Union Santa Fe vs Independiente Prediction
FT
AI call
Union Santa Fe or draw
38%
32%
30%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Union Santa Fe vs Independiente prediction: Sportiko gives Union Santa Fe a 38% chance of winning, Independiente 30% and the draw 32%. Last updated 19 Sep 2026, 21:48.
Premium picks
Premium- 2nd Half Over 0.5 72%
- Home to Score 70%
- 1st Half Draw or Away 71%
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Timeline
Lucas Menossi
Yellow Card
15'
▮
⇄
21'
Chimy Ávila
⇄ Iván Morales
▮
37'
Leonardo Godoy
Yellow Card
⇄
45+2'
Josias Palais
⇄ Matías Abaldo
Joaquin Mosqueira
Goal Disallowed - offside
45+5'
🖵
HT 0–0
⇄
46'
Facundo Zabala
⇄ Ramiro Martino
Marcelo Estigarribia
assist: Joaquin Mosqueira
49'
⚽
1–0
⚽
1–1
52'
Santiago Montiel
assist: Leonardo Godoy
⚽
1–2
57'
Maxi Meza
assist: Matías Abaldo
Brahian Cuello
⇄ Mauro Luna
59'
⇄
Joaquin Mosqueira
⇄ Ignacio Malcorra
59'
⇄
Cristian Tarragona
Yellow Card
65'
▮
Marcelo Estigarribia
⇄ Eric Ramírez
68'
⇄
▮
70'
Iván Marcone
Yellow Card
▮
71'
Juan Miguel Arrayago
Yellow Card
▮
75'
Matías Abaldo
Yellow Card
⇄
79'
Mateo Perez
⇄ David Martínez
Julián Palacios
⇄ Misael Aguirre
80'
⇄
⇄
80'
Santiago Montiel
⇄ Lautaro Millán
Lucas Ayala
⇄ Bruno Pittón
80'
⇄
FT 1–2
Union Santa Fe
Match Stats
Independiente
56%
Ball Possession
44%
1.33
Expected Goals (xG)
0.29
20
Total Shots
7
4
Shots on Goal
4
10
Shots off Goal
2
6
Blocked Shots
1
13
Shots insidebox
4
7
Shots outsidebox
3
6
Corner Kicks
1
3
Offsides
0
11
Fouls
11
2
Yellow Cards
4
Red Cards
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3
362
Total passes
309
274
Passes accurate
232
76%
Passes %
75%
0.03
goals_prevented
0.03
Union Santa Fe
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Lucas Menossi M | 7.3 | 94' | – | – | 2 | 48 (41%) | 2 |
| 19 Marcelo Estigarribia F | 7.3 | 68' | 1 | – | 1 | 15 (7%) | – |
| 22 Brahian Cuello M | 7.2 | 59' | – | – | 1 | 18 (8%) | 1 |
| 20 Julián Palacios M | 6.9 | 80' | – | – | 3 | 18 (16%) | 2 |
| 25 Cristian Tarragona F | 6.9 | 94' | – | – | 5 | 22 (18%) | 2 |
| 18 Lucas Ayala D | 6.9 | 80' | – | – | – | 33 (28%) | 3 |
| 11 Mauro Luna M | 6.9 | 35' | – | – | – | 7 (5%) | – |
| 10 Ignacio Malcorra M | 6.7 | 35' | – | – | 1 | 16 (10%) | – |
| 15 Juan Pintado D | 6.7 | 94' | – | – | – | 33 (28%) | 2 |
| 12 Bruno Pittón D | 6.5 | 14' | – | – | – | 7 (5%) | – |
| 17 Joaquin Mosqueira M | 6.3 | 59' | – | 1 | 1 | 30 (23%) | 1 |
| 26 Juan Pablo Ludueña D | 6.3 | 94' | – | – | – | 55 (42%) | 2 |
| 31 Misael Aguirre F | 6.3 | 14' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 43 Eric Ramírez F | 6.3 | 26' | – | – | – | 2 (1%) | – |
| 4 Matías Rocha D | 6.2 | 94' | – | – | – | 39 (28%) | – |
| 21 Matías Mansilla G | 5.9 | 94' | – | – | – | 18 (13%) | – |
Independiente
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Santiago Montiel F | 8.0 | 80' | 1 | – | 2 | 23 (15%) | 1 |
| 8 Maxi Meza M | 7.9 | 94' | 1 | – | 1 | 26 (18%) | – |
| 33 Rodrigo Rey G | 7.5 | 94' | – | – | – | 31 (17%) | – |
