Velez Sarsfield vs Platense Prediction

FT
Post on X
Estadio José Amalfitani, Capital Federal, Ciudad de Buenos Aires
AI call Velez Sarsfield or draw
49%
32%
19%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Velez Sarsfield vs Platense prediction: Sportiko gives Velez Sarsfield a 49% chance of winning, Platense 19% and the draw 32%. Last updated 6 Oct 2026, 00:01.

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Timeline

Ronaldo Martinez
5' ⚽ 1–0
⚽ 1–1 7'
Bautista Merlini
Manuel Lanzini ⇄ Diego Valdés
9' ⇄
J. Policella ⇄ Simon Escobar
14' ⇄
🖵 43'
Nicolás Retamar Penalty confirmed
✗ 45+1'
Agustín Lagos Missed Penalty
HT 1–1
Ronaldo Martinez assist: Simon Escobar
54' ⚽ 2–1
⇄ 65'
M. Amarfil ⇄ Ivan Gómez
⇄ 65'
Bautista Merlini ⇄ Franco Zapiola
⇄ 65'
Guido Mainero ⇄ Gastón Togni
Thiago Aguirre ⇄ Luca Feler
70' ⇄
⇄ 71'
Bruno Sepúlveda ⇄ Gonzalo Lencina
▮ 79'
Tomás Ariel Silva Yellow Card
▮ 84'
Ivan Gómez Yellow Card
⚽ 2–2 88'
Franco Zapiola assist: Agustín Lagos
⇄ 89'
Nicolás Retamar ⇄ Juan Gauto
FT 2–2
Velez Sarsfield

Match Stats

Platense
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Goal 4
4 Shots off Goal 11
0 Blocked Shots 1
6 Shots insidebox 13
3 Shots outsidebox 3
4 Corner Kicks 4
2 Offsides 1
8 Fouls 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
2 Goalkeeper Saves 4
419 Total passes 455
319 Passes accurate 364
5 Free Kicks 7
Velez Sarsfield
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
77 Ronaldo Martinez F 8.6 90' 2 – 2 25 (16%) –
8 Lucas Robertone M 6.6 90' – – 2 47 (41%) 2
39 Thiago Aguirre M 6.6 70' – – – 20 (17%) 6
16 Lisandro Magallán D 6.5 90' – – 1 39 (32%) 2
18 Simon Escobar D 6.4 76' – 1 1 31 (23%) 6
10 Diego Valdés M 6.4 81' – – 1 44 (35%) –
48 Luca Feler M 6.3 20' – – – 10 (6%) 1
4 Joaquín García D 6.2 90' – – – 32 (27%) 3
29 Rodrigo Aliendro M 6.2 90' – – 1 46 (39%) 5
32 Thiago Silvero D 6.1 90' – – 1 53 (35%) 4
22 Manuel Lanzini M 6.0 9' – – – 3 (2%) –
1 Tomás Marchiori G 6.0 90' – – – 27 (17%) –
3 Elías Gómez D 5.9 90' – – – 41 (29%) 2
37 J. Policella M 5.9 14' – – 1 1 –
Platense
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
10 Franco Zapiola M 7.4 25' 1 – 1 20 (14%) 1
24 Martín Barrios M 7.2 90' – – 1 50 (47%) 5
18 Bautista Merlini M 7.2 65' 1 – 3 27 (21%) –
7 Guido Mainero M 7.1 65' – – 2 25 (19%) 1
30 Juan Cozzani G 6.9 90' – – – 26 (17%) –
4 Agustín Lagos D 6.9 90' – 1 2 51 (41%) 8
33 Juan Gauto F 6.8 1' – – – 3 (3%) –
99 Gonzalo Lencina F 6.6 19' – – 1 3 (1%) 1
15 M. Amarfil M 6.6 65' – – 1 30 (28%) 3
34 Mateo Mendia D 6.5 90' – – 1 51 (39%) 1
16 Gastón Togni F 6.5 25' – – – 7 (6%) –
79 Bruno Sepúlveda F 6.3 71' – – 2 25 (22%) 1
43 Nicolás Retamar M 6.2 89' – – – 28 (22%) –
31 Víctor Cuesta D 6.2 90' – – 1 55 (41%) 2
5 Ivan Gómez M 6.0 25' – – 1 10 (9%) –
3 Tomás Ariel Silva D 5.9 90' – – – 44 (34%) 2
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Confidence Low (49%)

At a glance

Our lean
Velez Sarsfield or draw
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Velez Sarsfield
LDWWL
Platense
WWDWL
Last 3 meetings Velez Sarsfield · 1W 1D 1L
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
49%
45%
Draw
32%
45%
Away
19%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Velez Sarsfield
R. Martínez 13 gls
Platense

