Newells Old Boys vs Boca Juniors Prediction
FT
AI call
Boca Juniors or draw
33%
31%
36%
Home Win · 3.90
Draw · 3.20
Away Win · 2.21
Newells Old Boys vs Boca Juniors prediction: Sportiko gives Newells Old Boys a 33% chance of winning, Boca Juniors 36% and the draw 31%. Last updated 2 Aug 2026, 22:00.
Premium picks
Premium- Home to Score 73%
- 2nd Half Over 0.5 71%
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Timeline
⚽
0–1
30'
Santiago Ascacíbar
assist: Sebastián Villa
Lautaro Giannetti
Yellow Card
43'
▮
▮
45+1'
Ayrton Costa
Yellow Card
HT 0–1
Matías Cóccaro
assist: Facundo Guch
50'
⚽
1–1
Luca Regiardo
Yellow Card
53'
▮
Luca Regiardo
assist: Lautaro Rios
59'
⚽
2–1
⇄
63'
Miguel Merentiel
⇄ Milton Giménez
Matías Cóccaro
⇄ Juan Ignacio Ramírez
66'
⇄
▮
68'
Leandro Paredes
Yellow Card
⇄
75'
Sebastián Villa
⇄ Alan Velasco
⇄
75'
Dylan Gorosito
⇄ Leandro Lozano
▮
80'
Alan Velasco
Yellow Card
⚽
2–2
81'
Alan Velasco
assist: Tomás Aranda
David Sotelo
⇄ Lucas Gómez
84'
⇄
Franco Escobar
⇄ Bruno Cabrera
90+3'
⇄
Facundo Guch
⇄ Valentino Acuña
90+3'
⇄
Lautaro Rios
⇄ Blas Benedetto
90+3'
⇄
FT 2–2
Newells Old Boys
Match Stats
Boca Juniors
40%
Ball Possession
60%
0.54
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
9
Total Shots
16
2
Shots on Goal
4
2
Shots off Goal
9
5
Blocked Shots
3
3
Shots insidebox
10
6
Shots outsidebox
6
5
Corner Kicks
7
1
Offsides
0
12
Fouls
11
2
Yellow Cards
3
Red Cards
2
Goalkeeper Saves
0
270
Total passes
394
208
Passes accurate
341
77%
Passes %
87%
-0.35
goals_prevented
-0.35
Newells Old Boys
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Luca Regiardo M | 7.6 | 98' | 1 | – | 2 | 32 (30%) | 1 |
| 20 Facundo Guch M | 7.3 | 95' | – | 1 | 1 | 24 (17%) | 4 |
| 9 Matías Cóccaro F | 6.9 | 66' | 1 | – | 1 | 17 (13%) | 1 |
| 39 Lautaro Rios M | 6.9 | 95' | – | 1 | – | 12 (11%) | 2 |
| 27 Lucas Gómez M | 6.7 | 14' | – | – | – | 9 (8%) | 2 |
| 23 Nicolás Goitea D | 6.7 | 98' | – | – | – | 29 (22%) | – |
| 24 Franco Escobar D | 6.7 | 93' | – | – | – | 17 (13%) | 3 |
| 28 Jeronimo Russo D | 6.5 | 98' | – | – | – | 37 (21%) | 2 |
| 30 Josué Reinatti G | 6.5 | 98' | – | – | – | 25 (18%) | – |
| 17 Lautaro Giannetti D | 6.5 | 98' | – | – | – | 18 (16%) | – |
| 8 David Sotelo M | 6.3 | 84' | – | – | – | 30 (26%) | 1 |
| 99 Juan Ignacio Ramírez F | 6.3 | 32' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | 1 |
| 7 Walter Mazzantti M | 6.0 | 98' | – | – | – | 16 (10%) | 1 |
| 25 Bruno Cabrera D | — | 5' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 10 Valentino Acuña M | — | 3' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 35 Blas Benedetto M | — | 3' | – | – | – | – | – |
Boca Juniors
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Alan Velasco M | 7.7 | 23' | 1 | – | 1 | 7 (7%) | – |
| 19 Leonel Flores M | 7.5 | 98' | – | – | 3 | 24 (22%) | 2 |
| 5 Leandro Paredes M | 7.3 | 98' | – | – | – | 72 (64%) | 1 |
| 22 Sebastián Villa M | 7.3 | 75' | – | 1 | 1 | 23 (20%) | 1 |
| 2 Lautaro Di Lollo D | 7.3 | 98' | – | – | 1 | 64 (57%) | 9 |
| 3 Lautaro Blanco D | 7.2 | 98' | – | – | – | 25 (22%) | 7 |
| 25 Santiago Ascacíbar M | 7.2 | 98' | 1 | – | 1 | 30 (26%) | 1 |
| 1 Álvaro Montero G | 6.7 | 98' | – | – | – | 23 (19%) | – |
