Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra Prediction

Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 16

Post on X

Independiente

Home

2 : 1

HT 1 - 0

Deportivo Riestra

Away

Estadio Libertadores de América, Avellaneda, Provincia de Buenos Aires

AI call Difficult Independiente win or draw

53%

31%

16%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra prediction: Sportiko gives Independiente a 53% chance of winning, Deportivo Riestra 16% and the draw 31%. Last updated 7 Nov 2026, 00:15.

Premium picks

Premium

Home to Score 75%
2nd Half Over 0.5 71%

Premium members had these picks before kick-off. See Premium picks

Timeline

Mateo Perez assist: Josias Palais

11' ⚽ 1–0

▮ 30'

Jonathan Goitia Yellow Card

⇄ 31'

Jonathan Goitia ⇄ Mariano Bracamonte

⇄ 45'

Facundo Miño ⇄ Ignacio Gariglio

Sebastián Valdez Yellow Card

45+3' ▮

HT 1–0

⇄ 55'

Gabriel Obredor ⇄ Braian Sánchez

Imanol Machuca ⇄ Juan Fedorco

60' ⇄

Josias Palais ⇄ Felipe Tempone

60' ⇄

⇄ 70'

Miguel Agustín Graneros ⇄ Alexander Díaz

⇄ 70'

Antony Alonso ⇄ Tomás Gonzalez

▮ 71'

Nicolas Watson Yellow Card

Maxi Meza

79' ⇄

Mateo Perez ⇄ Facundo Cruz

79' ⇄

⚽ 1–1 86'

Alexander Díaz assist: Tomás Gonzalez

Felipe Tempone assist: Juan Fedorco

87' ⚽ 2–1

Chimy Ávila ⇄ Iván Morales

90+1' ⇄

FT 2–1

Independiente

Match Stats

Deportivo Riestra

52% Ball Possession 48%

1.1 Expected Goals (xG) 1.34

9 Total Shots 16

3 Shots on Goal 4

4 Shots off Goal 8

2 Blocked Shots 4

7 Shots insidebox 11

2 Shots outsidebox 5

7 Corner Kicks 5

0 Offsides 3

12 Fouls 17

1 Yellow Cards 2

0 Red Cards 0

3 Goalkeeper Saves 1

318 Total passes 300

227 Passes accurate 183

17 Free Kicks 11

Independiente

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
34 Felipe Tempone F	7.7	30'	1	–	2	6 (6%)	–
16 Mateo Perez M	7.5	79'	1	–	2	23 (15%)	1
24 Josias Palais M	7.5	60'	–	1	–	8 (5%)	–
13 Juan Fedorco D	7.1	30'	–	1	–	5 (5%)	2
4 Santiago Arias D	7.0	90'	–	–	–	30 (25%)	3
36 Sebastián Valdez D	6.9	90'	–	–	–	27 (26%)	1
11 Imanol Machuca M	6.6	60'	–	–	1	17 (13%)	2
23 Iván Marcone M	6.6	90'	–	–	–	45 (35%)	7
6 Chimy Ávila F	6.5	91'	–	–	1	10 (9%)	–
77 Santiago Mele G	6.4	90'	–	–	–	29 (11%)	–
20 Facundo Cruz M	6.4	11'	–	–	–	8 (6%)	–
35 Juan Miguel Arrayago D	6.3	90'	–	–	1	32 (18%)	2
8 Maxi Meza M	6.3	79'	–	–	1	29 (19%)	2
5 Nahuel Banegas D	6.2	90'	–	–	1	43 (28%)	5

Deportivo Riestra

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
11 Alexander Díaz F	8.0	20'	1	–	1	5 (3%)	–
21 Tomás Gonzalez F	6.8	20'	–	1	2	9 (7%)	1
8 Milton Celiz M	6.4	90'	–	–	2	35 (18%)	2
10 Braian Sánchez M	6.3	35'	–	–	3	8 (5%)	1
6 Ignacio Gariglio D	6.3	44'	–	–	–	13 (10%)	2
7 Antony Alonso F	6.2	70'	–	–	–	20 (14%)	1
29 Miguel Agustín Graneros F	6.2	70'	–	–	3	13 (10%)	1
24 Facundo Miño D	6.1	46'	–	–	–	15 (5%)	2
36 Mariano Bracamonte D	6.1	59'	–	–	1	12 (6%)	–
27 Jonathan Goitia M	6.0	31'	–	–	1	5 (3%)	–
40 Gabriel Obredor D	5.9	55'	–	–	–	12 (9%)	2
1 Ignacio Arce G	5.8	90'	–	–	–	31 (15%)	–
5 Pedro Ramírez D	5.8	90'	–	–	3	27 (18%)	2
22 Cristian Paz D	5.7	90'	–	–	–	30 (18%)	3
16 Nicolas Watson M	5.5	90'	–	–	–	46 (31%)	5
19 Juan Cruz Randazzo D	5.4	90'	–	–	–	25 (15%)	–

Premium

Unlock the AI's full read on Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra

All 70+ probability markets
AI Deep-Dive match report
Pick types you choose

Go Premium

Confidence Medium (53%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult Independiente win or draw

Most likely score

Both teams to score

Over 2.5 goals

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Independiente

WDLDD

Deportivo Riestra

LLLDL

Last 3 meetings Independiente · 1W 1D 1L

Live insights

88' Goal 80% sure

Late goal makes it 2-1! Independiente win probability: 95.4%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 9.5%.

86' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 89.8%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Independiente leads 1-0. Win probability: 92%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 8%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 1-0. Independiente leads. Win probability: 85.7%. Over 0.5 more goals: 62.9%.

11' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-0. Independiente win: 84.1%. BTTS: 43.5%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

53%

45%

Draw

31%

45%

Away

16%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Players in form

Independiente

G. Ávalos 11 gls

Deportivo Riestra

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

Why this pick? · Premium AI Deep-Dive · Premium

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.

Unlock all models

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Head to Head: Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra

1 Independiente Wins

1 Draws

1 Deportivo Riestra Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
24 Apr 2026	Deportivo Riestra	2 - 0	Independiente
10 Nov 2025	Deportivo Riestra	0 - 1	Independiente
27 Apr 2025	Independiente	0 - 0	Deportivo Riestra

See all 4 meetings — Premium

Independiente — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
06 Nov	H Deportivo Riestra	W	2 - 1
02 Nov	A Defensa Y Justicia	D	1 - 1
25 Oct	H Boca Juniors	L	0 - 1
18 Oct	A Racing Club	D	1 - 1
12 Oct	A Talleres Cordoba	D	0 - 0

Deportivo Riestra — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
06 Nov	A Independiente	L	2 - 1
31 Oct	H Talleres Cordoba	L	0 - 3
27 Oct	A Instituto Cordoba	L	1 - 0
20 Oct	H Union Santa Fe	D	1 - 1
11 Oct	A San Lorenzo	L	1 - 0

Liga Profesional Argentina Standings

Clausura - Group A

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Instituto Cordoba	16	10	4	2	26	15	+11	34
2	Boca Juniors	16	9	6	1	24	14	+10	33
3	Velez Sarsfield	16	7	7	2	25	17	+8	28
4	Defensa Y Justicia	16	8	4	4	21	15	+6	28
5	Lanus	15	7	4	4	18	11	+7	25
6	Newells Old Boys	16	5	8	3	16	13	+3	23
7	Independiente	16	6	5	5	15	16	-1	23
8	Gimnasia M.	16	6	4	6	18	17	+1	22
9	Union Santa Fe	16	6	3	7	24	24	0	21
10	Platense	16	5	5	6	18	20	-2	20
11	San Lorenzo	16	5	4	7	9	16	-7	19
12	Estudiantes L.P.	16	4	4	8	21	22	-1	16
13	Talleres Cordoba	16	3	4	9	17	23	-6	13
14	Deportivo Riestra	16	2	6	8	11	19	-8	12
15	Central Cordoba de Santiago	15	2	4	9	11	25	-14	10

Clausura - Group B

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Rosario Central	16	10	4	2	26	12	+14	34
2	Argentinos JRS	16	9	4	3	20	14	+6	31
3	Gimnasia L.P.	16	9	4	3	25	20	+5	31
4	River Plate	16	8	2	6	21	14	+7	26
5	Barracas Central	16	7	5	4	17	13	+4	26
6	Belgrano Cordoba	16	6	5	5	17	15	+2	23
7	Independ. Rivadavia	16	6	5	5	21	24	-3	23
8	Huracan	16	6	4	6	14	16	-2	22
9	Sarmiento Junin	16	6	3	7	23	24	-1	21
10	Tigre	16	5	4	7	16	16	0	19
11	Atletico Tucuman	16	4	6	6	16	17	-1	18
12	Banfield	16	3	6	7	18	25	-7	15
13	Racing Club	16	4	3	9	16	24	-8	15
14	Aldosivi	16	3	2	11	16	26	-10	11
15	Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto	16	2	3	11	10	23	-13	9

Independiente

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Jádson Viera

77 Mele

5 Banegas

35 Arrayago

36 Valdez

4 Arias

23 Marcone

16 Perez

24 Palais

8 Meza

11 Machuca

6 Ávila

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
77	S. Mele	G
4	S. Arias	D
36	S. Valdez	D
35	J. Arrayago	D
5	N. Banegas	D
16	M. Perez	M
23	I. Marcone	M
11	I. Machuca	M
8	M. Meza	M
24	J. Palais	M
6	E. Ávila	F

Substitutes

19	M. Abaldo	F
20	Facundo Cruz	M
13	J. Fedorco	D
29	L. Godoy	D
14	Lautaro Millán	M
34	F. Tempone	F
22	F. Zabala	D
9	I. Morales	F
10	L. Cabral	M
30	Tomás Parmo	M
2	F. Calderón	D
33	R. Rey	G

Deportivo Riestra

Formation: 5-3-2 Coach: G. Benítez

1 Arce

5 Ramírez

22 Paz

19 Randazzo

24 Miño

40 Obredor

27 Goitía

16 Watson

8 Céliz

29 Graneros

7 Espinoza

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	I. Arce	G
40	G. Obredor	D
24	F. Miño	D
19	J. Randazzo	D
22	C. Paz	D
5	P. Ramírez	D
8	M. Céliz	M
16	N. Watson	M
27	J. Goitía	M
7	Antony Daniel Alonso Espinoza	F
29	M. Graneros	F

Substitutes

17	Á. Almada	M
23	M. Arzamendia	G
9	N. Benegas	F
36	M. Bracamonte	D
11	A. Díaz	F
6	I. Gariglio	D
21	T. González	F
20	T. Lauro	M
18	B. Pérez	M
37	Dariel Sánchez Ganly	M
10	B. Sánchez	M
3	E. Tovo	D