River Plate vs Rosario Central Prediction
FT
Estadio Mâs Monumental, Buenos Aires
AI call
River Plate or draw
42%
32%
26%
Home Win · 2.10
Draw · 3.24
Away Win · 4.30
River Plate vs Rosario Central prediction: Sportiko gives River Plate a 42% chance of winning, Rosario Central 26% and the draw 32%. Last updated 3 Aug 2026, 00:20.
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Timeline
Joaquin Freitas
Yellow Card
5'
▮
Lautaro Rivero
Yellow Card
10'
▮
Fausto Vera
Yellow Card
17'
▮
⚽
0–1
27'
Nicolás Otamendi
Own Goal
▮
34'
Emanuel Coronel
Yellow Card
Lucas Martínez Quarta
Yellow Card
41'
▮
HT 0–1
Lautaro Pereyra
⇄ Tomás Galván
46'
⇄
Fausto Vera
⇄ Lucas Beltrán
63'
⇄
▮
65'
Ángel Di María
Yellow Card
Joaquin Freitas
⇄ Juan Cruz Meza
67'
⇄
⇄
70'
Vicente Pizarro
⇄ Federico Navarro
▮
80'
Franco Ibarra
Yellow Card
⇄
82'
Jaminton Campaz
⇄ Pol Fernández
▮
83'
Emanuel Coronel
Yellow Card
▮
83'
Emanuel Coronel
Red Card
⇄
83'
Enzo Copetti
⇄ Tomás Badaloni
Lautaro Rivero
⇄ Valentín Lucero
84'
⇄
⇄
85'
Ángel Di María
⇄ Facundo Mallo
FT 0–1
River Plate
Match Stats
Rosario Central
66%
Ball Possession
34%
2.04
Expected Goals (xG)
0.57
25
Total Shots
12
6
Shots on Goal
3
17
Shots off Goal
7
2
Blocked Shots
2
16
Shots insidebox
5
9
Shots outsidebox
7
10
Corner Kicks
4
1
Offsides
3
15
Fouls
15
4
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
5
407
Total passes
224
326
Passes accurate
128
80%
Passes %
57%
0.78
goals_prevented
0.78
River Plate
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41 Santiago Beltrán G | 7.2 | 95' | – | – | – | 21 (17%) | – |
| 29 Gonzalo Montiel D | 7.0 | 95' | – | – | – | 38 (29%) | 1 |
| 6 Aníbal Moreno M | 7.0 | 95' | – | – | 1 | 50 (43%) | 5 |
| 11 Facundo Colidio M | 7.0 | 95' | – | – | – | 23 (15%) | 1 |
| 26 Tomás Galván M | 6.9 | 50' | – | – | 2 | 19 (17%) | – |
| 19 Rafael Borré F | 6.9 | 95' | – | – | 3 | 19 (12%) | – |
| 13 Lautaro Rivero D | 6.7 | 84' | – | – | 1 | 30 (21%) | 3 |
| 35 Joaquin Freitas M | 6.7 | 67' | – | – | 1 | 21 (18%) | – |
| 28 Lucas Martínez Quarta D | 6.6 | 95' | – | – | 4 | 58 (46%) | 1 |
| 24 Juan Cruz Meza M | 6.6 | 28' | – | – | 1 | 10 (9%) | – |
| 15 Fausto Vera M | 6.3 | 63' | – | – | 3 | 37 (33%) | – |
| 43 Valentín Lucero M | 6.3 | 11' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 30 Nicolás Otamendi D | 6.2 | 95' | – | – | 3 | 51 (45%) | – |
| 18 Lucas Beltrán F | 6.2 | 32' | – | – | 1 | 11 (10%) | – |
| 25 Lautaro Pereyra M | 6.2 | 45' | – | – | 3 | 17 (9%) | – |
Rosario Central
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Franco Ibarra M | 7.9 | 95' | – | – | – | 13 (10%) | 7 |
| 23 Jeremías Ledesma G | 7.2 | 95' | – | – | – | 38 (11%) | – |
| 13 Gastón Ávila D | 7.2 | 95' | – | – | – | 23 (13%) | 1 |
| 46 Ignacio Ovando D | 7.2 | 95' | – | – | – | 12 (5%) | 3 |
| 3 Agustín Sández D | 6.9 | 95' | – | – | – | 17 (11%) | 2 |
| 20 Vicente Pizarro M | 6.9 | 70' | – | – | 1 | 15 (9%) | 3 |
| 31 Federico Navarro M | 6.7 | 25' | – | – | 1 | 5 (4%) | 2 |
| 28 Pol Fernández M | 6.7 | 13' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | 1 |
| 15 Facundo Mallo D | 6.6 | 10' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 26 Giovanni Cantizano M | 6.6 | 95' | – | – | 2 | 17 (11%) | 3 |
| 8 Jaminton Campaz M | 6.5 | 82' | – | – | 3 | 21 (10%) | 1 |
| 22 Enzo Copetti F | 6.5 | 83' | – | – | – | 17 (10%) | 1 |
| 32 Emanuel Coronel D | 6.3 | 83' | – | – | – | 20 (15%) | 2 |
| 11 Ángel Di María M | 6.3 | 85' | – | – | 3 | 21 (14%) | – |
| 16 Tomás Badaloni F | 6.3 | 12' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
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Confidence
Low (42%)
At a glance
Our lean
River Plate or draw
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River Plate
LLLLW
Rosario Central
WWDLL
Last 3 meetings
River Plate · 1W 1D 1L
Match summary
In the upcoming Liga Profesional Argentina clash, River Plate will face Rosario Central. River Plate has maintained a strong form, showcasing a solid offensive unit that averages over 2 goals per match this season, coupled with a robust defense conceding less than a goal per game. Rosario Central, while competitive, has struggled with consistency, particularly in away matches, leading to a lower points tally. River's home record remains formidable, giving them a statistical edge in this matchup. Expect River's attacking prowess to challenge Central's defense significantly.
