Aldosivi vs Gimnasia L.P. Prediction

FT
Post on X
AI call Gimnasia L.P. or draw
23%
31%
46%
Home Win · 3.35 Draw · 2.95 Away Win · 2.72

Aldosivi vs Gimnasia L.P. prediction: Sportiko gives Aldosivi a 23% chance of winning, Gimnasia L.P. 46% and the draw 31%. Last updated 2 Aug 2026, 19:30.

Timeline

Alan Sosa Yellow Card
9'
22'
Jeremías Merlo ⇄ Agustín Colazo
0–1 40'
Agustín Auzmendi assist: Pedro Silva
Matías Godoy Yellow Card
43'
HT 0–1
Matías Godoy ⇄ Nicolás Gaitán
46'
Nicolás Cordero ⇄ Tomás Fernández
46'
Federico Laurelli Yellow Card
48'
Rodrigo González
59'
Federico Laurelli ⇄ Blas Agustín Palavecino
59'
60'
Nacho Fernández Yellow Card
61'
Agustín Auzmendi ⇄ Lucas Janson
61'
Nicolas Schelotto ⇄ Bautista Barros Schelotto
0–2 66'
Agustín Colazo assist: Alexis Steimbach
71'
Pedro Silva Yellow Card
Lucas Castro ⇄ Andrés Chávez
74'
Nicolás Gaitán
78' 1–2
87'
Ignacio Miramón ⇄ Augusto Max
87'
Nacho Fernández ⇄ Lucas Lamella
90+2'
Mateo Seoane Yellow Card
FT 1–2
Aldosivi

Match Stats

Gimnasia L.P.
50% Ball Possession 50%
0.86 Expected Goals (xG) 0.91
18 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Goal 4
11 Shots off Goal 5
3 Blocked Shots 2
7 Shots insidebox 5
11 Shots outsidebox 6
3 Corner Kicks 4
3 Offsides 1
10 Fouls 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
Red Cards
2 Goalkeeper Saves 3
362 Total passes 363
253 Passes accurate 276
70% Passes % 76%
-0.10 goals_prevented -0.10
Aldosivi
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
10 Nicolás Gaitán M 7.3 50' 1 1 25 (18%) 1
23 Ignacio Chicco G 7.2 95' 24 (14%)
33 Nicolás Zalazar D 7.0 95' 1 43 (34%) 3
32 Joaquin Pombo D 6.9 95' 25 (17%) 1
22 Alan Sosa M 6.9 95' 3 54 (42%) 2
9 Nicolás Cordero F 6.9 45' 12 (5%)
2 Leonardo Sigali D 6.9 95' 38 (30%) 1
11 Blas Agustín Palavecino F 6.9 36' 23 (19%) 1
29 Andrés Vombergar F 6.9 95' 2 22 (12%) 2
18 Andrés Chávez F 6.7 21' 2 (1%)
27 Tomás Fernández F 6.5 50' 11 (8%)
8 Martin Garcia M 6.5 36' 4 11 (5%) 3
17 Federico Laurelli M 6.3 59' 1 13 (12%) 1
4 Rodrigo González M 6.2 59' 1 13 (9%)
19 Lucas Castro M 6.2 74' 2 40 (23%) 1
21 Matías Godoy F 6.2 45' 6 (4%) 1
Gimnasia L.P.
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
23 Nelson Insfrán G 7.5 95' 34 (20%)
29 Agustín Auzmendi F 7.3 61' 1 1 15 (10%)
19 Agustín Colazo F 7.2 73' 1 2 17 (12%)
5 Ignacio Miramón M 7.0 87' 1 40 (36%) 2
24 Pedro Silva D 6.9 95' 1 1 31 (27%) 1
8 Nacho Fernández M 6.9 87' 2 39 (34%) 3
35 Juan Cruz Cortazzo D 6.9 95' 27 (20%)
10 Nicolas Schelotto M 6.7 61' 1 37 (28%) 1
18 Mateo Seoane M 6.7 95' 1 35 (25%) 2
25 Alexis Steimbach D 6.6 95' 1 33 (24%) 1
17 Lucas Janson F 6.6 34' 7 (6%)
21 Enzo Martínez D 6.3 95' 39 (28%)
16 Augusto Max M 6.3 8' 1
11 Jeremías Merlo M 6.3 22' 3 (3%)
36 Lucas Lamella D 6.3 8'
31 Bautista Barros Schelotto D 6.2 34' 5 (3%)
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Confidence Low (46%)

At a glance

Our lean
Gimnasia L.P. or draw
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Aldosivi
LLLDW
Gimnasia L.P.
WWLDL
Last 3 meetings Aldosivi · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

In the Liga Profesional Argentina clash, Aldosivi faces Gimnasia L.P. on August 2, 2026. Aldosivi has struggled with consistency, currently sitting in the lower half of the table, while Gimnasia L.P. is fighting for a higher position. Historically, Aldosivi has a solid defensive record at home, but their attacking efficiency has been below league average. Conversely, Gimnasia has shown resilience, particularly in away matches, often capitalizing on set pieces. This match could hinge on Aldosivi's ability to convert opportunities and Gimnasia's capacity to exploit defensive lapses.

Live insights

83' time check 80% sure

Min 83: Gimnasia L.P. leads 1-2. Win probability: 95.7%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 4.3%.

79' Goal 80% sure

Late goal makes it 1-2! Gimnasia L.P. win probability: 95.1%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 21.9%.

