Gimnasia M. vs Union Santa Fe Prediction
FT
AI call
Gimnasia M. or draw
37%
31%
32%
Home Win · 3.32
Draw · 3.16
Away Win · 2.60
Gimnasia M. vs Union Santa Fe prediction: Sportiko gives Gimnasia M. a 37% chance of winning, Union Santa Fe 32% and the draw 31%. Last updated 1 Aug 2026, 20:27.
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Timeline
Esteban Fernández
Yellow Card
7'
▮
Facundo Lencioni
Yellow Card
14'
▮
Agustín Modica
Penalty
45+5'
⚽
1–0
HT 1–0
Esteban Fernández
⇄ Germán Guiffrey
46'
⇄
Santiago Rodríguez
⇄ Luciano Cingolani
46'
⇄
Agustín Modica
assist: Facundo Lencioni
50'
⚽
2–0
⇄
59'
Joaquin Mosqueira
⇄ Marcelo Estigarribia
⇄
67'
Lautaro Vargas
⇄ Juan Pintado
⇄
67'
Lucas Ayala
⇄ Bruno Pittón
Fermin Antonini
⇄ Nahuel Barboza
76'
⇄
⇄
80'
Ignacio Malcorra
⇄ Eric Ramírez
Agustín Modica
⇄ Ignacio Sabatini
80'
⇄
⇄
80'
Misael Aguirre
⇄ Brahian Cuello
Juan Franco
⇄ Luciano Paredes
88'
⇄
FT 2–0
Gimnasia M.
Match Stats
Union Santa Fe
51%
Ball Possession
49%
1.71
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
15
Total Shots
13
7
Shots on Goal
4
3
Shots off Goal
6
5
Blocked Shots
3
10
Shots insidebox
7
5
Shots outsidebox
6
9
Corner Kicks
5
0
Offsides
5
14
Fouls
14
2
Yellow Cards
0
Red Cards
4
Goalkeeper Saves
5
363
Total passes
339
279
Passes accurate
269
77%
Passes %
79%
0.11
goals_prevented
0.11
Gimnasia M.
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Agustín Modica F | 8.5 | 80' | 2 | – | 3 | 14 (10%) | 2 |
| 23 Cesar Rigamonti G | 8.2 | 92' | – | – | – | 38 (25%) | – |
| 4 Ezequiel Muñoz D | 7.7 | 92' | – | – | – | 36 (34%) | 2 |
| 7 Luciano Cingolani F | 7.3 | 47' | – | – | 1 | 20 (17%) | 2 |
| 3 Matias Recalde D | 7.2 | 92' | – | – | – | 38 (28%) | 2 |
| 26 Facundo Lencioni M | 7.0 | 92' | – | 1 | 3 | 34 (27%) | – |
| 30 Esteban Fernández M | 6.9 | 45' | – | – | – | 16 (14%) | 1 |
| 21 Fermin Antonini M | 6.9 | 76' | – | – | – | 24 (18%) | 1 |
| 16 Germán Guiffrey D | 6.9 | 47' | – | – | – | 22 (18%) | 1 |
| 19 Julian Ceballos M | 6.7 | 92' | – | – | – | 42 (31%) | 2 |
| 5 Nahuel Barboza M | 6.6 | 16' | – | – | – | 5 (5%) | – |
| 17 Ignacio Sabatini F | 6.5 | 12' | – | – | 1 | – | – |
| 42 Lautaro Carrera D | 6.5 | 92' | – | – | 1 | 33 (24%) | 1 |
| 22 Juan Franco D | 6.5 | 88' | – | – | – | 21 (16%) | 1 |
| 11 Santiago Rodríguez F | 6.3 | 45' | – | – | 1 | 7 (5%) | – |
| 32 Luciano Paredes D | — | 4' | – | – | – | 4 (1%) | – |
Union Santa Fe
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Matías Mansilla G | 7.5 | 92' | – | – | – | 22 (11%) | – |
| 44 Tomás Fagioli D | 7.0 | 92' | – | – | – | 41 (37%) | 3 |
| 5 Lucas Menossi M | 7.0 | 92' | – | – | – | 42 (34%) | 5 |
| 10 Ignacio Malcorra M | 7.0 | 80' | – | – | 2 | 26 (21%) | 2 |
| 18 Lucas Ayala D | 6.9 | 67' | – | – | – | 20 (17%) | 4 |
| 12 Bruno Pittón D | 6.7 | 25' | – | – | – | 10 (9%) | 1 |
| 20 Julián Palacios M | 6.6 | 92' | – | – | – | 26 (23%) | – |