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Velez Sarsfield vs Platense

1 Velez Sarsfield Wins
1 Draws
1 Platense Wins
Date Home Score Away
14 Mar 2026 Platense 0 - 2 Velez Sarsfield
19 Jul 2025 Platense 0 - 0 Velez Sarsfield
28 Jan 2025 Velez Sarsfield 0 - 1 Platense
See all 7 meetings — Premium

Velez Sarsfield — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
06 Nov A Union Santa Fe L 2 - 0
31 Oct H San Lorenzo D 2 - 2
26 Oct A Central Cordoba de Santiago W 0 - 5
17 Oct H Gimnasia M. W 1 - 0
12 Oct A Lanus L 2 - 0

Platense — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
06 Nov A San Lorenzo W 0 - 2
02 Nov H Central Cordoba de Santiago W 2 - 0
29 Oct A Atletico Tucuman D 1 - 1
23 Oct A Gimnasia M. W 1 - 2
17 Oct H Lanus L 0 - 1

Liga Profesional Argentina Standings

Clausura - Group A

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Instituto Cordoba
16 10 4 2 +11 34
2
Boca Juniors
16 9 6 1 +10 33
3
Velez Sarsfield
16 7 7 2 +8 28
4
Defensa Y Justicia
16 8 4 4 +6 28
5
Lanus
15 7 4 4 +7 25
6
Newells Old Boys
16 5 8 3 +3 23
7
Independiente
16 6 5 5 -1 23
8
Gimnasia M.
16 6 4 6 +1 22
9
Union Santa Fe
16 6 3 7 0 21
10
Platense
16 5 5 6 -2 20
11
San Lorenzo
16 5 4 7 -7 19
12
Estudiantes L.P.
16 4 4 8 -1 16
13
Talleres Cordoba
16 3 4 9 -6 13
14
Deportivo Riestra
16 2 6 8 -8 12
15
Central Cordoba de Santiago
15 2 4 9 -14 10

Clausura - Group B

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Rosario Central
16 10 4 2 +14 34
2
Argentinos JRS
16 9 4 3 +6 31
3
Gimnasia L.P.
16 9 4 3 +5 31
4
River Plate
16 8 2 6 +7 26
5
Barracas Central
16 7 5 4 +4 26
6
Belgrano Cordoba
16 6 5 5 +2 23
7
Independ. Rivadavia
16 6 5 5 -3 23
8
Huracan
16 6 4 6 -2 22
9
Sarmiento Junin
16 6 3 7 -1 21
10
Tigre
16 5 4 7 0 19
11
Atletico Tucuman
16 4 6 6 -1 18
12
Banfield
16 3 6 7 -7 15
13
Racing Club
16 4 3 9 -8 15
14
Aldosivi
16 3 2 11 -10 11
15
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
16 2 3 11 -13 9

Velez Sarsfield

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Guillermo Barros Schelotto
1 Marchiori
3 Gómez
16 Magallán
32 Silveor
4 García
8 Robertone
29 Aliendro
37 Policella
22 Lanzini
39 Aguirre
77 Martínez

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 T. Marchiori G
4 J. García D
32 Thiago Silveor D
16 L. Magallán D
3 Elías Gómez D
29 R. Aliendro M
8 L. Robertone M
39 T. Aguirre M
22 M. Lanzini M
37 J. Policella M
77 R. Martínez F

Substitutes

35 M. Arias F
5 C. Baeza M
19 L. Cristaldo D
18 S. Escobar D
48 Luca Feler M
15 D. Godoy F
21 Jano Gordon D
47 A. Pereyra D
30 L. Piola F
27 S. Prima F
23 F. Sanguinetti G
10 D. Valdés M

Platense

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: M. Palermo
30 Cozzani
3 Silva
31 Cuesta
34 Mendia
4 Lagos
24 Barrios
15 Amarfil
43 Retamar
18 Merlini
7 Mainero
79 Sepúlveda

Starting XI

# Player Pos
30 J. Cozzani G
4 A. Lagos D
34 M. Mendia D
31 V. Cuesta D
3 T. Silva D
15 M. Amarfil M
24 M. Barrios M
7 G. Mainero M
18 B. Merlini M
43 N. Retamar M
79 B. Sepúlveda F

Substitutes

5 I. Gómez M
16 G. Togni F
10 F. Zapiola M
22 N. Sumavil G
17 Felipe Bussio M
23 L. Heredia M
33 J. Gauto F
99 G. Lencina F
11 N. López F
8 F. López D
29 F. Minerva M
6 E. Raggio D

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