New York City FC vs Columbus Crew Prediction

Major League Soccer Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 12
FT
Post on X
AI call Difficult New York City FC win or draw
63%
22%
16%
Home Win Draw Away Win

New York City FC vs Columbus Crew prediction: Sportiko gives New York City FC a 63% chance of winning, Columbus Crew 16% and the draw 22%. Last updated 29 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Timeline

Hannes Wolf assist: Agustin Ojeda
12' ⚽ 1–0
Hannes Wolf assist: Nicolás Fernández
16' ⚽ 2–0
HT 2–0
▮ 63'
Taha Habroune Yellow Card
Hannes Wolf assist: Nicolás Fernández
66' ⚽ 3–0
⇄ 68'
Taha Habroune ⇄ Dániel Gazdag
⇄ 68'
André Gomes ⇄ Sekou Tidiany Bangoura
⇄ 68'
Steven Moreira ⇄ Mohamed Farsi
⇄ 79'
Hugo Picard ⇄ Nariman Akhundzade
⇄ 79'
Dylan Chambost ⇄ Amar Sejdic
Hannes Wolf ⇄ Malachi Jones
85' ⇄
Keaton Parks ⇄ Jonathan Shore
85' ⇄
Agustin Ojeda ⇄ Arnau Farnos
88' ⇄
Maxi Moralez ⇄ Máximo Carrizo
90+1' ⇄
Nicolás Fernández ⇄ Seymour Garfield-Reid
90+2' ⇄
FT 3–0
New York City FC

Match Stats

Columbus Crew
42% Ball Possession 58%
1.03 Expected Goals (xG) 1.07
9 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Goal 2
2 Shots off Goal 4
1 Blocked Shots 5
9 Shots insidebox 7
0 Shots outsidebox 4
3 Corner Kicks 8
6 Offsides 5
7 Fouls 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
Red Cards
2 Goalkeeper Saves 3
440 Total passes 606
367 Passes accurate 541
83% Passes % 89%
-0.17 goals_prevented -0.17
New York City FC
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
17 Hannes Wolf M 9.7 85' 3 – 3 25 (20%) 2
7 Nicolás Fernández F 8.2 89' – 2 1 31 (25%) –
13 Thiago Martins D 7.6 90' – – – 84 (79%) –
26 Agustin Ojeda M 7.6 88' – 1 – 21 (18%) –
5 Kai Trewin M 7.5 90' – – – 30 (28%) 2
49 Matthew Freese G 7.3 90' – – – 42 (34%) –
55 Keaton Parks M 7.3 85' – – – 35 (26%) 2
2 Nico Cavallo D 7.2 90' – – – 28 (20%) 3
34 Raul Gustavo D 7.2 90' – – 1 79 (68%) 2
10 Maxi Moralez M 7.0 89' – – 2 28 (22%) 4
24 Tayvon Gray D 6.7 90' – – – 28 (21%) –
32 Jonathan Shore M 6.6 9' – – – 5 (3%) 2
88 Malachi Jones F 6.5 9' – – 1 1 –
87 Arnau Farnos F — 2' – – – 2 (2%) –
29 Máximo Carrizo M — 1' – – – 1 (1%) –
99 Seymour Garfield-Reid F — 1' – – – – –
Columbus Crew
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
7 Dylan Chambost M 7.2 79' – – – 57 (54%) 1
23 Mohamed Farsi D 6.9 22' – – 1 16 (16%) 1
17 Sekou Tidiany Bangoura M 6.9 22' – – – 22 (20%) –
20 André Gomes M 6.9 68' – – 2 60 (53%) 2
25 Sean Zawadzki D 6.7 90' – – – 79 (75%) –
10 Diego Rossi F 6.6 90' – – 1 43 (38%) 2
4 Rudy Camacho D 6.5 90' – – 1 93 (79%) 1
90 Nariman Akhundzade F 6.5 11' – – – 6 (5%) –
28 Patrick Schulte G 6.3 90' – – – 35 (35%) –
14 Amar Sejdic M 6.3 11' – – – 12 (11%) –
8 Dániel Gazdag M 6.3 22' – – – 7 (5%) –
16 Taha Habroune F 6.2 68' – – – 21 (16%) 1
30 Hugo Picard M 6.2 79' – – – 36 (30%) 2
27 Maximilian Arfsten M 6.0 90' – – 1 36 (27%) 2
31 Steven Moreira D 6.0 68' – – – 40 (38%) 1
2 Andres Herrera D 5.9 90' – – – 43 (39%) 3
Premium

Unlock the AI's full read on New York City FC vs Columbus Crew

  • All 70+ probability markets
  • AI Deep-Dive match report
  • Value Edge — model vs market
  • Pick types you choose
Confidence Medium (52%)

At a glance

Our lean
Difficult New York City FC win or draw
Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now
New York City FC
LWLDD
Columbus Crew
WWLLW
Last 2 meetings New York City FC · 1W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming MLS match on May 10, 2026, New York City FC hosts Columbus Crew at Yankee Stadium. NYCFC has demonstrated a strong home advantage, boasting a win rate of approximately 60% in their last 20 home matches. Conversely, Columbus Crew's away form has been inconsistent, with a 30% win rate in their last 20 away games. Key players to watch include NYCFC's attacking duo, who have combined for over 20 goals this season, while Columbus will rely on their midfield general to control the tempo. The match promises to be competitive, but NYCFC's home dominance might give them the edge.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Players in form

New York City FC
N. Fernández Mercau 15 gls
Columbus Crew

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.

