FC Cincinnati vs Vancouver Whitecaps Prediction

Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 16

Post on X

Vancouver Whitecaps

Away

AI call Vancouver Whitecaps or draw

24%

27%

49%

Home Win Draw Away Win

FC Cincinnati vs Vancouver Whitecaps prediction: Sportiko gives FC Cincinnati a 24% chance of winning, Vancouver Whitecaps 49% and the draw 27%. Last updated 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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1st Half Over 0.5 71%

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Timeline

▮ 2'

Tristan Blackmon Yellow Card

Pavel Bucha assist: Samuel Gidi

9' ⚽ 1–0

⚽ 1–1 12'

Jeevan Badwal assist: Bruno Quiñonez

▮ 17'

Mathías Laborda Yellow Card

⚽ 1–2 25'

Ryan Gauld assist: Oliver Larraz

Kévin Denkey assist: Ender Echenique

28' ⚽ 2–2

Evander assist: Gerardo Valenzuela

36' ⚽ 3–2

Pavel Bucha Yellow Card

41' ▮

⇄ 44'

Bruno Quiñonez ⇄ Cheick Tidiane Sabaly

HT 3–2

▮ 48'

Édier Ocampo Yellow Card

Pavel Bucha assist: Evander

56' ⚽ 4–2

⚽ 4–3 58'

Ryan Gauld assist: Jeevan Badwal

▮ 59'

Andrés Cubas Yellow Card

⇄ 62'

Jeevan Badwal ⇄ Jean-Claude Ngando

⇄ 63'

Ryan Gauld ⇄ Nikola Djordjevic

Ender Echenique ⇄ Bryan Ramirez

64' ⇄

Kenji Mboma Dem ⇄ Tom Barlow

64' ⇄

Miles Robinson ⇄ Kyle Smith

64' ⇄

▮ 78'

Brian White Yellow Card

⇄ 84'

Édier Ocampo ⇄ Ranko Veselinović

⇄ 84'

Andrés Cubas ⇄ Rayan Elloumi

Kévin Denkey ⇄ Ayoub Jabbari

89' ⇄

Samuel Gidi ⇄ Teenage Hadebe

89' ⇄

FT 4–3

FC Cincinnati

Match Stats

Vancouver Whitecaps

40% Ball Possession 60%

1.56 Expected Goals (xG) 1.61

10 Total Shots 16

6 Shots on Goal 6

1 Shots off Goal 5

3 Blocked Shots 5

7 Shots insidebox 13

3 Shots outsidebox 3

1 Corner Kicks 1

0 Offsides 3

12 Fouls 13

1 Yellow Cards 5

Red Cards

3 Goalkeeper Saves 2

387 Total passes 574

325 Passes accurate 517

84% Passes % 90%

-2.13 goals_prevented -2.13

FC Cincinnati

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
10 Evander F	9.0	90'	1	1	2	31 (27%)	1
20 Pavel Bucha M	8.3	90'	2	–	2	33 (27%)	3
9 Kévin Denkey F	7.9	89'	1	–	2	26 (18%)	–
5 Obinna Nwobodo M	7.3	90'	–	–	–	28 (21%)	8
29 Bryan Ramirez D	7.0	26'	–	–	–	15 (13%)	4
18 Roman Celentano G	6.7	90'	–	–	–	25 (23%)	–
21 Matt Miazga D	6.7	90'	–	–	–	52 (48%)	–
24 Kyle Smith D	6.7	26'	–	–	–	16 (12%)	–
22 Gerardo Valenzuela M	6.6	90'	–	1	1	29 (28%)	–
66 Ender Echenique M	6.6	64'	–	1	–	15 (11%)	–
11 Samuel Gidi D	6.5	89'	–	1	–	51 (44%)	–
16 Tom Barlow F	6.5	26'	–	–	–	13 (10%)	–
17 Kenji Mboma Dem F	6.3	64'	–	–	–	14 (12%)	1
12 Miles Robinson D	5.9	64'	–	–	–	37 (29%)	–
15 Teenage Hadebe D	—	1'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–
99 Ayoub Jabbari F	—	1'	–	–	–	–	–

