San Jose Earthquakes vs Orlando City SC Prediction

Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 16

Post on X

Orlando City SC

Away

AI call San Jose Earthquakes to win or draw

68%

21%

11%

Home Win Draw Away Win

San Jose Earthquakes vs Orlando City SC prediction: Sportiko gives San Jose Earthquakes a 68% chance of winning, Orlando City SC 11% and the draw 21%. Last updated 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5 71%
1st Half Over 0.5 71%

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 7'

David Brekalo assist: Eduard Atuesta

⚽ 0–2 29'

Iván Angulo assist: Eduard Atuesta

▮ 36'

Eduard Atuesta Yellow Card

Timo Werner Yellow Card

45+1' ▮

HT 0–2

Nick Fernandez ⇄ Jack Skahan

46' ⇄

⚽ 0–3 48'

Antoine Griezmann assist: Justin Ellis

Ronaldo Vieira Yellow Card

52' ▮

⇄ 59'

Tiago Souza ⇄ Tyrese Spicer

Preston Judd Yellow Card

67' ▮

⚽ 0–4 73'

Braian Ojeda assist: Eduard Atuesta

Jamar Ricketts ⇄ Paul Marie

74' ⇄

Timo Werner ⇄ Darius Johnson

74' ⇄

⇄ 79'

⇄ Bernardo Rhein

⇄ 79'

Eduard Atuesta ⇄ Luis Otávio

⇄ 79'

Iván Angulo ⇄ Harvey Sarajian

▮ 80'

Harvey Sarajian Yellow Card

Ronaldo Vieira ⇄ Jonathan Gonzalez

81' ⇄

⇄ 84'

Justin Ellis ⇄ Zakaria Taifi

Beau Leroux ⇄ Ian Harkes

86' ⇄

Daniel Munie Yellow Card

90+4' ▮

FT 0–4

San Jose Earthquakes

Match Stats

Orlando City SC

51% Ball Possession 49%

1.04 Expected Goals (xG) 1.53

11 Total Shots 14

7 Shots on Goal 7

3 Shots off Goal 5

1 Blocked Shots 2

8 Shots insidebox 11

3 Shots outsidebox 3

3 Corner Kicks 2

7 Offsides 5

19 Fouls 10

3 Yellow Cards 2

Red Cards

4 Goalkeeper Saves 7

408 Total passes 404

329 Passes accurate 317

81% Passes % 78%

1.39 goals_prevented 1.39

San Jose Earthquakes

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
34 Beau Leroux M	7.2	86'	–	–	3	44 (31%)	3
7 Ousseni Bouda M	6.7	94'	–	–	4	12 (11%)	1
79 Darius Johnson F	6.5	20'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	–
40 Jonathan Gonzalez M	6.5	13'	–	–	–	10 (8%)	–
5 Daniel Munie D	6.3	94'	–	–	–	64 (58%)	1
14 Ronaldo Vieira M	6.3	81'	–	–	–	34 (27%)	–
20 Nick Fernandez M	6.3	45'	–	–	–	18 (13%)	2
19 Preston Judd F	6.3	94'	–	–	–	13 (9%)	–
6 Ian Harkes M	6.3	8'	–	–	–	4 (4%)	–
3 Paul Marie D	6.3	20'	–	–	–	5 (5%)	–
28 Benjamin Kikanović D	6.2	94'	–	–	–	41 (30%)	1
16 Jack Skahan M	6.2	49'	–	–	1	8 (6%)	1
1 Angus Gunn G	6.0	94'	–	–	–	33 (28%)	–
18 Reid Roberts D	5.9	94'	–	–	–	76 (70%)	2
2 Jamar Ricketts D	5.9	74'	–	–	–	32 (21%)	2
11 Timo Werner M	5.9	74'	–	–	2	11 (5%)	1

