Seattle Sounders vs Portland Timbers Prediction

Major League Soccer Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 17
FT
Post on X
AI call Seattle Sounders to win or draw
67%
25%
8%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Seattle Sounders vs Portland Timbers prediction: Sportiko gives Seattle Sounders a 67% chance of winning, Portland Timbers 8% and the draw 25%. Last updated 20 Jul 2026, 15:55.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 19'
Kevin Kelsy assist: Jímer Fory
Jackson Ragen Yellow Card
41' ▮
Jordan Morris ⇄ Daniel Musovski
45' ⇄
HT 0–1
Paul Rothrock Yellow Card
49' ▮
⚽ 0–2 56'
Kamal Miller assist: Brandon Bye
⚽ 0–3 60'
Cole Bassett assist: David Pereira Da Costa
⚽ 0–4 63'
Kevin Kelsy
Snyder Brunell ⇄ Osaze De Rosario
64' ⇄
Kalani Kossa-Rienzi ⇄ Peter Kingston
64' ⇄
Jesús Ferreira ⇄ Paul Arriola
64' ⇄
⇄ 73'
Ariel Lassiter ⇄ Alexander Aravena
⇄ 73'
Cole Bassett ⇄ José Caicedo
Paul Rothrock Penalty cancelled
82' 🖵
⇄ Stuart Hawkins
84' ⇄
Hassani Dotson assist: Albert Rusnák
87' ⚽ 1–4
⇄ 87'
Kevin Kelsy ⇄ Felipe Mora
⇄ 87'
Diego Chará ⇄ Joao Ortíz
⇄ 90+1'
Antony Alves ⇄ Ian Smith
FT 1–5
Seattle Sounders

Match Stats

Portland Timbers
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Goal 9
2 Shots off Goal 7
3 Blocked Shots 2
8 Shots insidebox 12
3 Shots outsidebox 6
2 Corner Kicks 8
2 Offsides 0
7 Fouls 7
2 Yellow Cards 0
0 Red Cards 0
5 Goalkeeper Saves 4
438 Total passes 483
375 Passes accurate 420
7 Free Kicks 7
Seattle Sounders
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
31 Hassani Dotson M 7.9 94' 1 – 1 72 (65%) 3
11 Albert Rusnák M 6.9 94' – 1 1 40 (33%) –
95 Osaze De Rosario F 6.9 30' – – 1 7 (6%) –
14 Paul Rothrock M 6.7 94' – – 1 16 (13%) 2
39 Stuart Hawkins D 6.7 10' – – – 7 (6%) –
45 Peter Kingston M 6.7 30' – – 1 17 (15%) 1
17 Paul Arriola F 6.5 30' – – – 11 (8%) –
25 Jackson Ragen D 6.3 94' – – – 67 (62%) 2
9 Jesús Ferreira M 6.3 64' – – – 30 (23%) –
37 Snyder Brunell M 6.2 64' – – 1 27 (26%) –
13 Jordan Morris F 6.2 45' – – – 3 (2%) –
19 Daniel Musovski F 6.2 49' – – 1 11 (7%) –
5 Nouhou Tolo D 6.0 94' – – – 37 (32%) 2
26 Andrew Thomas G 5.9 94' – – – 24 (16%) –
85 Kalani Kossa-Rienzi D 5.7 64' – – 1 29 (25%) –
35 Antino Lopez D 5.7 84' – – – 35 (32%) 2
Portland Timbers
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
19 Kevin Kelsy F 8.6 87' 2 – 3 27 (22%) –
4 Kamal Miller D 8.5 94' 1 – 1 56 (52%) –
17 Cole Bassett M 7.6 73' 1 – 2 31 (30%) 1
41 James Pantemis G 7.5 94' – – – 28 (22%) –
5 Brandon Bye D 7.3 94' – 1 1 41 (31%) –
27 Jímer Fory D 7.2 94' – 1 – 60 (51%) 2
10 David Pereira Da Costa M 6.9 94' – 1 2 41 (32%) –
7 Ariel Lassiter M 6.9 73' – – 1 18 (14%) 1
11 Antony Alves M 6.9 91' – – 5 42 (38%) 3
21 Diego Chará M 6.6 87' – – – 37 (32%) 3
28 Alexander Aravena F 6.6 21' – – – 11 (11%) –
20 Finn Surman D 6.3 94' – – – 44 (41%) 1
30 José Caicedo M 6.2 21' – – 1 12 (11%) –
23 Ian Smith D — 3' – – – 4 (4%) –
80 Joao Ortíz M — 7' – – – 7 (7%) –
9 Felipe Mora F — 7' – – – 3 (3%) –
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Confidence Medium (67%)

At a glance

Our lean
Seattle Sounders to win or draw
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Seattle Sounders
WDDDD
Portland Timbers
LLDWL
Last 3 meetings Seattle Sounders · 0W 0D 3L

