Estudiantes L.P. vs Defensa Y Justicia Prediction
FT
AI call
Estudiantes L.P. or draw
43%
33%
25%
Home Win · 1.73
Draw · 3.60
Away Win · 6.50
Estudiantes L.P. vs Defensa Y Justicia prediction: Sportiko gives Estudiantes L.P. a 43% chance of winning, Defensa Y Justicia 25% and the draw 33%. Last updated 1 Aug 2026, 22:56.
Timeline
Guido Carrillo
assist: Eric Meza
9'
⚽
1–0
⇄
14'
Lucas Souto
⇄ Ayrton Portillo
Ezequiel Piovi
assist: Tiago Palacios
16'
⚽
2–0
Fabricio Pérez
Yellow Card
28'
▮
▮
28'
David Barbona
Yellow Card
▮
34'
Damián Fernández
Yellow Card
Tomás Palacios
assist: Guido Carrillo
36'
⚽
3–0
HT 3–0
⇄
64'
Máximo Rodríguez
⇄ Fernando Román
⇄
64'
Leandro Fernández
⇄ Tomás Pérez
⇄
64'
Santiago Sosa
⇄ Domingo Blanco
Tiago Palacios
⇄ Jose Sosa
70'
⇄
Alexis Castro
⇄ Gabriel Neves
71'
⇄
Fabricio Pérez
⇄ Brian Aguirre
72'
⇄
Tomás Palacios
⇄ Ramiro Funes Mori
72'
⇄
⇄
79'
Agustín Hausch
⇄ Ramiro Gagliardi
Guido Carrillo
⇄ Lucas Alario
80'
⇄
✗
87'
David Barbona
Missed Penalty
FT 3–0
Estudiantes L.P.
Match Stats
Defensa Y Justicia
41%
Ball Possession
59%
1.99
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
15
Total Shots
20
9
Shots on Goal
8
4
Shots off Goal
6
2
Blocked Shots
6
10
Shots insidebox
13
5
Shots outsidebox
7
2
Corner Kicks
4
0
Offsides
1
14
Fouls
9
1
Yellow Cards
2
Red Cards
8
Goalkeeper Saves
7
329
Total passes
472
268
Passes accurate
402
81%
Passes %
85%
-0.81
goals_prevented
-0.81
Estudiantes L.P.
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Fernando Muslera G | 8.7 | 93' | – | – | – | 23 (18%) | – |
| 21 Ezequiel Piovi M | 8.3 | 93' | 1 | – | 2 | 46 (39%) | 6 |
| 9 Guido Carrillo F | 8.2 | 80' | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 (9%) | 1 |
| 24 Tomás Palacios D | 7.6 | 72' | 1 | – | 1 | 31 (27%) | 1 |
| 10 Tiago Palacios M | 7.2 | 70' | – | 1 | 1 | 34 (29%) | 1 |
| 13 Gastón Benedetti D | 7.0 | 93' | – | – | – | 37 (30%) | 1 |
| 20 Eric Meza D | 6.9 | 93' | – | 1 | 1 | 24 (17%) | – |
| 17 Joaquín Tobio Burgos M | 6.9 | 93' | – | – | 1 | 20 (14%) | – |
| 26 Ramiro Funes Mori D | 6.9 | 21' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
| 7 Jose Sosa M | 6.7 | 23' | – | – | – | 6 (5%) | – |
| 29 Fabricio Pérez M | 6.6 | 72' | – | – | 3 | 16 (14%) | 3 |
| 4 Santiago Núñez D | 6.6 | 93' | – | – | – | 32 (30%) | – |
| 22 Alexis Castro M | 6.6 | 71' | – | – | 2 | 28 (25%) | 3 |
| 28 Brian Aguirre F | 6.5 | 21' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | – |
| 27 Lucas Alario F | 6.5 | 13' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | – |
| 8 Gabriel Neves M | 6.3 | 22' | – | – | – | 6 (2%) | – |
Defensa Y Justicia
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 César Pérez M | 7.9 | 93' | – | – | 1 | 73 (65%) | 5 |
| 1 Matías Borgogno G | 7.0 | 93' | – | – | – | 32 (25%) | – |
| 16 Ayrton Portillo M | 7.0 | 79' | – | – | 1 | 36 (31%) | – |
| 3 Fernando Román D | 6.9 | 29' | – | – | – | 10 (7%) | – |
| 7 Tomás Pérez F | 6.7 | 29' | – | – | 1 | 6 (4%) | 1 |
| 15 Santiago Sosa M | 6.6 | 64' | – | – | 1 | 34 (30%) | 2 |
| 27 Domingo Blanco M | 6.6 | 29' | – | – | 1 | 17 (17%) | 1 |
| 17 Agustín Hausch M | 6.5 | 79' | – | – | 2 | 26 (21%) | 2 |
| 24 Juan Manuel Gutiérrez M | 6.5 | 93' | – | – | 2 | 14 (11%) | 3 |
