Tigre vs River Plate Prediction
FT
AI call
Tigre or draw
38%
32%
31%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Tigre vs River Plate prediction: Sportiko gives Tigre a 38% chance of winning, River Plate 31% and the draw 32%. Last updated 9 Aug 2026, 03:00.
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Timeline
Gonzalo Martínez
⇄ Tiago Serrago
4'
⇄
Jalil Elias
Yellow Card
41'
▮
▮
45+4'
Aníbal Moreno
Yellow Card
HT 0–0
Nahuel Banegas
Yellow Card
62'
▮
Jalil Elias
⇄ Santiago González
71'
⇄
Nahuel Banegas
⇄ Federico Álvarez
71'
⇄
▮
74'
Tobías Andrada
Yellow Card
⇄
77'
Joaquin Freitas
⇄ Rafael Borré
Ignacio Russo
assist: Jabes Saralegui
78'
⚽
1–0
▮
81'
Lucas Martínez Quarta
Yellow Card
Jabes Saralegui
⇄ Nicolas Dubersarsky
85'
⇄
Santiago López
⇄ Juan Villalba
85'
⇄
⇄
85'
Tomás Galván
⇄ Lautaro Pereyra
FT 1–0
Tigre
Match Stats
River Plate
32%
Ball Possession
68%
0.62
Expected Goals (xG)
0.38
5
Total Shots
9
2
Shots on Goal
1
2
Shots off Goal
3
1
Blocked Shots
5
3
Shots insidebox
4
2
Shots outsidebox
5
2
Corner Kicks
4
1
Offsides
0
9
Fouls
17
2
Yellow Cards
3
Red Cards
1
Goalkeeper Saves
1
300
Total passes
648
204
Passes accurate
563
68%
Passes %
87%
-0.63
goals_prevented
-0.63
Tigre
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Alan Barrionuevo D | 7.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 41 (34%) | 1 |
| 29 Ignacio Russo F | 7.9 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 17 (11%) | 2 |
| 12 Felipe Zenobio G | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 30 (20%) | – |
| 2 Joaquín Laso D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 44 (31%) | – |
| 3 Nahuel Banegas D | 7.2 | 71' | – | – | – | 23 (14%) | 3 |
| 4 Valentín Moreno D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 20 (14%) | 2 |
| 8 Martín Garay M | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 40 (26%) | 6 |
| 24 Federico Álvarez D | 7.0 | 19' | – | – | – | 8 (5%) | 3 |
| 10 Jabes Saralegui M | 6.9 | 85' | – | 1 | 1 | 15 (5%) | 1 |
| 27 Santiago González M | 6.9 | 19' | – | – | – | 6 (5%) | – |
| 32 Juan Villalba D | 6.7 | 10' | – | – | – | 2 | – |
| 16 Nicolas Dubersarsky M | 6.6 | 10' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 30 Jalil Elias M | 6.6 | 71' | – | – | – | 19 (16%) | 1 |
| 11 Tiago Serrago M | 6.5 | 86' | – | – | 1 | 15 (11%) | 3 |
| 22 Santiago López M | 6.3 | 85' | – | – | – | 20 (12%) | 2 |
| 28 Gonzalo Martínez F | — | 4' | – | – | – | – | – |
River Plate
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nicolás Otamendi D | 8.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 102 (92%) | 5 |
| 29 Gonzalo Montiel D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 110 (95%) | 3 |
| 50 Tobías Andrada M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 85 (68%) | 4 |
| 28 Lucas Martínez Quarta D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 70 (65%) | 2 |
| 26 Tomás Galván M | 6.5 | 85' | – | – | – | 23 (20%) | 1 |
| 3 Francisco Ortega D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 50 (44%) | – |
| 41 Santiago Beltrán G | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 19 (14%) | – |
| 6 Aníbal Moreno M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 72 (66%) | 2 |
| 25 Lautaro Pereyra M | 6.3 | 10' | – | – | – | 6 (6%) | – |
| 35 Joaquin Freitas M | 6.3 | 77' | – | – | 1 | 48 (40%) | 3 |
| 19 Rafael Borré F | 6.3 | 13' | – | – | – | 6 (5%) | – |
| 10 Ángel Correa M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 37 (31%) | 2 |
| 18 Lucas Beltrán F | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 20 (17%) | 2 |
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Confidence
Low (38%)
At a glance
Our lean
Tigre or draw
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Tigre
WWLDL
River Plate
WLWWD
Last 3 meetings
Tigre · 1W 0D 2L
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
38%
45%
Draw
32%
45%
Away
31%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Tigre
I. Russo
8 gls
M. Méndez
7 gls
D. Romero
7 gls
River Plate
T. Galván
7 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Tigre vs River Plate
1
Tigre Wins
0
Draws
2
River Plate Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb 2026 | River Plate | 1 - 4 | Tigre |
| 02 Jun 2024 | River Plate | 3 - 1 | Tigre |
| 18 Feb 2023 | Tigre | 0 - 1 | River Plate |
Tigre — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H Sarmiento Junin | W | 1 - 0 |
| 30 Oct | A Huracan | W | 0 - 2 |
| 24 Oct | H Atletico Tucuman | L | 0 - 1 |
| 17 Oct | A Independ. Rivadavia | D | 2 - 2 |
| 10 Oct | H Banfield | L | 1 - 2 |
River Plate — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | A Aldosivi | W | 0 - 2 |
| 01 Nov | A Boca Juniors | L | 1 - 0 |
| 25 Oct | H Racing Club | W | 1 - 0 |
| 18 Oct | A Belgrano Cordoba | W | 0 - 3 |
| 14 Oct | A Sarmiento Junin | D | 1 - 1 |
Liga Profesional Argentina Standings
Clausura - Group A
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Instituto Cordoba
|
16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 15 | +11 | 34 |
| 2 |
Boca Juniors
|
16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 24 | 14 | +10 | 33 |
| 3 |
Velez Sarsfield
|
16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 25 | 17 | +8 | 28 |
| 4 |
Defensa Y Justicia
|
16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 15 | +6 | 28 |
| 5 |
Lanus
|
15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 11 | +7 | 25 |
| 6 |
Newells Old Boys
|
16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 13 | +3 | 23 |
| 7 |
Independiente
|
16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 23 |
| 8 |
Gimnasia M.
