Los Angeles FC vs Real Salt Lake Prediction

Major League Soccer Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 16
FT
Post on X
AI call Los Angeles FC or draw
39%
31%
30%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Los Angeles FC vs Real Salt Lake prediction: Sportiko gives Los Angeles FC a 39% chance of winning, Real Salt Lake 30% and the draw 31%. Last updated 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

Premium picks

Premium
  • Home to Score 72%
  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 71%
  • 1st Half Draw or Away 71%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off. See Premium picks

Timeline

Son Heung-min
11' 1–0
Denis Bouanga assist: Mathieu Choinière
40' 2–0
HT 2–0
Jacob Shaffelburg ⇄ David Martínez Morales
64'
64'
Stijn Spierings ⇄ Victor Olatunji
Mathieu Choinière ⇄ Jude Terry
64'
DeAndre Yedlin Own Goal
68' 3–0
Son Heung-min ⇄ Jeremy Ebobisse
72'
78'
Diego Luna ⇄ Saba Lobzhanidze
79'
Morgan Guilavogui ⇄ Griffin Dillon
79'
Sergi Solans ⇄ Zach Booth
Denis Bouanga ⇄ Tyler Boyd
84'
Ryan Hollingshead ⇄ Kenny Nielsen
84'
84'
Juan Sanabria ⇄ Alexandros Katranis
3–1 86'
Lukas Engel assist: Saba Lobzhanidze
FT 3–1
Los Angeles FC

Match Stats

Real Salt Lake
29% Ball Possession 71%
1.17 Expected Goals (xG) 2.56
12 Total Shots 28
3 Shots on Goal 6
4 Shots off Goal 15
5 Blocked Shots 7
6 Shots insidebox 14
6 Shots outsidebox 14
7 Corner Kicks 12
1 Offsides 0
5 Fouls 7
Yellow Cards
Red Cards
5 Goalkeeper Saves 1
295 Total passes 703
234 Passes accurate 641
79% Passes % 91%
-1.71 goals_prevented -1.71
Los Angeles FC
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
99 Denis Bouanga F 8.0 84' 1 1 20 (13%)
7 Son Heung-min F 7.9 72' 1 3 18 (17%)
18 Jacob Shaffelburg F 7.2 64' 9 (6%)
1 Hugo Lloris G 7.2 90' 29 (15%)
24 Ryan Hollingshead D 7.2 84' 21 (14%) 1
66 Mathieu Choinière M 7.0 64' 1 28 (23%) 1
91 Nkosi Tafari D 7.0 90' 1 26 (24%)
22 Jude Terry M 6.9 26' 9 (8%) 2
5 Ryan Porteous D 6.7 90' 1 29 (26%)
4 Eddie Segura M 6.7 90' 23 (16%) 2
17 Jeremy Ebobisse F 6.7 18' 3 (3%) 1
8 Mark Delgado M 6.6 90' 33 (29%) 2
30 David Martínez Morales F 6.6 26' 9 (8%) 1
19 Tyler Boyd F 6.6 12' 1 2 (2%)
23 Yevhen Cheberko D 6.3 90' 35 (30%) 1
45 Kenny Nielsen D 6.3 12' 1
Real Salt Lake
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
92 Noel Caliskan M 7.9 90' 3 102 (94%) 2
4 Lukas Engel D 7.6 90' 1 1 107 (93%)
9 Morgan Guilavogui F 7.5 79' 2 52 (46%) 3
26 Philip Quinton D 6.9 90' 84 (81%) 1
72 Zavier Gozo M 6.9 90' 3 34 (30%) 2
10 Diego Luna F 6.9 78' 3 53 (49%) 1
98 Alexandros Katranis D 6.9 12' 7 (7%) 1
6 Stijn Spierings M 6.7 64' 2 82 (73%) 1
23 Zach Booth M 6.7 11' 5 (5%)
12 Saba Lobzhanidze M 6.7 12' 1 1 2 (2%)
8 Juan Sanabria M 6.3 84' 58 (55%)
22 Sergi Solans F 6.3 79' 3 15 (13%) 2
27 Griffin Dillon M 6.3 11' 9 (6%)
17 Victor Olatunji F 6.3 26' 3 5 (5%)
1 Rafael Cabral G 6.2 90' 23 (23%)
2 DeAndre Yedlin D 5.6 90' 65 (59%)
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Confidence Low (39%)

At a glance

Our lean
Los Angeles FC or draw
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Los Angeles FC
DLWDD
Real Salt Lake
LLLLD
Last 1 meetings Los Angeles FC · 0W 1D 0L