Vancouver Whitecaps

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
25 Ryan Gauld M	7.9	63'	2	–	3	40 (35%)	1
59 Jeevan Badwal M	7.6	62'	1	1	1	33 (32%)	1
14 Bruno Quiñonez M	6.7	44'	–	1	1	9 (7%)	–
7 Cheick Tidiane Sabaly F	6.7	46'	–	–	1	18 (14%)	1
20 Andrés Cubas M	6.6	84'	–	–	–	73 (68%)	6
41 Nikola Djordjevic D	6.6	27'	–	–	–	12 (9%)	2
18 Édier Ocampo D	6.3	84'	–	–	–	57 (54%)	1
26 Jean-Claude Ngando M	6.3	28'	–	–	2	17 (13%)	–
28 Tate Johnson D	6.2	90'	–	–	–	74 (67%)	1
8 Oliver Larraz M	6.2	90'	–	1	1	51 (47%)	3
33 Tristan Blackmon D	5.9	90'	–	–	–	84 (78%)	–
2 Mathías Laborda D	5.9	90'	–	–	2	65 (59%)	–
24 Brian White F	5.9	90'	–	–	–	14 (9%)	–
1 Yohei Takaoka G	5.6	90'	–	–	–	21 (19%)	–
19 Rayan Elloumi F	—	6'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	–
4 Ranko Veselinović D	—	6'	–	–	–	4 (4%)	–

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Confidence Low (49%)

At a glance

Our lean

Vancouver Whitecaps or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.7%

Both teams to score

58%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

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FC Cincinnati

DDLLD

Vancouver Whitecaps

WLLWL

Match summary

FC Cincinnati will face the Vancouver Whitecaps in an intriguing MLS matchup. Cincinnati has shown a strong offensive performance this season, averaging 2 goals per game, while the Whitecaps have struggled defensively, conceding 1.8 goals per game on average. Cincinnati's home form has been solid, with a winning percentage of 60% at their ground. Conversely, Vancouver has struggled on the road, securing only 30% of possible points away from home. This clash could hinge on Cincinnati's ability to capitalize on their attacking prowess against a vulnerable Whitecaps defense.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

24%

10%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

49%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Vancouver Whitecaps goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7	8	8	5	2	1
1	5	13	10	6	2	1
2	4	7	6	3	1
3	1	3	2	1	1
4		1	1
5

↑ FC Cincinnati goals · most likely 1–1 (12.7%)

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Players in form

FC Cincinnati

K. Denkey 14 gls

Evander 12 gls

Vancouver Whitecaps

B. White 16 gls

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Match Result

Away Win

49%

Draw

27%

Home Win

24%

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS Yes 42% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

45%

2.5

55%

68%

3.5

32%

84%

4.5

16%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

49%

Draw

27%

Home Win

24%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

67% Away (No Draw) 33% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

27% Away Win by 2+ 10% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

49% Away Scores More 27% Equal Goals 24% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

45%

2.5

55%

68%

3.5

32%

84%

4.5

16%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS Yes 42% BTTS No

Exact Goals

13%

25%

23%

16%

10%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.0%	8.2%	8.4%	4.9%	2.1%
1	5.0%	12.7%	9.8%	5.7%	2.5%
2	3.7%	6.5%	5.7%	3.3%	1.4%
3	1.5%	2.5%	2.2%	1.3%	0.6%
4	0.4%	0.7%	0.6%	0.4%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

61%

1.5

39%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

51%

1.5

49%

78%

2.5

22%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

22%

29%

27%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	FC Cincinnati	Draw	Vancouver Whitecaps
FC Cincinnati	13.8%	4.4%	2.7%
Draw	9.3%	16.1%	17.0%
Vancouver Whitecaps	1.7%	4.3%	30.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

68%

1.5

32%

89%

2.5

11%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

31%

36%

21%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

49%

1.5

51%

75%

2.5

25%

91%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

18%

31%

27%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

75%

1.5

25%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: FC Cincinnati vs Vancouver Whitecaps

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

FC Cincinnati — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Houston Dynamo	D	2 - 2
12 Sep	H Charlotte	D	3 - 3
09 Sep	A Philadelphia Union	L	5 - 0
30 Aug	A Nashville SC	L	4 - 0
22 Aug	H Seattle Sounders	D	1 - 1