| 17 Joaquin Mosqueira M | 6.5 | 59' | – | – | 1 | 14 (11%) | – |
| 35 Lautaro Vargas D | 6.5 | 67' | – | – | – | 20 (18%) | 1 |
| 15 Juan Pintado D | 6.5 | 25' | – | – | – | 6 (6%) | – |
| 26 Juan Pablo Ludueña D | 6.3 | 92' | – | – | – | 41 (29%) | 2 |
| 22 Brahian Cuello M | 6.3 | 12' | – | – | – | 8 (8%) | – |
| 43 Eric Ramírez F | 6.3 | 12' | – | – | – | 2 (1%) | – |
| 31 Misael Aguirre F | 6.2 | 80' | – | – | 3 | 10 (5%) | – |
| 25 Cristian Tarragona F | 6.2 | 92' | – | – | 3 | 30 (22%) | – |
| 19 Marcelo Estigarribia F | 6.0 | 33' | – | – | – | 10 (9%) | – |
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Confidence
Low (37%)
At a glance
Our lean
Gimnasia M. or draw
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Gimnasia M.
WLWLW
Union Santa Fe
WLDLW
Last 1 meetings
Gimnasia M. · 0W 0D 1L
Match summary
Gimnasia M. faces Union Santa Fe in a Liga Profesional Argentina clash that promises to be competitive. Gimnasia has shown a solid defensive record at home, conceding an average of 1 goal per match this season, while Union Santa Fe has struggled offensively, scoring only 1.2 goals per game on average. The midfield battle will be crucial, as both teams rely on controlling possession. Expect a closely contested match, with set pieces likely playing a significant role in deciding the outcome.
Live insights
75'
time check
80% sure
Min 75: Gimnasia M. leads 2-0. Win probability: 99.1%. Comeback chance: 0.9%.
51'
Goal
85% sure
Gimnasia M. now leads 2-0 with 96.3% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 63.5%.
45'
Goal
70% sure
Goal! Score now 1-0. Gimnasia M. win: 80.3%. BTTS: 37.5%.
45'
half time
65% sure
Half-time: 1-0. Gimnasia M. leads. Win probability: 80.3%. Over 0.5 more goals: 68.5%.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Gimnasia M.
A. Módica
7 gls
Union Santa Fe
C. Tarragona
9 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Gimnasia M. vs Union Santa Fe
0
Gimnasia M. Wins
0
Draws
1
Union Santa Fe Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb 2026 | Union Santa Fe | 4 - 0 | Gimnasia M. |
Gimnasia M. — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug | H Union Santa Fe | W | 2 - 0 |
| 28 Jul | A San Lorenzo | L | 1 - 0 |
| 24 Jul | H Central Cordoba de Santiago | W | 1 - 0 |
| 26 Apr | A Independ. Rivadavia | L | 5 - 1 |
| 21 Apr | H Lanus | W | 1 - 0 |
Union Santa Fe — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug | H Lanus | W | 2 - 1 |
| 01 Aug | A Gimnasia M. | L | 2 - 0 |
| 25 Jul | A Platense | D | 2 - 2 |
| 22 May | H Independiente | L | 0 - 2 |
| 10 May | A Independ. Rivadavia | W | 1 - 3 |
Liga Profesional Argentina Standings
Clausura - Group A
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Velez Sarsfield
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 9 |
| 2 |
Independiente
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 6 |
| 3 |
Gimnasia M.