Match summary

Los Angeles FC (LAFC) will face Real Salt Lake (RSL) in a crucial MLS matchup. LAFC has been strong offensively, averaging 2.1 goals per game, largely supported by their high possession rate of 60%. In contrast, RSL has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game, which could be a significant factor in this match. Additionally, LAFC's recent form shows they have won 4 of their last 5 matches, while RSL has only secured 1 win in their last 5 fixtures. Expect LAFC to leverage their attacking prowess against a vulnerable RSL defense.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
39%
10%
Draw
31%
45%
Away
30%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Los Angeles FC
D. Bouanga 14 gls
Real Salt Lake

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Los Angeles FC vs Real Salt Lake

0 Los Angeles FC Wins
1 Draws
0 Real Salt Lake Wins
Date Home Score Away
06 Sep 2026 Real Salt Lake 2 - 2 Los Angeles FC

Los Angeles FC — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A San Jose Earthquakes D 2 - 2
13 Sep A Sporting Kansas City L 3 - 1
10 Sep H New York Red Bulls W 2 - 0
06 Sep A Real Salt Lake D 2 - 2
29 Aug A DC United D 0 - 0

Real Salt Lake — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
24 Sep A Seattle Sounders L 2 - 0
20 Sep H Vancouver Whitecaps L 0 - 3
13 Sep H New York City FC L 0 - 2
10 Sep A Houston Dynamo L 2 - 1
06 Sep H Los Angeles FC D 2 - 2

Major League Soccer Standings

Eastern Conference

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Nashville SC
26 17 6 3 +32 57
2
New England Revolution
26 14 4 8 +12 46
3
Inter Miami
26 12 10 4 +15 46
4
Charlotte
26 12 7 7 +10 43
5
Chicago Fire
25 11 6 8 +7 39
6
Philadelphia Union
26 10 6 10 +8 36
7
Orlando City SC
26 10 4 12 -14 34
8
New York Red Bulls
26 9 6 11 -14 33
9
FC Cincinnati
25 8 9 8 -7 33
10
New York City FC
26 8 8 10 +5 32
11
DC United
25 6 11 8 -8 29
12
Toronto FC
26 6 11 9 -10 29
13
Columbus Crew
26 7 5 14 -5 26
14
Atlanta United FC
26 7 5 14 -13 26
15
CF Montreal
26 5 6 15 -22 21

Western Conference

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Vancouver Whitecaps
25 15 4 6 +33 49
2
Houston Dynamo
26 13 5 8 +4 44
3
St. Louis City
26 12 8 6 +9 44
4
FC Dallas
26 12 8 6 +7 44
5
San Jose Earthquakes
26 12 6 8 +8 42
6
Los Angeles FC
27 11 8 8 +14 41
7
Colorado Rapids
26 11 3 12 +1 36
8
Los Angeles Galaxy
27 8 9 10 -8 33
9
Portland Timbers
26 9 5 12 -1 32
10
San Diego
26 8 7 11 0 31
11
Austin
26 7 9 10 -12 30
12
Real Salt Lake
25 8 5 12 -5 29
13
Seattle Sounders
24 7 8 9 -5 29
14
Minnesota United FC
26 7 8 11 -7 29
15
Sporting Kansas City
25 5 3 17 -34 18

Los Angeles FC

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Marc Dos Santos
1 Lloris
23 Cheberko
91 Tafari
5 Porteous
24 Hollingshead
8 Delgado
4 Segura
66 Choinière
99 Bouanga
7 Heung-min
18 Shaffelburg

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Hugo Lloris G
24 Ryan Hollingshead D
5 Ryan Porteous D
91 Nkosi Tafari D
23 Yevhen Cheberko D
66 Mathieu Choinière M
4 Eddie Segura M
8 Mark Delgado M
18 Jacob Shaffelburg F
7 Son Heung-min F
99 Denis Bouanga F

Substitutes

22 Jude Terry M
12 Thomas Hasal G
33 Aaron Long D
45 Kenny Nielsen D
40 Sebastian Nava F
21 Ryan Raposo M
19 Tyler Boyd F
30 David Martínez Morales F
17 Jeremy Ebobisse F

Real Salt Lake

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Pablo Mastroeni
1 Cabral
4 Engel
26 Quinton
2 Yedlin
8 Sanabria
92 Caliskan
6 Spierings
72 Gozo
9 Guilavogui
10 Luna
22 Solans

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Rafael Cabral G
2 DeAndre Yedlin D
26 Philip Quinton D
4 Lukas Engel D
72 Zavier Gozo M
6 Stijn Spierings M
92 Noel Caliskan M
8 Juan Sanabria M
10 Diego Luna F
9 Morgan Guilavogui F
22 Sergi Solans F

Substitutes

31 Mason Stajduhar G
29 Sam Junqua D
21 Juan Jose Arias D
98 Alexandros Katranis D
23 Zach Booth M
27 Griffin Dillon M
7 Pablo Ruíz M
12 Saba Lobzhanidze M
17 Victor Olatunji F

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