Vancouver Whitecaps — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Real Salt Lake	W	0 - 3
16 Sep	A CF Montreal	L	2 - 1
13 Sep	H Austin	L	1 - 2
10 Sep	H Los Angeles Galaxy	W	3 - 0
06 Sep	H St. Louis City	L	1 - 3

Major League Soccer Standings

Eastern Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	26	17	6	3	53	21	+32	57
2	New England Revolution	26	14	4	8	45	33	+12	46
3	Inter Miami	26	12	10	4	63	48	+15	46
4	Charlotte	26	12	7	7	47	37	+10	43
5	Chicago Fire	25	11	6	8	45	38	+7	39
6	Philadelphia Union	26	10	6	10	50	42	+8	36
7	Orlando City SC	26	10	4	12	46	60	-14	34
8	New York Red Bulls	26	9	6	11	34	48	-14	33
9	FC Cincinnati	25	8	9	8	54	61	-7	33
10	New York City FC	26	8	8	10	39	34	+5	32
11	DC United	25	6	11	8	31	39	-8	29
12	Toronto FC	26	6	11	9	39	49	-10	29
13	Columbus Crew	26	7	5	14	37	42	-5	26
14	Atlanta United FC	26	7	5	14	30	43	-13	26
15	CF Montreal	26	5	6	15	31	53	-22	21

Western Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	25	15	4	6	56	23	+33	49
2	Houston Dynamo	26	13	5	8	34	30	+4	44
3	St. Louis City	26	12	8	6	45	36	+9	44
4	FC Dallas	26	12	8	6	49	42	+7	44
5	San Jose Earthquakes	26	12	6	8	46	38	+8	42
6	Los Angeles FC	27	11	8	8	43	29	+14	41
7	Colorado Rapids	26	11	3	12	36	35	+1	36
8	Los Angeles Galaxy	27	8	9	10	34	42	-8	33
9	Portland Timbers	26	9	5	12	47	48	-1	32
10	Seattle Sounders	25	8	8	9	30	33	-3	32
11	San Diego	26	8	7	11	44	44	0	31
12	Austin	26	7	9	10	32	44	-12	30
13	Real Salt Lake	26	8	5	13	37	44	-7	29
14	Minnesota United FC	26	7	8	11	39	46	-7	29
15	Sporting Kansas City	25	5	3	17	29	63	-34	18

Vancouver Whitecaps

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Jesper Sorensen

1 Takaoka

28 Johnson

2 Laborda

33 Blackmon

18 Ocampo

20 Cubas

8 Larraz

14 Quiñonez

25 Gauld

59 Badwal

24 White

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Yohei Takaoka	G
18	Édier Ocampo	D
33	Tristan Blackmon	D
2	Mathías Laborda	D
28	Tate Johnson	D
8	Oliver Larraz	M
20	Andrés Cubas	M
59	Jeevan Badwal	M
25	Ryan Gauld	M
14	Bruno Quiñonez	M
24	Brian White	F

Substitutes

7	Cheick Tidiane Sabaly	F
32	Isaac Boehmer	G
41	Nikola Djordjevic	D
3	Sam Adekugbe	D
29	Mihail Gherasimencov	D
4	Ranko Veselinović	D
26	Jean-Claude Ngando	M
13	Thomas Müller	F
19	Rayan Elloumi	F

FC Cincinnati

Formation: 3-4-3 Coach: Pat Noonan

18 Celentano

11 Gidi

21 Miazga

12 Robinson

66 Echenique

5 Nwobodo

22 Valenzuela

20 Bucha

10 Evander

9 Denkey

17 Dem

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
18	Roman Celentano	G
12	Miles Robinson	D
21	Matt Miazga	D
11	Samuel Gidi	D
20	Pavel Bucha	M
22	Gerardo Valenzuela	M
5	Obinna Nwobodo	M
66	Ender Echenique	M
17	Kenji Mboma Dem	F
9	Kévin Denkey	F
10	Evander	F

Substitutes

13	Evan Louro	G
24	Kyle Smith	D
2	Alvas Powell	D
4	Nick Hagglund	D
15	Teenage Hadebe	D
29	Bryan Ramirez	D
27	Tah Anunga	M
99	Ayoub Jabbari	F
16	Tom Barlow	F