St. Louis City vs Sporting Kansas City Prediction

Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 17

Post on X

Sporting Kansas City

Away

AI call Difficult St. Louis City win or draw

64%

25%

11%

Home Win Draw Away Win

St. Louis City vs Sporting Kansas City prediction: Sportiko gives St. Louis City a 64% chance of winning, Sporting Kansas City 11% and the draw 25%. Last updated 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

Premium picks

Premium

2nd Half Over 0.5 73%

Premium members had these picks before kick-off. See Premium picks

Timeline

Jeong Sang-bin

28' ⚽ 1–0

Marcel Hartel assist: Simon Becher

36' ⚽ 2–0

⚽ 2–1 42'

Capita

HT 2–1

⇄ 46'

Ian James ⇄ Jacob Davis

Conrad Wallem ⇄ Rafael Santos

46' ⇄

⇄ 46'

Jayden Reid ⇄ Emir Karić

Jeong Sang-bin ⇄ Miguel Perez

64' ⇄

⇄ 75'

Or Blorian ⇄ Ethan Bartlow

⚽ 2–2 76'

Dejan Joveljić assist: Manu García

⇄ 76'

Zorhan Bassong ⇄ Kwaku Agyabeng

▮ 78'

Capita Yellow Card

⇄ 85'

Capita ⇄ Stephen Afrifa

Eduard Löwen Penalty

86' ⚽ 3–2

Eduard Löwen ⇄ Tomáš Ostrák

88' ⇄

Tomas Totland ⇄ Jaziel Orozco

88' ⇄

Benjamin Lundt Yellow Card

90' ▮

Simon Becher ⇄ Palmer Ault

90+6' ⇄

Daniel Edelman Yellow Card

90+7' ▮

FT 3–2

St. Louis City

Match Stats

Sporting Kansas City

54% Ball Possession 46%

2.51 Expected Goals (xG) 0.98

19 Total Shots 12

6 Shots on Goal 3

8 Shots off Goal 4

5 Blocked Shots 5

13 Shots insidebox 7

6 Shots outsidebox 5

5 Corner Kicks 6

1 Offsides 0

12 Fouls 11

1 Yellow Cards 1

Red Cards

1 Goalkeeper Saves 3

478 Total passes 396

409 Passes accurate 317

86% Passes % 80%

0.54 goals_prevented 0.54

St. Louis City

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
17 Marcel Hartel F	8.3	96'	1	–	3	35 (26%)	–
77 Jeong Sang-bin F	8.0	64'	1	–	2	17 (15%)	1
21 Dante Polvara D	7.7	96'	–	–	–	65 (56%)	5
32 Timo Baumgartl D	7.2	96'	–	–	–	63 (61%)	2
24 Daniel Edelman M	7.2	96'	–	–	–	65 (57%)	1
10 Eduard Löwen M	7.2	88'	1	–	4	46 (42%)	–
14 Tomas Totland M	6.9	88'	–	–	1	26 (21%)	–
11 Simon Becher F	6.9	96'	–	1	3	20 (15%)	–
5 Lukas MacNaughton D	6.6	96'	–	–	1	65 (56%)	3
7 Tomáš Ostrák M	6.6	8'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	1
20 Rafael Santos D	6.5	51'	–	–	–	11 (11%)	–
99 Jaziel Orozco D	6.2	8'	–	–	–	4 (1%)	–
28 Miguel Perez M	6.2	32'	–	–	–	10 (8%)	–
39 Benjamin Lundt G	6.0	96'	–	–	–	22 (15%)	–
6 Conrad Wallem M	6.0	45'	–	–	–	28 (24%)	–

Sporting Kansas City

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
6 Manu García M	7.5	96'	–	1	–	37 (27%)	2
9 Dejan Joveljić F	7.3	96'	1	–	2	16 (13%)	–
22 Zorhan Bassong M	7.2	76'	–	–	–	40 (33%)	2
7 Capita M	7.2	85'	1	–	2	13 (11%)	1
30 Stefan Cleveland G	7.0	96'	–	–	–	24 (16%)	–
4 Lasse Berg Johnsen M	6.9	96'	–	–	–	63 (56%)	1
8 Jacob Davis M	6.9	51'	–	–	2	34 (28%)	2
18 Emir Karić D	6.7	51'	–	–	–	20 (16%)	1
20 Kwaku Agyabeng M	6.7	20'	–	–	–	14 (12%)	1
5 Or Blorian D	6.3	75'	–	–	–	30 (22%)	1
99 Jayden Reid D	6.3	45'	–	–	–	20 (16%)	4
23 Ethan Bartlow D	6.3	21'	–	–	–	4 (4%)	–
17 Stephen Afrifa F	6.3	11'	–	–	–	6 (5%)	–
11 Calvin Harris M	6.2	96'	–	–	1	25 (17%)	2
2 Ian James D	6.0	45'	–	–	–	22 (18%)	–
15 Jansen Miller D	5.9	96'	–	–	–	28 (23%)	1

