Austin vs Seattle Sounders Prediction

Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 16

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Seattle Sounders

Away

AI call Difficult Seattle Sounders win or draw

16%

31%

53%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Austin vs Seattle Sounders prediction: Sportiko gives Austin a 16% chance of winning, Seattle Sounders 53% and the draw 31%. Last updated 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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Timeline

Ilie Sánchez assist: Besard Sabović

11' ⚽ 1–0

⚽ 1–1 26'

Paul Rothrock

HT 1–1

▮ 59'

Jackson Ragen Yellow Card

Besard Sabović Yellow Card

60' ▮

Besard Sabović ⇄ Owen Wolff

62' ⇄

⇄ 62'

Daniel Musovski ⇄ Osaze De Rosario

Joseph Rosales ⇄ Przemysław Płacheta

62' ⇄

Brendan Hines-Ike ⇄ Mateja Đorđević

63' ⇄

⇄ 66'

Peter Kingston ⇄ Kalani Kossa-Rienzi

⇄ 67'

Snyder Brunell ⇄ Paul Arriola

Brandon Vázquez ⇄ Christian Ramirez

83' ⇄

Facundo Torres ⇄ Ervin Torres

83' ⇄

Myrto Uzuni assist: Ervin Torres

86' ⚽ 2–1

Myrto Uzuni Yellow Card

88' ▮

⇄ 88'

Nouhou Tolo ⇄ Sebastian Gomez

Christian Ramirez

90+1' ⚽ 3–1

▮ 90+4'

Jackson Ragen Yellow Card

▮ 90+4'

Jackson Ragen Red Card

FT 3–1

Austin

Match Stats

Seattle Sounders

53% Ball Possession 47%

1.15 Expected Goals (xG) 1.25

10 Total Shots 10

6 Shots on Goal 3

4 Shots off Goal 3

0 Blocked Shots 4

8 Shots insidebox 5

2 Shots outsidebox 5

4 Corner Kicks 4

0 Offsides 2

5 Fouls 11

2 Yellow Cards 2

0 Red Cards 1

2 Goalkeeper Saves 3

410 Total passes 377

358 Passes accurate 335

87% Passes % 89%

-0.09 goals_prevented -0.09

Austin

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
6 Ilie Sánchez M	8.2	94'	1	–	1	38 (37%)	1
38 Ervin Torres M	7.9	11'	–	2	–	5 (5%)	–
10 Myrto Uzuni F	7.6	94'	1	–	3	13 (11%)	–
21 Christian Ramirez F	7.5	11'	1	–	1	4 (2%)	–
11 Facundo Torres F	7.3	83'	–	–	–	27 (22%)	1
9 Brandon Vázquez F	7.2	83'	–	–	2	14 (8%)	2
29 Guilherme Biro D	7.0	94'	–	–	–	55 (51%)	1
14 Besard Sabović M	7.0	62'	–	1	–	13 (10%)	1
5 Oleksandr Svatok D	6.9	94'	–	–	–	72 (72%)	–
17 Jon Gallagher M	6.7	94'	–	–	1	24 (20%)	1
77 Przemysław Płacheta M	6.7	32'	–	–	1	17 (14%)	–
33 Owen Wolff M	6.7	32'	–	–	–	14 (13%)	–
1 Brad Stuver G	6.6	94'	–	–	–	36 (24%)	–
4 Brendan Hines-Ike D	6.6	63'	–	–	–	45 (43%)	–
35 Mateja Đorđević D	6.6	31'	–	–	–	16 (15%)	–
30 Joseph Rosales M	6.3	62'	–	–	1	17 (11%)	1