|
16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 17 | +1 | 22 |
| 9 |
Union Santa Fe
|
16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 |
Platense
|
16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 20 |
| 11 |
San Lorenzo
|
16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 19 |
| 12 |
Estudiantes L.P.
|
16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 16 |
| 13 |
Talleres Cordoba
|
16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 13 |
| 14 |
Deportivo Riestra
|
16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 12 |
| 15 |
Central Cordoba de Santiago
|
15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 10 |
Clausura - Group B
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Rosario Central
|
16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 12 | +14 | 34 |
| 2 |
Argentinos JRS
|
16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 14 | +6 | 31 |
| 3 |
Gimnasia L.P.
|
16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 20 | +5 | 31 |
| 4 |
River Plate
|
16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 14 | +7 | 26 |
| 5 |
Barracas Central
|
16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 13 | +4 | 26 |
| 6 |
Belgrano Cordoba
|
16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 15 | +2 | 23 |
| 7 |
Independ. Rivadavia
|
16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 23 |
| 8 |
Huracan
|
16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 22 |
| 9 |
Sarmiento Junin
|
16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 21 |
| 10 |
Tigre
|
16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 19 |
| 11 |
Atletico Tucuman
|
16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 18 |
| 12 |
Banfield
|
16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 15 |
| 13 |
Racing Club
|
16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 15 |
| 14 |
Aldosivi
|
16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 11 |
| 15 |
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
|
16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 9 |
River Plate
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Eduardo Coudet
41
Beltrán
3
Ortega
28
Quarta
30
Otamendi
29
Montiel
50
Andrada
6
Moreno
26
Galván
10
Correa
35
Freitas
18
Beltrán
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Santiago Beltrán | G |
| 29 | Gonzalo Montiel | D |
| 30 | Nicolás Otamendi | D |
| 28 | Lucas Martínez Quarta | D |
| 3 | Francisco Ortega | D |
| 6 | Aníbal Moreno | M |
| 50 | Tobías Andrada | M |
| 35 | Joaquín Freitas | M |
| 10 | Ángel Correa | M |
| 26 | Tomás Galván | M |
| 18 | Lucas Beltrán | F |
Substitutes
| 19 | Rafael Borré | F |
| 25 | Lautaro Pereyra | M |
| 33 | Ezequiel Centurión | G |
| 31 | Facundo González | D |
| 43 | Valentín Lucero | M |
| 13 | Lautaro Rivero | D |
| 20 | Giovanni González | D |
| 44 | Lucas Silva | M |
| 24 | Juan Cruz Meza | M |
| 15 | Fausto Vera | M |
Tigre
Formation: 4-4-1-1
Coach: D. Dabove
12
Zenobio
3
Banegas
20
Barrionuevo
2
Laso
4
Moreno
22
López
30
Elias
8
Garay
10
Saralegui
28
Martínez
29
Russo
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Felipe Zenobio | G |
| 4 | Valentín Moreno | D |
| 2 | Joaquín Laso | D |
| 20 | Alan Barrionuevo | D |
| 3 | Nahuel Banegas | D |
| 10 | Jabes Saralegui | M |
| 8 | Martín Garay | M |
| 30 | Jalil Elias | M |
| 22 | Santiago López | M |
| 28 | Gonzalo Martínez | F |
| 29 | Ignacio Russo | F |
Substitutes
| 11 | Tiago Serrago | M |
| 24 | Federico Álvarez | D |
| 27 | Santiago González | M |
| 32 | Juan Villalba | D |
| 16 | Nicolas Dubersarsky | M |
| 26 | Lautaro Morales | G |
| 23 | Gonzalo Requena | D |
| 17 | Guillermo Soto | D |
| 21 | Sebastián Medina | M |
| 50 | Ignacio Peluffo | F |
| 19 | Alfio Oviedo | F |
| 25 | Ian Subiabre | F |