Sarmiento Junin vs Independ. Rivadavia Prediction
FT
AI call
Difficult Independ. Rivadavia win or draw
19%
27%
55%
Home Win · 3.60
Draw · 3.10
Away Win · 2.40
Sarmiento Junin vs Independ. Rivadavia prediction: Sportiko gives Sarmiento Junin a 19% chance of winning, Independ. Rivadavia 55% and the draw 27%. Last updated 3 Aug 2026, 21:44.
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Timeline
Mauricio Martínez
12'
⚽
1–0
✗
31'
Matías Fernández
Missed Penalty
⚽
1–1
31'
Matías Fernández
Julián Mavilla
37'
⚽
2–1
Mauricio Martínez
Yellow Card
41'
▮
HT 2–1
⇄
46'
Matías Fernández
⇄ Alex Arce
⇄
46'
Rodrigo Atencio
⇄ Luis Sequeira
⇄
46'
Tomas Bottari
⇄ José Florentín
Julian Contrera
⇄ Ulises Giménez
53'
⇄
⇄
64'
Leonel Bucca
⇄ Gonzalo Ríos
Julián Mavilla
⇄ Gastón González
73'
⇄
Junior Marabel
⇄ Diego Churin
73'
⇄
⇄
79'
Fabrizio Sartori
⇄ Juan Manuel Elordi
Jonathan Herrera
⇄ Gastón Arturia
87'
⇄
▮
90+3'
Iván Villalba
Yellow Card
FT 2–1
Sarmiento Junin
Match Stats
Independ. Rivadavia
31%
Ball Possession
69%
0.42
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
9
Total Shots
19
3
Shots on Goal
7
3
Shots off Goal
6
3
Blocked Shots
6
5
Shots insidebox
11
4
Shots outsidebox
8
3
Corner Kicks
7
1
Offsides
2
16
Fouls
7
1
Yellow Cards
1
Red Cards
6
Goalkeeper Saves
2
202
Total passes
435
119
Passes accurate
360
59%
Passes %
83%
-1.59
goals_prevented
-1.59
Sarmiento Junin
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Thyago Ayala G | 8.5 | 94' | – | – | – | 33 (16%) | – |
| 16 Mauricio Martínez M | 8.3 | 94' | 1 | – | 3 | 24 (18%) | 5 |
| 21 Julián Mavilla M | 7.9 | 73' | 1 | – | 1 | 15 (10%) | 1 |
| 20 Ulises Giménez D | 7.2 | 41' | – | – | 1 | 2 (2%) | 2 |
| 2 Juan Manuel Insaurralde D | 6.9 | 94' | – | – | 1 | 17 (8%) | 1 |
| 15 Cristian Zabala M | 6.9 | 94' | – | – | – | 25 (21%) | 2 |
| 11 Gastón González F | 6.9 | 21' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | – |
| 3 Lucas Suárez D | 6.6 | 94' | – | – | – | 15 (10%) | 3 |
| 8 Santiago Salle D | 6.5 | 94' | – | – | – | 8 (4%) | – |
| 9 Diego Churin F | 6.3 | 21' | – | – | – | 7 (3%) | 1 |
| 24 Jonathan Herrera F | 6.3 | 87' | – | – | – | 12 (7%) | 2 |
| 19 Julian Contrera M | 6.2 | 53' | – | – | – | 14 (7%) | 2 |
| 44 Renzo Orihuela D | 6.0 | 94' | – | – | – | 13 (3%) | – |
| 27 Junior Marabel F | 6.0 | 73' | – | – | – | 13 (7%) | – |
| 6 Gastón Arturia D | — | 7' | – | – | – | – | – |
Independ. Rivadavia
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40 Iván Villalba D | 7.7 | 94' | – | – | – | 41 (37%) | 6 |
| 32 Kevin Vázquez M | 7.3 | 94' | – | – | 1 | 63 (58%) | – |
| 13 Alejo Osella D | 7.2 | 94' | – | – | 3 | 43 (36%) | 4 |
| 9 Alex Arce F | 6.9 | 49' | – | – | 1 | 6 (5%) | 2 |
| 20 Alessandro Riep D | 6.9 | 94' | – | – | – | 48 (40%) | 2 |
| 77 Luis Sequeira M | 6.9 | 49' | – | – | – | 33 (27%) | 1 |
| 11 Gonzalo Ríos M | 6.7 | 30' | – | – | – | 21 (18%) | – |
| 25 José Florentín M | 6.6 | 49' | – | – | 1 | 29 (23%) | – |
| 43 Fabrizio Sartori F | 6.6 | 79' | – | – | – | 9 (6%) | – |
| 3 Juan Manuel Elordi D | 6.5 | 15' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
| 5 Tomas Bottari M | 6.5 | 45' | – | – | – | 24 (21%) | 1 |
