Sporting Kansas City vs Minnesota United FC Prediction

Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 16

Post on X

Minnesota United FC

Away

AI call Difficult Minnesota United FC win or draw

14%

30%

56%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Sporting Kansas City vs Minnesota United FC prediction: Sportiko gives Sporting Kansas City a 14% chance of winning, Minnesota United FC 56% and the draw 30%. Last updated 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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Timeline

▮ 21'

Kyle Duncan Yellow Card

Dejan Joveljić assist: Capita

28' ⚽ 1–0

Capita Yellow Card

45+2' ▮

HT 1–0

Manu García assist: Jacob Davis

54' ⚽ 2–0

▮ 56'

Joaquín Pereyra Yellow Card

⇄ 64'

Kelvin Yeboah ⇄ Mamadou Dieng

⇄ 64'

Kyle Duncan ⇄ Bongokuhle Hlongwane

Manu García ⇄ Kwaku Agyabeng

72' ⇄

Capita ⇄ Stephen Afrifa

72' ⇄

Dejan Joveljić Yellow Card

74' ▮

⚽ 2–1 75'

Devin Padelford

⇄ 75'

Devin Padelford ⇄ Jefferson Díaz

⇄ 75'

Owen Gene ⇄ Mauricio González

Wyatt Meyer ⇄ Ian James

79' ⇄

Zorhan Bassong ⇄ Jacob Bartlett

79' ⇄

▮ 84'

Bongokuhle Hlongwane Yellow Card

⇄ 85'

Tomás Chancalay ⇄ Julian Gressel

FT 2–1

Sporting Kansas City

Match Stats

Minnesota United FC

35% Ball Possession 65%

1.06 Expected Goals (xG) 1.73

11 Total Shots 15

7 Shots on Goal 9

4 Shots off Goal 4

0 Blocked Shots 2

7 Shots insidebox 11

4 Shots outsidebox 4

2 Corner Kicks 6

Offsides

16 Fouls 7

2 Yellow Cards 3

Red Cards

8 Goalkeeper Saves 5

299 Total passes 573

232 Passes accurate 493

78% Passes % 86%

-0.31 goals_prevented -0.31

Sporting Kansas City

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
6 Manu García M	8.2	72'	1	–	3	21 (16%)	1
8 Jacob Davis D	7.5	93'	–	1	–	34 (26%)	1
30 Stefan Cleveland G	7.3	93'	–	–	–	26 (18%)	–
9 Dejan Joveljić F	7.3	93'	1	–	2	19 (14%)	1
7 Capita M	7.2	72'	–	1	–	12 (9%)	2
11 Calvin Harris M	6.9	93'	–	–	2	14 (11%)	–
18 Emir Karić D	6.9	79'	–	–	–	28 (22%)	4
4 Lasse Berg Johnsen M	6.7	93'	–	–	1	50 (41%)	–
20 Kwaku Agyabeng M	6.7	21'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	–
28 Wyatt Meyer D	6.7	93'	–	–	–	36 (29%)	1
99 Jayden Reid D	6.6	14'	–	–	–	4 (4%)	1
5 Or Blorian D	6.5	93'	–	–	1	21 (15%)	3
16 Jacob Bartlett D	6.5	14'	–	–	–	3 (2%)	–
17 Stephen Afrifa F	6.5	21'	–	–	2	3 (2%)	–
22 Zorhan Bassong M	6.2	79'	–	–	–	26 (21%)	2