| 35 Juan Miguel Arrayago D | 7.0 | 94' | – | – | – | 28 (26%) | 1 |
| 29 Leonardo Godoy D | 6.9 | 94' | – | 1 | 1 | 30 (20%) | – |
| 22 Facundo Zabala D | 6.7 | 45' | – | – | – | 15 (10%) | – |
| 19 Matías Abaldo F | 6.7 | 47' | – | 1 | – | 7 (4%) | 1 |
| 32 David Martínez M | 6.7 | 15' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 16 Mateo Perez M | 6.6 | 79' | – | – | – | 18 (17%) | – |
| 6 Chimy Ávila F | 6.5 | 21' | – | – | – | 7 (4%) | – |
| 14 Lautaro Millán M | 6.5 | 14' | – | – | 1 | – | – |
| 9 Iván Morales F | 6.3 | 73' | – | – | 1 | 13 (12%) | – |
| 13 Juan Fedorco D | 6.3 | 94' | – | – | – | 44 (36%) | 1 |
| 39 Ramiro Martino D | 6.3 | 49' | – | – | – | 6 (2%) | – |
| 23 Iván Marcone M | 6.2 | 94' | – | – | – | 54 (45%) | 1 |
| 24 Josias Palais F | 6.2 | 47' | – | – | – | 5 (4%) | – |
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Confidence
Low (38%)
At a glance
Our lean
Union Santa Fe or draw
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Union Santa Fe
LLWWW
Independiente
WDWLD
Last 3 meetings
Union Santa Fe · 1W 0D 2L
Live insights
75'
time check
80% sure
Min 75: Independiente leads 1-2. Win probability: 84.7%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 15.3%.
60'
Goal
70% sure
Goal! Score now 1-2. Independiente win: 75.9%. BTTS: 100%.
54'
Goal
65% sure
Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 51.3%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.
50'
Goal
70% sure
Goal! Score now 1-0. Union Santa Fe win: 76.8%. BTTS: 37.3%.
45'
Goal
70% sure
Goal! Score now 1-0. Union Santa Fe win: 75.6%. BTTS: 40.8%.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Union Santa Fe
C. Tarragona
14 gls
Independiente
G. Ávalos
11 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Union Santa Fe vs Independiente
1
Union Santa Fe Wins
0
Draws
2
Independiente Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May 2026 | Union Santa Fe | 0 - 2 | Independiente |
| 10 Mar 2026 | Independiente | 3 - 4 | Union Santa Fe |
| 05 Nov 2024 | Independiente | 3 - 0 | Union Santa Fe |
Union Santa Fe — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Independiente | L | 1 - 2 |
| 12 Sep | A Talleres Cordoba | L | 2 - 1 |
| 08 Sep | H Instituto Cordoba | W | 3 - 2 |
| 28 Aug | H Sarmiento Junin | W | 4 - 1 |
| 21 Aug | A Aldosivi | W | 1 - 3 |
Independiente — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Union Santa Fe | W | 1 - 2 |
| 13 Sep | H San Lorenzo | D | 1 - 1 |
| 06 Sep | A Central Cordoba de Santiago | W | 0 - 1 |
| 30 Aug | H Gimnasia M. | L | 0 - 3 |
| 22 Aug | H Independ. Rivadavia | D | 0 - 0 |
Liga Profesional Argentina Standings
Clausura - Group A
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Instituto Cordoba
|
10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 22 |
| 2 |
Velez Sarsfield
|
10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 15 | 9 | +6 | 20 |
| 3 |
Defensa Y Justicia
|
10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 11 | +2 | 18 |
| 4 |
Gimnasia M.