Unlock all models
Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Head to Head: New York City FC vs Columbus Crew

1 New York City FC Wins
0 Draws
1 Columbus Crew Wins
Date Home Score Away
22 Jul 2026 Columbus Crew 1 - 2 New York City FC
20 May 2026 Columbus Crew 1 - 0 New York City FC

New York City FC — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
18 Sep H New York Red Bulls L 0 - 1
13 Sep A Real Salt Lake W 0 - 2
10 Sep H New England Revolution L 1 - 2
04 Sep H Nashville SC D 0 - 0
29 Aug A Toronto FC D 1 - 1

Columbus Crew — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A CF Montreal W 0 - 2
16 Sep H Orlando City SC W 2 - 1
12 Sep H New York Red Bulls L 0 - 1
09 Sep A DC United L 2 - 1
05 Sep H Colorado Rapids W 3 - 0

Major League Soccer Standings

Eastern Conference

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Nashville SC
26 17 6 3 +32 57
2
New England Revolution
26 14 4 8 +12 46
3
Inter Miami
26 12 10 4 +15 46
4
Charlotte
26 12 7 7 +10 43
5
Chicago Fire
25 11 6 8 +7 39
6
Philadelphia Union
26 10 6 10 +8 36
7
Orlando City SC
26 10 4 12 -14 34
8
New York Red Bulls
26 9 6 11 -14 33
9
FC Cincinnati
25 8 9 8 -7 33
10
New York City FC
26 8 8 10 +5 32
11
DC United
25 6 11 8 -8 29
12
Toronto FC
26 6 11 9 -10 29
13
Columbus Crew
26 7 5 14 -5 26
14
Atlanta United FC
26 7 5 14 -13 26
15
CF Montreal
26 5 6 15 -22 21

Western Conference

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Vancouver Whitecaps
25 15 4 6 +33 49
2
Houston Dynamo
26 13 5 8 +4 44
3
St. Louis City
26 12 8 6 +9 44
4
FC Dallas
26 12 8 6 +7 44
5
San Jose Earthquakes
26 12 6 8 +8 42
6
Los Angeles FC
27 11 8 8 +14 41
7
Colorado Rapids
26 11 3 12 +1 36
8
Los Angeles Galaxy
27 8 9 10 -8 33
9
Portland Timbers
26 9 5 12 -1 32
10
Seattle Sounders
25 8 8 9 -3 32
11
San Diego
26 8 7 11 0 31
12
Austin
26 7 9 10 -12 30
13
Real Salt Lake
26 8 5 13 -7 29
14
Minnesota United FC
26 7 8 11 -7 29
15
Sporting Kansas City
25 5 3 17 -34 18

New York City FC

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Pascal Jansen
49 Freese
2 Cavallo
34 Gustavo
13 Martins
24 Gray
5 Trewin
55 Parks
17 Wolf
10 Moralez
26 Ojeda
7 Mercau

Starting XI

# Player Pos
49 M. Freese G
24 T. Gray D
13 Thiago Martins D
34 Raul Gustavo D
2 N. Cavallo D
55 K. Parks M
5 K. Trewin M
26 A. Ojeda M
10 M. Moralez M
17 H. Wolf M
7 N. Mercau F

Substitutes

18 G. Ranjitsingh G
30 T. Romero G
29 M. Carrizo M
88 M. Jones F
19 S. Tanasijevic D
32 J. Shore M
99 S. Reid F
87 A. Farnos F
15 K. Pierre M

Columbus Crew

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Laurent Courtois
28 Schulte
2 Herrera
25 Zawadzki
4 Camacho
31 Moreira
30 Picard
7 Chambost
20 Gomes
27 Arfsten
16 Habroune
10 Rossi

Starting XI

# Player Pos
28 P. Schulte G
31 S. Moreira D
4 R. Camacho D
25 S. Zawadzki D
2 A. Herrera D
27 M. Arfsten M
20 A. Gomes M
7 D. Chambost M
30 H. Picard M
10 D. Rossi F
16 T. Habroune F

Substitutes

1 N. Hagen G
90 N. Akhundzade F
46 C. Adams -
8 D. Gazdag M
21 Y. Cheberko D
14 A. Sejdic M
17 S. Bangoura M
23 M. Farsi D
12 C. Ruvalcaba D

Sportiko Assistant

Features, the contest, or football

Sign up free to chat with the Sportiko Assistant — ask about predictions, the contest, anything football.

Sign up free Already have an account? Log in