Minnesota United FC

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
26 Joaquín Pereyra F	8.0	93'	–	1	1	73 (61%)	3
30 Owen Gene M	7.5	75'	–	–	–	51 (48%)	4
20 Wil Trapp M	7.3	93'	–	–	1	77 (69%)	1
2 Devin Padelford D	6.9	75'	1	–	1	42 (39%)	1
29 Mamadou Dieng F	6.9	29'	–	–	2	5 (5%)	1
28 Jefferson Díaz D	6.6	18'	–	–	–	12 (12%)	–
9 Kelvin Yeboah F	6.5	64'	–	–	2	17 (11%)	1
8 Tomás Chancalay F	6.5	85'	–	–	3	41 (36%)	2
24 Julian Gressel M	6.5	8'	–	–	–	4 (2%)	–
21 Bongokuhle Hlongwane F	6.5	29'	–	–	–	16 (12%)	1
15 Michael Boxall D	6.3	93'	–	–	–	64 (62%)	1
18 Mauricio González F	6.3	18'	–	–	–	7 (2%)	1
12 Drake Callender G	6.2	93'	–	–	–	26 (15%)	–
13 Anthony Markanich M	6.2	93'	–	–	2	39 (31%)	2
3 Kyle Duncan M	6.0	64'	–	–	–	18 (16%)	–
23 Morris Duggan D	5.9	93'	–	–	1	81 (72%)	–

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Confidence Medium (56%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult Minnesota United FC win or draw

Most likely score

0:1 · 17.9%

Both teams to score

35%

Over 2.5 goals

32%

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Sporting Kansas City

WLWLL

Minnesota United FC

LLLLL

Match summary

Sporting Kansas City will face Minnesota United FC in a matchup that promises to be competitive. Kansas City has shown a solid home record, particularly in terms of goal-scoring, averaging 1.8 goals per game at home this season. Minnesota United, meanwhile, has struggled defensively on the road, conceding an average of 2.1 goals per game. The key for Kansas City will be exploiting Minnesota's defensive weaknesses, while the visitors will need to tighten their backline to avoid another high-scoring affair. Overall, this match could hinge on Kansas City's attacking prowess against Minnesota's defensive vulnerabilities.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

14%

10%

Draw

30%

45%

Away

56%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Minnesota United FC goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	15	18	14	6	2	1
1	6	13	8	4	1
2	2	3	2	1
3		1
4
5

↑ Sporting Kansas City goals · most likely 0–1 (17.9%)

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Players in form

Sporting Kansas City

No scorer data.

Minnesota United FC

K. Yeboah 14 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

56%

Draw

30%

Home Win

14%

Both Teams To Score

65% BTTS No 35% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

40%

1.5

60%

68%

2.5

32%

86%

3.5

14%

95%

4.5

99%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

56%

Draw

30%

Home Win

14%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

80% Away (No Draw) 20% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

29% Away Win by 2+ 4% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

56% Away Scores More 30% Equal Goals 14% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

40%

1.5

60%

68%

2.5

32%

86%

3.5

14%

95%

4.5

99%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

65% BTTS No 35% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

15%

24%

29%

18%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	15.2%	17.9%	13.6%	6.4%	2.3%
1	6.5%	12.7%	7.9%	3.7%	1.3%
2	2.3%	3.3%	2.3%	1.1%	0.4%
3	0.5%	0.6%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%
4	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

77%

1.5

23%

94%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

42%

35%

17%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

34%

21%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Sporting Kansas City	Draw	Minnesota United FC
Sporting Kansas City	7.5%	3.2%	1.6%
Draw	6.5%	22.1%	21.3%
Minnesota United FC	0.6%	3.1%	34.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

98%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

56%

32%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

77%

0.5

23%

97%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

73%

0.5

27%

96%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

76%

59%

1.5

41%

83%

2.5

17%

95%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

87%

1.5

13%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Sporting Kansas City vs Minnesota United FC

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Sporting Kansas City — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
27 Sep	A Houston Dynamo	W	0 - 2
20 Sep	H Philadelphia Union	L	3 - 4
13 Sep	H Los Angeles FC	W	3 - 1
06 Sep	A FC Dallas	L	4 - 3
30 Aug	H Vancouver Whitecaps	L	0 - 3

Minnesota United FC — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
27 Sep	A Seattle Sounders	L	3 - 1
20 Sep	H Los Angeles Galaxy	L	2 - 3
13 Sep	A St. Louis City	L	4 - 2
10 Sep	H FC Dallas	L	1 - 2
06 Sep	A Portland Timbers	L	5 - 4