Orlando City SC

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
71 Maxime Crépeau G	8.7	94'	–	–	–	39 (21%)	–
8 Braian Ojeda M	8.3	94'	1	–	2	44 (38%)	1
4 David Brekalo D	8.3	94'	1	–	2	34 (29%)	–
20 Eduard Atuesta M	8.2	79'	–	3	1	34 (28%)	4
7 Antoine Griezmann F	7.9	94'	1	–	2	54 (45%)	2
77 Iván Angulo M	7.7	79'	1	–	1	37 (24%)	4
24 Griffin Dorsey D	7.5	94'	–	–	–	30 (24%)	3
22 Justin Ellis F	7.2	84'	–	1	–	31 (25%)	1
3 Adrián Marín D	6.9	79'	–	–	–	25 (21%)	3
44 Bernardo Rhein F	6.9	15'	–	–	–	7 (6%)	2
11 Tiago Souza M	6.7	59'	–	–	2	14 (12%)	2
6 Robin Jansson D	6.6	94'	–	–	–	27 (23%)	–
19 Zakaria Taifi M	6.3	10'	–	–	–	3 (1%)	–
5 Luis Otávio M	6.3	15'	–	–	–	15 (13%)	1
23 Harvey Sarajian F	6.2	15'	–	–	–	6 (5%)	–
14 Tyrese Spicer F	6.2	35'	–	–	2	4 (2%)	–

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Confidence Medium (68%)

At a glance

Our lean

San Jose Earthquakes to win or draw

Most likely score

2:0 · 13.3%

Both teams to score

47%

Over 2.5 goals

53%

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San Jose Earthquakes

DWWDD

Orlando City SC

LLWWW

Match summary

In this matchup, the San Jose Earthquakes will face Orlando City SC in what promises to be a competitive encounter. The Earthquakes have shown a strong attacking form, averaging 1.8 goals per game this season, while Orlando City has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per game. Key players to watch include San Jose's leading scorer, who has been pivotal in their recent victories, and Orlando's playmaker, who can turn the tide with creativity in midfield. Both teams will be eager for points as they aim for playoff positioning, making this a crucial fixture.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Orlando City SC goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	7	3	2
1	11	10	3	1
2	13	10	4	1
3	9	7	2	1
4	5	4	1
5	2	1	1

↑ San Jose Earthquakes goals · most likely 2–0 (13.3%)

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Players in form

San Jose Earthquakes

P. Judd 13 gls

Orlando City SC

M. Ojeda 12 gls

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Match Result

Home Win

68%

Draw

21%

Away Win

11%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

22%

1.5

78%

47%

2.5

53%

70%

3.5

30%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

68%

Draw

21%

Away Win

11%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

86% Home (No Draw) 14% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

43% Home Win by 2+ 3% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

67% Home Scores More 22% Equal Goals 11% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

22%

1.5

78%

47%

2.5

53%

70%

3.5

30%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

15%

25%

23%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.2%	3.2%	1.6%	0.4%	0.1%
1	11.5%	10.4%	3.4%	0.8%	0.2%
2	13.3%	9.7%	3.5%	0.9%	0.2%
3	9.3%	6.8%	2.5%	0.6%	0.1%
4	4.9%	3.6%	1.3%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

53%

1.5

47%

80%

2.5

20%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Orlando City SC
San Jose Earthquakes	45.3%	3.1%	0.7%
Draw	21.2%	13.7%	4.6%
Orlando City SC	2.5%	3.1%	5.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

88%

39%

1.5

61%

66%

2.5

34%

86%

3.5

14%

Home Exact Goals

13%

26%

28%

19%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

75%

1.5

25%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

1.5

32%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

48%

35%

13%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

72%

0.5

28%

96%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

67%

0.5

33%

94%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: San Jose Earthquakes vs Orlando City SC

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

San Jose Earthquakes — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Los Angeles FC	D	2 - 2
13 Sep	H Houston Dynamo	W	1 - 0
10 Sep	A San Diego	W	2 - 3
06 Sep	A Austin	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	A Houston Dynamo	D	0 - 0

