Boca Juniors vs Defensa Y Justicia Prediction
FT
Estadio Mâs Monumental, Buenos Aires
AI call
Difficult Boca Juniors win or draw
63%
23%
14%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Boca Juniors vs Defensa Y Justicia prediction: Sportiko gives Boca Juniors a 63% chance of winning, Defensa Y Justicia 14% and the draw 23%. Last updated 7 Nov 2026, 22:33.
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Timeline
Miguel Merentiel
Goal cancelled
39'
🖵
HT 0–0
Leandro Paredes
Yellow Card
57'
▮
▮
63'
Maximiliano Porcel
Yellow Card
Alan Velasco
⇄ Tomás Aranda
64'
⇄
Sebastián Villa
⇄ Leonel Flores
64'
⇄
⇄
68'
Jeremías Lucco
⇄ Aaron Molinas
⇄
68'
Maximiliano Porcel
⇄ David Barbona
Leandro Paredes
⇄ Enner Valencia
76'
⇄
⇄
78'
Leandro Fernández
⇄ Tiziano Perrotta
▮
89'
Tiziano Perrotta
Yellow Card
⇄
90+1'
César Pérez
⇄ E. Burdin
⇄
90+1'
Juan Manuel Gutiérrez
⇄ Ayrton Portillo
Enner Valencia
assist: Lautaro Di Lollo
90+6'
⚽
1–0
▮
90+7'
Santiago Sosa
Yellow Card
▮
90+9'
Valentín Loza
Yellow Card
FT 1–0
Boca Juniors
Match Stats
Defensa Y Justicia
63%
Ball Possession
37%
1.78
Expected Goals (xG)
0.44
22
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Goal
1
9
Shots off Goal
6
8
Blocked Shots
3
13
Shots insidebox
4
9
Shots outsidebox
6
10
Corner Kicks
2
2
Offsides
0
7
Fouls
15
1
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
1
Goalkeeper Saves
4
513
Total passes
318
410
Passes accurate
224
15
Free Kicks
7
Boca Juniors
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Lautaro Di Lollo D | 8.0 | 90' | – | 1 | 2 | 54 (42%) | 1 |
| 3 Lautaro Blanco D | 7.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 34 (30%) | 3 |
| 13 Enner Valencia F | 7.7 | 14' | 1 | – | 1 | 3 (2%) | – |
| 17 Leandro Lozano D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 46 (36%) | 2 |
| 42 Facundo Herrera D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 53 (41%) | 1 |
| 1 Álvaro Montero G | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 27 (21%) | – |
| 25 Santiago Ascacíbar M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 43 (37%) | 2 |
| 10 Tomás Aranda M | 7.1 | 26' | – | – | 1 | 32 (25%) | 1 |
| 22 Sebastián Villa F | 7.1 | 64' | – | – | 2 | 32 (21%) | 2 |
| 18 Milton Delgado M | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 58 (54%) | 4 |
| 5 Leandro Paredes M | 6.7 | 76' | – | – | 2 | 63 (46%) | 3 |
| 19 Leonel Flores F | 6.5 | 26' | – | – | 1 | 28 (26%) | 1 |
| 16 Miguel Merentiel F | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 4 | 19 (14%) | – |
| 20 Alan Velasco F | 6.3 | 64' | – | – | 3 | 21 (15%) | 4 |
Defensa Y Justicia
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Matías Borgogno G | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 27 (18%) | – |
| 29 Damián Fernández D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 31 (24%) | 1 |
| 24 Juan Manuel Gutiérrez M | 6.8 | 91' | – | – | 3 | 14 (8%) | 2 |
| 8 César Pérez M | 6.7 | 91' | – | – | 1 | 44 (36%) | 2 |
| 19 David Barbona M | 6.6 | 22' | – | – | – | 11 (8%) | 1 |
| 10 Aaron Molinas M | 6.5 | 22' | – | – | – | 16 (10%) | – |
| 22 Maximiliano Porcel M | 6.4 | 68' | – | – | – | 21 (16%) | 2 |
| 26 Jeremías Lucco M | 6.3 | 68' | – | – | 1 | 20 (14%) | – |
| 15 Santiago Sosa M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 30 (25%) | – |
| 21 David Martínez D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 31 (19%) | – |
| 9 Leandro Fernández F | 6.1 | 78' | – | – | 2 | 16 (9%) | – |
| 30 Demian Dominguez D | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 29 (19%) | 3 |
| 11 Tiziano Perrotta F | 6.0 | 12' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
| 28 Valentín Loza D | 5.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 23 (15%) | 3 |
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Confidence
Medium (63%)
At a glance
Our lean
Difficult Boca Juniors win or draw
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Boca Juniors
WWWWW
Defensa Y Justicia
LDWLW
Last 3 meetings
Boca Juniors · 2W 0D 1L
Live insights
90'
Goal
80% sure
Late goal makes it 1-0! Boca Juniors win probability: 95.4%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 9.5%.
75'
time check
80% sure
Min 75: Still level at 0-0. Draw looking likely at 65.2%. Late goal chance: 38.5%.
45'
half time
65% sure
Half-time: 0-0. Second half goals expected - Over 0.5 remaining: 75.8%. Over 1.5 remaining: 44.9%.
