Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake Prediction
FT
Lumen Field, Seattle, Washington
AI call
Difficult Seattle Sounders win or draw
53%
25%
23%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake prediction: Sportiko gives Seattle Sounders a 53% chance of winning, Real Salt Lake 23% and the draw 25%. Last updated 24 Sep 2026, 03:35.
Premium picks
Premium- 1st Half Over 0.5 75%
- Away to Score 71%
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Timeline
Kalani Kossa-Rienzi
Yellow Card
10'
▮
Paul Arriola
Yellow Card
41'
▮
HT 0–0
Alex Roldán
⇄ Stuart Hawkins
46'
⇄
Kalani Kossa-Rienzi
⇄ Peter Kingston
46'
⇄
Daniel Musovski
assist: Paul Arriola
48'
⚽
1–0
Peter Kingston
Yellow Card
52'
▮
Daniel Musovski
Yellow Card
55'
▮
▮
57'
Kobi Henry
Yellow Card
Snyder Brunell
⇄ Hassani Dotson
63'
⇄
Daniel Musovski
⇄ Jordan Morris
63'
⇄
⇄
71'
Luca Moisa
⇄ Saba Lobzhanidze
Albert Rusnák
assist: Paul Arriola
73'
⚽
2–0
⇄
78'
Morgan Guilavogui
⇄ Taylor Booth
⇄
78'
Sergi Solans
⇄ Lineker Rodrigues
⇄
78'
Stijn Spierings
⇄ Colin Guske
Paul Arriola
⇄ Caden Clark
82'
⇄
▮
87'
DeAndre Yedlin
Yellow Card
⇄
88'
Noel Caliskan
⇄ L. O'Gara
FT 2–0
Seattle Sounders
Match Stats
Real Salt Lake
53%
Ball Possession
47%
11
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Goal
2
4
Shots off Goal
6
3
Blocked Shots
4
7
Shots insidebox
6
4
Shots outsidebox
5
7
Corner Kicks
6
0
Offsides
2
10
Fouls
9
4
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2
553
Total passes
485
466
Passes accurate
405
9
Free Kicks
9
Seattle Sounders
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albert Rusnák | 8.2 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 53 (46%) | – |
| Paul Arriola | 7.9 | 82' | – | 2 | 3 | 42 (36%) | 1 |
| Daniel Musovski | 7.5 | 63' | 1 | – | 1 | 10 (5%) | 1 |
| Andrew Thomas | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 29 (23%) | 1 |
| Cristian Roldán | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 80 (68%) | 3 |
| Nouhou Tolo | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 51 (44%) | 3 |
| Jackson Ragen | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 66 (62%) | – |
| Stuart Hawkins | 6.8 | 44' | – | – | – | 29 (25%) | 1 |
| Alex Roldán | 6.8 | 46' | – | – | – | 50 (46%) | 1 |
| Kalani Kossa-Rienzi | 6.6 | 46' | – | – | – | 36 (31%) | 1 |
| Hassani Dotson | 6.5 | 27' | – | – | – | 12 (7%) | 1 |
| Caden Clark | 6.5 | 8' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | 1 |
| Jordan Morris | 6.4 | 27' | – | – | – | 13 (11%) | – |
| Snyder Brunell | 6.2 | 63' | – | – | – | 28 (23%) | 3 |
| Peter Kingston | 6.2 | 44' | – | – | 1 | 25 (19%) | – |
| Sebastian Gomez | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 27 (18%) | 1 |
Real Salt Lake
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael Cabral | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 37 (32%) | 1 |
| Morgan Guilavogui | 6.7 | 78' | – | – | 3 | 40 (32%) | 1 |
| Philip Quinton | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 58 (53%) | 2 |
| Stijn Spierings | 6.5 | 78' | – | – | 1 | 53 (48%) | 1 |
| Sergi Solans | 6.5 | 78' | – | – | 2 | 18 (12%) | 1 |
| Taylor Booth | 6.4 | 12' | – | – | 1 | 5 (3%) | 1 |
| Lineker Rodrigues | 6.4 | 12' | – | – | 1 | 2 (2%) | – |
| Noel Caliskan | 6.3 | 88' | – | – | – | 47 (38%) | – |
| Luca Moisa | 6.3 | 71' | – | – | – | 25 (19%) | 2 |
| DeAndre Yedlin | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 48 (42%) | 2 |
| Kobi Henry | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 48 (44%) | 3 |
| Colin Guske | 6.1 | 12' | – | – | – | 6 (5%) | 1 |
| Dominik Marczuk | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 38 (30%) | 1 |
| L. O'Gara | 6.0 | 2' | – | – | – | 9 (8%) | – |
| Saba Lobzhanidze | 5.9 | 19' | – | – | – | 6 (4%) | – |
| Sam Junqua | 5.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 45 (33%) | 1 |
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Confidence
Medium (53%)
At a glance
Our lean
Difficult Seattle Sounders win or draw
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Seattle Sounders
WLLDD
Real Salt Lake
WLWWW
Last 3 meetings
Seattle Sounders · 1W 0D 2L
Match summary
In the upcoming match on April 12, 2026, the Seattle Sounders will host Real Salt Lake in a critical MLS showdown. The Sounders, known for their strong home advantage, have an impressive record at Lumen Field, boasting a win rate of over 60% in home matches. Real Salt Lake, while competitive, has struggled historically in Seattle, often conceding multiple goals. Key players to watch include Seattle's attacking duo, who have combined for 20 goals this season, versus RSL's defense, which has shown vulnerability against high-pressing teams. This match could significantly impact playoff positioning, with Seattle looking to solidify their top-four spot in the Western Conference. Expect an intense matchup with high stakes for both teams.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
53%
45%
Draw
25%
45%
Away
23%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Seattle Sounders
No scorer data.
