Lanus vs Instituto Cordoba Prediction

FT
Post on X
AI call Difficult Lanus win or draw
53%
30%
18%
Home Win · 2.15 Draw · 3.10 Away Win · 4.20

Lanus vs Instituto Cordoba prediction: Sportiko gives Lanus a 53% chance of winning, Instituto Cordoba 18% and the draw 30%. Last updated 3 Aug 2026, 02:21.

Premium picks

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  • Home or Away 70% @ 1.39
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Timeline

10'
Jonathan Galván Yellow Card
Matías Sepúlveda Yellow Card
28'
42'
Giuliano Cerato Yellow Card
HT 0–0
46'
Jonathan Galván ⇄ Fernando Alarcón
José Canale ⇄ Ronaldo De Jesus
46'
Lucas Besozzi ⇄ Ramiro Carrera
61'
Franco Watson ⇄ Dylan Aquino
61'
65'
Jhon Córdoba ⇄ Jeremías Lázaro
65'
Matías Tissera ⇄ Nicolás Guerra
Allan Wlk ⇄ Yoshan Valois
65'
75'
Matías Gallardo ⇄ Gastón Lodico
Felipe Peña Biafore ⇄ Agustín Medina
80'
86'
Fernando Alarcón Yellow Card
86'
Alex Luna ⇄ Matías Fonseca
0–1 90+2'
Fernando Alarcón assist: Gastón Lodico
FT 0–1
Lanus

Match Stats

Instituto Cordoba
62% Ball Possession 38%
0.71 Expected Goals (xG) 0.90
15 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Goal 6
7 Shots off Goal 6
5 Blocked Shots 6
8 Shots insidebox 13
7 Shots outsidebox 5
7 Corner Kicks 6
2 Offsides 0
5 Fouls 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
Red Cards
5 Goalkeeper Saves 3
552 Total passes 333
466 Passes accurate 255
84% Passes % 77%
0.14 goals_prevented 0.14
Lanus
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
13 José Canale D 7.9 45' 45 (41%) 1
24 Carlos Izquierdoz D 7.9 92' 1 93 (86%) 3
26 Nahuel Losada G 7.3 92' 28 (22%)
33 Tomás Guidara D 7.2 92' 1 61 (52%)
6 Sasha Marcich D 7.2 92' 1 47 (35%) 1
30 Agustín Cardozo M 7.2 92' 1 67 (60%) 1
77 Lucas Besozzi M 7.2 61' 22 (17%) 4
35 Ronaldo De Jesus D 7.2 47' 34 (30%) 1
25 Dylan Aquino F 7.2 31' 11 (9%)
16 Matías Sepúlveda M 6.9 92' 1 38 (33%) 2
5 Felipe Peña Biafore M 6.9 80' 3 50 (38%) 4
17 Agustín Medina M 6.5 12' 5 (3%)
19 Yoshan Valois F 6.3 27' 2 (2%)
23 Ramiro Carrera M 6.3 31' 11 (6%)
20 Allan Wlk F 6.2 65' 1 14 (11%)
8 Franco Watson M 6.0 61' 1 24 (21%)
Instituto Cordoba
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
22 Agustín Massaccesi D 7.7 92' 1 33 (22%) 5
6 Fernando Alarcón D 7.2 47' 20 (15%) 2
10 Alex Luna F 7.2 86' 3 22 (19%) 1
55 Gustavo Abregú M 7.0 92' 36 (30%)
29 Marcos Ledesma G 6.9 92' 26 (15%)
15 Matías Gallardo M 6.9 75' 1 34 (24%) 6
44 Giuliano Cerato M 6.7 92' 31 (19%) 2
21 Jeremías Lázaro M 6.7 27' 1 11 (9%)
26 Leonel Mosevich D 6.6 92' 31 (29%) 1
3 Diego Alejandro Sosa M 6.6 92' 4 25 (18%) 1
20 Jhon Córdoba F 6.6 65' 1 14 (10%) 1
30 Jonathan Galván D 6.3 45' 20 (20%) 1
7 Nicolás Guerra F 6.3 27' 1 1 (1%)
19 Gastón Lodico M 6.3 17' 17 (15%)
17 Matías Tissera F 6.2 65' 9 (6%)
11 Matías Fonseca F 6' 3 (3%)
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Confidence Medium (53%)

At a glance

Our lean
Difficult Lanus win or draw
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Lanus
LLLWW
Instituto Cordoba
WWLDL
Last 3 meetings Lanus · 1W 2D 0L

Match summary

In the Liga Profesional Argentina clash, Lanus faces Instituto Cordoba. Lanus has shown a solid home record, with a strong attacking line that averages 1.8 goals per game this season. Instituto Cordoba, however, has been resilient defensively, conceding an average of only 1.1 goals per match. The outcome may hinge on Lanus's ability to break down Instituto's defense while maintaining their own solidity at the back. This matchup promises to be competitive, with both teams looking to capitalize on any defensive lapses.

