Lanus vs Velez Sarsfield Prediction
FT
Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez, Lanús, Provincia de Buenos Aires
AI call
Lanus or draw
43%
32%
25%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Lanus vs Velez Sarsfield prediction: Sportiko gives Lanus a 43% chance of winning, Velez Sarsfield 25% and the draw 32%. Last updated 12 Oct 2026, 20:57.
Premium picks
Premium- Home to Score 72%
- 2nd Half Over 0.5 72%
- 1st Half Draw or Away 70%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off.
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Timeline
▮
11'
Lucas Robertone
Yellow Card
▮
19'
Thiago Aguirre
Yellow Card
▮
34'
Rodrigo Aliendro
Yellow Card
HT 0–0
⇄
57'
Thiago Aguirre
⇄ Diego Valdés
Sasha Marcich
assist: Lucas Besozzi
59'
⚽
1–0
Allan Wlk
⇄ Yoshan Valois
67'
⇄
Lucas Besozzi
⇄ Matías Sepúlveda
67'
⇄
Carlos Izquierdoz
Yellow Card
73'
▮
⇄
74'
Matias Arias
⇄ Dilan Godoy
⇄
74'
J. Policella
⇄ Simon Escobar
Marcelino Moreno
⇄ Ramiro Carrera
81'
⇄
Eduardo Salvio
⇄ Gonzalo Lobos
81'
⇄
Ramiro Carrera
Yellow Card
88'
▮
⇄
90+1'
Lucas Robertone
⇄ Luca Feler
⇄
90+1'
Elías Gómez
⇄ Lautaro Piola
Agustín Medina
⇄ Gonzalo Perez
90+4'
⇄
Tomás Marchiori
Own Goal
90+5'
⚽
2–0
FT 2–0
Lanus
Match Stats
Velez Sarsfield
49%
Ball Possession
51%
2.04
Expected Goals (xG)
0.61
17
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Goal
3
8
Shots off Goal
4
3
Blocked Shots
3
9
Shots insidebox
4
8
Shots outsidebox
6
5
Corner Kicks
6
3
Offsides
0
8
Fouls
13
2
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
5
449
Total passes
484
359
Passes accurate
373
12
Free Kicks
8
Lanus
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Sasha Marcich D | 7.9 | 90' | 1 | – | 3 | 44 (33%) | – |
| 77 Lucas Besozzi M | 7.7 | 67' | – | 1 | 1 | 30 (24%) | 1 |
| 17 Agustín Medina M | 7.6 | 90' | – | – | 4 | 57 (49%) | 3 |
| 24 Carlos Izquierdoz D | 7.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 49 (41%) | 6 |
| 13 José Canale D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 37 (28%) | 2 |
| 33 Tomás Guidara D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 47 (39%) | 4 |
| 16 Matías Sepúlveda M | 7.2 | 23' | – | – | – | 9 (8%) | 2 |
| 26 Nahuel Losada G | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 17 (12%) | – |
| 30 Agustín Cardozo M | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 54 (48%) | 2 |
| 11 Eduardo Salvio M | 6.7 | 81' | – | – | – | 36 (27%) | 2 |
| 10 Marcelino Moreno M | 6.7 | 81' | – | – | 1 | 43 (36%) | 2 |
| 23 Ramiro Carrera M | 6.6 | 9' | – | – | 1 | 2 (1%) | – |
| 19 Yoshan Valois F | 6.5 | 23' | – | – | 1 | 7 (3%) | – |
| 42 Gonzalo Lobos F | 6.5 | 9' | – | – | – | 5 (5%) | – |
| 20 Allan Wlk F | 6.3 | 67' | – | – | 3 | 6 (1%) | – |
Velez Sarsfield
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Tomás Marchiori G | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 27 (11%) | – |
| 4 Joaquín García D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 45 (39%) | 1 |
| 16 Lisandro Magallán D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 64 (54%) | 3 |
| 37 J. Policella M | 6.8 | 74' | – | – | 2 | 30 (25%) | – |
| 39 Thiago Aguirre M | 6.7 | 57' | – | – | – | 12 (8%) | 3 |
| 32 Thiago Silvero D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 58 (43%) | – |
| 3 Elías Gómez D | 6.4 | 91' | – | – | – | 42 (33%) | 2 |
| 8 Lucas Robertone M | 6.4 | 91' | – | – | 2 | 58 (52%) | 3 |
| 35 Matias Arias M | 6.3 | 74' | – | – | 1 | 27 (20%) | – |
| 18 Simon Escobar D | 6.3 | 16' | – | – | – | 6 (4%) | 1 |
| 29 Rodrigo Aliendro M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 69 (58%) | 1 |
| 15 Dilan Godoy F | 6.2 | 16' | – | – | – | 5 (3%) | – |
| 77 Ronaldo Martinez F | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 17 (6%) | – |
| 10 Diego Valdés M | 5.8 | 33' | – | – | 1 | 20 (14%) | 1 |
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Confidence
Low (43%)
At a glance
Our lean
Lanus or draw
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Lanus
DDWWD
Velez Sarsfield
LDWWL
Last 3 meetings
Lanus · 1W 1D 1L
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
43%
45%
Draw
32%
45%
Away
25%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Lanus
No scorer data.