Seattle Sounders

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
5 Nouhou Tolo D	6.9	88'	–	–	–	51 (48%)	2
9 Jesús Ferreira M	6.9	94'	–	–	–	26 (25%)	1
17 Paul Arriola F	6.9	27'	–	–	–	4 (3%)	1
31 Hassani Dotson M	6.7	94'	–	–	–	41 (35%)	–
19 Daniel Musovski F	6.7	62'	–	–	–	5 (3%)	1
45 Peter Kingston D	6.5	66'	–	–	–	24 (20%)	–
26 Andrew Thomas G	6.3	94'	–	–	–	15 (10%)	–
85 Kalani Kossa-Rienzi M	6.3	28'	–	–	–	8 (7%)	–
95 Osaze De Rosario F	6.3	32'	–	–	–	2 (1%)	1
25 Jackson Ragen D	6.2	94'	–	–	1	56 (52%)	–
11 Albert Rusnák M	6.2	94'	–	–	1	48 (47%)	–
39 Stuart Hawkins D	6.2	94'	–	–	–	50 (46%)	2
37 Snyder Brunell M	6.0	67'	–	–	2	19 (13%)	2
14 Paul Rothrock M	6.0	94'	1	–	2	26 (23%)	1
90 Sebastian Gomez M	—	6'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	–

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Confidence Medium (53%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult Seattle Sounders win or draw

Most likely score

0:1 · 16.8%

Both teams to score

37%

Over 2.5 goals

33%

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Austin

DWDDW

Seattle Sounders

WDDDD

Last 1 meetings Austin · 1W 0D 0L

Match summary

In this Major League Soccer match, Austin will face off against Seattle Sounders on July 23, 2026. Austin has demonstrated a solid home record, with a strong attack averaging 1.8 goals per game, while Seattle Sounders have shown resilience, boasting a robust defense allowing just 1.1 goals per game on average. Key players to watch include Austin's top scorer, who has netted 15 goals this season, and Seattle's standout goalkeeper, known for his high save percentage. This matchup promises to be competitive, with both teams vying for crucial points in the playoff race.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

16%

10%

Draw

31%

45%

Away

53%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Seattle Sounders goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	15	17	13	6	2	1
1	7	13	8	4	1
2	3	4	3	1
3	1	1	1
4
5

↑ Austin goals · most likely 0–1 (16.8%)

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Match Result

Away Win

53%

Draw

31%

Home Win

16%

Both Teams To Score

63% BTTS No 37% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

38%

1.5

62%

67%

2.5

33%

85%

3.5

15%

95%

4.5

99%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

53%

Draw

31%

Home Win

16%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

77% Away (No Draw) 23% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

27% Away Win by 2+ 4% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

53% Away Scores More 31% Equal Goals 16% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

38%

1.5

62%

67%

2.5

33%

85%

3.5

15%

95%

4.5

99%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

63% BTTS No 37% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

15%

24%

29%

18%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	14.7%	16.8%	12.7%	5.9%	2.1%
1	6.9%	13.2%	8.2%	3.8%	1.3%
2	2.7%	3.8%	2.6%	1.2%	0.4%
3	0.6%	0.8%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%
4	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

76%

1.5

24%

94%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

41%

35%

18%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

68%

1.5

32%

90%

2.5

10%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

34%

22%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Austin	Draw	Seattle Sounders
Austin	8.7%	3.5%	1.7%
Draw	7.1%	22.0%	20.5%
Seattle Sounders	0.7%	3.3%	32.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

97%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

53%

34%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

75%

0.5

25%

97%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

70%

0.5

30%

95%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

60%

1.5

40%

84%

2.5

16%

95%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Austin vs Seattle Sounders

1 Austin Wins

0 Draws

0 Seattle Sounders Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
20 Aug 2026	Seattle Sounders	1 - 2	Austin

Austin — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A FC Dallas	D	0 - 0
13 Sep	A Vancouver Whitecaps	W	1 - 2
10 Sep	H Colorado Rapids	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	H San Jose Earthquakes	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	A Portland Timbers	W	1 - 2

Seattle Sounders — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
24 Sep	H Real Salt Lake	W	2 - 0
20 Sep	A Colorado Rapids	D	3 - 3
13 Sep	A Los Angeles Galaxy	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	H New York Red Bulls	D	0 - 0
29 Aug	H Chicago Fire	D	2 - 2