| 2 Samuel Lucero D | 6.3 | 93' | – | – | – | 36 (35%) | 6 |
| 41 Ramiro Gagliardi F | 6.3 | 14' | – | – | 2 | 10 (7%) | – |
| 33 Lucas Souto D | 6.2 | 14' | – | – | – | 5 (5%) | 1 |
| 19 David Barbona M | 6.2 | 93' | – | – | 3 | 55 (46%) | – |
| 9 Leandro Fernández F | 6.2 | 64' | – | – | – | 24 (14%) | 1 |
| 29 Damián Fernández D | 5.6 | 93' | – | – | – | 61 (58%) | 1 |
| 40 Máximo Rodríguez D | 5.6 | 64' | – | – | – | 33 (26%) | 2 |
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Confidence
Low (43%)
At a glance
Our lean
Estudiantes L.P. or draw
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Estudiantes L.P.
LWLWL
Defensa Y Justicia
LWDLL
Last 3 meetings
Estudiantes L.P. · 1W 1D 1L
Match summary
Estudiantes L.P. faces Defensa Y Justicia in a crucial Liga Profesional Argentina clash. Estudiantes has shown a solid home form, typically characterized by strong defensive organization and effective counter-attacking. Meanwhile, Defensa Y Justicia boasts a balanced squad with a good record in away matches, emphasizing disciplined defending and quick transitions. This matchup could hinge on Estudiantes' ability to break down a well-structured Defensa side, particularly if they can leverage their home ground familiarity. Expect a tactical battle where midfield control will be key.
Live insights
90'
Goal
85% sure
Estudiantes L.P. now leads 4-0 with 100% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 9.5%.
76'
time check
80% sure
Min 76: Estudiantes L.P. leads 3-0. Win probability: 99.8%. Comeback chance: 0.2%.
45'
half time
65% sure
Half-time: 3-0. Estudiantes L.P. leads. Win probability: 97.1%. Over 0.5 more goals: 65.6%.
37'
Goal
85% sure
Estudiantes L.P. now leads 3-0 with 95.9% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 71.3%.
16'
Goal
85% sure
Estudiantes L.P. now leads 2-0 with 76.7% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 82.1%.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
43%
45%
Draw
33%
45%
Away
25%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Estudiantes L.P. vs Defensa Y Justicia
1
Estudiantes L.P. Wins
1
Draws
1
Defensa Y Justicia Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb 2026 | Defensa Y Justicia | 0 - 0 | Estudiantes L.P. |
| 22 Sep 2025 | Estudiantes L.P. | 1 - 0 | Defensa Y Justicia |
| 09 Mar 2025 | Defensa Y Justicia | 1 - 0 | Estudiantes L.P. |
Estudiantes L.P. — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug | A Boca Juniors | L | 1 - 0 |
| 01 Aug | H Defensa Y Justicia | W | 3 - 0 |
| 26 Jul | H Independiente | L | 0 - 2 |
| 27 May | H Independiente Medellin | W | 1 - 0 |
| 21 May | A Flamengo | L | 1 - 0 |
Defensa Y Justicia — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug | A Estudiantes L.P. | L | 3 - 0 |
| 29 Jul | H Deportivo Riestra | W | 2 - 1 |
| 24 Jul | H Aldosivi | D | 1 - 1 |
| 23 Apr | H Boca Juniors | L | 0 - 4 |
| 18 Apr | A Independiente | L | 2 - 1 |
Liga Profesional Argentina Standings
Clausura - Group A
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Velez Sarsfield
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 9 |
| 2 |
Independiente
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 6 |
| 3 |
Gimnasia M.
