Independiente vs Instituto Cordoba Prediction

FT
Post on X
Estadio Libertadores de América, Avellaneda, Provincia de Buenos Aires
AI call Independiente or draw
37%
33%
29%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Independiente vs Instituto Cordoba prediction: Sportiko gives Independiente a 37% chance of winning, Instituto Cordoba 29% and the draw 33%. Last updated 3 Oct 2026, 00:10.

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Timeline

▮ 13'
Matías Tissera Yellow Card
⚽ 0–1 16'
Jeremías Lázaro assist: Matías Tissera
▮ 21'
Leonel Mosevich Yellow Card
Maxi Meza assist: Santiago Montiel
22' ⚽ 1–1
Maxi Meza Goal confirmed
23' 🖵
Iván Marcone Yellow Card
29' ▮
Maxi Meza Yellow Card
40' ▮
▮ 40'
Marcos Ledesma Yellow Card
Maxi Meza Red Card
44' ▮
⇄ 45'
Giuliano Cerato ⇄ Hernán de la Fuente
HT 1–1
⚽ 1–2 51'
Hernán de la Fuente
Ramiro Martino ⇄ Nahuel Banegas
62' ⇄
Matías Abaldo ⇄ Lautaro Millán
62' ⇄
⚽ 1–3 65'
Matías Gallardo
⇄ 66'
Matías Tissera ⇄ Facundo Suárez
Mateo Perez ⇄ Felipe Tempone
73' ⇄
⚽ 1–4 80'
Alex Luna assist: Jeremías Lázaro
⇄ 81'
Jeremías Lázaro ⇄ L. Sanseviero
⇄ 81'
Gustavo Abregú ⇄ Ignacio Méndez
⇄ 87'
Matías Gallardo ⇄ Jonas Acevedo
Iván Morales ⇄ Chimy Ávila
87' ⇄
Leonardo Godoy ⇄ Santiago Arias
88' ⇄
Santiago Arias Yellow Card
90+2' ▮
FT 1–4
Independiente

Match Stats

Instituto Cordoba
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Goal 6
5 Shots off Goal 4
1 Blocked Shots 3
4 Shots insidebox 8
4 Shots outsidebox 5
3 Corner Kicks 7
0 Offsides 4
13 Fouls 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
1 Red Cards 0
2 Goalkeeper Saves 1
299 Total passes 335
224 Passes accurate 268
9 Free Kicks 13
Independiente
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
7 Santiago Montiel F 6.7 90' – 1 1 20 (17%) 1
19 Matías Abaldo F 6.4 62' – – – 10 (7%) 1
6 Chimy Ávila F 6.3 3' – – – – –
8 Maxi Meza M 6.3 44' 1 – 2 8 (6%) –
34 Felipe Tempone F 6.2 17' – – – 2 –
23 Iván Marcone M 6.1 90' – – – 52 (43%) 1
9 Iván Morales F 6.0 87' – – 1 14 (12%) –
14 Lautaro Millán M 6.0 28' – – 2 12 (11%) 1
13 Juan Fedorco D 5.9 90' – – – 45 (36%) 2
16 Mateo Perez M 5.8 73' – – – 12 (9%) 2
39 Ramiro Martino D 5.8 62' – – – 13 (7%) –
33 Rodrigo Rey G 5.7 90' – – – 26 (13%) –
2 Franco Calderón D 5.7 90' – – – 46 (35%) 2
29 Leonardo Godoy D 5.6 88' – – 2 22 (16%) 2
5 Nahuel Banegas D 5.5 28' – – – 14 (10%) –
4 Santiago Arias D 5.4 2' – – – 3 (2%) –
Instituto Cordoba
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
21 Jeremías Lázaro F 8.8 81' 1 1 2 13 (10%) 1
15 Matías Gallardo M 8.1 87' 1 – 1 44 (38%) 5
10 Alex Luna F 8.1 90' 1 – 3 24 (15%) 2
2 Hernán de la Fuente D 7.5 44' 1 – 1 19 (16%) –
30 Jonathan Galván D 6.9 90' – – 1 50 (39%) 1
17 Matías Tissera F 6.9 66' – 1 1 15 (13%) –
19 L. Sanseviero F 6.8 9' – – – 5 (4%) 1
22 Agustín Massaccesi D 6.7 90' – – 1 37 (28%) –
26 Leonel Mosevich D 6.6 90' – – 1 42 (38%) –
9 Facundo Suárez F 6.6 24' – – – 10 (8%) –
55 Gustavo Abregú M 6.4 81' – – – 18 (16%) 1
8 Jonas Acevedo M 6.3 3' – – 1 2 (2%) –
3 Diego Alejandro Sosa M 6.2 90' – – – 23 (16%) 2
13 Ignacio Méndez M 6.2 9' – – – 7 (5%) 1
44 Giuliano Cerato M 6.1 46' – – 1 12 (9%) –
29 Marcos Ledesma G 5.8 90' – – – 14 (11%) –
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Confidence Low (37%)