Major League Soccer Standings

Eastern Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	26	17	6	3	53	21	+32	57
2	New England Revolution	26	14	4	8	45	33	+12	46
3	Inter Miami	26	12	10	4	63	48	+15	46
4	Charlotte	26	12	7	7	47	37	+10	43
5	Chicago Fire	25	11	6	8	45	38	+7	39
6	Philadelphia Union	26	10	6	10	50	42	+8	36
7	Orlando City SC	26	10	4	12	46	60	-14	34
8	New York Red Bulls	26	9	6	11	34	48	-14	33
9	FC Cincinnati	25	8	9	8	54	61	-7	33
10	New York City FC	26	8	8	10	39	34	+5	32
11	DC United	25	6	11	8	31	39	-8	29
12	Toronto FC	26	6	11	9	39	49	-10	29
13	Columbus Crew	26	7	5	14	37	42	-5	26
14	Atlanta United FC	26	7	5	14	30	43	-13	26
15	CF Montreal	26	5	6	15	31	53	-22	21

Western Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	25	15	4	6	56	23	+33	49
2	Houston Dynamo	26	13	5	8	34	30	+4	44
3	St. Louis City	26	12	8	6	45	36	+9	44
4	FC Dallas	26	12	8	6	49	42	+7	44
5	San Jose Earthquakes	26	12	6	8	46	38	+8	42
6	Los Angeles FC	27	11	8	8	43	29	+14	41
7	Colorado Rapids	26	11	3	12	36	35	+1	36
8	Los Angeles Galaxy	27	8	9	10	34	42	-8	33
9	Portland Timbers	26	9	5	12	47	48	-1	32
10	San Diego	26	8	7	11	44	44	0	31
11	Austin	26	7	9	10	32	44	-12	30
12	Real Salt Lake	25	8	5	12	37	42	-5	29
13	Seattle Sounders	24	7	8	9	28	33	-5	29
14	Minnesota United FC	26	7	8	11	39	46	-7	29
15	Sporting Kansas City	25	5	3	17	29	63	-34	18

Seattle Sounders

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Brian Schmetzer

26 Thomas

5 Tolo

25 Ragen

39 Hawkins

45 Kingston

31 Dotson

37 Brunell

14 Rothrock

11 Rusnák

9 Ferreira

19 Musovski

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
26	Andrew Thomas	G
45	Peter Kingston	D
39	Stuart Hawkins	D
25	Jackson Ragen	D
5	Nouhou Tolo	D
37	Snyder Brunell	M
31	Hassani Dotson	M
9	Jesús Ferreira	M
11	Albert Rusnák	M
14	Paul Rothrock	M
19	Daniel Musovski	F

Substitutes

50	Max Anchor	G
24	Stefan Frei	G
85	Kalani Kossa-Rienzi	M
35	Antino Lopez	D
28	Yeimar Gómez	D
53	Gallatin Sandnes	D
90	Sebastian Gomez	M
17	Paul Arriola	F
95	Osaze De Rosario	F

Austin

Formation: 3-4-3 Coach: Davy Arnaud

1 Stuver

29 Biro

5 Svatok

4 Hines-Ike

17 Gallagher

6 Sánchez

14 Sabović

30 Rosales

10 Uzuni

9 Vázquez

11 Torres

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Brad Stuver	G
4	Brendan Hines-Ike	D
5	Oleksandr Svatok	D
29	Guilherme Biro	D
30	Joseph Rosales	M
14	Besard Sabović	M
6	Ilie Sánchez	M
17	Jon Gallagher	M
11	Facundo Torres	F
9	Brandon Vázquez	F
10	Myrto Uzuni	F

Substitutes

12	Damian Las	G
23	Žan Kolmanič	D
35	Mateja Đorđević	D
20	Nicolas Dubersarsky	M
77	Przemysław Płacheta	M
38	Ervin Torres	M
33	Owen Wolff	M
21	Christian Ramirez	F
7	Jayden Nelson	F