| 10 Matías Fernández F | 6.3 | 45' | 1 | – | 6 | 18 (16%) | – |
| 8 Leonel Bucca M | 6.3 | 64' | – | – | 1 | 27 (20%) | – |
| 27 Diego Crego D | 6.3 | 94' | – | – | – | 31 (22%) | 4 |
| 30 Nicolás Bolcato G | 6.0 | 94' | – | – | – | 14 (13%) | – |
| 19 Rodrigo Atencio M | 5.7 | 45' | – | – | – | 25 (16%) | – |
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Confidence
Medium (55%)
At a glance
Our lean
Difficult Independ. Rivadavia win or draw
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Sarmiento Junin
WLLLW
Independ. Rivadavia
WLWDW
Last 2 meetings
Sarmiento Junin · 0W 0D 2L
Match summary
In the upcoming Liga Profesional match, Sarmiento Junin will face Independiente Rivadavia. Sarmiento has shown solid form this season, boasting a strong home record with key players contributing significantly to their attack. Conversely, Independiente Rivadavia struggles on the road, often failing to secure points in away fixtures. Both teams will aim to capitalize on any defensive lapses, but Sarmiento's ability to control possession and create scoring opportunities gives them an edge in this matchup. Expect a competitive match with potential for Sarmiento to leverage their attacking prowess against a vulnerable defense.
Live insights
76'
time check
80% sure
Min 76: Sarmiento Junin leads 2-1. Win probability: 73.9%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 26.1%.
45'
half time
65% sure
Half-time: 2-1. Sarmiento Junin leads. Win probability: 43.2%. Over 0.5 more goals: 70.5%.
38'
Goal
70% sure
Goal! Score now 2-1. Sarmiento Junin win: 39%. BTTS: 100%.
31'
Goal
65% sure
Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 29.2%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.
12'
Goal
70% sure
Goal! Score now 1-0. Sarmiento Junin win: 27.9%. BTTS: 83.5%.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
19%
10%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
55%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Sarmiento Junin
J. Marabel
8 gls
Independ. Rivadavia
F. Sartori
7 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Sarmiento Junin vs Independ. Rivadavia
0
Sarmiento Junin Wins
0
Draws
2
Independ. Rivadavia Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb 2026 | Independ. Rivadavia | 2 - 1 | Sarmiento Junin |
| 26 May 2024 | Sarmiento Junin | 0 - 1 | Independ. Rivadavia |
Sarmiento Junin — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug | H Independ. Rivadavia | W | 2 - 1 |
| 28 Jul | A Banfield | L | 3 - 2 |
| 23 Jul | H Argentinos JRS | L | 2 - 3 |
| 17 Jul | H Boca Juniors | L | 0 - 2 |
| 25 Apr | H Tigre | W | 1 - 0 |
Independ. Rivadavia — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug | H Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | W | 2 - 1 |
| 03 Aug | A Sarmiento Junin | L | 2 - 1 |
| 30 Jul | H Huracan | W | 2 - 1 |
| 26 Jul | A Atletico Tucuman | D | 0 - 0 |
| 28 May | A Bolívar | W | 1 - 2 |
Liga Profesional Argentina Standings
Clausura - Group A
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Velez Sarsfield
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 9 |
| 2 |
Independiente
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 6 |
| 3 |
Gimnasia M.