Live insights
75'
time check
80% sure
Min 75: Rosario Central leads 0-1. Win probability: 86.5%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 13.5%.
45'
half time
65% sure
Half-time: 0-1. Rosario Central leads. Win probability: 73.1%. Over 0.5 more goals: 62%.
28'
Goal
70% sure
Goal! Score now 0-1. Rosario Central win: 69.2%. BTTS: 51.1%.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
42%
45%
Draw
32%
45%
Away
26%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
River Plate
S. Driussi
5 gls
Rosario Central
E. Copetti
5 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: River Plate vs Rosario Central
1
River Plate Wins
1
Draws
1
Rosario Central Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May 2026 | River Plate | 1 - 0 | Rosario Central |
| 01 Feb 2026 | Rosario Central | 0 - 0 | River Plate |
| 05 Oct 2025 | Rosario Central | 2 - 1 | River Plate |
River Plate — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug | H Rosario Central | L | 0 - 1 |
| 29 Jul | A Gimnasia L.P. | L | 1 - 0 |
| 25 Jul | H Barracas Central | L | 0 - 1 |
| 18 Jul | H Aldosivi | L | 1 - 3 |
| 28 May | H Blooming | W | 3 - 0 |
Rosario Central — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug | H Aldosivi | W | 2 - 1 |
| 02 Aug | A River Plate | W | 0 - 1 |
| 29 Jul | H Racing Club | D | 0 - 0 |
| 23 Jul | A Belgrano Cordoba | L | 2 - 1 |
| 16 May | A River Plate | L | 1 - 0 |
Liga Profesional Argentina Standings
Clausura - Group A
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Velez Sarsfield
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 9 |
| 2 |
Independiente
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 6 |
| 3 |
Gimnasia M.
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 6 |
| 4 |
Instituto Cordoba
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 6 |
| 5 |
Newells Old Boys
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 |
Union Santa Fe
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 |
| 7 |
Defensa Y Justicia
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 |
| 8 |
Boca Juniors
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 |
| 9 |
Talleres Cordoba
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 3 |
| 10 |
Deportivo Riestra
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 3 |
| 11 |
Estudiantes L.P.
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 |
Lanus
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 |
San Lorenzo
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Central Cordoba de Santiago
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 15 |
Platense
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 |
Clausura - Group B
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Argentinos JRS
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | +5 | 9 |
| 2 |
Barracas Central
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 9 |
| 3 |
Independ. Rivadavia
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 4 |
Rosario Central
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 7 |
| 5 |
Gimnasia L.P.
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 6 |
| 6 |
Atletico Tucuman
|
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 5 |
| 7 |
Tigre
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 4 |
| 8 |
Banfield
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 |
Belgrano Cordoba
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 |
Huracan
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 |
Racing Club
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 |
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| 13 |
Sarmiento Junin
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Aldosivi
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 1 |
| 15 |
River Plate
|
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
River Plate
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Eduardo Coudet
41
Beltrán
13
Rivero
30
Otamendi
28
Quarta
29
Montiel
6
Moreno
15
Vera
11
Colidio
25
Pereyra
35
Freitas
19
Borré
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Santiago Beltrán | G |
| 29 | Gonzalo Montiel | D |
| 28 | Lucas Martínez Quarta | D |
| 30 | Nicolás Otamendi | D |
| 13 | Lautaro Rivero | D |
| 15 | Fausto Vera | M |
| 6 | Aníbal Moreno | M |
| 35 | Joaquín Freitas | M |
| 25 | Lautaro Pereyra | M |
| 11 | Facundo Colidio | M |
| 19 | Rafael Borré | F |
Substitutes
| 26 | Tomás Galván | M |
| 33 | Ezequiel Centurión | G |
| 31 | Facundo González | D |
| 20 | Giovanni González | D |
| 43 | Valentín Lucero | M |
| 44 | Lucas Silva | M |
| 24 | Juan Cruz Meza | M |
| 18 | Lucas Beltrán | F |
Rosario Central
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Jorge Almiron
23
Ledesma
3
Sández
13
Ávila
46
Ovando
32
Coronel
20
Pizarro
5
Ibarra
8
Campaz
11
María
26
Cantizano
22
Copetti
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 23 | Jeremías Ledesma | G |
| 32 | Emanuel Coronel | D |
| 46 | Ignacio Ovando | D |
| 13 | Gastón Ávila | D |
| 3 | Agustín Sández | D |
| 5 | Franco Ibarra | M |
| 20 | Vicente Pizarro | M |
| 26 | Giovanni Cantizano | M |
| 11 | Ángel Di María | M |
| 8 | Jaminton Campaz | M |
| 22 | Enzo Copetti | F |
Substitutes
| 1 | Axel Werner | G |
| 42 | Elías Verón | D |
| 33 | Alexis Soto | D |
| 15 | Facundo Mallo | D |
| 2 | Sebastian Zaracho | D |
| 47 | Luca Raffin | D |
| 7 | Marcelo Cabrera | F |
| 19 | Santiago Segovia | M |
| 31 | Federico Navarro | M |
| 28 | Pol Fernández | M |
| 16 | Tomás Badaloni | F |
| 39 | Fabricio Oviedo | F |