|
10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 9 | +5 | 17 |
| 5 |
Boca Juniors
|
10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 11 | +3 | 17 |
| 6 |
Independiente
|
10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 17 |
| 7 |
Lanus
|
10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 9 | +4 | 16 |
| 8 |
Newells Old Boys
|
10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 16 |
| 9 |
Union Santa Fe
|
10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 16 | +1 | 13 |
| 10 |
San Lorenzo
|
10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 11 |
| 11 |
Estudiantes L.P.
|
10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 |
Deportivo Riestra
|
10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 |
Platense
|
10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 9 |
| 14 |
Talleres Cordoba
|
10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 |
Central Cordoba de Santiago
|
10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 8 |
Clausura - Group B
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Argentinos JRS
|
10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 9 | +4 | 18 |
| 2 |
Rosario Central
|
10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 18 |
| 3 |
Independ. Rivadavia
|
10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 13 | +1 | 17 |
| 4 |
Gimnasia L.P.
|
10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 17 |
| 5 |
Belgrano Cordoba
|
10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 7 | +4 | 16 |
| 6 |
Huracan
|
10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 16 |
| 7 |
Sarmiento Junin
|
10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 16 | +1 | 16 |
| 8 |
River Plate
|
10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 13 |
| 9 |
Atletico Tucuman
|
10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 13 |
| 10 |
Tigre
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 12 |
| 11 |
Barracas Central
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 |
Banfield
|
10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 9 |
| 13 |
Aldosivi
|
10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 |
Racing Club
|
10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 |
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
|
10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 6 |
Union Santa Fe
Formation: 4-4-2
Coach: Leonardo Madelon
21
Mansilla
18
Ayala
26
Ludueña
4
Rocha
15
Pintado
22
Cuello
5
Menossi
17
Mosqueira
20
Palacios
25
Tarragona
19
Estigarribia
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | Matías Mansilla | G |
| 15 | Juan Pintado | D |
| 4 | Matías Rocha | D |
| 26 | Juan Pablo Ludueña | D |
| 18 | Lucas Ayala | D |
| 20 | Julián Palacios | M |
| 17 | Joaquin Mosqueira | M |
| 5 | Lucas Menossi | M |
| 22 | Brahian Cuello | M |
| 19 | Marcelo Estigarribia | F |
| 25 | Cristian Tarragona | F |
Substitutes
| 10 | Ignacio Malcorra | M |
| 11 | Mauro Luna | M |
| 43 | Eric Ramírez | F |
| 31 | Misael Aguirre | F |
| 12 | Bruno Pittón | D |
| 40 | Lucas Meuli | G |
| 44 | Tomás Fagioli | D |
| 36 | Mateo Aimar | D |
| 27 | Tobías Rubio | D |
| 8 | Emilio Giaccone | M |
| 34 | Mateo Peresutti | M |
| 38 | Valentín Cerrudo | F |
Independiente
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: Jadson Viera
33
Rey
22
Zabala
35
Arrayago
13
Fedorco
29
Godoy
8
Meza
23
Marcone
16
Curci
24
Palais
6
Ávila
7
Montiel
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 33 | Rodrigo Rey | G |
| 29 | Leonardo Godoy | D |
| 13 | Juan Fedorco | D |
| 35 | Juan Miguel Arrayago | D |
| 22 | Facundo Zabala | D |
| 16 | Mateo Perez Curci | M |
| 23 | Iván Marcone | M |
| 8 | Maxi Meza | M |
| 7 | Santiago Montiel | F |
| 6 | Chimy Ávila | F |
| 24 | Josias Palais | F |
Substitutes
| 9 | Iván Morales | F |
| 19 | Matías Abaldo | F |
| 39 | Ramiro Martino | D |
| 32 | David Martínez | M |
| 14 | Lautaro Millán | M |
| 77 | Santiago Mele | G |
| 2 | Franco Calderón | D |
| 36 | Sebastián Valdez | D |
| 4 | Santiago Arias | D |
| 30 | Tomás Parmo | M |
| 10 | Luciano Cabral | M |
| 34 | Felipe Tempone | F |