Premium

Unlock the AI's full read on St. Louis City vs Sporting Kansas City

All 70+ probability markets
AI Deep-Dive match report
Value Edge — model vs market
Pick types you choose

Go Premium

Confidence Medium (64%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult St. Louis City win or draw

Most likely score

1:0 · 14.6%

Both teams to score

40%

Over 2.5 goals

43%

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

St. Louis City

WWWDW

Sporting Kansas City

LWLLL

Last 1 meetings St. Louis City · 0W 1D 0L

Match summary

St. Louis City will face Sporting Kansas City in a crucial MLS matchup. St. Louis has shown strong attacking prowess this season, averaging 1.8 goals per game, while their defense has been solid, conceding just 1 goal per match on average. Sporting Kansas City, on the other hand, has struggled with consistency, managing only 1.3 goals per game and allowing 1.5. Both teams will need to capitalize on set pieces, as both have been susceptible to conceding from corners. This clash promises to be pivotal for both teams' playoff aspirations.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

64%

45%

Draw

25%

45%

Away

11%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Sporting Kansas City goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	10	4	2
1	15	11	3	1
2	14	9	3	1
3	9	5	2
4	4	2	1
5	1	1

↑ St. Louis City goals · most likely 1–0 (14.6%)

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Players in form

St. Louis City

Rafael Navarro 14 gls

Sporting Kansas City

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

Why this pick? · Premium AI Deep-Dive · Premium

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.

Unlock all models

Match Result

Home Win

64%

Draw

25%

Away Win

11%

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS No 40% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

29%

1.5

71%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Match Result

Home Win

64%

Draw

25%

Away Win

11%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Winner

85% Home (No Draw) 15% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

39% Home Win by 2+ 3% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

64% Home Scores More 25% Equal Goals 11% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

29%

1.5

71%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS No 40% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

19%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

Premium

2-4 Goals

Premium

2-3 Goals

Premium

1-2 Goals

Premium

3-5 Goals

Premium

4-6 Goals

Premium

Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

Premium

BTTS & Under 3.5

Premium

BTTS & Over 3.5

Premium

Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Home Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Draw & Over 2.5

Premium

Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

Premium

Home/Away & Over 2.5

Premium

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

Premium

Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.1%	4.2%	1.8%	0.4%	0.1%
1	14.6%	11.4%	3.2%	0.7%	0.1%
2	14.4%	9.1%	2.9%	0.6%	0.1%
3	8.7%	5.5%	1.7%	0.4%	0.1%
4	3.9%	2.5%	0.8%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

Premium

1st Half Draw

Premium

1st Half Away Win

Premium

1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

Premium

1st Half Home or Away

Premium

1st Half Draw or Away

Premium

1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

Premium

1h Exact Goals

35%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

Premium

2nd Half Draw

Premium

2nd Half Away Win

Premium

2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

Premium

2nd Half Home or Away

Premium

2nd Half Draw or Away

Premium

2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

Premium

2h Exact Goals

27%

33%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	St. Louis City	Draw	Sporting Kansas City
St. Louis City	41.6%	3.0%	0.6%
Draw	21.9%	16.7%	5.1%
Sporting Kansas City	2.1%	3.0%	6.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

46%

1.5

54%

74%

2.5

26%

90%

3.5

10%

Home Exact Goals

17%

30%

27%

16%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

81%

1.5

19%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

87%

1.5

13%

97%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

53%

34%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

76%

0.5

24%

97%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

70%

0.5

30%

95%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

Premium

Home +1 Win

Premium

Away +2 Win

Premium

Home -1 Win

Premium

Away +1 Win

Premium

Home -1 Draw

Premium

Home -2 Draw

Premium

Home -2 Win

Premium

Away -1 Draw

Premium

Away -1 Win

Premium

Away -2 Draw

Premium

Away -2 Win

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Head to Head: St. Louis City vs Sporting Kansas City

0 St. Louis City Wins

1 Draws

0 Sporting Kansas City Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
20 Aug 2026	Sporting Kansas City	1 - 1	St. Louis City

