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Independiente vs Gimnasia M. Prediction

Liga Profesional Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 7
FT
Post on X
Independiente

Independiente

Home
0 : 3
HT 0 - 1
Gimnasia M.

Gimnasia M.

Away
AI call Difficult Independiente win or draw
55%
28%
17%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Independiente vs Gimnasia M. prediction: Sportiko gives Independiente a 55% chance of winning, Gimnasia M. 17% and the draw 28%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 00:10.

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  • Over 1.5 Goals 72%
  • 1st Half Draw or Away 71%
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Timeline

▮ 12'
Luciano Cingolani Yellow Card
Leonardo Godoy Yellow Card
38' ▮
⚽ 0–1 42'
Esteban Fernández assist: Facundo Lencioni
HT 0–1
⚽ 0–2 53'
Facundo Lencioni assist: Esteban Fernández
Josias Palais ⇄ Matías Abaldo
59' ⇄
Maximiliano Gutiérrez ⇄ Chimy Ávila
59' ⇄
⚽ 0–3 60'
Facundo Lencioni assist: Esteban Fernández
⇄ 63'
Luciano Cingolani ⇄ Matías Vargas
⇄ 63'
Esteban Fernández ⇄ Brian Andrada
⇄ 65'
Agustín Modica ⇄ Ignacio Sabatini
Lautaro Millán ⇄ Maxi Meza
77' ⇄
Leonardo Godoy ⇄ Juan Fedorco
77' ⇄
⇄ 79'
Fermin Antonini ⇄ Nahuel Barboza
⇄ 79'
Tomás O'Connor ⇄ Santiago Rodríguez
Facundo Zabala ⇄ Ramiro Martino
87' ⇄
FT 0–3
Independiente

Match Stats

Gimnasia M.
61% Ball Possession 39%
0.66 Expected Goals (xG) 0.29
5 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Goal 2
1 Shots off Goal 2
1 Blocked Shots 1
4 Shots insidebox 2
1 Shots outsidebox 3
0 Corner Kicks 1
1 Offsides 1
5 Fouls 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
Red Cards
0 Goalkeeper Saves 3
285 Total passes 178
225 Passes accurate 128
79% Passes % 72%
0.92 goals_prevented 0.92
Independiente
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
7 Santiago Montiel M 6.9 58' – – – 17 (15%) –
14 Lautaro Millán M 6.9 58' – – – 27 (21%) 5
28 Maximiliano Gutiérrez F 6.9 58' – – 1 11 (4%) 2
24 Josias Palais F 6.9 58' – – 2 9 (6%) 1
26 Kevin Lomónaco D 6.7 58' – – – 44 (38%) 1
23 Iván Marcone M 6.7 58' – – – 45 (36%) –
22 Facundo Zabala D 6.6 58' – – – 38 (27%) 2
35 Juan Miguel Arrayago D 6.3 58' – – – 68 (59%) 1
34 Felipe Tempone F 6.2 58' – – 1 13 (8%) –
29 Leonardo Godoy D 5.9 58' – – – 15 (12%) –
33 Rodrigo Rey G 5.5 58' – – – 21 (19%) –
Gimnasia M.
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
23 Cesar Rigamonti G 8.3 58' – – – 13 (12%) –
30 Esteban Fernández M 8.0 58' 1 1 1 16 (14%) 1
26 Facundo Lencioni M 7.9 58' 1 1 1 23 (13%) –
2 Diego Mondino D 6.9 58' – – 1 19 (15%) –
21 Fermin Antonini M 6.9 58' – – – 14 (13%) 2
32 Luciano Paredes D 6.7 58' – – – 18 (10%) 3
7 Luciano Cingolani M 6.7 58' – – – 16 (8%) 3
3 Matias Recalde D 6.6 58' – – – 25 (17%) 2
28 Tomás O'Connor M 6.5 58' – – – 25 (18%) 1
4 Ezequiel Muñoz D 6.3 58' – – – 19 (16%) –
9 Agustín Modica F 6.3 58' – – 1 9 (5%) –
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Confidence Medium (55%)

At a glance

Our lean
Difficult Independiente win or draw
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Independiente
WDWLD
Gimnasia M.
DLDWW
Last 1 meetings Independiente · 0W 1D 0L
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
55%
45%
Draw
28%
45%
Away
17%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Independiente
G. Ávalos 11 gls
Gimnasia M.
A. Módica 12 gls

AI match tools

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Head to Head: Independiente vs Gimnasia M.

