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Nashville SC vs CF Montreal Prediction

Major League Soccer Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 16
FT
Post on X
Nashville SC

Nashville SC

Home
1 : 0
HT 0 - 0
CF Montreal

CF Montreal

Away
AI call Nashville SC to win
81%
16%
3%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Nashville SC vs CF Montreal prediction: Sportiko gives Nashville SC a 81% chance of winning, CF Montreal 3% and the draw 16%. Last updated 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

Premium picks

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  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 75%
  • Home/Draw & Over 1.5 71%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off. See Premium picks

Timeline

HT 0–0
Josh Bauer ⇄ Andy Najar
57' ⇄
Edvard Tagseth ⇄ Bryan Acosta
66' ⇄
Alex Muyl ⇄ Ahmed Qasem
66' ⇄
Sam Surridge Penalty
68' ⚽ 1–0
⇄ 74'
Fabian Herbers ⇄ Daniel Rios
⇄ 74'
Jalen Neal ⇄ Efraín Morales
⇄ 82'
⇄ Olger Escobar
Sam Surridge Yellow Card
86' ▮
⇄ 88'
Matthew Longstaff ⇄ Frankie Amaya
Shakur Mohammed ⇄ Jack Maher
89' ⇄
Matthew Corcoran ⇄ Charles-Emile Brunet
90' ⇄
▮ 90+7'
Yellow Card
FT 1–0
Nashville SC

Match Stats

CF Montreal
63% Ball Possession 37%
1.70 Expected Goals (xG) 0.58
10 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Goal 2
5 Shots off Goal 2
4 Blocked Shots 2
6 Shots insidebox 5
4 Shots outsidebox 1
3 Corner Kicks 2
1 Offsides 0
9 Fouls 12
1 Yellow Cards 0
Red Cards
2 Goalkeeper Saves 0
640 Total passes 364
573 Passes accurate 311
90% Passes % 85%
-0.08 goals_prevented -0.08
Nashville SC
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
4 Jeisson Palacios D 7.9 95' – – – 107 (102%) 1
99 Brian Schwake G 7.6 95' – – – 29 (20%) –
3 Maxwell Woledzi D 7.3 95' – – – 93 (90%) 1
20 Edvard Tagseth M 7.3 66' – – – 73 (70%) 2
16 Matthew Corcoran M 7.2 90' – – 1 83 (79%) 1
14 Shakur Mohammed M 7.2 89' – – 2 36 (29%) 2
9 Sam Surridge F 7.2 95' 1 – 1 15 (12%) –
22 Josh Bauer D 7.0 57' – – – 43 (42%) –
2 Daniel Lovitz D 7.0 95' – – – 64 (49%) 4
10 Hany Mukhtar M 6.9 95' – – – 45 (40%) –
31 Andy Najar D 6.9 38' – – 1 18 (16%) 1
19 Alex Muyl M 6.9 66' – – 1 20 (13%) 1
6 Bryan Acosta M 6.7 29' – – – 7 (6%) –
37 Ahmed Qasem F 6.2 29' – – – 5 (3%) –
5 Jack Maher D — 6' – – – 2 (2%) –
12 Charles-Emile Brunet M — 5' – – – – –
CF Montreal
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
2 Jalen Neal D 7.5 74' – – – 32 (30%) –
24 Efraín Morales D 7.3 21' – – 1 16 (16%) 1
4 Brayan Vera D 7.2 95' – – – 49 (41%) 1
8 Matthew Longstaff M 7.0 88' – – – 53 (46%) –
27 Dawid Bugaj D 6.5 95' – – – 29 (23%) 1
18 Hennadii Synchuk F 6.5 95' – – 1 19 (16%) –
14 Daniel Rios F 6.5 21' – – – 2 (2%) –
29 Olger Escobar F 6.5 13' – – – 3 (1%) –
9 Prince Owusu F 6.5 95' – – 2 16 (12%) 3
1 Sebastian Breza G 6.3 95' – – – 27 (23%) –
21 Fabian Herbers M 6.3 74' – – – 16 (15%) 2
13 Luca Petrasso D 6.2 95' – – – 31 (21%) 1
22 Victor Loturi M 6.2 95' – – – 35 (30%) 1
23 Noah Streit F 5.9 82' – – – 13 (12%) –
25 Frankie Amaya M — 7' – – – 1 (1%) –
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Confidence High (81%)

At a glance

Our lean
Nashville SC to win
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Nashville SC
WDLDW
CF Montreal
LWLLL

