New York City FC vs Chicago Fire Prediction
FT
AI call
Too close to call
35%
29%
36%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
New York City FC vs Chicago Fire prediction: Sportiko gives New York City FC a 35% chance of winning, Chicago Fire 36% and the draw 29%. Last updated 26 Jul 2026, 01:39.
Premium picks
Premium- 1st Half Home or Draw 76%
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Timeline
Nicolás Fernández
11'
⚽
1–0
⚽
1–1
21'
Joel Waterman
Agustin Ojeda
assist: Andrés Perea
29'
⚽
2–1
Malachi Jones
assist: Agustin Ojeda
41'
⚽
3–1
HT 3–1
⇄
46'
Maren Haile-Selassie
⇄ Robert Lewandowski
⇄
46'
Leonardo Barroso
⇄ Jonathan Dean
▮
51'
Dje Tah D'Avilla
Yellow Card
Nicolás Fernández
Yellow Card
62'
▮
⇄
63'
Dje Tah D'Avilla
⇄ Mauricio Pineda
Malachi Jones
⇄ Bénie Traoré
69'
⇄
⇄
71'
Viktor Radojević
⇄ Andrew Gutman
⇄
71'
Robin Lod
⇄ Puso Dithejane
▮
77'
Joel Waterman
Yellow Card
▮
80'
Puso Dithejane
Yellow Card
Talles Magno
⇄ Hannes Wolf
85'
⇄
Jonathan Shore
⇄ Arnau Farnos
85'
⇄
Agustin Ojeda
⇄ Mitja Ilenič
90+2'
⇄
FT 3–1
New York City FC
Match Stats
Chicago Fire
47%
Ball Possession
53%
1.31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
10
Total Shots
9
3
Shots on Goal
5
4
Shots off Goal
2
3
Blocked Shots
2
6
Shots insidebox
6
4
Shots outsidebox
3
1
Corner Kicks
2
5
Offsides
0
8
Fouls
16
1
Yellow Cards
3
Red Cards
4
Goalkeeper Saves
0
416
Total passes
464
337
Passes accurate
376
81%
Passes %
81%
-1.37
goals_prevented
-1.37
New York City FC
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Agustin Ojeda M | 8.5 | 90' | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 (10%) | 1 |
| 7 Nicolás Fernández M | 8.2 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 38 (32%) | 1 |
| 49 Matthew Freese G | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 16 (10%) | – |
| 8 Andrés Perea M | 7.3 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 45 (36%) | 2 |
| 88 Malachi Jones M | 7.3 | 69' | 1 | – | 1 | 11 (8%) | 2 |
| 24 Tayvon Gray D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 41 (36%) | 4 |
| 13 Thiago Martins D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 52 (49%) | – |
| 32 Jonathan Shore M | 7.0 | 85' | – | – | – | 37 (30%) | 4 |
| 2 Nico Cavallo D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 44 (34%) | 3 |
| 11 Talles Magno F | 6.9 | 85' | – | – | 1 | 27 (16%) | – |
| 9 Bénie Traoré F | 6.5 | 21' | – | – | 1 | 3 (3%) | – |
| 6 James Sands D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 61 (50%) | 3 |
| 87 Arnau Farnos F | — | 5' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
| 17 Hannes Wolf F | — | 5' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | 1 |
Chicago Fire
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Philip Zinckernagel M | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 30 (24%) | 4 |
| 16 Joel Waterman D | 7.3 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 70 (62%) | 2 |
| 24 Jonathan Dean D | 7.2 | 45' | – | – | – | 17 (15%) | – |
| 6 Anton Salétros M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 52 (43%) | 3 |
| 15 Andrew Gutman D | 6.5 | 19' | – | – | – | 7 (5%) | – |
| 7 Maren Haile-Selassie F | 6.5 | 45' | – | – | – | 10 (7%) | – |
| 9 Robert Lewandowski F | 6.5 | 45' | – | – | 1 | 10 (9%) | – |
| 3 Jack Elliott D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 63 (51%) | 2 |
| 19 Jonathan Bamba M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 35 (28%) | 2 |
| 22 Mauricio Pineda D | 6.3 | 27' | – | – | 1 | 28 (24%) | – |
| 12 Puso Dithejane F | 6.3 | 19' | – | – | 1 | 2 (1%) | – |
| 42 Dje Tah D'Avilla M | 6.2 | 63' | – | – | – | 39 (30%) | 2 |
| 17 Robin Lod F | 6.2 | 71' | – | – | – | 19 (11%) | 1 |
| 14 Viktor Radojević D | 6.0 | 71' | – | – | – | 21 (18%) | 2 |
| 2 Leonardo Barroso D | 5.9 | 45' | – | – | – | 22 (20%) | 3 |
| 1 Chris Brady G | 5.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 25 (18%) | – |
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Confidence
Low (36%)
At a glance
Our lean
Too close to call
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New York City FC
LWLDD
Chicago Fire
LLDDD
Match summary
In the upcoming MLS match, New York City FC will face Chicago Fire. NYCFC has shown strong form at home, capitalizing on their attacking prowess, with an average of 2.1 goals per match this season. Conversely, Chicago Fire struggles defensively, conceding an average of 1.9 goals per match. This matchup could hinge on NYCFC's ability to exploit defensive gaps in the Fire's backline while maintaining solid possession. If NYCFC can leverage their offensive capabilities effectively, they may secure a vital win.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
35%
45%
Draw
29%
45%
Away
36%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
New York City FC
N. Fernández Mercau
15 gls
Chicago Fire
H. Cuypers
13 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: New York City FC vs Chicago Fire
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
New York City FC — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep | H New York Red Bulls | L | 0 - 1 |