0 Independiente Wins
1 Draws
0 Gimnasia M. Wins
Date Home Score Away
25 Feb 2026 Gimnasia M. 1 - 1 Independiente

Independiente — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Union Santa Fe W 1 - 2
13 Sep H San Lorenzo D 1 - 1
06 Sep A Central Cordoba de Santiago W 0 - 1
30 Aug H Gimnasia M. L 0 - 3
22 Aug H Independ. Rivadavia D 0 - 0

Gimnasia M. — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Deportivo Riestra D 0 - 0
11 Sep A Defensa Y Justicia L 2 - 0
05 Sep H Boca Juniors D 2 - 2
30 Aug A Independiente W 0 - 3
22 Aug A Gimnasia L.P. W 2 - 3

Liga Profesional Argentina Standings

Clausura - Group A

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Instituto Cordoba
10 7 1 2 +6 22
2
Velez Sarsfield
10 5 5 0 +6 20
3
Defensa Y Justicia
10 5 3 2 +2 18
4
Gimnasia M.
10 5 2 3 +5 17
5
Boca Juniors
10 4 5 1 +3 17
6
Independiente
10 5 2 3 +2 17
7
Lanus
10 5 1 4 +4 16
8
Newells Old Boys
10 4 4 2 +3 16
9
Union Santa Fe
10 4 1 5 +1 13
10
San Lorenzo
10 3 2 5 -4 11
11
Estudiantes L.P.
10 3 1 6 -1 10
12
Deportivo Riestra
10 2 4 4 -2 10
13
Platense
10 2 3 5 -6 9
14
Talleres Cordoba
10 2 2 6 -6 8
15
Central Cordoba de Santiago
10 2 2 6 -6 8

Clausura - Group B

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Argentinos JRS
10 5 3 2 +4 18
2
Rosario Central
10 5 3 2 +3 18
3
Independ. Rivadavia
10 5 2 3 +1 17
4
Gimnasia L.P.
10 5 2 3 0 17
5
Belgrano Cordoba
10 4 4 2 +4 16
6
Huracan
10 4 4 2 +2 16
7
Sarmiento Junin
10 5 1 4 +1 16
8
River Plate
10 4 1 5 +1 13
9
Atletico Tucuman
10 3 4 3 +1 13
10
Tigre
10 3 3 4 0 12
11
Barracas Central
10 3 3 4 -2 12
12
Banfield
10 2 3 5 -5 9
13
Aldosivi
10 2 2 6 -4 8
14
Racing Club
10 2 2 6 -5 8
15
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
10 1 3 6 -8 6

Independiente

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Jadson Viera
33 Rey
22 Zabala
35 Arrayago
26 Lomónaco
29 Godoy
7 Montiel
23 Marcone
14 Millán
24 Palais
34 Tempone
28 Gutiérrez

Starting XI

# Player Pos
33 Rodrigo Rey G
29 Leonardo Godoy D
26 Kevin Lomónaco D
35 Juan Miguel Arrayago D
22 Facundo Zabala D
14 Lautaro Millán M
23 Iván Marcone M
7 Santiago Montiel M
28 Maximiliano Gutiérrez F
34 Felipe Tempone F
24 Josias Palais F

Substitutes

77 Santiago Mele G
39 Ramiro Martino D
40 Joshua Velárdez D
13 Juan Fedorco D
2 Franco Calderón D
16 Mateo Perez Curci M
32 David Martínez M
8 Maxi Meza F
20 Facundo Cruz M
19 Matías Abaldo F
10 Luciano Cabral M
6 Chimy Ávila F

Gimnasia M.

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Ariel Broggi
23 Rigamonti
3 Recalde
4 Muñoz
2 Mondino
32 Paredes
28 O'Connor
21 Antonini
7 Cingolani
30 Fernández
26 Lencioni
9 Modica

Starting XI

# Player Pos
23 Cesar Rigamonti G
32 Luciano Paredes D
2 Diego Mondino D
4 Ezequiel Muñoz D
3 Matias Recalde D
21 Fermin Antonini M
28 Tomás O'Connor M
26 Facundo Lencioni M
30 Esteban Fernández M
7 Luciano Cingolani M
9 Agustín Modica F

Substitutes

31 Lautaro Petruchi G
36 Ismael Cortez D
16 Germán Guiffrey D
42 Lautaro Carrera M
15 Ulises Sánchez M
33 Brian Andrada F
5 Nahuel Barboza M
19 Julian Ceballos M
17 Ignacio Sabatini F
8 Matías Vargas F
35 Valentino Simoni F
11 Santiago Rodríguez F

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