Los Angeles FC vs Real Salt Lake Prediction

Major League Soccer Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 16
FT
Post on X
AI call Los Angeles FC or draw
39%
31%
30%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Los Angeles FC vs Real Salt Lake prediction: Sportiko gives Los Angeles FC a 39% chance of winning, Real Salt Lake 30% and the draw 31%. Last updated 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

Premium picks

Premium
  • Home to Score 72%
  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 71%
  • 1st Half Draw or Away 71%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off. See Premium picks

Timeline

Son Heung-min
11' ⚽ 1–0
Denis Bouanga assist: Mathieu Choinière
40' ⚽ 2–0
HT 2–0
Jacob Shaffelburg ⇄ David Martínez Morales
64' ⇄
⇄ 64'
Stijn Spierings ⇄ Victor Olatunji
Mathieu Choinière ⇄ Jude Terry
64' ⇄
DeAndre Yedlin Own Goal
68' ⚽ 3–0
Son Heung-min ⇄ Jeremy Ebobisse
72' ⇄
⇄ 78'
Diego Luna ⇄ Saba Lobzhanidze
⇄ 79'
Morgan Guilavogui ⇄ Griffin Dillon
⇄ 79'
Sergi Solans ⇄ Zach Booth
Denis Bouanga ⇄ Tyler Boyd
84' ⇄
Ryan Hollingshead ⇄ Kenny Nielsen
84' ⇄
⇄ 84'
Juan Sanabria ⇄ Alexandros Katranis
⚽ 3–1 86'
Lukas Engel assist: Saba Lobzhanidze
FT 3–1
Los Angeles FC

Match Stats

Real Salt Lake
29% Ball Possession 71%
1.17 Expected Goals (xG) 2.56
12 Total Shots 28
3 Shots on Goal 6
4 Shots off Goal 15
5 Blocked Shots 7
6 Shots insidebox 14
6 Shots outsidebox 14
7 Corner Kicks 12
1 Offsides 0
5 Fouls 7
Yellow Cards
Red Cards
5 Goalkeeper Saves 1
295 Total passes 703
234 Passes accurate 641
79% Passes % 91%
-1.71 goals_prevented -1.71
Los Angeles FC
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
99 Denis Bouanga F 8.0 84' 1 – 1 20 (13%) –
7 Son Heung-min F 7.9 72' 1 – 3 18 (17%) –
18 Jacob Shaffelburg F 7.2 64' – – – 9 (6%) –
1 Hugo Lloris G 7.2 90' – – – 29 (15%) –
24 Ryan Hollingshead D 7.2 84' – – – 21 (14%) 1
66 Mathieu Choinière M 7.0 64' – 1 – 28 (23%) 1
91 Nkosi Tafari D 7.0 90' – – 1 26 (24%) –
22 Jude Terry M 6.9 26' – – – 9 (8%) 2
5 Ryan Porteous D 6.7 90' – – 1 29 (26%) –
4 Eddie Segura M 6.7 90' – – – 23 (16%) 2
17 Jeremy Ebobisse F 6.7 18' – – – 3 (3%) 1
8 Mark Delgado M 6.6 90' – – – 33 (29%) 2
30 David Martínez Morales F 6.6 26' – – – 9 (8%) 1
19 Tyler Boyd F 6.6 12' – – 1 2 (2%) –
23 Yevhen Cheberko D 6.3 90' – – – 35 (30%) 1
45 Kenny Nielsen D 6.3 12' – – – 1 –
Real Salt Lake
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
92 Noel Caliskan M 7.9 90' – – 3 102 (94%) 2
4 Lukas Engel D 7.6 90' 1 – 1 107 (93%) –
9 Morgan Guilavogui F 7.5 79' – – 2 52 (46%) 3
26 Philip Quinton D 6.9 90' – – – 84 (81%) 1
72 Zavier Gozo M 6.9 90' – – 3 34 (30%) 2
10 Diego Luna F 6.9 78' – – 3 53 (49%) 1
98 Alexandros Katranis D 6.9 12' – – – 7 (7%) 1
6 Stijn Spierings M 6.7 64' – – 2 82 (73%) 1
23 Zach Booth M 6.7 11' – – – 5 (5%) –
12 Saba Lobzhanidze M 6.7 12' – 1 1 2 (2%) –
8 Juan Sanabria M 6.3 84' – – – 58 (55%) –
22 Sergi Solans F 6.3 79' – – 3 15 (13%) 2
27 Griffin Dillon M 6.3 11' – – – 9 (6%) –
17 Victor Olatunji F 6.3 26' – – 3 5 (5%) –
1 Rafael Cabral G 6.2 90' – – – 23 (23%) –
2 DeAndre Yedlin D 5.6 90' – – – 65 (59%) –
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Confidence Low (39%)

At a glance

Our lean
Los Angeles FC or draw
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Los Angeles FC
LLDDW
Real Salt Lake
WLWWW
Last 1 meetings Los Angeles FC · 0W 1D 0L