Match summary

In the upcoming MLS clash between Seattle Sounders and Portland Timbers, both teams will look to assert dominance in this heated rivalry. Seattle has demonstrated strong home form, averaging 1.8 goals per match this season, while Portland struggles defensively, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per game. The Sounders' midfield control and attacking prowess could exploit the Timbers' vulnerabilities, especially given their inconsistent away performances. Key players to watch include Seattle's leading scorer, who has netted 10 goals this season, and Portland's playmaker, who leads the team in assists. Expect a competitive match with potential for high scoring.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
67%
45%
Draw
25%
45%
Away
8%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Head to Head: Seattle Sounders vs Portland Timbers

0 Seattle Sounders Wins
0 Draws
3 Portland Timbers Wins
Date Home Score Away
02 Aug 2026 Portland Timbers 2 - 1 Seattle Sounders
08 Nov 2013 Portland Timbers 3 - 2 Seattle Sounders
03 Nov 2013 Seattle Sounders 1 - 2 Portland Timbers
See all 9 meetings — Premium

Seattle Sounders — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
24 Sep H Real Salt Lake W 2 - 0
20 Sep A Colorado Rapids D 3 - 3
13 Sep A Los Angeles Galaxy D 1 - 1
06 Sep H New York Red Bulls D 0 - 0
29 Aug H Chicago Fire D 2 - 2

Portland Timbers — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Atlanta United FC L 0 - 1
13 Sep A FC Dallas L 2 - 1
10 Sep H St. Louis City D 2 - 2
06 Sep H Minnesota United FC W 5 - 4
30 Aug H Austin L 1 - 2

Major League Soccer Standings

Eastern Conference

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Nashville SC
26 17 6 3 +32 57
2
New England Revolution
26 14 4 8 +12 46
3
Inter Miami
26 12 10 4 +15 46
4
Charlotte
26 12 7 7 +10 43
5
Chicago Fire
25 11 6 8 +7 39
6
Philadelphia Union
26 10 6 10 +8 36
7
Orlando City SC
26 10 4 12 -14 34
8
New York Red Bulls
26 9 6 11 -14 33
9
FC Cincinnati
25 8 9 8 -7 33
10
New York City FC
26 8 8 10 +5 32
11
DC United
25 6 11 8 -8 29
12
Toronto FC
26 6 11 9 -10 29
13
Columbus Crew
26 7 5 14 -5 26
14
Atlanta United FC
26 7 5 14 -13 26
15
CF Montreal
26 5 6 15 -22 21

Western Conference

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Vancouver Whitecaps
25 15 4 6 +33 49
2
Houston Dynamo
26 13 5 8 +4 44
3
St. Louis City
26 12 8 6 +9 44
4
FC Dallas
26 12 8 6 +7 44
5
San Jose Earthquakes
26 12 6 8 +8 42
6
Los Angeles FC
27 11 8 8 +14 41
7
Colorado Rapids
26 11 3 12 +1 36
8
Los Angeles Galaxy
27 8 9 10 -8 33
9
Portland Timbers
26 9 5 12 -1 32
10
Seattle Sounders
25 8 8 9 -3 32
11
San Diego
26 8 7 11 0 31
12
Austin
26 7 9 10 -12 30
13
Real Salt Lake
26 8 5 13 -7 29
14
Minnesota United FC
26 7 8 11 -7 29
15
Sporting Kansas City
25 5 3 17 -34 18

Seattle Sounders

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Brian Schmetzer
26 Thomas
5 Tolo
25 Ragen
35 Lopez
85 Kossa-Rienzi
31 Dotson
37 Brunell
14 Rothrock
11 Rusnák
9 Ferreira
13 Morris

Starting XI

# Player Pos
26 Andrew Thomas G
85 Kalani Kossa-Rienzi D
35 Antino Lopez D
25 Jackson Ragen D
5 Nouhou Tolo D
37 Snyder Brunell M
31 Hassani Dotson M
9 Jesús Ferreira M
11 Albert Rusnák M
14 Paul Rothrock M
13 Jordan Morris F

Substitutes

24 Stefan Frei G
39 Stuart Hawkins D
45 Peter Kingston M
90 Sebastian Gomez M
36 Yu Tsukanome F
17 Paul Arriola F
95 Osaze De Rosario F
19 Daniel Musovski F

Portland Timbers

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: Jack Cassidy
41 Pantemis
27 Fory
4 Miller
20 Surman
5 Bye
21 Chará
11 Alves
10 Costa
17 Bassett
7 Lassiter
19 Kelsy

Starting XI

# Player Pos
41 James Pantemis G
5 Brandon Bye D
20 Finn Surman D
4 Kamal Miller D
27 Jímer Fory D
21 Diego Chará M
7 Ariel Lassiter M
17 Cole Bassett M
10 David Pereira Da Costa M
11 Antony Alves M
19 Kevin Kelsy F

Substitutes

25 Trey Muse G
16 Sawyer Jura D
15 Eric Miller D
23 Ian Smith D
6 Alex Bonetig D
30 José Caicedo M
80 Joao Ortíz M
9 Felipe Mora F
28 Alexander Aravena F

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