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 6 |
| 4 |
Instituto Cordoba
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 6 |
| 5 |
Newells Old Boys
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 |
Union Santa Fe
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 |
| 7 |
Defensa Y Justicia
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 |
| 8 |
Boca Juniors
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 |
| 9 |
Talleres Cordoba
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 3 |
| 10 |
Deportivo Riestra
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 3 |
| 11 |
Estudiantes L.P.
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 |
Lanus
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 |
San Lorenzo
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Central Cordoba de Santiago
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 15 |
Platense
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 |
Clausura - Group B
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Argentinos JRS
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | +5 | 9 |
| 2 |
Barracas Central
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 9 |
| 3 |
Independ. Rivadavia
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 4 |
Rosario Central
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 7 |
| 5 |
Gimnasia L.P.
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 6 |
| 6 |
Atletico Tucuman
|
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 5 |
| 7 |
Tigre
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 4 |
| 8 |
Banfield
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 |
Belgrano Cordoba
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 |
Huracan
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 |
Racing Club
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 |
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| 13 |
Sarmiento Junin
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Aldosivi
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 1 |
| 15 |
River Plate
|
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
Independ. Rivadavia
Formation: 4-3-1-2
Coach: Alfredo Berti
30
Bolcato
27
Crego
13
Osella
40
Villalba
20
Riep
8
Bucca
5
Bottari
32
Vázquez
19
Atencio
43
Sartori
10
Fernández
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 30 | Nicolás Bolcato | G |
| 20 | Alessandro Riep | D |
| 40 | Iván Villalba | D |
| 13 | Alejo Osella | D |
| 27 | Diego Crego | D |
| 32 | Kevin Vázquez | M |
| 5 | Tomás Bottari | M |
| 8 | Leonel Bucca | M |
| 19 | Rodrigo Atencio | M |
| 10 | Matías Fernández | F |
| 43 | Fabrizio Sartori | F |
Substitutes
| 21 | Emmanuel Gómez | G |
| 2 | Leonard Costa | D |
| 55 | Matías Salvo | D |
| 42 | Sheyko Studer | D |
| 3 | Juan Manuel Elordi | D |
| 34 | Stefano Moreyra | M |
| 77 | Luis Sequeira | M |
| 11 | Gonzalo Ríos | M |
| 25 | José Florentín | M |
| 7 | Victorio Ramis | F |
| 45 | Luciano Sábato | F |
| 9 | Alex Arce | F |
Sarmiento Junin
Formation: 4-4-2
Coach: Facundo Sava
12
Ayala
3
Suárez
2
Insaurralde
44
Orihuela
8
Salle
21
Mavilla
16
Martínez
15
Zabala
19
Contrera
27
Marabel
24
Herrera
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Thyago Ayala | G |
| 8 | Santiago Salle | D |
| 44 | Renzo Orihuela | D |
| 2 | Juan Manuel Insaurralde | D |
| 3 | Lucas Suárez | D |
| 19 | Julian Contrera | M |
| 15 | Cristian Zabala | M |
| 16 | Mauricio Martínez | M |
| 21 | Julián Mavilla | M |
| 24 | Jonathan Herrera | F |
| 27 | Junior Marabel | F |
Substitutes
| 1 | Iván Arboleda | G |
| 29 | Thiago Santamaría | D |
| 6 | Gastón Arturia | D |
| 33 | Gabriel Díaz | D |
| 20 | Ulises Giménez | D |
| 23 | Elián Giménez | M |
| 11 | Gastón González | F |
| 10 | Jhon Renteria | M |
| 35 | Facundo Alaggia | M |
| 5 | Manuel Garcia | M |
| 9 | Diego Churin | F |
| 7 | Pablo Magnin | F |