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 6 |
| 4 |
Instituto Cordoba
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 6 |
| 5 |
Newells Old Boys
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 |
Union Santa Fe
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 |
| 7 |
Defensa Y Justicia
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 |
| 8 |
Boca Juniors
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 |
| 9 |
Talleres Cordoba
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 3 |
| 10 |
Deportivo Riestra
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 3 |
| 11 |
Estudiantes L.P.
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 |
Lanus
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 |
San Lorenzo
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Central Cordoba de Santiago
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 15 |
Platense
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 |
Clausura - Group B
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Argentinos JRS
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | +5 | 9 |
| 2 |
Barracas Central
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 9 |
| 3 |
Independ. Rivadavia
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 4 |
Rosario Central
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 7 |
| 5 |
Gimnasia L.P.
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 6 |
| 6 |
Atletico Tucuman
|
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 5 |
| 7 |
Tigre
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 4 |
| 8 |
Banfield
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 |
Belgrano Cordoba
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 |
Huracan
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 |
Racing Club
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 |
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| 13 |
Sarmiento Junin
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Aldosivi
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 1 |
| 15 |
River Plate
|
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
Defensa Y Justicia
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Mariano Soso
1
Borgogno
40
Rodríguez
2
Lucero
29
Fernández
33
Souto
15
Sosa
8
Pérez
24
Gutiérrez
19
Barbona
17
Hausch
9
Fernández
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Matías Borgogno | G |
| 33 | Lucas Souto | D |
| 29 | Damián Fernández | D |
| 2 | Samuel Lucero | D |
| 40 | Máximo Rodríguez | D |
| 8 | César Pérez | M |
| 15 | Santiago Sosa | M |
| 17 | Agustín Hausch | M |
| 19 | David Barbona | M |
| 24 | Juan Manuel Gutiérrez | M |
| 9 | Leandro Fernández | F |
Substitutes
| 16 | Ayrton Portillo | M |
| 3 | Fernando Román | D |
| 27 | Domingo Blanco | M |
| 7 | Tomás Pérez | F |
| 36 | Lautaro Amade | G |
| 13 | Mateo López | D |
| 28 | Valentín Loza | D |
| 44 | Jonás Cabrera | M |
| 25 | Facundo Altamira | F |
| 23 | Mateo Aguiar | M |
| 41 | Ramiro Gagliardi | F |
| 45 | Thiago Martínez | M |
Estudiantes L.P.
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Alexander Medina
16
Muslera
13
Benedetti
24
Palacios
4
Núñez
20
Meza
22
Castro
21
Piovi
17
Burgos
10
Palacios
29
Pérez
9
Carrillo
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Fernando Muslera | G |
| 20 | Eric Meza | D |
| 4 | Santiago Núñez | D |
| 24 | Tomás Palacios | D |
| 13 | Gastón Benedetti | D |
| 21 | Ezequiel Piovi | M |
| 22 | Alexis Castro | M |
| 29 | Fabricio Pérez | M |
| 10 | Tiago Palacios | M |
| 17 | Joaquín Tobio Burgos | M |
| 9 | Guido Carrillo | F |
Substitutes
| 7 | José Sosa | M |
| 1 | Fabricio Iacovich | G |
| 40 | Eros Mancuso | D |
| 26 | Ramiro Funes Mori | D |
| 36 | Joaquin Pereyra | D |
| 52 | Bautista Kociubinski | M |
| 11 | Facundo Farías | M |
| 28 | Brian Aguirre | F |
| 8 | Gabriel Neves | M |
| 27 | Lucas Alario | F |
| 18 | Edwuin Cetré | F |
| 19 | Adolfo Gaich | F |