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 6 |
| 4 |
Instituto Cordoba
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 6 |
| 5 |
Newells Old Boys
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 |
Union Santa Fe
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 |
| 7 |
Defensa Y Justicia
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 |
| 8 |
Boca Juniors
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 |
| 9 |
Talleres Cordoba
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 3 |
| 10 |
Deportivo Riestra
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 3 |
| 11 |
Estudiantes L.P.
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 |
Lanus
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 |
San Lorenzo
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Central Cordoba de Santiago
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 15 |
Platense
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 |
Clausura - Group B
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Argentinos JRS
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | +5 | 9 |
| 2 |
Barracas Central
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 9 |
| 3 |
Independ. Rivadavia
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 4 |
Rosario Central
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 7 |
| 5 |
Gimnasia L.P.
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 6 |
| 6 |
Atletico Tucuman
|
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 5 |
| 7 |
Tigre
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 4 |
| 8 |
Banfield
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 |
Belgrano Cordoba
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 |
Huracan
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 |
Racing Club
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 |
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| 13 |
Sarmiento Junin
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Aldosivi
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 1 |
| 15 |
River Plate
|
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
Union Santa Fe
Formation: 4-4-2
Coach: Leonardo Madelon
21
Mansilla
18
Ayala
26
Ludueña
44
Fagioli
35
Vargas
10
Malcorra
17
Mosqueira
5
Menossi
20
Palacios
25
Tarragona
31
Aguirre
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | Matías Mansilla | G |
| 35 | Lautaro Vargas | D |
| 44 | Tomás Fagioli | D |
| 26 | Juan Pablo Ludueña | D |
| 18 | Lucas Ayala | D |
| 20 | Julián Palacios | M |
| 5 | Lucas Menossi | M |
| 17 | Joaquin Mosqueira | M |
| 10 | Ignacio Malcorra | M |
| 31 | Misael Aguirre | F |
| 25 | Cristian Tarragona | F |
Substitutes
| 40 | Lucas Meuli | G |
| 15 | Juan Pintado | D |
| 12 | Bruno Pittón | D |
| 33 | Ignacio Isla | D |
| 38 | Valentín Cerrudo | F |
| 36 | Mateo Aimar | D |
| 8 | Emilio Giaccone | M |
| 22 | Brahian Cuello | M |
| 46 | Santiago Grella | M |
| 19 | Marcelo Estigarribia | F |
| 29 | Santino Vera | M |
| 43 | Eric Ramírez | F |
Gimnasia M.
Formation: 4-3-1-2
Coach: Ariel Broggi
23
Rigamonti
3
Recalde
4
Muñoz
42
Carrera
22
Franco
19
Ceballos
21
Antonini
30
Fernández
26
Lencioni
9
Modica
11
Rodríguez
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 23 | Cesar Rigamonti | G |
| 22 | Juan Franco | D |
| 42 | Lautaro Carrera | D |
| 4 | Ezequiel Muñoz | D |
| 3 | Matias Recalde | D |
| 30 | Esteban Fernández | M |
| 21 | Fermin Antonini | M |
| 19 | Julian Ceballos | M |
| 26 | Facundo Lencioni | M |
| 11 | Santiago Rodríguez | F |
| 9 | Agustín Modica | F |
Substitutes
| 31 | Lautaro Petruchi | G |
| 41 | Gerónimo Patritti | M |
| 16 | Germán Guiffrey | D |
| 32 | Luciano Paredes | D |
| 5 | Nahuel Barboza | M |
| 10 | Nicolás Romano | F |
| 28 | Tomás O'Connor | M |
| 33 | Brian Andrada | F |
| 15 | Ulises Sánchez | M |
| 17 | Ignacio Sabatini | F |
| 35 | Valentino Simoni | F |
| 7 | Luciano Cingolani | F |