| 17 Leandro Lozano D | 6.7 | 23' | – | – | – | 6 (4%) | 1 |
| 10 Tomás Aranda M | 6.3 | 98' | – | 1 | 3 | 36 (33%) | 2 |
| 24 Dylan Gorosito D | 6.2 | 75' | – | – | – | 23 (16%) | 2 |
| 32 Ayrton Costa D | 6.2 | 98' | – | – | – | 48 (41%) | – |
| 9 Milton Giménez F | 6.2 | 35' | – | – | 1 | 1 (1%) | – |
| 16 Miguel Merentiel F | 5.6 | 63' | – | – | 2 | 12 (9%) | 1 |
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Confidence
Low (36%)
At a glance
Our lean
Boca Juniors or draw
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Newells Old Boys
DLWDW
Boca Juniors
WDLLW
Last 3 meetings
Newells Old Boys · 1W 0D 2L
Match summary
In the Liga Profesional Argentina clash between Newell's Old Boys and Boca Juniors, both teams bring strong recent form into the match. Newell's has been solid defensively, conceding only 1 goal in their last 5 fixtures, while Boca Juniors boasts a potent attack, averaging 2 goals per match in the same period. Key players to watch include Newell's top scorer, who has netted 5 goals in the last 5 games, and Boca's creative midfielder, contributing significantly to their attacking play. This matchup promises a tactical battle, with Newell's looking to maintain their defensive solidity against Boca's aggressive offensive strategy.
Live insights
84'
time check
80% sure
Min 84: Still level at 2-2. Draw looking likely at 86.9%. Late goal chance: 13.6%.
82'
Goal
65% sure
Equalizer scored! Match now level at 2-2. Draw probability: 83.2%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.
76'
time check
80% sure
Min 76: Newells Old Boys leads 2-1. Win probability: 89.4%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 10.6%.
60'
Goal
70% sure
Goal! Score now 2-1. Newells Old Boys win: 82.9%. BTTS: 100%.
50'
Goal
65% sure
Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 49.1%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
33%
10%
Draw
31%
45%
Away
36%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Newells Old Boys
No scorer data.
Boca Juniors
M. Merentiel
5 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Newells Old Boys vs Boca Juniors
1
Newells Old Boys Wins
0
Draws
2
Boca Juniors Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb 2026 | Boca Juniors | 2 - 0 | Newells Old Boys |
| 05 Oct 2025 | Boca Juniors | 5 - 0 | Newells Old Boys |
| 30 Mar 2025 | Newells Old Boys | 2 - 0 | Boca Juniors |
Newells Old Boys — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug | H Boca Juniors | D | 2 - 2 |
| 31 Jul | A Independiente | L | 1 - 0 |
| 25 Jul | H Talleres Cordoba | W | 1 - 0 |
| 26 Apr | H Instituto Cordoba | D | 1 - 1 |
| 17 Apr | A Union Santa Fe | W | 2 - 3 |
Boca Juniors — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug | H Estudiantes L.P. | W | 1 - 0 |
| 02 Aug | A Newells Old Boys | D | 2 - 2 |
| 31 Jul | A O'Higgins | L | 1 - 0 |
| 26 Jul | A Deportivo Riestra | L | 3 - 0 |
| 24 Jul | H O'Higgins | W | 1 - 0 |
Liga Profesional Argentina Standings
Clausura - Group A
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Velez Sarsfield
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 9 |
| 2 |
Independiente
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 6 |
| 3 |
Gimnasia M.
