Lanus vs San Lorenzo Prediction

FT
Post on X
AI call Lanus or draw
47%
33%
20%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Lanus vs San Lorenzo prediction: Sportiko gives Lanus a 47% chance of winning, San Lorenzo 20% and the draw 33%. Last updated 26 Jul 2026, 02:33.

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Timeline

▮ 19'
Ezequiel Herrera Yellow Card
Ramiro Carrera Yellow Card
39' ▮
▮ 45+5'
Franco Lorenzon Yellow Card
HT 0–0
⇄ 46'
Gonzalo Alassia ⇄ Ignacio Perruzzi
⇄ 46'
Manuel Insaurralde ⇄ Mauricio Cardillo
⇄ 57'
Facundo Gulli ⇄ Nahuel Barrios
Ramiro Carrera ⇄ Eduardo Salvio
62' ⇄
Lucas Besozzi ⇄ Dylan Aquino
63' ⇄
Yoshan Valois assist: Dylan Aquino
65' ⚽ 1–0
Matías Sepúlveda ⇄ Franco Watson
70' ⇄
Felipe Peña Biafore Yellow Card
71' ▮
Yoshan Valois ⇄ Allan Wlk
71' ⇄
⇄ 77'
Rodrigo Auzmendi ⇄ Matías Hernández
⇄ 77'
Ezequiel Herrera ⇄ Agustin Ladstatter
Felipe Peña Biafore ⇄ Agustín Medina
82' ⇄
Agustín Medina Yellow Card
84' ▮
▮ 90+4'
Ignacio Perruzzi Yellow Card
FT 1–0
Lanus

Match Stats

San Lorenzo
50% Ball Possession 50%
1.53 Expected Goals (xG) 0.70
21 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Goal 5
8 Shots off Goal 7
5 Blocked Shots 0
15 Shots insidebox 7
6 Shots outsidebox 5
8 Corner Kicks 2
2 Offsides 0
15 Fouls 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
Red Cards
5 Goalkeeper Saves 7
438 Total passes 450
357 Passes accurate 349
82% Passes % 78%
2.59 goals_prevented 2.59
Lanus
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
25 Dylan Aquino F 8.0 28' – 1 2 9 (9%) 3
19 Yoshan Valois F 7.6 71' 1 – 3 18 (12%) –
4 Gonzalo Perez D 7.5 91' – – – 42 (32%) 2
5 Felipe Peña Biafore M 7.5 82' – – – 62 (44%) 3
13 José Canale D 7.3 91' – – 1 43 (40%) 1
30 Agustín Cardozo M 7.3 91' – – – 59 (54%) 2
26 Nahuel Losada G 7.2 91' – – – 30 (24%) –
77 Lucas Besozzi M 7.2 63' – – 1 14 (13%) 1
35 Ronaldo De Jesus D 7.2 91' – – 1 48 (34%) 1
23 Ramiro Carrera M 7.0 62' – – 4 17 (16%) 1
6 Sasha Marcich D 6.9 91' – – 2 46 (35%) 4
11 Eduardo Salvio M 6.9 29' – – – 9 (9%) 1
8 Franco Watson M 6.9 21' – – – 9 (9%) –
16 Matías Sepúlveda M 6.9 70' – – 1 20 (15%) 1
17 Agustín Medina M 6.5 9' – – – 4 (4%) –
20 Allan Wlk F 6.3 20' – – 1 5 (4%) –
San Lorenzo
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
12 Orlando Gill G 10.0 91' – – – 31 (16%) –
6 Mathias de Ritis D 7.2 91' – – – 30 (24%) –
24 Nicolás Tripichio M 6.9 91' – – 1 45 (36%) 1
8 Manuel Insaurralde M 6.9 45' – – – 34 (28%) 1
35 Alejo Cordoba D 6.9 91' – – – 41 (31%) 2
10 Facundo Gulli M 6.7 57' – – 1 24 (19%) –
5 Ignacio Perruzzi M 6.7 46' – – 1 28 (24%) –
14 Agustin Ladstatter F 6.7 14' – – – 5 (5%) –
15 Mauricio Cardillo M 6.6 46' – – 2 14 (12%) 3
42 Franco Lorenzon D 6.6 91' – – 2 39 (32%) 3
62 Gonzalo Alassia M 6.6 45' – – – 29 (23%) –
28 Nahuel Barrios M 6.5 34' – – – 21 (18%) 1
44 Matías Hernández F 6.5 14' – – – 3 (3%) –
32 Ezequiel Herrera D 6.3 77' – – – 36 (27%) 3
9 Alexis Cuello F 6.3 91' – – 3 11 (6%) 1
29 Rodrigo Auzmendi F 6.3 77' – – 1 25 (14%) –
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Confidence Low (47%)

At a glance

Our lean
Lanus or draw
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Lanus
DDWWD
San Lorenzo
LDDWW
Last 3 meetings Lanus · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Liga Profesional match, Lanus will face San Lorenzo. Lanus has shown a solid home record, with an average of 1.8 goals scored per match in their last five home games, while their defense has conceded an average of 1 goal per match. Conversely, San Lorenzo has struggled with consistency on the road, averaging 1.2 goals scored in their last five away fixtures, but they maintain a strong defensive record, conceding only 0.8 goals per match. This matchup will likely hinge on Lanus's ability to convert chances against a disciplined San Lorenzo defense.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
47%
45%
Draw
33%
45%
Away
20%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Lanus

No scorer data.