Orlando City SC — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A New England Revolution	L	4 - 2
16 Sep	A Columbus Crew	L	2 - 1
12 Sep	H Toronto FC	W	3 - 0
09 Sep	A Atlanta United FC	W	2 - 3
05 Sep	H San Diego	W	1 - 0

Major League Soccer Standings

Eastern Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	26	17	6	3	53	21	+32	57
2	New England Revolution	26	14	4	8	45	33	+12	46
3	Inter Miami	26	12	10	4	63	48	+15	46
4	Charlotte	26	12	7	7	47	37	+10	43
5	Chicago Fire	25	11	6	8	45	38	+7	39
6	Philadelphia Union	26	10	6	10	50	42	+8	36
7	Orlando City SC	26	10	4	12	46	60	-14	34
8	New York Red Bulls	26	9	6	11	34	48	-14	33
9	FC Cincinnati	25	8	9	8	54	61	-7	33
10	New York City FC	26	8	8	10	39	34	+5	32
11	DC United	25	6	11	8	31	39	-8	29
12	Toronto FC	26	6	11	9	39	49	-10	29
13	Columbus Crew	26	7	5	14	37	42	-5	26
14	Atlanta United FC	26	7	5	14	30	43	-13	26
15	CF Montreal	26	5	6	15	31	53	-22	21

Western Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	25	15	4	6	56	23	+33	49
2	Houston Dynamo	26	13	5	8	34	30	+4	44
3	St. Louis City	26	12	8	6	45	36	+9	44
4	FC Dallas	26	12	8	6	49	42	+7	44
5	San Jose Earthquakes	26	12	6	8	46	38	+8	42
6	Los Angeles FC	27	11	8	8	43	29	+14	41
7	Colorado Rapids	26	11	3	12	36	35	+1	36
8	Los Angeles Galaxy	27	8	9	10	34	42	-8	33
9	Portland Timbers	26	9	5	12	47	48	-1	32
10	Seattle Sounders	25	8	8	9	30	33	-3	32
11	San Diego	26	8	7	11	44	44	0	31
12	Austin	26	7	9	10	32	44	-12	30
13	Real Salt Lake	26	8	5	13	37	44	-7	29
14	Minnesota United FC	26	7	8	11	39	46	-7	29
15	Sporting Kansas City	25	5	3	17	29	63	-34	18

San Jose Earthquakes

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Bruce Arena

1 Gunn

2 Ricketts

18 Roberts

5 Munie

28 Kikanović

14 Vieira

34 Leroux

11 Werner

20 Fernandez

7 Bouda

19 Judd

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Angus Gunn	G
28	Benjamin Kikanović	D
5	Daniel Munie	D
18	Reid Roberts	D
2	Jamar Ricketts	D
34	Beau Leroux	M
14	Ronaldo Vieira	M
7	Ousseni Bouda	M
20	Nick Fernandez	M
11	Timo Werner	M
19	Preston Judd	F

Substitutes

16	Jack Skahan	M
31	Francesco Montali	G
4	Dave Romney	D
25	Max Floriani	D
17	Jack Jasinski	D
79	Darius Johnson	F
40	Jonathan Gonzalez	M
6	Ian Harkes	M
3	Paul Marie	D

Orlando City SC

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Oscar Pareja

71 Crépeau

3 Marín

6 Jansson

4 Brekalo

24 Dorsey

11 Souza

20 Atuesta

8 Ojeda

77 Angulo

22 Ellis

7 Griezmann

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
71	Maxime Crépeau	G
24	Griffin Dorsey	D
4	David Brekalo	D
6	Robin Jansson	D
3	Adrián Marín	D
77	Iván Angulo	M
8	Braian Ojeda	M
20	Eduard Atuesta	M
11	Tiago Souza	M
7	Antoine Griezmann	F
22	Justin Ellis	F

Substitutes

14	Tyrese Spicer	F
12	Javier Otero	G
44	Bernardo Rhein	F
29	Tahir Reid-Brown	D
19	Zakaria Taifi	M
57	Iago Silva	D
16	Wilder Cartagena	M
5	Luis Otávio	M
23	Harvey Sarajian	F