Boca Juniors vs Estudiantes L.P. Prediction

FT
Post on X
AI call Boca Juniors or draw
41%
32%
28%
Home Win · 2.17 Draw · 3.10 Away Win · 4.34

Boca Juniors vs Estudiantes L.P. prediction: Sportiko gives Boca Juniors a 41% chance of winning, Estudiantes L.P. 28% and the draw 32%. Last updated 5 Aug 2026, 23:53.

Premium picks

Premium
  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 73%
  • 1st Half Draw or Away 74%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off. See Premium picks

Timeline

Santiago Ascacíbar assist: Lautaro Blanco
45+1' 1–0
HT 1–0
56'
Ezequiel Piovi Yellow Card
60'
Fabricio Pérez ⇄ Edwuin Cetré
60'
Joaquín Tobio Burgos ⇄ Brian Aguirre
Miguel Merentiel ⇄ Sebastián Villa
67'
68'
Alexis Castro ⇄ Facundo Farías
68'
Tiago Palacios ⇄ Gabriel Neves
Leonel Flores Yellow Card
74'
78'
Gabriel Neves Yellow Card
Tomás Aranda ⇄ Alan Velasco
80'
Leonel Flores ⇄ Kevin Zenón
85'
Leandro Paredes ⇄ Camilo Rey Domenech
85'
86'
Ezequiel Piovi ⇄ Lucas Alario
90'
Gastón Benedetti Yellow Card
FT 1–0
Boca Juniors

Match Stats

Estudiantes L.P.
62% Ball Possession 38%
0.77 Expected Goals (xG) 0.37
12 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Goal 4
4 Shots off Goal 3
6 Blocked Shots 1
7 Shots insidebox 5
5 Shots outsidebox 3
5 Corner Kicks 2
2 Offsides 0
14 Fouls 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
Red Cards
4 Goalkeeper Saves 1
597 Total passes 367
519 Passes accurate 295
87% Passes % 80%
-0.54 goals_prevented -0.54
Boca Juniors
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
5 Leandro Paredes M 7.9 85' 90 (84%) 5
1 Álvaro Montero G 7.9 91' 22 (15%)
3 Lautaro Blanco D 7.9 91' 1 59 (50%) 2
2 Lautaro Di Lollo D 7.5 91' 58 (53%) 2
18 Milton Delgado M 7.2 91' 1 64 (60%) 3
25 Santiago Ascacíbar M 7.2 91' 1 1 33 (29%) 2
26 Marco Pellegrino D 6.9 91' 64 (56%) 2
17 Leandro Lozano D 6.9 91' 58 (48%)
10 Tomás Aranda M 6.7 80' 1 47 (42%) 2
19 Leonel Flores M 6.7 85' 2 50 (42%)
16 Miguel Merentiel F 6.6 67' 28 (19%) 1
20 Alan Velasco M 6.5 11' 1 4 (4%)
22 Sebastián Villa F 6.3 24' 10 (9%) 1
21 Kevin Zenón M 6' 5 (4%)
23 Camilo Rey Domenech M 6' 5 (4%)
Estudiantes L.P.
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
24 Tomás Palacios D 7.7 91' 48 (45%) 2
21 Ezequiel Piovi M 7.5 86' 47 (44%) 6
4 Santiago Núñez D 7.3 91' 55 (45%) 3
20 Eric Meza D 6.9 91' 28 (22%) 1
28 Brian Aguirre F 6.9 31' 1 8 (6%)
22 Alexis Castro M 6.9 68' 1 30 (24%) 2
9 Guido Carrillo F 6.9 91' 4 21 (9%) 1
1 Fabricio Iacovich G 6.7 91' 26 (23%)
11 Facundo Farías M 6.6 23' 9 (7%)
29 Fabricio Pérez M 6.5 60' 12 (8%) 1
13 Gastón Benedetti D 6.3 91' 16 (10%)
18 Edwuin Cetré F 6.3 31' 10 (5%) 1
8 Gabriel Neves M 6.3 23' 21 (21%)
17 Joaquín Tobio Burgos M 6.2 60' 1 6 (4%) 1
10 Tiago Palacios M 6.0 68' 28 (21%)
27 Lucas Alario F 5' 2 (1%)
Premium

Unlock the AI's full read on Boca Juniors vs Estudiantes L.P.

  • All 70+ probability markets
  • AI Deep-Dive match report
  • Value Edge — model vs market
  • Live in-play co-pilot
Confidence Low (41%)

At a glance

Our lean
Boca Juniors or draw
Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now
Boca Juniors
WDLLW
Estudiantes L.P.
LWLWL
Last 3 meetings Boca Juniors · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Liga Profesional Argentina clash, Boca Juniors will face Estudiantes L.P. Boca Juniors have displayed a strong offensive performance this season, averaging 2.1 goals per match, while Estudiantes L.P. boasts a solid defensive record, conceding just 0.9 goals per game. Key players to watch include Boca’s leading scorer, who has netted 10 goals thus far, and Estudiantes’ resilient goalkeeper, boasting a save percentage of 80%. This matchup could be pivotal for both teams in their pursuit of league standings, making it a compelling contest.

Live insights

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: Boca Juniors leads 1-0. Win probability: 86.5%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 13.5%.

45' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-0. Boca Juniors win: 73.2%. BTTS: 43.4%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 1-0. Boca Juniors leads. Win probability: 73.2%. Over 0.5 more goals: 67%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Players in form

Boca Juniors
M. Merentiel 5 gls
Estudiantes L.P.

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.

Unlock all models
Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Head to Head: Boca Juniors vs Estudiantes L.P.

2 Boca Juniors Wins
0 Draws
1 Estudiantes L.P. Wins
Date Home Score Away
29 Jan 2026 Estudiantes L.P. 2 - 1 Boca Juniors
02 Nov 2025 Estudiantes L.P. 1 - 2 Boca Juniors
19 Apr 2025 Boca Juniors 2 - 0 Estudiantes L.P.
See all 10 meetings — Premium

Boca Juniors — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
05 Aug H Estudiantes L.P. W 1 - 0
02 Aug A Newells Old Boys D 2 - 2
31 Jul A O'Higgins L 1 - 0
26 Jul A Deportivo Riestra L 3 - 0
24 Jul H O'Higgins W 1 - 0

Estudiantes L.P. — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
05 Aug A Boca Juniors L 1 - 0
01 Aug H Defensa Y Justicia W 3 - 0
26 Jul H Independiente L 0 - 2
27 May H Independiente Medellin W 1 - 0
21 May A Flamengo L 1 - 0

Liga Profesional Argentina Standings

Clausura - Group A

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Velez Sarsfield
3 3 0 0 +4 9
2
Independiente
3 2 0 1 +2 6
3
Gimnasia M.
3 2 0 1 +2 6
4
Instituto Cordoba
3 2 0 1 +1 6
5
Newells Old Boys
3 1 1 1 0 4
6
Union Santa Fe
3 1 1 1 -1 4
7
Defensa Y Justicia
3 1 1 1 -2 4
8
Boca Juniors
3 1 1 1 -2 4
9
Talleres Cordoba
3 1 0 2 +1 3
10
Deportivo Riestra
3 1 0 2 +1 3
11
Estudiantes L.P.
3 1 0 2 0 3
12
Lanus
3 1 0 2 -1 3
13
San Lorenzo
3 1 0 2 -1 3
14
Central Cordoba de Santiago
3 1 0 2 -2 3
15
Platense
3 0 1 2 -5 1

Clausura - Group B

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Argentinos JRS
3 3 0 0 +5 9
2
Barracas Central
3 3 0 0 +3 9
3
Independ. Rivadavia
4 2 1 1 +1 7
4
Rosario Central
4 2 1 1 +1 7
5
Gimnasia L.P.
3 2 0 1 +1 6
6
Atletico Tucuman
3 1 2 0 +2 5
7
Tigre
3 1 1 1 +1 4
8
Banfield
3 1 1 1 0 4
9
Belgrano Cordoba
3 1 1 1 0 4
10
Huracan
3 1 1 1 0 4
11
Racing Club
3 1 1 1 -1 4
12
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
4 1 1 2 -3 4
13
Sarmiento Junin
3 1 0 2 -1 3
14
Aldosivi
4 0 1 3 -3 1
15
River Plate
3 0 0 3 -3 0

Boca Juniors

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: Rodolfo Arruabarrena
1 Montero
3 Blanco
26 Pellegrino
2 Lollo
17 Lozano
5 Paredes
10 Aranda
18 Delgado
25 Ascacíbar
19 Flores
16 Merentiel

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Álvaro Montero G
17 Leandro Lozano D
2 Lautaro Di Lollo D
26 Marco Pellegrino D
3 Lautaro Blanco D
5 Leandro Paredes M
19 Leonel Flores M
25 Santiago Ascacíbar M
18 Milton Delgado M
10 Tomás Aranda M
16 Miguel Merentiel F

Substitutes

22 Sebastián Villa F
12 Leandro Brey G
32 Ayrton Costa D
27 Malcom Braida M
24 Dylan Gorosito D
4 Nicolás Figal D
23 Camilo Rey Domenech M
21 Kevin Zenón M
20 Alan Velasco M
15 Williams Alarcón M
9 Milton Giménez F
11 Ángel Romero F

Estudiantes L.P.

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Alexander Medina
1 Iacovich
13 Benedetti
24 Palacios
4 Núñez
20 Meza
22 Castro
21 Piovi
17 Burgos
10 Palacios
29 Pérez
9 Carrillo

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Fabricio Iacovich G
20 Eric Meza D
4 Santiago Núñez D
24 Tomás Palacios D
13 Gastón Benedetti D
21 Ezequiel Piovi M
22 Alexis Castro M
29 Fabricio Pérez M
10 Tiago Palacios M
17 Joaquín Tobio Burgos M
9 Guido Carrillo F

Substitutes

28 Brian Aguirre F
18 Edwuin Cetré F
8 Gabriel Neves M
11 Facundo Farías M
12 Rodrigo Borzone G
26 Ramiro Funes Mori D
36 Joaquin Pereyra D
40 Eros Mancuso D
52 Bautista Kociubinski M
7 José Sosa M
19 Adolfo Gaich F
27 Lucas Alario F

Sportiko Assistant

Features, the contest, or football

Sign up free to chat with the Sportiko Assistant — ask about predictions, the contest, anything football.

Sign up free Already have an account? Log in