Real Salt Lake
S. Solans
14 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake
1
Seattle Sounders Wins
0
Draws
2
Real Salt Lake Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar 2026 | Real Salt Lake | 2 - 1 | Seattle Sounders |
| 14 Sep 2013 | Seattle Sounders | 2 - 0 | Real Salt Lake |
| 22 Jun 2013 | Real Salt Lake | 2 - 0 | Seattle Sounders |
Seattle Sounders — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov | H Los Angeles FC | W | 2 - 1 |
| 01 Nov | A Vancouver Whitecaps | L | 5 - 1 |
| 29 Oct | H Houston Dynamo | L | 0 - 1 |
| 25 Oct | A San Diego | D | 2 - 2 |
| 18 Oct | H CF Montreal | D | 1 - 1 |
Real Salt Lake — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov | H Los Angeles Galaxy | W | 2 - 1 |
| 31 Oct | A San Jose Earthquakes | L | 2 - 1 |
| 29 Oct | A Austin | W | 1 - 2 |
| 25 Oct | H St. Louis City | W | 3 - 0 |
| 18 Oct | A Sporting Kansas City | W | 1 - 3 |
Major League Soccer Standings
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nashville SC
|
34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 71 | 25 | +46 | 77 |
| 2 |
Inter Miami
|
34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 80 | 59 | +21 | 60 |
| 3 |
New England Revolution
|
34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 55 | 47 | +8 | 58 |
| 4 |
Chicago Fire
|
34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 64 | 54 | +10 | 55 |
| 5 |
Charlotte
|
34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 66 | 51 | +15 | 54 |
| 6 |
Philadelphia Union
|
34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 66 | 52 | +14 | 50 |
| 7 |
Columbus Crew
|
34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 59 | 52 | +7 | 47 |
| 8 |
Orlando City SC
|
34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 63 | 78 | -15 | 46 |
| 9 |
FC Cincinnati
|
34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 67 | 75 | -8 | 46 |
| 10 |
New York Red Bulls
|
34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 48 | 62 | -14 | 42 |
| 11 |
New York City FC
|
34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 45 | +4 | 42 |
| 12 |
Toronto FC
|
34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 52 | 67 | -15 | 39 |
| 13 |
Atlanta United FC
|
34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 43 | 60 | -17 | 33 |
| 14 |
DC United
|
34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 33 |
| 15 |
CF Montreal
|
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 26 |
Western Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Vancouver Whitecaps
|
34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 74 | 34 | +40 | 64 |
| 2 |
FC Dallas
|
34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 62 | 51 | +11 | 58 |
| 3 |
St. Louis City
|
34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 59 | 48 | +11 | 54 |
| 4 |
San Jose Earthquakes
|
34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 57 | 51 | +6 | 52 |
| 5 |
Houston Dynamo
|
34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 51 |
| 6 |
Los Angeles FC
|
34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 52 | 40 | +12 | 47 |
| 7 |
Portland Timbers
|
34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 61 | +1 | 46 |
| 8 |
Seattle Sounders
|
34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 46 |
| 9 |
Real Salt Lake
|
34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 53 | 52 | +1 | 45 |
| 10 |
Minnesota United FC
|
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 44 |
| 11 |
Los Angeles Galaxy
|
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 44 |
| 12 |
Colorado Rapids
|
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 43 |
| 13 |
San Diego
|
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 57 | 63 | -6 | 38 |
| 14 |
Austin
|
34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 42 | 65 | -23 | 34 |
| 15 |
Sporting Kansas City
|
34 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 40 | 81 | -41 | 26 |
Lineups Not Yet Available
Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.