Velez Sarsfield
R. Martínez
13 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Lanus vs Velez Sarsfield
1
Lanus Wins
1
Draws
1
Velez Sarsfield Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar 2026 | Velez Sarsfield | 0 - 1 | Lanus |
| 30 Aug 2025 | Velez Sarsfield | 3 - 0 | Lanus |
| 21 Feb 2025 | Lanus | 0 - 0 | Velez Sarsfield |
Lanus — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov | H Gimnasia M. | D | 1 - 1 |
| 24 Oct | A Banfield | D | 1 - 1 |
| 17 Oct | A Platense | W | 0 - 1 |
| 12 Oct | H Velez Sarsfield | W | 2 - 0 |
| 03 Oct | A Newells Old Boys | D | 0 - 0 |
Velez Sarsfield — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov | A Union Santa Fe | L | 2 - 0 |
| 31 Oct | H San Lorenzo | D | 2 - 2 |
| 26 Oct | A Central Cordoba de Santiago | W | 0 - 5 |
| 17 Oct | H Gimnasia M. | W | 1 - 0 |
| 12 Oct | A Lanus | L | 2 - 0 |
Liga Profesional Argentina Standings
Clausura - Group A
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Instituto Cordoba
|
16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 15 | +11 | 34 |
| 2 |
Boca Juniors
|
16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 24 | 14 | +10 | 33 |
| 3 |
Velez Sarsfield
|
16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 25 | 17 | +8 | 28 |
| 4 |
Defensa Y Justicia
|
16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 15 | +6 | 28 |
| 5 |
Lanus
|
15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 11 | +7 | 25 |
| 6 |
Newells Old Boys
|
16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 13 | +3 | 23 |
| 7 |
Independiente
|
16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 23 |
| 8 |
Gimnasia M.
|
16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 17 | +1 | 22 |
| 9 |
Union Santa Fe
|
16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 |
Platense
|
16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 20 |
| 11 |
San Lorenzo
|
16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 19 |
| 12 |
Estudiantes L.P.
|
16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 16 |
| 13 |
Talleres Cordoba
|
16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 13 |
| 14 |
Deportivo Riestra
|
16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 12 |
| 15 |
Central Cordoba de Santiago
|
15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 10 |
Clausura - Group B
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Rosario Central
|
16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 12 | +14 | 34 |
| 2 |
Argentinos JRS
|
16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 14 | +6 | 31 |
| 3 |
Gimnasia L.P.
|
16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 20 | +5 | 31 |
| 4 |
River Plate
|
16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 14 | +7 | 26 |
| 5 |
Barracas Central
|
16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 13 | +4 | 26 |
| 6 |
Belgrano Cordoba
|
16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 15 | +2 | 23 |
| 7 |
Independ. Rivadavia
|
16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 23 |
| 8 |
Huracan
|
16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 22 |
| 9 |
Sarmiento Junin
|
16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 21 |
| 10 |
Tigre
|
16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 19 |
| 11 |
Atletico Tucuman
|
16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 18 |
| 12 |
Banfield
|
16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 15 |
| 13 |
Racing Club
|
16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 15 |
| 14 |
Aldosivi
|
16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 11 |
| 15 |
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
|
16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 9 |
Velez Sarsfield
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Guillermo Barros Schelotto
1
Marchiori
3
Gómez
16
Magallán
32
Silveor
4
García
8
Robertone
29
Aliendro
39
Aguirre
37
Policella
35
Arias
77
Martínez
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | T. Marchiori | G |
| 4 | J. García | D |
| 32 | Thiago Silveor | D |
| 16 | L. Magallán | D |
| 3 | Elías Gómez | D |
| 29 | R. Aliendro | M |
| 8 | L. Robertone | M |
| 35 | M. Arias | M |
| 37 | J. Policella | M |
| 39 | T. Aguirre | M |
| 77 | R. Martínez | F |
Substitutes
| 46 | Ulises Piedrabuena | D |
| 47 | A. Pereyra | D |
| 21 | Jano Gordon | D |
| 15 | D. Godoy | F |
| 48 | Luca Feler | M |
| 18 | S. Escobar | D |
| 19 | L. Cristaldo | D |
| 5 | C. Baeza | M |
| 30 | L. Piola | F |
| 23 | F. Sanguinetti | G |
| 10 | D. Valdés | M |
| 17 | A. Verón | F |
Lanus
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: M. Pellegrino
26
Losada
6
Marcich
13
Canale
24
Izquierdoz
33
Guidara
30
Cardozo
17
Medina
11
Salvio
10
Moreno
77
Besozzi
20
Wlk
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 26 | N. Losada | G |
| 33 | T. Guidara | D |
| 24 | C. Izquierdoz | D |
| 13 | J. Canale | D |
| 6 | S. Marcich | D |
| 17 | A. Medina | M |
| 30 | A. Cardozo | M |
| 77 | L. Besozzi | M |
| 10 | M. Moreno | M |
| 11 | E. Salvio | M |
| 20 | A. Wlk | F |
Substitutes
| 23 | R. Carrera | M |
| 35 | R. De Jesús | D |
| 15 | R. Loaiza | M |
| 42 | G. Lobos | F |
| 3 | N. Morgantini | D |
| 1 | F. Petroli | G |
| 5 | F. Peña | M |
| 4 | G. Pérez | D |
| 16 | M. Sepúlveda | M |
| 19 | Y. Valois | F |
| 8 | F. Watson | M |
| 38 | B. Acosta | F |