Live insights

90' Goal 80% sure

Late goal makes it 0-1! Instituto Cordoba win probability: 95.4%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 9.5%.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Still level at 0-0. Draw looking likely at 73.9%. Late goal chance: 27.6%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-0. Second half goals expected - Over 0.5 remaining: 61.5%. Over 1.5 remaining: 26.3%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
53%
45%
Draw
30%
45%
Away
18%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Lanus
D. Aquino 5 gls
Instituto Cordoba

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Lanus vs Instituto Cordoba

1 Lanus Wins
2 Draws
0 Instituto Cordoba Wins
Date Home Score Away
03 Feb 2026 Instituto Cordoba 2 - 2 Lanus
28 Sep 2025 Instituto Cordoba 0 - 0 Lanus
16 Mar 2025 Lanus 4 - 1 Instituto Cordoba
See all 5 meetings — Premium

Lanus — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
06 Aug A Union Santa Fe L 2 - 1
03 Aug H Instituto Cordoba L 0 - 1
30 Jul A Cienciano L 4 - 0
26 Jul H San Lorenzo W 1 - 0
23 Jul H Cienciano W 2 - 0

Instituto Cordoba — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
03 Aug A Lanus W 0 - 1
30 Jul H Platense W 2 - 1
24 Jul A Velez Sarsfield L 1 - 0
26 Apr A Newells Old Boys D 1 - 1
18 Apr H Estudiantes L.P. L 0 - 1

Liga Profesional Argentina Standings

Clausura - Group A

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Velez Sarsfield
3 3 0 0 +4 9
2
Independiente
3 2 0 1 +2 6
3
Gimnasia M.
3 2 0 1 +2 6
4
Instituto Cordoba
3 2 0 1 +1 6
5
Newells Old Boys
3 1 1 1 0 4
6
Union Santa Fe
3 1 1 1 -1 4
7
Defensa Y Justicia
3 1 1 1 -2 4
8
Boca Juniors
3 1 1 1 -2 4
9
Talleres Cordoba
3 1 0 2 +1 3
10
Deportivo Riestra
3 1 0 2 +1 3
11
Estudiantes L.P.
3 1 0 2 0 3
12
Lanus
3 1 0 2 -1 3
13
San Lorenzo
3 1 0 2 -1 3
14
Central Cordoba de Santiago
3 1 0 2 -2 3
15
Platense
3 0 1 2 -5 1

Clausura - Group B

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Argentinos JRS
3 3 0 0 +5 9
2
Barracas Central
3 3 0 0 +3 9
3
Independ. Rivadavia
4 2 1 1 +1 7
4
Rosario Central
4 2 1 1 +1 7
5
Gimnasia L.P.
3 2 0 1 +1 6
6
Atletico Tucuman
3 1 2 0 +2 5
7
Tigre
3 1 1 1 +1 4
8
Banfield
3 1 1 1 0 4
9
Belgrano Cordoba
3 1 1 1 0 4
10
Huracan
3 1 1 1 0 4
11
Racing Club
3 1 1 1 -1 4
12
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
4 1 1 2 -3 4
13
Sarmiento Junin
3 1 0 2 -1 3
14
Aldosivi
4 0 1 3 -3 1
15
River Plate
3 0 0 3 -3 0

Lanus

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Mauricio Pellegrino
26 Losada
6 Marcich
13 Canale
24 Izquierdoz
33 Guidara
30 Cardozo
5 Biafore
77 Besozzi
8 Watson
16 Sepúlveda
20 Wlk

Starting XI

# Player Pos
26 Nahuel Losada G
33 Tomás Guidara D
24 Carlos Izquierdoz D
13 José Canale D
6 Sasha Marcich D
5 Felipe Peña Biafore M
30 Agustín Cardozo M
16 Matías Sepúlveda M
8 Franco Watson M
77 Lucas Besozzi M
20 Allan Wlk F

Substitutes

1 Franco Petroli G
4 Gonzalo Perez D
35 Ronaldo De Jesus D
2 Luciano Romero D
3 Nicolás Morgantini D
23 Ramiro Carrera M
39 Thiago Laplace M
17 Agustín Medina M
19 Yoshan Valois F
9 Walter Bou F
38 Benjamin Acosta F
25 Dylan Aquino F

Instituto Cordoba

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Diego Flores
29 Ledesma
30 Galván
26 Mosevich
22 Massaccesi
3 Sosa
15 Gallardo
55 Abregú
44 Cerato
10 Luna
20 Córdoba
17 Tissera

Starting XI

# Player Pos
29 Marcos Ledesma G
22 Agustín Massaccesi D
26 Leonel Mosevich D
30 Jonathan Galván D
44 Giuliano Cerato M
55 Gustavo Abregú M
15 Matías Gallardo M
3 Diego Alejandro Sosa M
20 Jhon Córdoba F
10 Alex Luna F
17 Matías Tissera F

Substitutes

35 Emanuel Sittaro G
6 Fernando Alarcón D
32 Agustín Bravo D
23 Juan Meli D
2 Hernán de la Fuente D
8 Jonas Acevedo M
21 Jeremías Lázaro M
19 Gastón Lodico M
90 Pedro Baster M
9 Facundo Suárez F
11 Matías Fonseca F
7 Nicolás Guerra F

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