Banfield vs Sarmiento Junin Prediction

FT
Post on X
AI call Banfield or draw
44%
34%
22%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Banfield vs Sarmiento Junin prediction: Sportiko gives Banfield a 44% chance of winning, Sarmiento Junin 22% and the draw 34%. Last updated 29 Jul 2026, 03:20.

Timeline

HT 0–0
46'
Gabriel Díaz ⇄ Jhon Renteria
Lautaro Gomez ⇄ Bruno Sepúlveda
46'
Tiziano Perrotta assist: David Zalazar
53' 1–0
55'
Elián Giménez ⇄ Jonathan Herrera
55'
Pablo Magnin ⇄ Mauricio Martínez
Tiziano Perrotta assist: Tomas Adoryan
59' 2–0
61'
Thiago Santamaría ⇄ Gastón González
David Zalazar ⇄ Ignacio Pais
71'
74'
Santiago Salle ⇄ Gastón Arturia
78'
Juan Manuel Insaurralde Yellow Card
Bruno Sepúlveda Penalty
82' 3–0
Lautaro Villegas ⇄ Santiago Esquivel
83'
Tomas Adoryan ⇄ Favio Álvarez
83'
3–1 84'
Jonathan Herrera
Tiziano Perrotta ⇄ Jeremias Acosta
85'
3–2 86'
Junior Marabel
FT 3–2
Banfield

Match Stats

Sarmiento Junin
39% Ball Possession 61%
1.80 Expected Goals (xG) 2.24
16 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Goal 5
7 Shots off Goal 4
1 Blocked Shots 4
10 Shots insidebox 9
6 Shots outsidebox 4
3 Corner Kicks 4
1 Offsides 1
11 Fouls 10
0 Yellow Cards 1
Red Cards
2 Goalkeeper Saves 5
246 Total passes 387
177 Passes accurate 301
72% Passes % 78%
-0.61 goals_prevented -0.61
Banfield
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
17 Tiziano Perrotta F 9.9 85' 2 5 22 (17%) 1
20 Tomas Adoryan F 8.3 83' 1 2 27 (21%) 5
40 David Zalazar M 7.2 71' 1 2 13 (9%) 3
21 Lautaro Villegas M 7.2 83' 1 23 (19%) 2
9 Bruno Sepúlveda F 7.0 45' 1 2 17 (15%) 1
24 Santiago López Garcia M 6.9 90' 31 (18%) 2
2 Danilo Arboleda D 6.9 90' 13 (10%) 2
6 Nicolás Meriano D 6.9 90' 1 21 (17%) 2
27 Ignacio Abraham M 6.9 90' 1 11 (7%) 6
10 Lautaro Gomez M 6.9 45' 1 9 (6%)
13 Brandon Oviedo D 6.7 90' 21 (18%) 1
11 Favio Álvarez M 6.5 12' 4 (2%)
1 Facundo Sanguinetti G 6.3 90' 21 (10%)
5 Santiago Esquivel M 6.3 12' 3 (3%)
16 Jeremias Acosta F 6.3 10' 2 (2%)
35 Ignacio Pais M 6.2 19' 8 (3%) 1
Sarmiento Junin
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
24 Jonathan Herrera F 7.6 35' 1 1 5 (4%) 1
27 Junior Marabel F 7.5 90' 1 2 25 (16%)
7 Pablo Magnin F 6.9 55' 2 12 (6%) 3
23 Elián Giménez M 6.7 55' 1 24 (20%) 4
15 Cristian Zabala M 6.6 90' 49 (45%) 3
10 Jhon Renteria M 6.6 45' 14 (9%) 1
29 Thiago Santamaría D 6.5 61' 1 17 (11%) 2
8 Santiago Salle M 6.5 74' 29 (24%) 1
16 Mauricio Martínez M 6.5 35' 15 (13%)
3 Lucas Suárez D 6.3 90' 1 35 (26%) 3
33 Gabriel Díaz M 6.3 45' 11 (8%)
6 Gastón Arturia D 6.3 16' 6 (4%)
1 Iván Arboleda G 6.2 90' 31 (25%)
44 Renzo Orihuela D 6.2 90' 48 (40%) 4
2 Juan Manuel Insaurralde D 6.2 90' 60 (47%) 1
11 Gastón González F 6.2 29' 1 6 (3%)
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Confidence Low (44%)

At a glance

Our lean
Banfield or draw
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Banfield
DWLDD
Sarmiento Junin
WLLLW
Last 3 meetings Banfield · 0W 2D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Liga Profesional match, Banfield will face Sarmiento Junin. Banfield has shown a solid defensive record, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match this season, while Sarmiento has struggled offensively, scoring just 0.9 goals per game. The matchup will likely hinge on Banfield's ability to capitalize on their home ground familiarity and Sarmiento's need to improve their attacking efficiency. With both teams fighting for crucial points in the standings, expect a tightly contested match with Banfield favored based on current form.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
44%
45%
Draw
34%
45%
Away
22%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Banfield
M. Méndez 6 gls
Tiziano Perrota 6 gls
Sarmiento Junin
J. Marabel 8 gls