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: Gimnasia L.P. leads 0-2. Win probability: 99.8%. Comeback chance: 0.2%.

66' Goal 85% sure

Gimnasia L.P. now leads 0-2 with 99.4% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 41.5%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-1. Gimnasia L.P. leads. Win probability: 89.4%. Over 0.5 more goals: 63%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
23%
10%
Draw
31%
45%
Away
46%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Aldosivi

No scorer data.

Gimnasia L.P.
M. Torres 8 gls

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Head to Head: Aldosivi vs Gimnasia L.P.

0 Aldosivi Wins
1 Draws
2 Gimnasia L.P. Wins
Date Home Score Away
02 Feb 2026 Gimnasia L.P. 3 - 1 Aldosivi
23 Aug 2022 Gimnasia L.P. 0 - 0 Aldosivi
25 Sep 2021 Aldosivi 1 - 3 Gimnasia L.P.
See all 7 meetings — Premium

Aldosivi — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Aug A Rosario Central L 2 - 1
02 Aug H Gimnasia L.P. L 1 - 2
29 Jul A Barracas Central L 1 - 0
24 Jul A Defensa Y Justicia D 1 - 1
18 Jul A River Plate W 1 - 3

Gimnasia L.P. — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
02 Aug A Aldosivi W 1 - 2
29 Jul H River Plate W 1 - 0
24 Jul A Racing Club L 2 - 1
05 Jul A Zenit D 0 - 0
14 May A River Plate L 2 - 0

Liga Profesional Argentina Standings

Clausura - Group A

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Velez Sarsfield
3 3 0 0 +4 9
2
Independiente
3 2 0 1 +2 6
3
Gimnasia M.
3 2 0 1 +2 6
4
Instituto Cordoba
3 2 0 1 +1 6
5
Newells Old Boys
3 1 1 1 0 4
6
Union Santa Fe
3 1 1 1 -1 4
7
Defensa Y Justicia
3 1 1 1 -2 4
8
Boca Juniors
3 1 1 1 -2 4
9
Talleres Cordoba
3 1 0 2 +1 3
10
Deportivo Riestra
3 1 0 2 +1 3
11
Estudiantes L.P.
3 1 0 2 0 3
12
Lanus
3 1 0 2 -1 3
13
San Lorenzo
3 1 0 2 -1 3
14
Central Cordoba de Santiago
3 1 0 2 -2 3
15
Platense
3 0 1 2 -5 1

Clausura - Group B

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Argentinos JRS
3 3 0 0 +5 9
2
Barracas Central
3 3 0 0 +3 9
3
Independ. Rivadavia
4 2 1 1 +1 7
4
Rosario Central
4 2 1 1 +1 7
5
Gimnasia L.P.
3 2 0 1 +1 6
6
Atletico Tucuman
3 1 2 0 +2 5
7
Tigre
3 1 1 1 +1 4
8
Banfield
3 1 1 1 0 4
9
Belgrano Cordoba
3 1 1 1 0 4
10
Huracan
3 1 1 1 0 4
11
Racing Club
3 1 1 1 -1 4
12
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
4 1 1 2 -3 4
13
Sarmiento Junin
3 1 0 2 -1 3
14
Aldosivi
4 0 1 3 -3 1
15
River Plate
3 0 0 3 -3 0

Gimnasia L.P.

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Mariano Messera
23 Insfrán
24 Silva
21 Martínez
35 Cortazzo
25 Steimbach
10 Schelotto
18 Seoane
11 Merlo
8 Fernández
5 Miramón
29 Auzmendi

Starting XI

# Player Pos
23 Nelson Insfrán G
25 Alexis Steimbach D
35 Juan Cruz Cortazzo D
21 Enzo Martínez D
24 Pedro Silva D
18 Mateo Seoane M
10 Nicolás Barros Schelotto M
5 Ignacio Miramón M
8 Nacho Fernández M
11 Jeremías Merlo M
29 Agustín Auzmendi F

Substitutes

19 Agustín Colazo F
15 Harlen Castillo G
31 Bautista Barros Schelotto D
36 Lucas Lamella D
43 Mariano Ojeda D
37 Jeremías Ezequiel Langa D
33 Pablo Aguiar M
16 Augusto Max M
7 Manuel Panaro F
9 Maximiliano Zalazar F
17 Lucas Janson F
26 Franco Torres F

Aldosivi

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Israel Damonte
23 Chicco
32 Pombo
2 Sigali
33 Zalazar
17 Laurelli
19 Castro
22 Sosa
4 González
29 Vombergar
21 Godoy
9 Cordero

Starting XI

# Player Pos
23 Ignacio Chicco G
33 Nicolás Zalazar D
2 Leonardo Sigali D
32 Joaquin Pombo D
4 Rodrigo González M
22 Alan Sosa M
19 Lucas Castro M
17 Federico Laurelli M
21 Matías Godoy F
29 Andrés Vombergar F
9 Nicolás Cordero F

Substitutes

42 Lucas Acosta G
25 Néstor Breitenbruch D
14 Elías López D
5 Nicolás Linares M
27 Tomás Fernández F
11 Blas Agustín Palavecino F
10 Nicolás Gaitán M
15 Francisco Perruzzi M
8 Martin Garcia M
24 Felipe Anso F
18 Andrés Chávez F
16 Juan Bautista Dadín F

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