San Lorenzo
R. Auzmendi 7 gls

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Head to Head: Lanus vs San Lorenzo

2 Lanus Wins
1 Draws
0 San Lorenzo Wins
Date Home Score Away
23 Jan 2026 San Lorenzo 2 - 3 Lanus
04 Oct 2025 Lanus 2 - 1 San Lorenzo
28 Mar 2025 San Lorenzo 1 - 1 Lanus
See all 10 meetings — Premium

Lanus — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
01 Nov H Gimnasia M. D 1 - 1
24 Oct A Banfield D 1 - 1
17 Oct A Platense W 0 - 1
12 Oct H Velez Sarsfield W 2 - 0
03 Oct A Newells Old Boys D 0 - 0

San Lorenzo — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
06 Nov H Platense L 0 - 2
31 Oct A Velez Sarsfield D 2 - 2
24 Oct H Newells Old Boys D 0 - 0
18 Oct A Estudiantes L.P. W 1 - 2
11 Oct H Deportivo Riestra W 1 - 0

Liga Profesional Argentina Standings

Clausura - Group A

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Instituto Cordoba
16 10 4 2 +11 34
2
Boca Juniors
16 9 6 1 +10 33
3
Velez Sarsfield
16 7 7 2 +8 28
4
Defensa Y Justicia
16 8 4 4 +6 28
5
Lanus
15 7 4 4 +7 25
6
Newells Old Boys
16 5 8 3 +3 23
7
Independiente
16 6 5 5 -1 23
8
Gimnasia M.
16 6 4 6 +1 22
9
Union Santa Fe
16 6 3 7 0 21
10
Platense
16 5 5 6 -2 20
11
San Lorenzo
16 5 4 7 -7 19
12
Estudiantes L.P.
16 4 4 8 -1 16
13
Talleres Cordoba
16 3 4 9 -6 13
14
Deportivo Riestra
16 2 6 8 -8 12
15
Central Cordoba de Santiago
15 2 4 9 -14 10

Clausura - Group B

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Rosario Central
16 10 4 2 +14 34
2
Argentinos JRS
16 9 4 3 +6 31
3
Gimnasia L.P.
16 9 4 3 +5 31
4
River Plate
16 8 2 6 +7 26
5
Barracas Central
16 7 5 4 +4 26
6
Belgrano Cordoba
16 6 5 5 +2 23
7
Independ. Rivadavia
16 6 5 5 -3 23
8
Huracan
16 6 4 6 -2 22
9
Sarmiento Junin
16 6 3 7 -1 21
10
Tigre
16 5 4 7 0 19
11
Atletico Tucuman
16 4 6 6 -1 18
12
Banfield
16 3 6 7 -7 15
13
Racing Club
16 4 3 9 -8 15
14
Aldosivi
16 3 2 11 -10 11
15
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
16 2 3 11 -13 9

Lanus

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: M. Pellegrino
26 Losada
6 Marcich
13 Canale
35 Jesus
4 Perez
30 Cardozo
5 Biafore
77 Besozzi
23 Carrera
16 Sepúlveda
19 Valois

Starting XI

# Player Pos
26 Nahuel Losada G
4 Gonzalo Perez D
35 Ronaldo De Jesus D
13 José Canale D
6 Sasha Marcich D
5 Felipe Peña Biafore M
30 Agustín Cardozo M
16 Matías Sepúlveda M
23 Ramiro Carrera M
77 Lucas Besozzi M
19 Yoshan Valois F

Substitutes

11 Eduardo Salvio M
25 Dylan Aquino F
8 Franco Watson M
20 Allan Wlk F
17 Agustín Medina M
1 Franco Petroli G
33 Tomás Guidara D
24 Carlos Izquierdoz D
3 Nicolás Morgantini D
2 Luciano Romero D
39 Thiago Laplace M
38 Benjamin Acosta F

San Lorenzo

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Gustavo Alvarez
12 Gill
6 Ritis
35 Cordoba
42 Lorenzon
32 Herrera
10 Gulli
8 Insaurralde
62 Alassia
24 Tripichio
9 Cuello
29 Auzmendi

Starting XI

# Player Pos
12 Orlando Gill G
32 Ezequiel Herrera D
42 Franco Lorenzon D
35 Alejo Cordoba D
6 Mathias de Ritis D
24 Nicolás Tripichio M
62 Gonzalo Alassia M
8 Manuel Insaurralde M
10 Facundo Gulli M
29 Rodrigo Auzmendi F
9 Alexis Cuello F

Substitutes

5 Ignacio Perruzzi M
15 Mauricio Cardillo M
28 Nahuel Barrios M
14 Agustin Ladstatter F
44 Matías Hernández F
20 Facundo Altamirano G
16 Guzmán Corujo D
3 Teo Rodríguez Pagano D
17 Gregorio Rodriguez F
13 Juan Rattalino M
19 Facundo Bruera F

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