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Head to Head: Banfield vs Sarmiento Junin

0 Banfield Wins
2 Draws
1 Sarmiento Junin Wins
Date Home Score Away
29 Jan 2026 Sarmiento Junin 1 - 0 Banfield
13 Dec 2024 Banfield 1 - 1 Sarmiento Junin
29 Jul 2023 Sarmiento Junin 0 - 0 Banfield
See all 8 meetings — Premium

Banfield — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
01 Aug A Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto D 0 - 0
28 Jul H Sarmiento Junin W 3 - 2
25 Jul A Huracan L 1 - 0
09 May H San Martin Tucuman D 1 - 1
26 Apr A Atletico Tucuman D 1 - 1

Sarmiento Junin — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
03 Aug H Independ. Rivadavia W 2 - 1
28 Jul A Banfield L 3 - 2
23 Jul H Argentinos JRS L 2 - 3
17 Jul H Boca Juniors L 0 - 2
25 Apr H Tigre W 1 - 0

Liga Profesional Argentina Standings

Clausura - Group A

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Velez Sarsfield
3 3 0 0 +4 9
2
Independiente
3 2 0 1 +2 6
3
Gimnasia M.
3 2 0 1 +2 6
4
Instituto Cordoba
3 2 0 1 +1 6
5
Newells Old Boys
3 1 1 1 0 4
6
Union Santa Fe
3 1 1 1 -1 4
7
Defensa Y Justicia
3 1 1 1 -2 4
8
Boca Juniors
3 1 1 1 -2 4
9
Talleres Cordoba
3 1 0 2 +1 3
10
Deportivo Riestra
3 1 0 2 +1 3
11
Estudiantes L.P.
3 1 0 2 0 3
12
Lanus
3 1 0 2 -1 3
13
San Lorenzo
3 1 0 2 -1 3
14
Central Cordoba de Santiago
3 1 0 2 -2 3
15
Platense
3 0 1 2 -5 1

Clausura - Group B

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Argentinos JRS
3 3 0 0 +5 9
2
Barracas Central
3 3 0 0 +3 9
3
Independ. Rivadavia
4 2 1 1 +1 7
4
Rosario Central
4 2 1 1 +1 7
5
Gimnasia L.P.
3 2 0 1 +1 6
6
Atletico Tucuman
3 1 2 0 +2 5
7
Tigre
3 1 1 1 +1 4
8
Banfield
3 1 1 1 0 4
9
Belgrano Cordoba
3 1 1 1 0 4
10
Huracan
3 1 1 1 0 4
11
Racing Club
3 1 1 1 -1 4
12
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
4 1 1 2 -3 4
13
Sarmiento Junin
3 1 0 2 -1 3
14
Aldosivi
4 0 1 3 -3 1
15
River Plate
3 0 0 3 -3 0

Banfield

Formation: 3-5-1-1 Coach: Pedro Troglio
1 Sanguinetti
6 Meriano
2 Arboleda
13 Oviedo
27 Abraham
10 Gomez
21 Villegas
40 Zalazar
24 Garcia
20 Adoryan
17 Perrotta

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Facundo Sanguinetti G
13 Brandon Oviedo D
2 Danilo Arboleda D
6 Nicolás Meriano D
24 Santiago López Garcia M
40 David Zalazar M
21 Lautaro Villegas M
10 Lautaro Gomez M
27 Ignacio Abraham M
20 Tomas Adoryan F
17 Tiziano Perrotta F

Substitutes

9 Bruno Sepúlveda F
35 Ignacio Pais M
11 Favio Álvarez M
5 Santiago Esquivel M
16 Jeremias Acosta F
25 Gino Santilli G
4 Juan Luis Alfaro D
34 Santiago Daniele D
33 Neyder Moreno M
8 Lautaro Ríos M
18 Federico Medina M
30 Federico Anselmo F

Sarmiento Junin

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Facundo Sava
1 Arboleda
3 Suárez
2 Insaurralde
44 Orihuela
29 Santamaría
33 Díaz
23 Giménez
15 Zabala
8 Salle
7 Magnin
27 Marabel

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Iván Arboleda G
29 Thiago Santamaría D
44 Renzo Orihuela D
2 Juan Manuel Insaurralde D
3 Lucas Suárez D
8 Santiago Salle M
15 Cristian Zabala M
23 Elián Giménez M
33 Gabriel Díaz M
27 Junior Marabel F
7 Pablo Magnin F

Substitutes

10 Jhon Renteria M
16 Mauricio Martínez M
24 Jonathan Herrera F
11 Gastón González F
6 Gastón Arturia D
12 Thyago Ayala G
4 Juan Manuel Cabrera D
26 Yair Arismendi M
21 Julián Mavilla M
35 Facundo Alaggia M
5 Manuel Garcia M
9 Diego Churin F

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