At a glance

Our lean
Independiente or draw
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Independiente
WDLDD
Instituto Cordoba
DDWWD
Last 3 meetings Independiente · 1W 1D 1L
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
37%
10%
Draw
33%
45%
Away
29%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Independiente
G. Ávalos 11 gls
Instituto Cordoba

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Independiente vs Instituto Cordoba

1 Independiente Wins
1 Draws
1 Instituto Cordoba Wins
Date Home Score Away
17 Mar 2026 Instituto Cordoba 2 - 1 Independiente
29 Aug 2025 Instituto Cordoba 0 - 0 Independiente
22 Feb 2025 Independiente 2 - 0 Instituto Cordoba
See all 5 meetings — Premium

Independiente — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
06 Nov H Deportivo Riestra W 2 - 1
02 Nov A Defensa Y Justicia D 1 - 1
25 Oct H Boca Juniors L 0 - 1
18 Oct A Racing Club D 1 - 1
12 Oct A Talleres Cordoba D 0 - 0

Instituto Cordoba — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
08 Nov H Newells Old Boys D 2 - 2
01 Nov A Estudiantes L.P. D 3 - 3
27 Oct H Deportivo Riestra W 1 - 0
16 Oct A Defensa Y Justicia W 0 - 1
09 Oct H Boca Juniors D 2 - 2

Liga Profesional Argentina Standings

Clausura - Group A

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Instituto Cordoba
16 10 4 2 +11 34
2
Boca Juniors
16 9 6 1 +10 33
3
Velez Sarsfield
16 7 7 2 +8 28
4
Defensa Y Justicia
16 8 4 4 +6 28
5
Lanus
15 7 4 4 +7 25
6
Newells Old Boys
16 5 8 3 +3 23
7
Independiente
16 6 5 5 -1 23
8
Gimnasia M.
16 6 4 6 +1 22
9
Union Santa Fe
16 6 3 7 0 21
10
Platense
16 5 5 6 -2 20
11
San Lorenzo
16 5 4 7 -7 19
12
Estudiantes L.P.
16 4 4 8 -1 16
13
Talleres Cordoba
16 3 4 9 -6 13
14
Deportivo Riestra
16 2 6 8 -8 12
15
Central Cordoba de Santiago
15 2 4 9 -14 10

Clausura - Group B

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Rosario Central
16 10 4 2 +14 34
2
Argentinos JRS
16 9 4 3 +6 31
3
Gimnasia L.P.
16 9 4 3 +5 31
4
River Plate
16 8 2 6 +7 26
5
Barracas Central
16 7 5 4 +4 26
6
Belgrano Cordoba
16 6 5 5 +2 23
7
Independ. Rivadavia
16 6 5 5 -3 23
8
Huracan
16 6 4 6 -2 22
9
Sarmiento Junin
16 6 3 7 -1 21
10
Tigre
16 5 4 7 0 19
11
Atletico Tucuman
16 4 6 6 -1 18
12
Banfield
16 3 6 7 -7 15
13
Racing Club
16 4 3 9 -8 15
14
Aldosivi
16 3 2 11 -10 11
15
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
16 2 3 11 -13 9

Independiente

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Jádson Viera
33 Rey
39 Martino
2 Calderón
13 Fedorco
29 Godoy
8 Meza
23 Marcone
16 Perez
19 Abaldo
9 Morales
7 Montiel

Starting XI

# Player Pos
33 R. Rey G
29 L. Godoy D
13 J. Fedorco D
2 F. Calderón D
39 R. Martino D
16 M. Perez M
23 I. Marcone M
8 M. Meza M
7 S. Montiel F
9 I. Morales F
19 M. Abaldo F

Substitutes

32 D. Martínez M
14 Lautaro Millán M
24 J. Palais M
30 Tomás Parmo M
36 S. Valdez D
10 L. Cabral M
1 J. Blázquez G
5 N. Banegas D
6 E. Ávila F
4 S. Arias D
34 F. Tempone F
20 Facundo Cruz M

Instituto Cordoba

Formation: 3-4-3 Coach: Diego Flores
29 Ledesma
30 Galván
26 Mosevich
22 Massaccesi
3 Sosa
15 Gallardo
55 Abregú
44 Cerato
10 Luna
17 Tissera
21 Lázaro

Starting XI

# Player Pos
29 M. Ledesma G
22 A. Massaccesi D
26 L. Mosevich D
30 J. Galván D
44 G. Cerato M
55 G. Abregú M
15 M. Gallardo M
3 D. Sosa M
21 J. Lázaro F
17 M. Tissera F
10 A. Luna F

Substitutes

2 H. De La Fuente D
11 M. Fonseca F
32 A. Bravo D
23 J. Meli D
13 I. Méndez M
73 Lucas Olivera D
35 E. Sittaro G
9 F. Suárez F
14 W. Viera M
8 J. Acevedo M
19 L. Sanseviero F
7 N. Guerra F

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