40'
Goal
70% sure
Goal! Score now 1-0. Boca Juniors win: 83.8%. BTTS: 41.3%.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
63%
45%
Draw
23%
45%
Away
14%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Boca Juniors
M. Merentiel
9 gls
Defensa Y Justicia
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Boca Juniors vs Defensa Y Justicia
2
Boca Juniors Wins
0
Draws
1
Defensa Y Justicia Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr 2026 | Defensa Y Justicia | 0 - 4 | Boca Juniors |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Defensa Y Justicia | 2 - 1 | Boca Juniors |
| 16 Mar 2025 | Boca Juniors | 4 - 0 | Defensa Y Justicia |
Boca Juniors — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H Defensa Y Justicia | W | 1 - 0 |
| 01 Nov | H River Plate | W | 1 - 0 |
| 25 Oct | A Independiente | W | 0 - 1 |
| 21 Oct | A Vasco DA Gama | W | 1 - 3 |
| 17 Oct | H Talleres Cordoba | W | 2 - 1 |
Defensa Y Justicia — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | A Boca Juniors | L | 1 - 0 |
| 02 Nov | H Independiente | D | 1 - 1 |
| 24 Oct | A Talleres Cordoba | W | 1 - 2 |
| 16 Oct | H Instituto Cordoba | L | 0 - 1 |
| 10 Oct | A Union Santa Fe | W | 0 - 2 |
Liga Profesional Argentina Standings
Clausura - Group A
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Instituto Cordoba
|
16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 15 | +11 | 34 |
| 2 |
Boca Juniors
|
16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 24 | 14 | +10 | 33 |
| 3 |
Velez Sarsfield
|
16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 25 | 17 | +8 | 28 |
| 4 |
Defensa Y Justicia
|
16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 15 | +6 | 28 |
| 5 |
Lanus
|
15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 11 | +7 | 25 |
| 6 |
Newells Old Boys
|
16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 13 | +3 | 23 |
| 7 |
Independiente
|
16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 23 |
| 8 |
Gimnasia M.
|
16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 17 | +1 | 22 |
| 9 |
Union Santa Fe
|
16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 |
Platense
|
16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 20 |
| 11 |
San Lorenzo
|
16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 19 |
| 12 |
Estudiantes L.P.
|
16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 16 |
| 13 |
Talleres Cordoba
|
16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 13 |
| 14 |
Deportivo Riestra
|
16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 12 |
| 15 |
Central Cordoba de Santiago
|
15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 10 |
Clausura - Group B
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Rosario Central
|
16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 12 | +14 | 34 |
| 2 |
Argentinos JRS
|
16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 14 | +6 | 31 |
| 3 |
Gimnasia L.P.
|
16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 20 | +5 | 31 |
| 4 |
River Plate
|
16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 14 | +7 | 26 |
| 5 |
Barracas Central
|
16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 13 | +4 | 26 |
| 6 |
Belgrano Cordoba
|
16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 15 | +2 | 23 |
| 7 |
Independ. Rivadavia
|
16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 23 |
| 8 |
Huracan
|
16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 22 |
| 9 |
Sarmiento Junin
|
16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 21 |
| 10 |
Tigre
|
16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 19 |
| 11 |
Atletico Tucuman
|
16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 18 |
| 12 |
Banfield
|
16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 15 |
| 13 |
Racing Club
|
16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 15 |
| 14 |
Aldosivi
|
16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 11 |
| 15 |
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
|
16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 9 |
Boca Juniors
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: R. Arruabarrena
1
Montero
3
Blanco
42
Herrera
2
Lollo
17
Lozano
18
Delgado
5
Paredes
25
Ascacíbar
22
Villa
16
Merentiel
20
Velasco
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Á. Montero | G |
| 17 | L. Lozano | D |
| 2 | L. Di Lollo | D |
| 42 | F. Herrera | D |
| 3 | L. Blanco | D |
| 25 | S. Ascacíbar | M |
| 5 | L. Paredes | M |
| 18 | M. Delgado | M |
| 20 | A. Velasco | F |
| 16 | M. Merentiel | F |
| 22 | S. Villa | F |
Substitutes
| 19 | L. Flores | F |
| 4 | N. Figal | D |
| 24 | D. Gorosito | D |
| 7 | C. Palacios | M |
| 26 | Marco Pellegrino | D |
| 13 | E. Valencia | F |
| 15 | W. Alarcón | M |
| 10 | T. Aranda | M |
| 8 | T. Belmonte | M |
| 27 | M. Braida | M |
| 12 | L. Brey | G |
| 32 | A. Costa | D |
Defensa Y Justicia
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: J. Vaccari
1
Borgogno
30
Domínguez
21
Martínez
29
Fernández
28
Loza
15
Sosa
8
Pérez
24
Gutiérrez
22
Porcel
26
Lucco
9
Fernández
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Borgogno | G |
| 28 | V. Loza | D |
| 29 | D. Fernández | D |
| 21 | D. Martínez | D |
| 30 | D. Domínguez | D |
| 8 | C. Pérez | M |
| 15 | S. Sosa | M |
| 26 | J. Lucco | M |
| 22 | M. Porcel | M |
| 24 | J. Gutiérrez | M |
| 9 | L. Fernández | F |
Substitutes
| 36 | L. Amadé | G |
| 19 | D. Barbona | M |
| 27 | D. Blanco | M |
| 6 | E. Burdin | D |
| 41 | Ramiro Gagliardi | F |
| 17 | A. Hausch | F |
| 10 | A. Molinas | M |
| 11 | Tiziano Perrota | F |
| 16 | A. Portillo | M |
| 3 | F. Román | D |
| 32 | Nazareno Roselli | D |
| 33 | L. Souto | D |