Platense vs Boca Juniors Prediction

Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 5

Post on X

Platense

Home

1 : 1

HT 0 - 0

Boca Juniors

Away

AI call Boca Juniors or draw

23%

31%

46%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Platense vs Boca Juniors prediction: Sportiko gives Platense a 23% chance of winning, Boca Juniors 46% and the draw 31%. Last updated 16 Aug 2026, 02:08.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 74%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%

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Timeline

Tomás Ariel Silva Yellow Card

17' ▮

HT 0–0

⇄ 46'

Leandro Paredes ⇄ Miguel Merentiel

⇄ 46'

Marco Pellegrino ⇄ Ayrton Costa

Nicolás Retamar

53' ⚽ 1–0

Gastón Togni

65' ⇄

Tomás Ariel Silva ⇄ Santiago Quiros

65' ⇄

Guido Mainero ⇄ Bautista Merlini

65' ⇄

▮ 68'

Milton Delgado Yellow Card

⇄ 70'

Leandro Lozano ⇄ Dylan Gorosito

Luciano Giménez Goal Disallowed - handball

71' 🖵

⇄ 74'

Sebastián Villa ⇄ Alan Velasco

Luciano Giménez ⇄ Gonzalo Lencina

75' ⇄

⚽ 1–1 80'

Miguel Merentiel assist: Santiago Ascacíbar

▮ 84'

Santiago Ascacíbar Yellow Card

Ivan Gómez ⇄ Pablo Ferreira

84' ⇄

FT 1–1

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Confidence Low (46%)

At a glance

Our lean

Boca Juniors or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.1%

Both teams to score

48%

Over 2.5 goals

42%

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Platense

LWLLD

Boca Juniors

WDWWD

Last 3 meetings Platense · 1W 1D 1L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

23%

10%

Draw

31%

45%

Away

46%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Boca Juniors goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	11	12	10	5	2	1
1	7	14	9	4	2
2	4	6	4	2	1
3	1	2	1	1
4
5

↑ Platense goals · most likely 1–1 (14.1%)

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Players in form

Platense

No scorer data.

Boca Juniors

M. Merentiel 7 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

46%

Draw

31%

Home Win

23%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS No 48% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

70%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

46%

Draw

31%

Home Win

23%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

69% Away (No Draw) 31% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

25% Away Win by 2+ 8% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

48% Away Scores More 30% Equal Goals 22% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

70%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS No 48% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

19%

28%

21%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.9%	12.1%	10.0%	4.9%	1.8%
1	6.8%	14.1%	9.1%	4.5%	1.7%
2	3.9%	5.7%	4.2%	2.0%	0.8%
3	1.2%	1.7%	1.3%	0.6%	0.2%
4	0.3%	0.4%	0.3%	0.1%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

38%

35%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

58%

1.5

42%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

32%

26%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Platense	Draw	Boca Juniors
Platense	12.4%	4.4%	2.5%
Draw	9.2%	19.7%	19.9%
Boca Juniors	1.1%	3.6%	27.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

40%

37%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

67%

0.5

33%

94%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

60%

0.5

40%

91%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

57%

1.5

43%

82%

2.5

18%

94%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

23%

34%

25%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Platense vs Boca Juniors

1 Platense Wins

1 Draws

1 Boca Juniors Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
15 Feb 2026	Boca Juniors	0 - 0	Platense
02 Jun 2024	Platense	1 - 0	Boca Juniors
19 Feb 2023	Boca Juniors	3 - 1	Platense

See all 5 meetings — Premium

Platense — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Newells Old Boys	L	0 - 1
15 Sep	H Fluminense	W	2 - 1
12 Sep	A Estudiantes L.P.	L	2 - 1
08 Sep	A Fluminense	L	2 - 0
04 Sep	H Deportivo Riestra	D	1 - 1

Boca Juniors — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A San Lorenzo	W	0 - 2
16 Sep	A Sao Paulo	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	H Central Cordoba de Santiago	W	3 - 1
09 Sep	H Sao Paulo	W	1 - 0
05 Sep	A Gimnasia M.	D	2 - 2

Liga Profesional Argentina Standings

Clausura - Group A

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Instituto Cordoba	10	7	1	2	13	7	+6	22
2	Velez Sarsfield	10	5	5	0	15	9	+6	20
3	Defensa Y Justicia	10	5	3	2	13	11	+2	18
4	Gimnasia M.	10	5	2	3	14	9	+5	17
5	Boca Juniors	10	4	5	1	14	11	+3	17
6	Independiente	10	5	2	3	10	8	+2	17
7	Lanus	10	5	1	4	13	9	+4	16
8	Newells Old Boys	10	4	4	2	11	8	+3	16
9	Union Santa Fe	10	4	1	5	17	16	+1	13
10	San Lorenzo	10	3	2	5	4	8	-4	11
11	Estudiantes L.P.	10	3	1	6	10	11	-1	10
12	Deportivo Riestra	10	2	4	4	8	10	-2	10
13	Platense	10	2	3	5	9	15	-6	9
14	Talleres Cordoba	10	2	2	6	11	17	-6	8
15	Central Cordoba de Santiago	10	2	2	6	7	13	-6	8

Clausura - Group B

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Argentinos JRS	10	5	3	2	13	9	+4	18
2	Rosario Central	10	5	3	2	11	8	+3	18
3	Independ. Rivadavia	10	5	2	3	14	13	+1	17
4	Gimnasia L.P.	10	5	2	3	15	15	0	17
5	Belgrano Cordoba	10	4	4	2	11	7	+4	16
6	Huracan	10	4	4	2	10	8	+2	16
7	Sarmiento Junin	10	5	1	4	17	16	+1	16
8	River Plate	10	4	1	5	13	12	+1	13
9	Atletico Tucuman	10	3	4	3	7	6	+1	13
10	Tigre	10	3	3	4	9	9	0	12
11	Barracas Central	10	3	3	4	5	7	-2	12
12	Banfield	10	2	3	5	11	16	-5	9
13	Aldosivi	10	2	2	6	12	16	-4	8
14	Racing Club	10	2	2	6	11	16	-5	8
15	Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto	10	1	3	6	5	13	-8	6

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.