St. Louis City — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Toronto FC	W	3 - 1
17 Sep	A Colorado Rapids	W	0 - 3
13 Sep	H Minnesota United FC	W	4 - 2
10 Sep	A Portland Timbers	D	2 - 2
06 Sep	A Vancouver Whitecaps	W	1 - 3

Sporting Kansas City — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Philadelphia Union	L	3 - 4
13 Sep	H Los Angeles FC	W	3 - 1
06 Sep	A FC Dallas	L	4 - 3
30 Aug	H Vancouver Whitecaps	L	0 - 3
23 Aug	A Atlanta United FC	L	2 - 1

Major League Soccer Standings

Eastern Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	26	17	6	3	53	21	+32	57
2	New England Revolution	26	14	4	8	45	33	+12	46
3	Inter Miami	26	12	10	4	63	48	+15	46
4	Charlotte	26	12	7	7	47	37	+10	43
5	Chicago Fire	25	11	6	8	45	38	+7	39
6	Philadelphia Union	26	10	6	10	50	42	+8	36
7	Orlando City SC	26	10	4	12	46	60	-14	34
8	New York Red Bulls	26	9	6	11	34	48	-14	33
9	FC Cincinnati	25	8	9	8	54	61	-7	33
10	New York City FC	26	8	8	10	39	34	+5	32
11	DC United	25	6	11	8	31	39	-8	29
12	Toronto FC	26	6	11	9	39	49	-10	29
13	Columbus Crew	26	7	5	14	37	42	-5	26
14	Atlanta United FC	26	7	5	14	30	43	-13	26
15	CF Montreal	26	5	6	15	31	53	-22	21

Western Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	25	15	4	6	56	23	+33	49
2	Houston Dynamo	26	13	5	8	34	30	+4	44
3	St. Louis City	26	12	8	6	45	36	+9	44
4	FC Dallas	26	12	8	6	49	42	+7	44
5	San Jose Earthquakes	26	12	6	8	46	38	+8	42
6	Los Angeles FC	27	11	8	8	43	29	+14	41
7	Colorado Rapids	26	11	3	12	36	35	+1	36
8	Los Angeles Galaxy	27	8	9	10	34	42	-8	33
9	Portland Timbers	26	9	5	12	47	48	-1	32
10	Seattle Sounders	25	8	8	9	30	33	-3	32
11	San Diego	26	8	7	11	44	44	0	31
12	Austin	26	7	9	10	32	44	-12	30
13	Real Salt Lake	26	8	5	13	37	44	-7	29
14	Minnesota United FC	26	7	8	11	39	46	-7	29
15	Sporting Kansas City	25	5	3	17	29	63	-34	18

Sporting Kansas City

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Raphael Wicky

30 Cleveland

99 Reid

5 Blorian

15 Miller

2 James

22 Bassong

4 Johnsen

11 Harris

6 García

7 Capita

9 Joveljić

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
30	Stefan Cleveland	G
2	Ian James	D
15	Jansen Miller	D
5	Or Blorian	D
99	Jayden Reid	D
4	Lasse Berg Johnsen	M
22	Zorhan Bassong	M
7	Capita	M
6	Manu García	M
11	Calvin Harris	M
9	Dejan Joveljić	F

Substitutes

18	Emir Karić	D
8	Jacob Davis	M
23	Ethan Bartlow	D
20	Kwaku Agyabeng	M
17	Stephen Afrifa	F
1	John Pulskamp	G
16	Jacob Bartlett	D
14	Macielo Tschantret	M
93	Shapi Suleymanov	F

St. Louis City

Formation: 3-4-3 Coach: Yoann Damet

39 Lundt

21 Polvara

32 Baumgartl

5 MacNaughton

14 Totland

24 Edelman

10 Löwen

6 Wallem

17 Hartel

11 Becher

77 Sang-bin

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
39	Benjamin Lundt	G
5	Lukas MacNaughton	D
32	Timo Baumgartl	D
21	Dante Polvara	D
6	Conrad Wallem	M
10	Eduard Löwen	M
24	Daniel Edelman	M
14	Tomas Totland	M
77	Jeong Sang-bin	F
11	Simon Becher	F
17	Marcel Hartel	F

Substitutes

20	Rafael Santos	D
28	Miguel Perez	M
31	Christian Olivares	G
27	Fallou Fall	D
22	Kyle Hiebert	D
99	Jaziel Orozco	D
7	Tomáš Ostrák	M
59	Mykhi Joyner	M
29	Palmer Ault	M