Match summary

In this Major League Soccer matchup, Nashville SC will face CF Montreal. Nashville has shown strong form at home, with an average possession rate of 55% and a solid defensive record, conceding just 1.1 goals per game. On the other hand, CF Montreal has struggled on the road, with a lower win rate and a tendency to concede multiple goals in away fixtures. The key for Nashville will be to leverage their midfield control and capitalize on Montreal's defensive vulnerabilities. Expect a competitive game as both teams vie for crucial points.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
81%
45%
Draw
16%
45%
Away
3%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Nashville SC
S. Surridge 16 gls
H. Mukhtar 11 gls
CF Montreal
P. Owusu 13 gls

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Head to Head: Nashville SC vs CF Montreal

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Nashville SC — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Chicago Fire W 3 - 0
12 Sep A Inter Miami D 2 - 2
09 Sep A Toronto FC L 2 - 1
04 Sep A New York City FC D 0 - 0
30 Aug H FC Cincinnati W 4 - 0

CF Montreal — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Columbus Crew L 0 - 2
16 Sep H Vancouver Whitecaps W 2 - 1
13 Sep A Colorado Rapids L 1 - 0
09 Sep H Charlotte L 1 - 2
05 Sep A Philadelphia Union L 2 - 0

Major League Soccer Standings

Eastern Conference

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Nashville SC
26 17 6 3 +32 57
2
New England Revolution
26 14 4 8 +12 46
3
Inter Miami
26 12 10 4 +15 46
4
Charlotte
26 12 7 7 +10 43
5
Chicago Fire
25 11 6 8 +7 39
6
Philadelphia Union
26 10 6 10 +8 36
7
Orlando City SC
26 10 4 12 -14 34
8
New York Red Bulls
26 9 6 11 -14 33
9
FC Cincinnati
25 8 9 8 -7 33
10
New York City FC
26 8 8 10 +5 32
11
DC United
25 6 11 8 -8 29
12
Toronto FC
26 6 11 9 -10 29
13
Columbus Crew
26 7 5 14 -5 26
14
Atlanta United FC
26 7 5 14 -13 26
15
CF Montreal
26 5 6 15 -22 21

Western Conference

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Vancouver Whitecaps
25 15 4 6 +33 49
2
Houston Dynamo
26 13 5 8 +4 44
3
St. Louis City
26 12 8 6 +9 44
4
FC Dallas
26 12 8 6 +7 44
5
San Jose Earthquakes
26 12 6 8 +8 42
6
Los Angeles FC
27 11 8 8 +14 41
7
Colorado Rapids
26 11 3 12 +1 36
8
Los Angeles Galaxy
27 8 9 10 -8 33
9
Portland Timbers
26 9 5 12 -1 32
10
San Diego
26 8 7 11 0 31
11
Austin
26 7 9 10 -12 30
12
Real Salt Lake
25 8 5 12 -5 29
13
Seattle Sounders
24 7 8 9 -5 29
14
Minnesota United FC
26 7 8 11 -7 29
15
Sporting Kansas City
25 5 3 17 -34 18

CF Montreal

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Philippe Eullaffroy
1 Breza
13 Petrasso
4 Vera
2 Neal
27 Bugaj
22 Loturi
8 Longstaff
21 Herbers
23 Streit
9 Owusu
18 Synchuk

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Sebastian Breza G
27 Dawid Bugaj D
2 Jalen Neal D
4 Brayan Vera D
13 Luca Petrasso D
21 Fabian Herbers M
8 Matthew Longstaff M
22 Victor Loturi M
18 Hennadii Synchuk F
9 Prince Owusu F
23 Noah Streit F

Substitutes

41 Samsy Keita G
24 Efraín Morales D
5 Brandan Craig D
6 Samuel Piette M
17 Dagur Dan Þórhallsson D
26 Ivan Losenko M
25 Frankie Amaya M
29 Olger Escobar F
14 Daniel Rios F

Nashville SC

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Brian Callaghan
99 Schwake
2 Lovitz
3 Woledzi
4 Palacios
22 Bauer
19 Muyl
16 Corcoran
20 Tagseth
10 Mukhtar
9 Surridge
14 Mohammed

Starting XI

# Player Pos
99 Brian Schwake G
22 Josh Bauer D
4 Jeisson Palacios D
3 Maxwell Woledzi D
2 Daniel Lovitz D
20 Edvard Tagseth M
16 Matthew Corcoran M
19 Alex Muyl M
14 Shakur Mohammed F
9 Sam Surridge F
10 Hany Mukhtar F

Substitutes

1 Joe Willis G
5 Jack Maher D
21 Thomas Williams D
23 Jordan Knight D
31 Andy Najar D
37 Ahmed Qasem F
6 Bryan Acosta M
12 Charles-Emile Brunet M
17 Woobens Pacius F

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