Major League Soccer Standings

Eastern Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	18	6	3	55	21	+34	60
2	New England Revolution	26	14	4	8	45	33	+12	46
3	Inter Miami	26	12	10	4	63	48	+15	46
4	Charlotte	27	12	7	8	47	38	+9	43
5	Chicago Fire	26	12	6	8	46	38	+8	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	11	6	10	54	44	+10	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	10	4	13	48	64	-16	34
8	New York Red Bulls	26	9	6	11	34	48	-14	33
9	New York City FC	27	8	9	10	41	36	+5	33
10	FC Cincinnati	26	8	9	9	55	64	-9	33
11	DC United	25	6	11	8	31	39	-8	29
12	Toronto FC	27	6	11	10	39	51	-12	29
13	Atlanta United FC	27	7	6	14	32	45	-13	27
14	Columbus Crew	26	7	5	14	37	42	-5	26
15	CF Montreal	27	6	6	15	34	54	-20	24

Western Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	25	15	4	6	56	23	+33	49
2	FC Dallas	27	13	8	6	50	42	+8	47
3	Houston Dynamo	27	13	5	9	34	32	+2	44
4	St. Louis City	26	12	8	6	45	36	+9	44
5	San Jose Earthquakes	26	12	6	8	46	38	+8	42
6	Los Angeles FC	28	11	8	9	43	30	+13	41
7	Colorado Rapids	26	11	3	12	36	35	+1	36
8	Seattle Sounders	26	9	8	9	33	34	-1	35
9	Los Angeles Galaxy	27	8	9	10	34	42	-8	33
10	Portland Timbers	26	9	5	12	47	48	-1	32
11	San Diego	27	8	8	11	47	47	0	32
12	Austin	27	7	10	10	35	47	-12	31
13	Real Salt Lake	26	8	5	13	37	44	-7	29
14	Minnesota United FC	27	7	8	12	40	49	-9	29
15	Sporting Kansas City	26	6	3	17	31	63	-32	21

Sporting Kansas City

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Raphael Wicky

30 Cleveland

18 Karić

28 Meyer

5 Blorian

8 Davis

22 Bassong

4 Johnsen

11 Harris

6 García

7 Capita

9 Joveljić

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
30	Stefan Cleveland	G
8	Jacob Davis	D
5	Or Blorian	D
28	Wyatt Meyer	D
18	Emir Karić	D
4	Lasse Berg Johnsen	M
22	Zorhan Bassong	M
7	Capita	M
6	Manu García	M
11	Calvin Harris	M
9	Dejan Joveljić	F

Substitutes

1	John Pulskamp	G
23	Ethan Bartlow	D
2	Ian James	D
15	Jansen Miller	D
99	Jayden Reid	D
16	Jacob Bartlett	D
20	Kwaku Agyabeng	M
93	Shapi Suleymanov	F
17	Stephen Afrifa	F

Minnesota United FC

Formation: 3-4-3 Coach: Cameron Knowles

12 Callender

2 Padelford

23 Duggan

15 Boxall

13 Markanich

20 Trapp

30 Gene

3 Duncan

8 Chancalay

9 Yeboah

26 Pereyra

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
12	Drake Callender	G
15	Michael Boxall	D
23	Morris Duggan	D
2	Devin Padelford	D
3	Kyle Duncan	M
30	Owen Gene	M
20	Wil Trapp	M
13	Anthony Markanich	M
26	Joaquín Pereyra	F
9	Kelvin Yeboah	F
8	Tomás Chancalay	F

Substitutes

1	Alec Smir	G
33	Kieran Chandler	D
24	Julian Gressel	M
27	D.J. Taylor	D
28	Jefferson Díaz	D
6	Peter Stroud	M
18	Mauricio González	F
21	Bongokuhle Hlongwane	F
29	Mamadou Dieng	F