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 6 |
| 4 |
Instituto Cordoba
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 6 |
| 5 |
Newells Old Boys
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 |
Union Santa Fe
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 |
| 7 |
Defensa Y Justicia
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 |
| 8 |
Boca Juniors
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 |
| 9 |
Talleres Cordoba
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 3 |
| 10 |
Deportivo Riestra
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 3 |
| 11 |
Estudiantes L.P.
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 |
Lanus
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 |
San Lorenzo
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Central Cordoba de Santiago
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 15 |
Platense
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 |
Clausura - Group B
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Argentinos JRS
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | +5 | 9 |
| 2 |
Barracas Central
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 9 |
| 3 |
Independ. Rivadavia
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 4 |
Rosario Central
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 7 |
| 5 |
Gimnasia L.P.
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 6 |
| 6 |
Atletico Tucuman
|
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 5 |
| 7 |
Tigre
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 4 |
| 8 |
Banfield
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 |
Belgrano Cordoba
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 |
Huracan
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 |
Racing Club
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 |
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| 13 |
Sarmiento Junin
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Aldosivi
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 1 |
| 15 |
River Plate
|
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
Boca Juniors
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Rodolfo Arruabarrena
1
Montero
3
Blanco
32
Costa
2
Lollo
24
Gorosito
25
Ascacíbar
5
Paredes
22
Villa
10
Aranda
19
Flores
16
Merentiel
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Álvaro Montero | G |
| 24 | Dylan Gorosito | D |
| 2 | Lautaro Di Lollo | D |
| 32 | Ayrton Costa | D |
| 3 | Lautaro Blanco | D |
| 5 | Leandro Paredes | M |
| 25 | Santiago Ascacíbar | M |
| 19 | Leonel Flores | M |
| 10 | Tomás Aranda | M |
| 22 | Sebastián Villa | M |
| 16 | Miguel Merentiel | F |
Substitutes
| 9 | Milton Giménez | F |
| 12 | Leandro Brey | G |
| 26 | Marco Pellegrino | D |
| 27 | Malcom Braida | M |
| 17 | Leandro Lozano | D |
| 4 | Nicolás Figal | D |
| 15 | Williams Alarcón | M |
| 21 | Kevin Zenón | M |
| 23 | Camilo Rey Domenech | M |
| 20 | Alan Velasco | M |
| 18 | Milton Delgado | M |
| 11 | Ángel Romero | F |
Newells Old Boys
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Lucas Bernardi
30
Reinatti
28
Russo
17
Giannetti
23
Goitea
24
Escobar
5
Regiardo
8
Sotelo
39
Rios
20
Guch
7
Mazzantti
9
Cóccaro
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 30 | Josué Reinatti | G |
| 24 | Franco Escobar | D |
| 23 | Nicolás Goitea | D |
| 17 | Lautaro Giannetti | D |
| 28 | Jeronimo Russo | D |
| 8 | David Sotelo | M |
| 5 | Luca Regiardo | M |
| 7 | Walter Mazzantti | M |
| 20 | Facundo Guch | M |
| 39 | Lautaro Rios | M |
| 9 | Matías Cóccaro | F |
Substitutes
| 99 | Juan Ignacio Ramírez | F |
| 21 | Gabriel Arias | G |
| 25 | Bruno Cabrera | D |
| 2 | Ian Glavinovich | D |
| 3 | Martín Luciano | D |
| 10 | Valentino Acuña | M |
| 18 | Mateo García | F |
| 35 | Blas Benedetto | M |
| 29 | Marcelo Esponda | M |
| 15 | Alan Soñora | M |
| 27 | Lucas Gómez | M |
| 36 | Francisco Scarpeccio | F |