| 13 Sep | A Real Salt Lake | W | 0 - 2 |
| 10 Sep | H New England Revolution | L | 1 - 2 |
| 04 Sep | H Nashville SC | D | 0 - 0 |
| 29 Aug | A Toronto FC | D | 1 - 1 |
Chicago Fire — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Nashville SC | L | 3 - 0 |
| 13 Sep | H New England Revolution | L | 1 - 2 |
| 10 Sep | H Inter Miami | D | 1 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | A Toronto FC | D | 4 - 4 |
| 29 Aug | A Seattle Sounders | D | 2 - 2 |
Major League Soccer Standings
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nashville SC
|
26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 53 | 21 | +32 | 57 |
| 2 |
New England Revolution
|
26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 45 | 33 | +12 | 46 |
| 3 |
Inter Miami
|
26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 63 | 48 | +15 | 46 |
| 4 |
Charlotte
|
26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 47 | 37 | +10 | 43 |
| 5 |
Chicago Fire
|
25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 45 | 38 | +7 | 39 |
| 6 |
Philadelphia Union
|
26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 42 | +8 | 36 |
| 7 |
Orlando City SC
|
26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 46 | 60 | -14 | 34 |
| 8 |
New York Red Bulls
|
26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 33 |
| 9 |
FC Cincinnati
|
25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 33 |
| 10 |
New York City FC
|
26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 39 | 34 | +5 | 32 |
| 11 |
DC United
|
25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 29 |
| 12 |
Toronto FC
|
26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 29 |
| 13 |
Columbus Crew
|
26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 26 |
| 14 |
Atlanta United FC
|
26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 26 |
| 15 |
CF Montreal
|
26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 31 | 53 | -22 | 21 |
Western Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Vancouver Whitecaps
|
25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 56 | 23 | +33 | 49 |
| 2 |
Houston Dynamo
|
26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 34 | 30 | +4 | 44 |
| 3 |
St. Louis City
|
26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 45 | 36 | +9 | 44 |
| 4 |
FC Dallas
|
26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 49 | 42 | +7 | 44 |
| 5 |
San Jose Earthquakes
|
26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 46 | 38 | +8 | 42 |
| 6 |
Los Angeles FC
|
27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 43 | 29 | +14 | 41 |
| 7 |
Colorado Rapids
|
26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 36 | 35 | +1 | 36 |
| 8 |
Los Angeles Galaxy
|
27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 33 |
| 9 |
Portland Timbers
|
26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 32 |
| 10 |
Seattle Sounders
|
25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 32 |
| 11 |
San Diego
|
26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 44 | 44 | 0 | 31 |
| 12 |
Austin
|
26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 32 | 44 | -12 | 30 |
| 13 |
Real Salt Lake
|
26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 29 |
| 14 |
Minnesota United FC
|
26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 29 |
| 15 |
Sporting Kansas City
|
25 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 29 | 63 | -34 | 18 |
New York City FC
Formation: 4-1-4-1
Coach: Pascal Jansen
49
Freese
2
Cavallo
6
Sands
13
Martins
24
Gray
32
Shore
88
Jones
8
Perea
7
Fernández
26
Ojeda
11
Magno
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 49 | Matthew Freese | G |
| 24 | Tayvon Gray | D |
| 13 | Thiago Martins | D |
| 6 | James Sands | D |
| 2 | Nico Cavallo | D |
| 32 | Jonathan Shore | M |
| 26 | Agustin Ojeda | M |
| 7 | Nicolás Fernández | M |
| 8 | Andrés Perea | M |
| 88 | Malachi Jones | M |
| 11 | Talles Magno | F |
Substitutes
| 30 | Tomás Romero | G |
| 23 | Max Murray | D |
| 35 | Mitja Ilenič | D |
| 9 | Bénie Traoré | F |
| 87 | Arnau Farnos | F |
| 29 | Máximo Carrizo | M |
| 17 | Hannes Wolf | F |
| 15 | Kevin Pierre | M |
| 99 | Seymour Garfield-Reid | F |
Chicago Fire
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: Mario Barcena
1
Brady
14
Radojević
3
Elliott
16
Waterman
2
Barroso
17
Lod
42
D'Avilla
6
Salétros
19
Bamba
7
Haile-Selassie
11
Zinckernagel
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chris Brady | G |
| 2 | Leonardo Barroso | D |
| 16 | Joel Waterman | D |
| 3 | Jack Elliott | D |
| 14 | Viktor Radojević | D |
| 6 | Anton Salétros | M |
| 42 | Dje Tah D'Avilla | M |
| 17 | Robin Lod | M |
| 11 | Philip Zinckernagel | F |
| 7 | Maren Haile-Selassie | F |
| 19 | Jonathan Bamba | F |
Substitutes
| 44 | Josh Cohen | G |
| 24 | Jonathan Dean | D |
| 15 | Andrew Gutman | D |
| 5 | Samuel Rogers | D |
| 35 | Sergio Oregel | M |
| 22 | Mauricio Pineda | D |
| 12 | Puso Dithejane | F |
| 20 | Jason Shokalook | F |
| 9 | Robert Lewandowski | F |