 13 6 15 +1 45
10
Minnesota United FC
34 11 11 12 -2 44
11
Los Angeles Galaxy
34 11 11 12 -7 44
12
Colorado Rapids
34 12 7 15 -3 43
13
San Diego
34 9 11 14 -6 38
14
Austin
34 8 10 16 -23 34
15
Sporting Kansas City
34 7 5 22 -41 26

Houston Dynamo

Formation: 3-4-3 Coach: Ben Olsen
31 Bond
5 Halter
18 Samassékou
34 Resch
11 Ennali
30 Bouzat
16 Herrera
36 Andrade
20 Guilherme
10 Ponce
19 Bogusz

Starting XI

# Player Pos
31 Jonathan Bond G
34 Agustin Resch D
18 Diadié Samassékou D
5 Lucas Halter D
36 Felipe Andrade M
16 Héctor Herrera M
30 Agustín Bouzat M
11 Lawrence Ennali M
19 Mateusz Bogusz F
10 Ezequiel Ponce F
20 Guilherme F

Substitutes

26 Blake Gillingham G
21 Franco Negri D
28 Erik Sviatchenko D
14 Duane Holmes M
9 Ondrej Lingr M
6 Artur M
8 Jack McGlynn M
22 Matthew Arana M
23 Duncan McGuire F

Austin

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Davy Arnaud
1 Stuver
29 Biro
4 Hines-Ike
5 Svatok
17 Gallagher
77 Płacheta
6 Sánchez
33 Wolff
11 Torres
9 Vázquez
10 Uzuni

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Brad Stuver G
17 Jon Gallagher D
5 Oleksandr Svatok D
4 Brendan Hines-Ike D
29 Guilherme Biro D
11 Facundo Torres M
33 Owen Wolff M
6 Ilie Sánchez M
77 Przemysław Płacheta M
10 Myrto Uzuni F
9 Brandon Vázquez F

Substitutes

12 Damian Las G
35 Mateja Đorđević D
23 Žan Kolmanič D
14 Besard Sabović M
30 Joseph Rosales M
20 Nicolas Dubersarsky M
38 Ervin Torres M
21 Christian Ramirez F
7 Jayden Nelson F

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