Match summary

Los Angeles FC (LAFC) will face Real Salt Lake (RSL) in a crucial MLS matchup. LAFC has been strong offensively, averaging 2.1 goals per game, largely supported by their high possession rate of 60%. In contrast, RSL has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game, which could be a significant factor in this match. Additionally, LAFC's recent form shows they have won 4 of their last 5 matches, while RSL has only secured 1 win in their last 5 fixtures. Expect LAFC to leverage their attacking prowess against a vulnerable RSL defense.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
39%
10%
Draw
31%
45%
Away
30%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Los Angeles FC
D. Bouanga 18 gls
Real Salt Lake
S. Solans 14 gls

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Head to Head: Los Angeles FC vs Real Salt Lake

0 Los Angeles FC Wins
1 Draws
0 Real Salt Lake Wins
Date Home Score Away
06 Sep 2026 Real Salt Lake 2 - 2 Los Angeles FC

Los Angeles FC — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
08 Nov A Seattle Sounders L 2 - 1
02 Nov H Minnesota United FC L 1 - 3
26 Oct H Los Angeles Galaxy D 2 - 2
17 Oct A New York City FC D 1 - 1
15 Oct H Austin W 3 - 1

Real Salt Lake — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
08 Nov H Los Angeles Galaxy W 2 - 1
31 Oct A San Jose Earthquakes L 2 - 1
29 Oct A Austin W 1 - 2
25 Oct H St. Louis City W 3 - 0
18 Oct A Sporting Kansas City W 1 - 3

Major League Soccer Standings

Eastern Conference

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Nashville SC
34 23 8 3 +46 77
2
Inter Miami
34 16 12 6 +21 60
3
New England Revolution
34 18 4 12 +8 58
4
Chicago Fire
34 16 7 11 +10 55
5
Charlotte
34 15 9 10 +15 54
6
Philadelphia Union
34 14 8 12 +14 50
7
Columbus Crew
34 14 5 15 +7 47
8
Orlando City SC
34 13 7 14 -15 46
9
FC Cincinnati
34 12 10 12 -8 46
10
New York Red Bulls
34 12 6 16 -14 42
11
New York City FC
34 10 12 12 +4 42
12
Toronto FC
34 9 12 13 -15 39
13
Atlanta United FC
34 9 6 19 -17 33
14
DC United
34 7 12 15 -22 33
15
CF Montreal
34 6 8 20 -32 26

Western Conference

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Vancouver Whitecaps
34 19 7 8 +40 64
2
FC Dallas
34 16 10 8 +11 58
3
St. Louis City
34 15 9 10 +11 54
4
San Jose Earthquakes
34 14 10 10 +6 52
5
Houston Dynamo
34 14 9 11 0 51
6
Los Angeles FC
34 12 11 11 +12 47
7
Portland Timbers
34 13 7 14 +1 46
8
Seattle Sounders
34 12 10 12 -2 46
9
Real Salt Lake
34 13 6 15 +1 45
10
Minnesota United FC
34 11 11 12 -2 44
11
Los Angeles Galaxy
34 11 11 12 -7 44
12
Colorado Rapids
34 12 7 15 -3 43
13
San Diego
34 9 11 14 -6 38
14
Austin
34 8 10 16 -23 34
15
Sporting Kansas City
34 7 5 22 -41 26

Los Angeles FC

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: M. Dos Santos
1 Lloris
23 Cheberko
91 Tafari
5 Porteous
24 Hollingshead
8 Delgado
4 Segura
66 Choinière
99 Bouanga
7 Heung-min
18 Shaffelburg

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Hugo Lloris G
24 Ryan Hollingshead D
5 Ryan Porteous D
91 Nkosi Tafari D
23 Yevhen Cheberko D
66 Mathieu Choinière M
4 Eddie Segura M
8 Mark Delgado M
18 Jacob Shaffelburg F
7 Son Heung-min F
99 Denis Bouanga F

Substitutes

22 Jude Terry M
12 Thomas Hasal G
33 Aaron Long D
45 Kenny Nielsen D
40 Sebastian Nava F
21 Ryan Raposo M
19 Tyler Boyd F
30 David Martínez Morales F
17 Jeremy Ebobisse F

Real Salt Lake

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: P. Mastroeni
1 Cabral
4 Engel
26 Quinton
2 Yedlin
8 Sanabria
92 Caliskan
6 Spierings
72 Gozo
9 Guilavogui
10 Luna
22 Solans

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Rafael Cabral G
2 DeAndre Yedlin D
26 Philip Quinton D
4 Lukas Engel D
72 Zavier Gozo M
6 Stijn Spierings M
92 Noel Caliskan M
8 Juan Sanabria M
10 Diego Luna F
9 Morgan Guilavogui F
22 Sergi Solans F

Substitutes

31 Mason Stajduhar G
29 Sam Junqua D
21 Juan Jose Arias D
98 Alexandros Katranis D
23 Zach Booth M
27 Griffin Dillon M
7 Pablo Ruíz M
12 Saba Lobzhanidze M
17 Victor Olatunji F

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